Short Trade on MSTR 11 Feb 2026 at 20:30:30
Take profit at 126.4168 (0.72 %) and Stop Loss at 127.8016 (0.36 %)
Short Trade on MSTR 11 Feb 2026 at 20:30:30
Take profit at 126.4168 (0.72 %) and Stop Loss at 127.8016 (0.36 %)
Position size of 2206.8359 $
Take profit at 126.4168 (0.72 %) and Stop Loss at 127.8016 (0.36 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.79 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.73 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.73 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.617797 15m : -0.004192 1H : -0.007296 |
1 |
Indicators:
67259.8
0.00775677
67781.6
0.617797
67526.3
0.00377929
67781.6
-0.004192
68662.3
-0.0128279
67781.6
-0.007296
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-08 11:00:00
[1] => 134.59
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-08 18:00:00
[1] => 139.29
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-08 20:00:00
[1] => 131.43
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-09 09:00:00
[1] => 125.21
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-09 13:00:00
[1] => 139.75
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-10 08:00:00
[1] => 131.24
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-10 10:00:00
[1] => 139.38
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-10 16:00:00
[1] => 131.85
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-11 09:00:00
[1] => 135.48
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-11 15:00:00
[1] => 124.2
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -5.9861234130499
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.5523349436393
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 11
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 9.0821256038647
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-11 05:45:00
[1] => 128.3
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-11 09:00:00
[1] => 135.48
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-11 10:00:00
[1] => 125.68
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-11 11:15:00
[1] => 130.73
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-11 13:00:00
[1] => 124.64
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-11 15:00:00
[1] => 127.59
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-11 15:15:00
[1] => 124.2
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-11 16:30:00
[1] => 128.1
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-11 18:30:00
[1] => 125.14
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-11 20:30:00
[1] => 127.75
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.29745596868884
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.782004155346
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.085664056257
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-11 15:00:00
[1] => 127.59
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-11 15:25:00
[1] => 124.2
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-11 16:35:00
[1] => 128.1
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-11 17:35:00
[1] => 126.21
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-11 18:05:00
[1] => 127.13
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-11 18:35:00
[1] => 125.14
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-11 19:05:00
[1] => 126.63
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-11 19:35:00
[1] => 126.91
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-11 19:55:00
[1] => 125.97
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-11 20:30:00
[1] => 127.75
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.29745596868884
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.1113757243788
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.4130348495674
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-11 15:00:00 | 127.59 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-11 15:25:00 | 124.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-11 16:35:00 | 128.1 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-11 17:35:00 | 126.21 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-11 18:05:00 | 127.13 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-11 18:35:00 | 125.14 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-11 19:05:00 | 126.63 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-11 19:35:00 | 126.91 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-11 19:55:00 | 125.97 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-11 20:30:00 | 127.75 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-11 05:45:00 | 128.3 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-11 09:00:00 | 135.48 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-11 10:00:00 | 125.68 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-11 11:15:00 | 130.73 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-11 13:00:00 | 124.64 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-11 15:00:00 | 127.59 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-11 15:15:00 | 124.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-11 16:30:00 | 128.1 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-11 18:30:00 | 125.14 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-11 20:30:00 | 127.75 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-08 11:00:00 | 134.59 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-08 18:00:00 | 139.29 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-08 20:00:00 | 131.43 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-09 09:00:00 | 125.21 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-09 13:00:00 | 139.75 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-10 08:00:00 | 131.24 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-10 10:00:00 | 139.38 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-10 16:00:00 | 131.85 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-11 09:00:00 | 135.48 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-11 15:00:00 | 124.2 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb 2026 20:30:30 |
11 Feb 2026 20:35:00 |
4 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 127.34 | 127.8016 | 126.4168 | 2 | 130.57 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 127.8016 - 127.34 = 0.46159999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 127.34 - 126.4168 = 0.92320000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.92320000000001 / 0.46159999999999 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2206.8359 | 100 | 17.3303 | 22.07 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.46159999999999 = 17.33
Taille de position USD = 17.33 x 127.34 = 2206.8
Donc, tu peux acheter 17.33 avec un stoploss a 127.8016
Avec un position size USD de 2206.8$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 17.33 x 0.46159999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 17.33 x 0.92320000000001 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.72 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.36 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.36 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.6125 % | 168.97 % | 1 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 126.4168
[entry_price] => 127.34
[stop_loss] => 127.84776
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-02-11 20:35:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 126.4168
[entry_price] => 127.34
[stop_loss] => 127.89392
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-02-11 20:35:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 126.4168
[entry_price] => 127.34
[stop_loss] => 127.94008
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-02-11 20:35:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 126.4168
[entry_price] => 127.34
[stop_loss] => 128.0324
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-02-11 20:35:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 1.32
[max_drawdown] => 0.78
[rr_ratio] => 1.69
[high] => 128.12000000
[low] => 126.02000000
[mfe_pct] => 1.04
[mae_pct] => 0.61
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.69
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-02-11T20:30:30-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-02-11T22:30:30-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 2.44
[max_drawdown] => 0.78
[rr_ratio] => 3.13
[high] => 128.12000000
[low] => 124.90000000
[mfe_pct] => 1.92
[mae_pct] => 0.61
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.13
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-02-11T20:30:30-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-02-12T03:30:30-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 128.10000000
[high_after] => 128.12000000
[low_before] => 125.14000000
[low_after] => 124.90000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)