Short Trade on AAPL 10 Feb 2026 at 03:16:49
Take profit at 273.7667 (0.081 %) and Stop Loss at 274.1016 (0.041 %)
Short Trade on AAPL 10 Feb 2026 at 03:16:49
Take profit at 273.7667 (0.081 %) and Stop Loss at 274.1016 (0.041 %)
Position size of 19635.6412 $
Take profit at 273.7667 (0.081 %) and Stop Loss at 274.1016 (0.041 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.55 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.78 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.75 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : bear_low |
1H_regime : range_low 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.149759 15m : -0.006767 1H : 0.019537 |
3 |
Indicators:
69482.2
-0.0108981
68725
0.149759
69809.1
-0.0155295
68725
-0.006767
69328.4
-0.00870469
68725
0.019537
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-08 00:00:00
[1] => 277.04
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-08 06:00:00
[1] => 278.23
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-08 08:00:00
[1] => 277.01
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-08 16:00:00
[1] => 277.29
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-08 19:00:00
[1] => 277.98
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-09 01:00:00
[1] => 276.19
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-09 08:00:00
[1] => 278.43
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-09 12:00:00
[1] => 271.8
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-09 15:00:00
[1] => 275.02
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-10 02:00:00
[1] => 274.15
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.05836221046871
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.80573951434878
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 15
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.31734451942367
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-09 09:30:00
[1] => 278.1
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-09 12:15:00
[1] => 271.8
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-09 15:45:00
[1] => 275.02
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-09 17:30:00
[1] => 274.49
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-09 18:45:00
[1] => 273.07
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-09 20:00:00
[1] => 273.96
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-09 22:00:00
[1] => 273.17
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-10 00:15:00
[1] => 273.73
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-10 01:45:00
[1] => 273.33
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-10 02:45:00
[1] => 274.15
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.05836221046871
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.24146635934585
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.3000036585812
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-09 23:05:00
[1] => 273.25
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-09 23:25:00
[1] => 273.68
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-09 23:50:00
[1] => 273.32
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-10 00:20:00
[1] => 273.73
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-10 00:30:00
[1] => 273.73
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-10 00:40:00
[1] => 273.73
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-10 00:45:00
[1] => 273.33
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-10 01:20:00
[1] => 273.63
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-10 01:50:00
[1] => 273.33
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-10 02:55:00
[1] => 274.15
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.05836221046871
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.087671232876716
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.3000036585812
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-09 23:05:00 | 273.25 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-09 23:25:00 | 273.68 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-09 23:50:00 | 273.32 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-10 00:20:00 | 273.73 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-10 00:30:00 | 273.73 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-10 00:40:00 | 273.73 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-10 00:45:00 | 273.33 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-10 01:20:00 | 273.63 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-10 01:50:00 | 273.33 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-10 02:55:00 | 274.15 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-09 09:30:00 | 278.1 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-09 12:15:00 | 271.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-09 15:45:00 | 275.02 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-09 17:30:00 | 274.49 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-09 18:45:00 | 273.07 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-09 20:00:00 | 273.96 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-09 22:00:00 | 273.17 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-10 00:15:00 | 273.73 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-10 01:45:00 | 273.33 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-10 02:45:00 | 274.15 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-08 00:00:00 | 277.04 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-08 06:00:00 | 278.23 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-08 08:00:00 | 277.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-08 16:00:00 | 277.29 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-08 19:00:00 | 277.98 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-09 01:00:00 | 276.19 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-09 08:00:00 | 278.43 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-09 12:00:00 | 271.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-09 15:00:00 | 275.02 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-10 02:00:00 | 274.15 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb 2026 03:16:49 |
10 Feb 2026 03:20:00 |
3 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 273.99 | 274.1016 | 273.7667 | 2 | 271.59 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 274.1016 - 273.99 = 0.11160000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 273.99 - 273.7667 = 0.22329999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.22329999999999 / 0.11160000000001 = 2.0009
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19635.6412 | 100 | 71.6655 | 196.36 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.11160000000001 = 71.68
Taille de position USD = 71.68 x 273.99 = 19639.6
Donc, tu peux acheter 71.68 avec un stoploss a 274.1016
Avec un position size USD de 19639.6$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 71.68 x 0.11160000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 71.68 x 0.22329999999999 = 16.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.081 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.041 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.08 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 1 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 273.7668
[stop_loss] => 274.1016
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-02-10 03:20:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 273.711
[stop_loss] => 274.1016
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-02-10 03:20:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 273.6552
[stop_loss] => 274.1016
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-02-10 03:25:00
[result] => loss
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 273.5994
[stop_loss] => 274.1016
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2026-02-10 03:25:00
[result] => loss
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 273.5436
[stop_loss] => 274.1016
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2026-02-10 03:25:00
[result] => loss
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 273.4878
[stop_loss] => 274.1016
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2026-02-10 03:25:00
[result] => loss
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 273.432
[stop_loss] => 274.1016
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2026-02-10 03:25:00
[result] => loss
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 273.3762
[stop_loss] => 274.1016
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2026-02-10 03:25:00
[result] => loss
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 273.3204
[stop_loss] => 274.1016
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2026-02-10 03:25:00
[result] => loss
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 273.2646
[stop_loss] => 274.1016
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2026-02-10 03:25:00
[result] => loss
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 273.2088
[stop_loss] => 274.1016
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2026-02-10 03:25:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.36000000000001
[max_drawdown] => 0.36000000000001
[rr_ratio] => 1
[high] => 274.35000000
[low] => 273.63000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.13
[mae_pct] => 0.13
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-02-10T03:16:49-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-02-10T05:16:49-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.66000000000003
[max_drawdown] => 1.45
[rr_ratio] => 0.46
[high] => 275.44000000
[low] => 273.33000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.24
[mae_pct] => 0.53
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.46
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-02-10T03:16:49-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-02-10T10:16:49-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 274.15000000
[high_after] => 274.35000000
[low_before] => 273.32000000
[low_after] => 273.48000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)