Short Trade on AVAX 09 Feb 2026 at 10:00:46
Take profit at 8.8265 (1.2 %) and Stop Loss at 8.9878 (0.6 %)
Short Trade on AVAX 09 Feb 2026 at 10:00:46
Take profit at 8.8265 (1.2 %) and Stop Loss at 8.9878 (0.6 %)
Position size of 1329.2747 $
Take profit at 8.8265 (1.2 %) and Stop Loss at 8.9878 (0.6 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.61 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.63 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.69 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : range_medium |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bull_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.892491 15m : 0.001005 1H : -0.054105 |
2 |
Indicators:
69360.9
-0.000716601
69311.2
0.892491
70132.1
-0.0117057
69311.2
0.001005
69486.3
-0.00252054
69311.2
-0.054105
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-06 18:00:00
[1] => 9.367
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-07 02:00:00
[1] => 8.901
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-07 11:00:00
[1] => 9.389
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-08 02:00:00
[1] => 9.07
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-08 03:00:00
[1] => 9.286
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-08 09:00:00
[1] => 9.283
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-08 11:00:00
[1] => 8.988
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-08 18:00:00
[1] => 9.257
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-09 05:00:00
[1] => 8.714
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-09 10:00:00
[1] => 8.997
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.055574080248961
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.1902685333945
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.2476474638513
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-08 16:45:00
[1] => 9.004
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-08 18:00:00
[1] => 9.257
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-08 18:30:00
[1] => 8.995
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-08 20:30:00
[1] => 9.018
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-08 22:30:00
[1] => 9.196
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-08 23:30:00
[1] => 9.09
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-09 05:30:00
[1] => 8.714
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-09 08:00:00
[1] => 8.865
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-09 09:00:00
[1] => 8.739
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-09 10:00:00
[1] => 8.997
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.7891519395354
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.1398329328298
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.9522828698936
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-09 04:40:00
[1] => 8.847
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-09 05:10:00
[1] => 8.89
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-09 05:40:00
[1] => 8.714
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-09 06:00:00
[1] => 8.812
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-09 06:30:00
[1] => 8.804
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-09 06:50:00
[1] => 8.758
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-09 07:40:00
[1] => 8.856
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-09 08:10:00
[1] => 8.865
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-09 09:10:00
[1] => 8.739
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-09 10:00:00
[1] => 8.978
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.055691690799722
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.6776519052523
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.7348666895526
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-09 04:40:00 | 8.847 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-09 05:10:00 | 8.89 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-09 05:40:00 | 8.714 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-09 06:00:00 | 8.812 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-09 06:30:00 | 8.804 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-09 06:50:00 | 8.758 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-09 07:40:00 | 8.856 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-09 08:10:00 | 8.865 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-09 09:10:00 | 8.739 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-09 10:00:00 | 8.978 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-08 16:45:00 | 9.004 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-08 18:00:00 | 9.257 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-08 18:30:00 | 8.995 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-08 20:30:00 | 9.018 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-08 22:30:00 | 9.196 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-08 23:30:00 | 9.09 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-09 05:30:00 | 8.714 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-09 08:00:00 | 8.865 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-09 09:00:00 | 8.739 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-09 10:00:00 | 8.997 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-06 18:00:00 | 9.367 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-07 02:00:00 | 8.901 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-07 11:00:00 | 9.389 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-08 02:00:00 | 9.07 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-08 03:00:00 | 9.286 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-08 09:00:00 | 9.283 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-08 11:00:00 | 8.988 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-08 18:00:00 | 9.257 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-09 05:00:00 | 8.714 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-09 10:00:00 | 8.997 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb 2026 10:00:46 |
09 Feb 2026 10:05:00 |
4 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.934 | 8.9878 | 8.8265 | 2 | 9.329 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 8.9878 - 8.934 = 0.053800000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 8.934 - 8.8265 = 0.1075
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1075 / 0.053800000000001 = 1.9981
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1329.2747 | 100 | 148.7883 | 13.29 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.053800000000001 = 148.7
Taille de position USD = 148.7 x 8.934 = 1328.49
Donc, tu peux acheter 148.7 avec un stoploss a 8.9878
Avec un position size USD de 1328.49$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 148.7 x 0.053800000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 148.7 x 0.1075 = 15.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.2 % | 15.99 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.6 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.60 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.7052 % | 117.1 % | 0 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 8.8265
[entry_price] => 8.934
[stop_loss] => 8.99318
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-02-09 10:05:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 8.8265
[entry_price] => 8.934
[stop_loss] => 8.99856
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-02-09 11:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 8.8265
[entry_price] => 8.934
[stop_loss] => 9.00394
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-02-09 11:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 8.8265
[entry_price] => 8.934
[stop_loss] => 9.0147
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-02-09 11:40:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.077999999999999
[max_drawdown] => 0.215
[rr_ratio] => 0.36
[high] => 9.14900000
[low] => 8.85600000
[mfe_pct] => 0.87
[mae_pct] => 2.41
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.36
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-02-09T10:00:46-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-02-09T12:00:46-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.077999999999999
[max_drawdown] => 0.247
[rr_ratio] => 0.32
[high] => 9.18100000
[low] => 8.85600000
[mfe_pct] => 0.87
[mae_pct] => 2.76
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.32
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-02-09T10:00:46-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-02-09T17:00:46-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 8.97800000
[high_after] => 9.18100000
[low_before] => 8.73900000
[low_after] => 8.85600000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)