Short Trade on MSTR 11 Feb 2026 at 20:30:30

Take profit at 126.4168 (0.72 %) and Stop Loss at 127.8016 (0.36 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 11 Feb 2026 at 20:30:30

With 17.3303 MSTR at 127.34$ per unit.

Position size of 2206.8359 $

Take profit at 126.4168 (0.72 %) and Stop Loss at 127.8016 (0.36 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 5.23
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.79
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.73
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.73
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.617797

15m : -0.004192

1H : -0.007296

1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.09
  4. atr: 0.3077467866
Details
  1. score: 1.09
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 127.011
  4. ema21 : 128.436
  5. ema50 : 130.759
  6. ema100 : 132.319
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00259002
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0111002
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0177618
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0376303
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.259571
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.222206
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.150463
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.091801
  17. rsi : 0.435453
  18. adx : 0.275624
  19. kc_percentage : 0.38436
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0665679
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.656185
  22. volume_ema1 : 163701.55402206
  23. volume_ema2 : 476132.74164881
  24. chop : 39.5198
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 126.785
  29. ema21 : 126.686
  30. ema50 : 127.45
  31. ema100 : 128.922
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00437561
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000779511
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00599307
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0122772
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.012958
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.00836803
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0358883
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0417141
  42. rsi : 0.544456
  43. adx : 0.143761
  44. kc_percentage : 0.72181
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0234722
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.804824
  47. volume_ema1 : 16708.241919278
  48. volume_ema2 : 85606.316952096
  49. chop : 70.1638
  50. regime : range_medium
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 126.921
  54. ema21 : 126.64
  55. ema50 : 126.506
  56. ema100 : 126.49
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00329538
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00221764
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00106043
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00671582
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0490135
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0280273
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.0110806
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.00479209
  67. rsi : 0.645721
  68. adx : 0.164712
  69. kc_percentage : 1.0916
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.00911049
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.473007
  72. volume_ema1 : 6748.3836231841
  73. volume_ema2 : 12805.455114909
  74. chop : 47.0659
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    67259.8
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00775677
  81. 5m_price:
    67781.6
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.617797
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    67526.3
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00377929
  86. 15m_price:
    67781.6
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.004192
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    68662.3
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0128279
  91. 1H_price:
    67781.6
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.007296
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-08 11:00:00
                        [1] => 134.59
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-08 18:00:00
                        [1] => 139.29
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-08 20:00:00
                        [1] => 131.43
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-09 09:00:00
                        [1] => 125.21
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-09 13:00:00
                        [1] => 139.75
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-10 08:00:00
                        [1] => 131.24
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-10 10:00:00
                        [1] => 139.38
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-10 16:00:00
                        [1] => 131.85
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-11 09:00:00
                        [1] => 135.48
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-11 15:00:00
                        [1] => 124.2
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -5.9861234130499
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.5523349436393
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 11
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 9.0821256038647
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-11 05:45:00
                        [1] => 128.3
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-11 09:00:00
                        [1] => 135.48
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-11 10:00:00
                        [1] => 125.68
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-11 11:15:00
                        [1] => 130.73
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-11 13:00:00
                        [1] => 124.64
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-11 15:00:00
                        [1] => 127.59
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-11 15:15:00
                        [1] => 124.2
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-11 16:30:00
                        [1] => 128.1
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-11 18:30:00
                        [1] => 125.14
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-11 20:30:00
                        [1] => 127.75
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.29745596868884
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.782004155346
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.085664056257
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-11 15:00:00
                        [1] => 127.59
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-11 15:25:00
                        [1] => 124.2
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-11 16:35:00
                        [1] => 128.1
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-11 17:35:00
                        [1] => 126.21
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-11 18:05:00
                        [1] => 127.13
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-11 18:35:00
                        [1] => 125.14
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-11 19:05:00
                        [1] => 126.63
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-11 19:35:00
                        [1] => 126.91
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-11 19:55:00
                        [1] => 125.97
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-11 20:30:00
                        [1] => 127.75
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.29745596868884
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.1113757243788
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.4130348495674
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.30%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.11%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.41%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.2984
0.23%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.2168
1.75%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-11 15:00:00 127.59 ↑ High
2026-02-11 15:25:00 124.2 ↓ Low
2026-02-11 16:35:00 128.1 ↑ High
2026-02-11 17:35:00 126.21 ↓ Low
2026-02-11 18:05:00 127.13 ↑ High
2026-02-11 18:35:00 125.14 ↓ Low
2026-02-11 19:05:00 126.63 ↑ High
2026-02-11 19:35:00 126.91 ↑ High
2026-02-11 19:55:00 125.97 ↓ Low
2026-02-11 20:30:00 127.75 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.30%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.78%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
8 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.09%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
7.6784
6.01%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.2168
1.75%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-11 05:45:00 128.3 ↓ Low
2026-02-11 09:00:00 135.48 ↑ High
2026-02-11 10:00:00 125.68 ↓ Low
2026-02-11 11:15:00 130.73 ↑ High
2026-02-11 13:00:00 124.64 ↓ Low
2026-02-11 15:00:00 127.59 ↑ High
2026-02-11 15:15:00 124.2 ↓ Low
2026-02-11 16:30:00 128.1 ↑ High
2026-02-11 18:30:00 125.14 ↓ Low
2026-02-11 20:30:00 127.75 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-5.99%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.55%
Bars Since Swing High
11 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
9.08%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
11.9484
9.35%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.2168
1.75%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-08 11:00:00 134.59 ↓ Low
2026-02-08 18:00:00 139.29 ↑ High
2026-02-08 20:00:00 131.43 ↓ Low
2026-02-09 09:00:00 125.21 ↓ Low
2026-02-09 13:00:00 139.75 ↑ High
2026-02-10 08:00:00 131.24 ↓ Low
2026-02-10 10:00:00 139.38 ↑ High
2026-02-10 16:00:00 131.85 ↓ Low
2026-02-11 09:00:00 135.48 ↑ High
2026-02-11 15:00:00 124.2 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
11 Feb 2026
20:30:30
11 Feb 2026
20:35:00
4 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
127.34 127.8016 126.4168 2 130.57
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 127.34
  • Stop Loss: 127.8016
  • Take Profit: 126.4168

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 127.8016 - 127.34 = 0.46159999999999

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 127.34 - 126.4168 = 0.92320000000001

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.92320000000001 / 0.46159999999999 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
2206.8359 100 17.3303 22.07
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.46159999999999

Taille de position = 8 / 0.46159999999999 = 17.33

Taille de position USD = 17.33 x 127.34 = 2206.8

Donc, tu peux acheter 17.33 avec un stoploss a 127.8016

Avec un position size USD de 2206.8$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 17.33 x 0.46159999999999 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 17.33 x 0.92320000000001 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 17.33
  • Taille de position USD 2206.8
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.72 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.36 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.36
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.6125 % 168.97 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 126.4168
            [entry_price] => 127.34
            [stop_loss] => 127.84776
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-11 20:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 126.4168
            [entry_price] => 127.34
            [stop_loss] => 127.89392
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-11 20:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 126.4168
            [entry_price] => 127.34
            [stop_loss] => 127.94008
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-11 20:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 126.4168
            [entry_price] => 127.34
            [stop_loss] => 128.0324
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-11 20:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.32
            [max_drawdown] => 0.78
            [rr_ratio] => 1.69
            [high] => 128.12000000
            [low] => 126.02000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.04
            [mae_pct] => 0.61
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.69
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-02-11T20:30:30-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-11T22:30:30-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 2.44
            [max_drawdown] => 0.78
            [rr_ratio] => 3.13
            [high] => 128.12000000
            [low] => 124.90000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.92
            [mae_pct] => 0.61
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.13
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-02-11T20:30:30-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-12T03:30:30-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 128.10000000
            [high_after] => 128.12000000
            [low_before] => 125.14000000
            [low_after] => 124.90000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)