Short Trade on RIVER 06 Feb 2026 at 11:07:28
Take profit at 12.2079 (5.52 %) and Stop Loss at 13.2776 (2.76 %)
Short Trade on RIVER 06 Feb 2026 at 11:07:28
Take profit at 12.2079 (5.52 %) and Stop Loss at 13.2776 (2.76 %)
Position size of 289.8984 $
Take profit at 12.2079 (5.52 %) and Stop Loss at 13.2776 (2.76 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.58 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.61 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.7 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : bull_medium |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bull_high_confirmed |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.336162 15m : 0.032584 1H : -0.005201 |
2 |
Indicators:
66800.9
0.0323207
68960
0.336162
66064.8
0.0438223
68960
0.032584
71385.1
-0.0339724
68960
-0.005201
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 09:00:00
[1] => 12.67
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-03 21:00:00
[1] => 11.8
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-04 01:00:00
[1] => 16.518
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-04 09:00:00
[1] => 17.51
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-05 01:00:00
[1] => 13.156
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-05 08:00:00
[1] => 12.794
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-05 14:00:00
[1] => 15.328
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-05 19:00:00
[1] => 11.908
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-06 02:00:00
[1] => 15.869
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-06 09:00:00
[1] => 11.585
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -18.803957401223
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 11.2214069918
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 9
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 36.978851963746
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-05 14:30:00
[1] => 15.328
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-05 15:15:00
[1] => 13.335
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-05 19:15:00
[1] => 11.908
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-05 21:00:00
[1] => 14.965
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-05 22:30:00
[1] => 13.533
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-06 02:00:00
[1] => 15.869
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-06 03:45:00
[1] => 12.35
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-06 06:15:00
[1] => 12.571
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-06 09:15:00
[1] => 11.585
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-06 11:00:00
[1] => 12.963
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.60171256653552
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 11.2214069918
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 11.894691411308
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 1
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-06 04:30:00
[1] => 13.327
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-06 05:20:00
[1] => 13.211
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-06 06:15:00
[1] => 12.571
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-06 07:10:00
[1] => 13.068
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-06 07:15:00
[1] => 12.666
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-06 08:20:00
[1] => 12.845
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-06 08:25:00
[1] => 12.12
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-06 08:50:00
[1] => 12.776
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-06 09:25:00
[1] => 11.585
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-06 11:05:00
[1] => 12.963
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.60171256653552
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 11.2214069918
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 20
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 11.894691411308
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-06 04:30:00 | 13.327 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-06 05:20:00 | 13.211 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-06 06:15:00 | 12.571 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-06 07:10:00 | 13.068 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-06 07:15:00 | 12.666 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-06 08:20:00 | 12.845 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-06 08:25:00 | 12.12 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-06 08:50:00 | 12.776 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-06 09:25:00 | 11.585 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-06 11:05:00 | 12.963 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-05 14:30:00 | 15.328 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-05 15:15:00 | 13.335 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-05 19:15:00 | 11.908 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-05 21:00:00 | 14.965 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-05 22:30:00 | 13.533 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-06 02:00:00 | 15.869 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-06 03:45:00 | 12.35 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-06 06:15:00 | 12.571 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-06 09:15:00 | 11.585 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-06 11:00:00 | 12.963 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-03 09:00:00 | 12.67 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-03 21:00:00 | 11.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-04 01:00:00 | 16.518 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-04 09:00:00 | 17.51 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-05 01:00:00 | 13.156 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-05 08:00:00 | 12.794 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-05 14:00:00 | 15.328 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-05 19:00:00 | 11.908 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-06 02:00:00 | 15.869 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-06 09:00:00 | 11.585 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb 2026 11:07:28 |
06 Feb 2026 11:45:00 |
37 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12.921 | 13.2776 | 12.2079 | 2 | 10.43 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 13.2776 - 12.921 = 0.3566
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 12.921 - 12.2079 = 0.7131
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.7131 / 0.3566 = 1.9997
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 289.8984 | 100 | 22.4362 | 2.90 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.3566 = 22.43
Taille de position USD = 22.43 x 12.921 = 289.82
Donc, tu peux acheter 22.43 avec un stoploss a 13.2776
Avec un position size USD de 289.82$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 22.43 x 0.3566 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 22.43 x 0.7131 = 15.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.52 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.76 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -2.76 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.9332 % | 106.28 % | 4 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 12.2079
[entry_price] => 12.921
[stop_loss] => 13.31326
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-02-06 12:20:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 12.2079
[entry_price] => 12.921
[stop_loss] => 13.34892
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-02-06 12:20:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 12.2079
[entry_price] => 12.921
[stop_loss] => 13.38458
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-02-06 12:20:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 12.2079
[entry_price] => 12.921
[stop_loss] => 13.4559
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-02-06 12:25:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.308
[max_drawdown] => 0.669
[rr_ratio] => 0.46
[high] => 13.59000000
[low] => 12.61300000
[mfe_pct] => 2.38
[mae_pct] => 5.18
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.46
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-02-06T11:07:28-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-02-06T13:07:28-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.308
[max_drawdown] => 0.759
[rr_ratio] => 0.41
[high] => 13.68000000
[low] => 12.61300000
[mfe_pct] => 2.38
[mae_pct] => 5.87
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.41
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-02-06T11:07:28-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-02-06T18:07:28-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 13.06800000
[high_after] => 13.59000000
[low_before] => 11.58500000
[low_after] => 12.61300000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)