Short Trade on ARC 07 Feb 2026 at 16:13:51
Take profit at 0.06013 (7.24 %) and Stop Loss at 0.06717 (3.63 %)
Short Trade on ARC 07 Feb 2026 at 16:13:51
Take profit at 0.06013 (7.24 %) and Stop Loss at 0.06717 (3.63 %)
Position size of 220.9844 $
Take profit at 0.06013 (7.24 %) and Stop Loss at 0.06717 (3.63 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.92 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.51 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.87 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bull_high |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.137942 15m : 0.081458 1H : 0.229349 |
1 |
Indicators:
69244.5
0.00413798
69531.1
0.137942
69423.9
0.00154364
69531.1
0.081458
69861.6
-0.00473174
69531.1
0.229349
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-04 07:00:00
[1] => 0.08619
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-04 16:00:00
[1] => 0.05156
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-05 05:00:00
[1] => 0.06731
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-05 08:00:00
[1] => 0.08297
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-05 14:00:00
[1] => 0.06214
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-06 08:00:00
[1] => 0.10051
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-06 14:00:00
[1] => 0.07275
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-07 03:00:00
[1] => 0.08109
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-07 13:00:00
[1] => 0.05377
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-07 16:00:00
[1] => 0.06494
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.21558361564521
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 20.51329737772
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 20.773665612795
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-06 21:30:00
[1] => 0.08072
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-06 22:45:00
[1] => 0.07747
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-06 23:30:00
[1] => 0.07747
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-07 00:45:00
[1] => 0.08005
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-07 02:15:00
[1] => 0.07626
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-07 03:00:00
[1] => 0.08109
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-07 06:00:00
[1] => 0.06841
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-07 06:30:00
[1] => 0.07675
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-07 13:45:00
[1] => 0.05377
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-07 16:00:00
[1] => 0.06494
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.21558361564521
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 20.51329737772
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 20.773665612795
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-07 08:05:00
[1] => 0.07113
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-07 08:40:00
[1] => 0.06985
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-07 11:00:00
[1] => 0.05646
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-07 11:15:00
[1] => 0.06092
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-07 12:10:00
[1] => 0.05548
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-07 13:45:00
[1] => 0.05377
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-07 14:20:00
[1] => 0.05642
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-07 15:30:00
[1] => 0.06333
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-07 15:45:00
[1] => 0.0582
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-07 16:10:00
[1] => 0.06494
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.21558361564521
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 11.340206185567
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 11.580756013746
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-07 08:05:00 | 0.07113 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-07 08:40:00 | 0.06985 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-07 11:00:00 | 0.05646 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-07 11:15:00 | 0.06092 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-07 12:10:00 | 0.05548 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-07 13:45:00 | 0.05377 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-07 14:20:00 | 0.05642 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-07 15:30:00 | 0.06333 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-07 15:45:00 | 0.0582 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-07 16:10:00 | 0.06494 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-06 21:30:00 | 0.08072 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-06 22:45:00 | 0.07747 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-06 23:30:00 | 0.07747 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-07 00:45:00 | 0.08005 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-07 02:15:00 | 0.07626 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-07 03:00:00 | 0.08109 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-07 06:00:00 | 0.06841 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-07 06:30:00 | 0.07675 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-07 13:45:00 | 0.05377 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-07 16:00:00 | 0.06494 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-04 07:00:00 | 0.08619 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-04 16:00:00 | 0.05156 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-05 05:00:00 | 0.06731 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-05 08:00:00 | 0.08297 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-05 14:00:00 | 0.06214 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-06 08:00:00 | 0.10051 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-06 14:00:00 | 0.07275 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-07 03:00:00 | 0.08109 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-07 13:00:00 | 0.05377 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-07 16:00:00 | 0.06494 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb 2026 16:13:51 |
07 Feb 2026 16:30:00 |
16 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.06482 | 0.06717 | 0.06013 | 2 | 0.03387 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.06717 - 0.06482 = 0.00235
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.06482 - 0.06013 = 0.00469
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00469 / 0.00235 = 1.9957
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 220.9844 | 100 | 3409.2013 | 2.21 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00235 = 3404.26
Taille de position USD = 3404.26 x 0.06482 = 220.66
Donc, tu peux acheter 3404.26 avec un stoploss a 0.06717
Avec un position size USD de 220.66$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 3404.26 x 0.00235 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 3404.26 x 0.00469 = 15.97
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.97$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 7.24 % | 15.99 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.63 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.01 $ | -3.63 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -4.6128 % | 127.24 % | 1 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.06013
[entry_price] => 0.06482
[stop_loss] => 0.067405
[rr_ratio] => 1.81
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-02-07 16:30:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.06013
[entry_price] => 0.06482
[stop_loss] => 0.06764
[rr_ratio] => 1.66
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-02-07 16:30:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.06013
[entry_price] => 0.06482
[stop_loss] => 0.067875
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-02-07 16:30:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.06013
[entry_price] => 0.06482
[stop_loss] => 0.068345
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-02-07 20:20:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.00375
[max_drawdown] => 0.00323
[rr_ratio] => 1.16
[high] => 0.06805000
[low] => 0.06107000
[mfe_pct] => 5.79
[mae_pct] => 4.98
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.16
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-02-07T16:13:51-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-02-07T18:13:51-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.00534
[max_drawdown] => 0.00805
[rr_ratio] => 0.66
[high] => 0.07287000
[low] => 0.05948000
[mfe_pct] => 8.24
[mae_pct] => 12.42
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.66
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-02-07T16:13:51-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-02-07T23:13:51-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 0.06494000
[high_after] => 0.07012000
[low_before] => 0.05377000
[low_after] => 0.05948000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)