Short Trade on AVAX 06 Feb 2026 at 04:52:23
Take profit at 8.4621 (1.79 %) and Stop Loss at 8.693 (0.89 %)
Short Trade on AVAX 06 Feb 2026 at 04:52:23
Take profit at 8.4621 (1.79 %) and Stop Loss at 8.693 (0.89 %)
Position size of 895.5631 $
Take profit at 8.4621 (1.79 %) and Stop Loss at 8.693 (0.89 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.99 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.96 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.98 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : bull_medium |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : bull_medium |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.857471 15m : -0.073132 1H : 0.05311 |
2 |
Indicators:
65054.5
0.0124193
65862.5
0.857471
66333.2
-0.00694062
65872.9
-0.073132
71732.1
-0.0818272
65862.5
0.05311
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-02 22:00:00
[1] => 9.94
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-02 23:00:00
[1] => 10.2
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 13:00:00
[1] => 9.526
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 15:00:00
[1] => 10.339
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-04 03:00:00
[1] => 10.161
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-04 15:00:00
[1] => 9.953
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-04 17:00:00
[1] => 9.538
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-05 04:00:00
[1] => 9.671
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-05 19:00:00
[1] => 7.532
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-06 01:00:00
[1] => 8.637
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.25471807340512
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 14.378651088688
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 14.670738183749
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-05 11:45:00
[1] => 9.078
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-05 12:15:00
[1] => 8.71
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-05 17:15:00
[1] => 8.228
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-05 18:00:00
[1] => 8.568
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-05 19:15:00
[1] => 7.532
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-05 21:00:00
[1] => 8.513
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-05 22:45:00
[1] => 8.188
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-06 01:00:00
[1] => 8.637
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-06 03:30:00
[1] => 8.324
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-06 04:45:00
[1] => 8.63
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.17381228273465
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.4959154252763
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.6761172513215
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-05 21:00:00
[1] => 8.513
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-05 21:20:00
[1] => 8.246
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-05 21:40:00
[1] => 8.397
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-05 22:50:00
[1] => 8.188
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-05 23:25:00
[1] => 8.393
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-06 01:00:00
[1] => 8.637
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-06 02:15:00
[1] => 8.329
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-06 02:40:00
[1] => 8.478
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-06 03:40:00
[1] => 8.324
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-06 04:50:00
[1] => 8.63
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.17381228273465
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.4959154252763
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 14
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.6761172513215
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-05 21:00:00 | 8.513 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-05 21:20:00 | 8.246 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-05 21:40:00 | 8.397 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-05 22:50:00 | 8.188 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-05 23:25:00 | 8.393 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-06 01:00:00 | 8.637 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-06 02:15:00 | 8.329 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-06 02:40:00 | 8.478 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-06 03:40:00 | 8.324 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-06 04:50:00 | 8.63 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-05 11:45:00 | 9.078 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-05 12:15:00 | 8.71 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-05 17:15:00 | 8.228 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-05 18:00:00 | 8.568 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-05 19:15:00 | 7.532 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-05 21:00:00 | 8.513 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-05 22:45:00 | 8.188 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-06 01:00:00 | 8.637 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-06 03:30:00 | 8.324 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-06 04:45:00 | 8.63 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-02 22:00:00 | 9.94 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-02 23:00:00 | 10.2 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-03 13:00:00 | 9.526 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-03 15:00:00 | 10.339 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-04 03:00:00 | 10.161 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-04 15:00:00 | 9.953 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-04 17:00:00 | 9.538 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-05 04:00:00 | 9.671 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-05 19:00:00 | 7.532 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-06 01:00:00 | 8.637 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb 2026 04:52:23 |
06 Feb 2026 05:20:00 |
27 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.616 | 8.693 | 8.4621 | 2 | 9.315 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 8.693 - 8.616 = 0.077
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 8.616 - 8.4621 = 0.1539
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1539 / 0.077 = 1.9987
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 895.5631 | 100 | 103.9419 | 8.96 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.077 = 103.9
Taille de position USD = 103.9 x 8.616 = 895.2
Donc, tu peux acheter 103.9 avec un stoploss a 8.693
Avec un position size USD de 895.2$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 103.9 x 0.077 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 103.9 x 0.1539 = 15.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.79 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.89 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.89 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.9633 % | 107.79 % | 5 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 8.4621
[entry_price] => 8.616
[stop_loss] => 8.7007
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-02-06 06:15:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 8.4621
[entry_price] => 8.616
[stop_loss] => 8.7084
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-02-06 06:15:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 8.4621
[entry_price] => 8.616
[stop_loss] => 8.7161
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-02-06 06:35:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 8.4621
[entry_price] => 8.616
[stop_loss] => 8.7315
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-02-06 08:00:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.044
[max_drawdown] => 0.114
[rr_ratio] => 0.39
[high] => 8.73000000
[low] => 8.57200000
[mfe_pct] => 0.51
[mae_pct] => 1.32
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.39
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-02-06T04:52:23-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-02-06T06:52:23-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.044
[max_drawdown] => 0.694
[rr_ratio] => 0.06
[high] => 9.31000000
[low] => 8.57200000
[mfe_pct] => 0.51
[mae_pct] => 8.05
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.06
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-02-06T04:52:23-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-02-06T11:52:23-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 8.63700000
[high_after] => 9.06100000
[low_before] => 8.32400000
[low_after] => 8.57200000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)