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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 12 Feb 2026 at 20:49:25

Take profit at 123.7121 (0.78 %) and Stop Loss at 125.1639 (0.39 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 12 Feb 2026 at 20:49:25

With 16.5309 MSTR at 124.68$ per unit.

Position size of 2061.0682 $

Take profit at 123.7121 (0.78 %) and Stop Loss at 125.1639 (0.39 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 90
ML Pullback Score: 7.41
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.78
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.78
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.77
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : bull_low_confirmed
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.697351

15m : -0.088423

1H : -0.067245

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.06
  4. atr: 0.322628819
Details
  1. score: 1.06
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 123.946
  4. ema21 : 124.842
  5. ema50 : 127.157
  6. ema100 : 129.791
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00592156
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00718277
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0182016
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0393823
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.236929
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.18364
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.145874
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.108685
  17. rsi : 0.473747
  18. adx : 0.271891
  19. kc_percentage : 0.489935
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0629614
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.560763
  22. volume_ema1 : 242776.1449615
  23. volume_ema2 : 552723.118954
  24. chop : 47.6559
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 124.041
  28. ema21 : 123.863
  29. ema50 : 124.209
  30. ema100 : 124.98
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0051445
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00143791
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00278574
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00240048
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0194709
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.0167915
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0103327
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0185011
  41. rsi : 0.569804
  42. adx : 0.12746
  43. kc_percentage : 0.781322
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0231439
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.928467
  46. volume_ema1 : 9602.2018583756
  47. volume_ema2 : 134236.18957161
  48. chop : 70.9852
  49. regime : range_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 124.17
  52. ema21 : 123.963
  53. ema50 : 123.816
  54. ema100 : 123.595
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00410422
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00166791
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00118768
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00877126
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0406328
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0123552
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0063027
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.0062694
  65. rsi : 0.636054
  66. adx : 0.182232
  67. kc_percentage : 1.05646
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0102182
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.761555
  70. volume_ema1 : 4122.6822821351
  71. volume_ema2 : 17289.886781721
  72. chop : 31.6844
  73. regime : bull_low_confirmed
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    66001.3
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00765022
  78. 5m_price: 
    66506.3
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.697351
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    66680.1
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00260795
  83. 15m_price: 
    66506.3
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.088423
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    68103.3
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0234506
  88. 1H_price: 
    66506.3
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.067245
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-10 08:00:00
                    [1] => 131.24
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-10 10:00:00
                    [1] => 139.38
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-10 16:00:00
                    [1] => 131.85
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-11 09:00:00
                    [1] => 135.48
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-11 15:00:00
                    [1] => 124.2
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-11 20:00:00
                    [1] => 128.12
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-12 00:00:00
                    [1] => 124.9
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-12 06:00:00
                    [1] => 128.95
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-12 11:00:00
                    [1] => 120.78
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-12 20:00:00
                    [1] => 124.94
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.024011525532256
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.4194403046862
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.4442788541149
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 1
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-12 06:00:00
                    [1] => 128.95
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-12 09:30:00
                    [1] => 128.61
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-12 11:30:00
                    [1] => 120.78
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-12 12:30:00
                    [1] => 124.16
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-12 14:00:00
                    [1] => 121.04
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-12 14:45:00
                    [1] => 124.79
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-12 16:00:00
                    [1] => 122.36
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-12 18:15:00
                    [1] => 124.61
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-12 20:00:00
                    [1] => 122.97
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-12 20:45:00
                    [1] => 124.94
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.024011525532256
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.5776205578596
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.6020167520533
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-12 15:40:00
                    [1] => 123.94
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-12 16:05:00
                    [1] => 122.36
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-12 16:50:00
                    [1] => 124.25
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-12 17:15:00
                    [1] => 123.24
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-12 17:45:00
                    [1] => 124.6
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-12 18:25:00
                    [1] => 124.61
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-12 18:40:00
                    [1] => 123.69
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-12 19:00:00
                    [1] => 124.43
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-12 20:00:00
                    [1] => 122.97
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-12 20:45:00
                    [1] => 124.94
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.024011525532256
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.5776205578596
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.6020167520533
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.02%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.58%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
9 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.60%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.2239
0.18%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.3521
1.09%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-12 15:40:00 123.94 ↑ High
2026-02-12 16:05:00 122.36 ↓ Low
2026-02-12 16:50:00 124.25 ↑ High
2026-02-12 17:15:00 123.24 ↓ Low
2026-02-12 17:45:00 124.6 ↑ High
2026-02-12 18:25:00 124.61 ↑ High
2026-02-12 18:40:00 123.69 ↓ Low
2026-02-12 19:00:00 124.43 ↑ High
2026-02-12 20:00:00 122.97 ↓ Low
2026-02-12 20:45:00 124.94 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.02%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.58%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.60%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
3.7861
3.02%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.9321
2.37%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-12 06:00:00 128.95 ↑ High
2026-02-12 09:30:00 128.61 ↑ High
2026-02-12 11:30:00 120.78 ↓ Low
2026-02-12 12:30:00 124.16 ↑ High
2026-02-12 14:00:00 121.04 ↓ Low
2026-02-12 14:45:00 124.79 ↑ High
2026-02-12 16:00:00 122.36 ↓ Low
2026-02-12 18:15:00 124.61 ↑ High
2026-02-12 20:00:00 122.97 ↓ Low
2026-02-12 20:45:00 124.94 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.02%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.42%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
9 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.44%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
1

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
14.2161
11.36%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.9321
2.37%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-10 08:00:00 131.24 ↓ Low
2026-02-10 10:00:00 139.38 ↑ High
2026-02-10 16:00:00 131.85 ↓ Low
2026-02-11 09:00:00 135.48 ↑ High
2026-02-11 15:00:00 124.2 ↓ Low
2026-02-11 20:00:00 128.12 ↑ High
2026-02-12 00:00:00 124.9 ↓ Low
2026-02-12 06:00:00 128.95 ↑ High
2026-02-12 11:00:00 120.78 ↓ Low
2026-02-12 20:00:00 124.94 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
12 Feb 2026
20:49:25		 12 Feb 2026
23:45:00		 2 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
124.68 125.1639 123.7121 2 133.07
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 124.68
  • Stop Loss: 125.1639
  • Take Profit: 123.7121

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 125.1639 - 124.68 = 0.48389999999999

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 124.68 - 123.7121 = 0.9679

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.9679 / 0.48389999999999 = 2.0002

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
2061.0682 100 16.5309 20.61
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.48389999999999

Taille de position = 8 / 0.48389999999999 = 16.53

Taille de position USD = 16.53 x 124.68 = 2060.96

Donc, tu peux acheter 16.53 avec un stoploss a 125.1639

Avec un position size USD de 2060.96$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 16.53 x 0.48389999999999 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 16.53 x 0.9679 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 16.53
  • Taille de position USD 2060.96
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0002

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.78 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.39 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.78
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.1925 % 49.6 % 8

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 123.7122
            [stop_loss] => 125.1639
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-12 23:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 123.47025
            [stop_loss] => 125.1639
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-13 00:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 123.2283
            [stop_loss] => 125.1639
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-13 00:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 122.98635
            [stop_loss] => 125.1639
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-13 01:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 122.7444
            [stop_loss] => 125.1639
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-13 01:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 122.50245
            [stop_loss] => 125.1639
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-13 01:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.45
            [max_drawdown] => 0.23999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 1.88
            [high] => 124.92000000
            [low] => 124.23000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.36
            [mae_pct] => 0.19
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.88
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-02-12T20:49:25-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-12T22:49:25-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 2.29
            [max_drawdown] => 0.23999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 9.54
            [high] => 124.92000000
            [low] => 122.39000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.84
            [mae_pct] => 0.19
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 9.54
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-02-12T20:49:25-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-13T03:49:25-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 124.94000000
            [high_after] => 124.92000000
            [low_before] => 122.97000000
            [low_after] => 122.39000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)