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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 11 Feb 2026 at 20:42:18

Take profit at 126.7352 (0.83 %) and Stop Loss at 128.3324 (0.42 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 11 Feb 2026 at 20:42:18

With 15.0269 MSTR at 127.8$ per unit.

Position size of 1920.4322 $

Take profit at 126.7352 (0.83 %) and Stop Loss at 128.3324 (0.42 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 100
ML Pullback Score: 10
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.76
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.83
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.6
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bull_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_high

5m_regime : bull_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.032454

15m : 0.042924

1H : 0.064384

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.16
  4. atr: 0.3549201065
Details
  1. score: 1.16
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 127.103
  4. ema21 : 128.478
  5. ema50 : 130.777
  6. ema100 : 132.328
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00548344
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.010706
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0175775
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0342203
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.253723
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.219565
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.149334
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0912336
  17. rsi : 0.452779
  18. adx : 0.270049
  19. kc_percentage : 0.43582
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0687696
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.633709
  22. volume_ema1 : 174884.85462206
  23. volume_ema2 : 477448.42407234
  24. chop : 39.5857
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 126.791
  28. ema21 : 126.689
  29. ema50 : 127.451
  30. ema100 : 128.923
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0079561
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000805327
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00598085
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00871377
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.013353
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.00818881
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0358117
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0416759
  41. rsi : 0.546477
  42. adx : 0.148576
  43. kc_percentage : 0.855261
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.024671
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.782666
  46. volume_ema1 : 18654.916119278
  47. volume_ema2 : 85835.337446214
  48. chop : 63.7674
  49. regime : range_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 127.241
  52. ema21 : 126.844
  53. ema50 : 126.615
  54. ema100 : 126.604
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00438726
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00313302
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00180818
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00944466
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0591509
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0366497
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0158913
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.00655377
  65. rsi : 0.698915
  66. adx : 0.211743
  67. kc_percentage : 1.15836
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0111247
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.211635
  70. volume_ema1 : 10022.221076971
  71. volume_ema2 : 12712.681607221
  72. chop : 30.4741
  73. regime : bull_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    67288
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.0088711
  78. 5m_price: 
    67885
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.032454
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    67525.9
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00343674
  83. 15m_price: 
    67758
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.042924
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    68664.4
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0113514
  88. 1H_price: 
    67885
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.064384
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-08 18:00:00
                    [1] => 139.29
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-08 20:00:00
                    [1] => 131.43
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-09 09:00:00
                    [1] => 125.21
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-09 13:00:00
                    [1] => 139.75
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-10 08:00:00
                    [1] => 131.24
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-10 10:00:00
                    [1] => 139.38
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-10 16:00:00
                    [1] => 131.85
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-11 09:00:00
                    [1] => 135.48
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-11 15:00:00
                    [1] => 124.2
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-11 20:00:00
                    [1] => 128.12
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.070246643771467
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.0837359098229
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.1561996779388
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-11 05:45:00
                    [1] => 128.3
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-11 09:00:00
                    [1] => 135.48
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-11 10:00:00
                    [1] => 125.68
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-11 11:15:00
                    [1] => 130.73
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-11 13:00:00
                    [1] => 124.64
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-11 15:00:00
                    [1] => 127.59
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-11 15:15:00
                    [1] => 124.2
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-11 16:30:00
                    [1] => 128.1
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-11 18:30:00
                    [1] => 125.14
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-11 20:30:00
                    [1] => 128.12
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.070246643771467
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.3094134569282
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.381332907144
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-11 15:00:00
                    [1] => 127.59
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-11 15:25:00
                    [1] => 124.2
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-11 16:35:00
                    [1] => 128.1
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-11 17:35:00
                    [1] => 126.21
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-11 18:05:00
                    [1] => 127.13
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-11 18:35:00
                    [1] => 125.14
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-11 19:05:00
                    [1] => 126.63
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-11 19:35:00
                    [1] => 126.91
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-11 19:55:00
                    [1] => 125.97
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-11 20:35:00
                    [1] => 128.12
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.070246643771467
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.6353099944431
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.7067555767246
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.07%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.64%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
9 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.71%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.2124
0.17%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.5352
2.00%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-11 15:00:00 127.59 ↑ High
2026-02-11 15:25:00 124.2 ↓ Low
2026-02-11 16:35:00 128.1 ↑ High
2026-02-11 17:35:00 126.21 ↓ Low
2026-02-11 18:05:00 127.13 ↑ High
2026-02-11 18:35:00 125.14 ↓ Low
2026-02-11 19:05:00 126.63 ↑ High
2026-02-11 19:35:00 126.91 ↑ High
2026-02-11 19:55:00 125.97 ↓ Low
2026-02-11 20:35:00 128.12 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.07%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.31%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
8 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.38%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
7.1476
5.57%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.5352
2.00%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-11 05:45:00 128.3 ↓ Low
2026-02-11 09:00:00 135.48 ↑ High
2026-02-11 10:00:00 125.68 ↓ Low
2026-02-11 11:15:00 130.73 ↑ High
2026-02-11 13:00:00 124.64 ↓ Low
2026-02-11 15:00:00 127.59 ↑ High
2026-02-11 15:15:00 124.2 ↓ Low
2026-02-11 16:30:00 128.1 ↑ High
2026-02-11 18:30:00 125.14 ↓ Low
2026-02-11 20:30:00 128.12 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.07%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.08%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.16%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
11.4176
8.90%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.5352
2.00%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-08 18:00:00 139.29 ↑ High
2026-02-08 20:00:00 131.43 ↓ Low
2026-02-09 09:00:00 125.21 ↓ Low
2026-02-09 13:00:00 139.75 ↑ High
2026-02-10 08:00:00 131.24 ↓ Low
2026-02-10 10:00:00 139.38 ↑ High
2026-02-10 16:00:00 131.85 ↓ Low
2026-02-11 09:00:00 135.48 ↑ High
2026-02-11 15:00:00 124.2 ↓ Low
2026-02-11 20:00:00 128.12 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
11 Feb 2026
20:42:18		 11 Feb 2026
21:10:00		 27 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
127.8 128.3324 126.7352 2 133.02
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 127.8
  • Stop Loss: 128.3324
  • Take Profit: 126.7352

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 128.3324 - 127.8 = 0.53240000000001

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 127.8 - 126.7352 = 1.0648

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.0648 / 0.53240000000001 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1920.4322 100 15.0269 19.20
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.53240000000001

Taille de position = 8 / 0.53240000000001 = 15.03

Taille de position USD = 15.03 x 127.8 = 1920.83

Donc, tu peux acheter 15.03 avec un stoploss a 128.3324

Avec un position size USD de 1920.83$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 15.03 x 0.53240000000001 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 15.03 x 1.0648 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 15.03
  • Taille de position USD 1920.83
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.83 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.42 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.83
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.18 % 43.21 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 126.7352
            [stop_loss] => 128.3324
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-11 21:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 126.469
            [stop_loss] => 128.3324
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-11 21:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 126.2028
            [stop_loss] => 128.3324
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-11 21:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 125.9366
            [stop_loss] => 128.3324
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-11 23:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 125.6704
            [stop_loss] => 128.3324
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-11 23:55:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 125.4042
            [stop_loss] => 128.3324
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-12 00:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 125.138
            [stop_loss] => 128.3324
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-12 00:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.78
            [max_drawdown] => 0.23
            [rr_ratio] => 7.74
            [high] => 128.03000000
            [low] => 126.02000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.39
            [mae_pct] => 0.18
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 7.74
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-02-11T20:42:18-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-11T22:42:18-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 2.9
            [max_drawdown] => 0.23
            [rr_ratio] => 12.61
            [high] => 128.03000000
            [low] => 124.90000000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.27
            [mae_pct] => 0.18
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 12.61
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-02-11T20:42:18-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-12T03:42:18-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 128.12000000
            [high_after] => 128.03000000
            [low_before] => 125.14000000
            [low_after] => 124.90000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)