Short Trade on MSTR 12 Feb 2026 at 14:49:39

Take profit at 122.0553 (1.95 %) and Stop Loss at 125.6923 (0.97 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 12 Feb 2026 at 14:49:39

With 6.5989 MSTR at 124.48$ per unit.

Position size of 821.4263 $

Take profit at 122.0553 (1.95 %) and Stop Loss at 125.6923 (0.97 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 6.77
Prediction Score: 5
Prediction 1 Probability
Strong Trade
0.62
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.52
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.51
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bear_medium

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : range_medium

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.786517

15m : -0.225512

1H : -0.157048

3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.05
  4. atr: 0.8082202404
Details
  1. score: 1.05
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 124.262
  4. ema21 : 125.708
  5. ema50 : 128.069
  6. ema100 : 130.328
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00174695
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0114959
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0184398
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0448742
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.137566
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.113093
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.109709
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0838891
  17. rsi : 0.442092
  18. adx : 0.258607
  19. kc_percentage : 0.377527
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.074075
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.982009
  22. volume_ema1 : 1209707.2292546
  23. volume_ema2 : 610343.73463172
  24. chop : 43.2642
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 122.994
  29. ema21 : 123.519
  30. ema50 : 124.835
  31. ema100 : 125.707
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.0120765
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00424781
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0105395
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.00976096
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.0374778
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.113858
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0895527
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0553811
  42. rsi : 0.528708
  43. adx : 0.352342
  44. kc_percentage : 0.6753
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0469335
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.189965
  47. volume_ema1 : 200419.10036967
  48. volume_ema2 : 247420.54606495
  49. chop : 62.5448
  50. regime : bear_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 123.203
  54. ema21 : 122.772
  55. ema50 : 123.225
  56. ema100 : 124.487
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.0103636
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00351056
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00367993
  60. price_ema100_diff : -6.3269E-5
  61. all_emas_in_trend : False
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0603744
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0163988
  65. ema_slope_50 : -0.0213147
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.0332044
  67. rsi : 0.638152
  68. adx : 0.188736
  69. kc_percentage : 1.04653
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0249624
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.26765
  72. volume_ema1 : 78256.560595707
  73. volume_ema2 : 106856.89694037
  74. chop : 45.2029
  75. regime : range_medium
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    66614.7
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00894067
  81. 5m_price:
    66019.2
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.786517
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    67064.4
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0155855
  86. 15m_price:
    66019.2
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.225512
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    68279.9
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0331106
  91. 1H_price:
    66019.2
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.157048
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-09 13:00:00
                        [1] => 139.75
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-10 08:00:00
                        [1] => 131.24
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-10 10:00:00
                        [1] => 139.38
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-10 16:00:00
                        [1] => 131.85
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-11 09:00:00
                        [1] => 135.48
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-11 15:00:00
                        [1] => 124.2
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-11 20:00:00
                        [1] => 128.12
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-12 00:00:00
                        [1] => 124.9
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-12 06:00:00
                        [1] => 128.95
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-12 11:00:00
                        [1] => 120.78
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.5827840248158
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.9392283490644
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 8
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.7643649610863
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-11 20:30:00
                        [1] => 128.12
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-11 21:15:00
                        [1] => 126.02
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-12 00:15:00
                        [1] => 124.9
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-12 03:30:00
                        [1] => 125.75
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-12 06:00:00
                        [1] => 128.95
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-12 09:30:00
                        [1] => 128.61
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-12 11:30:00
                        [1] => 120.78
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-12 12:30:00
                        [1] => 124.16
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-12 14:00:00
                        [1] => 121.04
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-12 14:45:00
                        [1] => 124.7
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.29671210906175
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.7181097157964
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.0237937871778
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 1
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-12 08:25:00
                        [1] => 126.86
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-12 09:00:00
                        [1] => 128.59
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-12 09:30:00
                        [1] => 128.61
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-12 10:10:00
                        [1] => 124.55
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-12 11:30:00
                        [1] => 120.78
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-12 12:05:00
                        [1] => 120.86
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-12 12:35:00
                        [1] => 124.16
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-12 13:25:00
                        [1] => 121.31
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-12 14:10:00
                        [1] => 121.04
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-12 14:45:00
                        [1] => 124.7
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.29671210906175
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.7181097157964
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.0237937871778
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.30%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.72%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.02%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
2.9177
2.32%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.2753
1.04%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-12 08:25:00 126.86 ↓ Low
2026-02-12 09:00:00 128.59 ↑ High
2026-02-12 09:30:00 128.61 ↑ High
2026-02-12 10:10:00 124.55 ↓ Low
2026-02-12 11:30:00 120.78 ↓ Low
2026-02-12 12:05:00 120.86 ↓ Low
2026-02-12 12:35:00 124.16 ↑ High
2026-02-12 13:25:00 121.31 ↓ Low
2026-02-12 14:10:00 121.04 ↓ Low
2026-02-12 14:45:00 124.7 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.30%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.72%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.02%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
3.2577
2.59%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.2753
1.04%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-11 20:30:00 128.12 ↑ High
2026-02-11 21:15:00 126.02 ↓ Low
2026-02-12 00:15:00 124.9 ↓ Low
2026-02-12 03:30:00 125.75 ↓ Low
2026-02-12 06:00:00 128.95 ↑ High
2026-02-12 09:30:00 128.61 ↑ High
2026-02-12 11:30:00 120.78 ↓ Low
2026-02-12 12:30:00 124.16 ↑ High
2026-02-12 14:00:00 121.04 ↓ Low
2026-02-12 14:45:00 124.7 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-3.58%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.94%
Bars Since Swing High
8 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
6.76%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
14.0577
11.18%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.2753
1.04%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-09 13:00:00 139.75 ↑ High
2026-02-10 08:00:00 131.24 ↓ Low
2026-02-10 10:00:00 139.38 ↑ High
2026-02-10 16:00:00 131.85 ↓ Low
2026-02-11 09:00:00 135.48 ↑ High
2026-02-11 15:00:00 124.2 ↓ Low
2026-02-11 20:00:00 128.12 ↑ High
2026-02-12 00:00:00 124.9 ↓ Low
2026-02-12 06:00:00 128.95 ↑ High
2026-02-12 11:00:00 120.78 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
12 Feb 2026
14:49:39
13 Feb 2026
04:45:00
13 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
124.48 125.6923 122.0553 2 132.81
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 124.48
  • Stop Loss: 125.6923
  • Take Profit: 122.0553

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 125.6923 - 124.48 = 1.2123

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 124.48 - 122.0553 = 2.4247

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.4247 / 1.2123 = 2.0001

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
821.4263 100 6.5989 8.21
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 1.2123

Taille de position = 8 / 1.2123 = 6.6

Taille de position USD = 6.6 x 124.48 = 821.57

Donc, tu peux acheter 6.6 avec un stoploss a 125.6923

Avec un position size USD de 821.57$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 6.6 x 1.2123 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 6.6 x 2.4247 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 6.6
  • Taille de position USD 821.57
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0001

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.95 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.97 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.97
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.0283 % 105.59 % 25

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 2.12
            [max_drawdown] => 0.31
            [rr_ratio] => 6.84
            [high] => 124.79000000
            [low] => 122.36000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.7
            [mae_pct] => 0.25
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 6.84
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-02-12T14:49:39-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-12T16:49:39-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 2.12
            [max_drawdown] => 0.45999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 4.61
            [high] => 124.94000000
            [low] => 122.36000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.7
            [mae_pct] => 0.37
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 4.61
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-02-12T14:49:39-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-12T21:49:39-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 125.95000000
            [high_after] => 124.94000000
            [low_before] => 120.78000000
            [low_after] => 122.36000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)