Short Trade on RIVER 14 Feb 2026 at 13:21:01
Take profit at 13.5538 (3.79 %) and Stop Loss at 14.3536 (1.89 %)
Short Trade on RIVER 14 Feb 2026 at 13:21:01
Take profit at 13.5538 (3.79 %) and Stop Loss at 14.3536 (1.89 %)
Position size of 422.6879 $
Take profit at 13.5538 (3.79 %) and Stop Loss at 14.3536 (1.89 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.69 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.56 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.61 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bull_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bull_high |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : -0.002545 15m : -0.037757 1H : 0.042471 |
0 |
Indicators:
69703.8
0.00134015
69797.3
-0.002545
69398.7
0.00574311
69797.3
-0.037757
68298.2
0.0219486
69797.3
0.042471
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-10 11:00:00
[1] => 19.082
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-10 19:00:00
[1] => 16.439
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-11 04:00:00
[1] => 21.38
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-11 17:00:00
[1] => 17.625
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-11 19:00:00
[1] => 15.075
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-12 17:00:00
[1] => 24.108
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-14 05:00:00
[1] => 13.123
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-14 11:00:00
[1] => 12.853
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -41.488302638128
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 9.748696802303
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 44
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.100676884774
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-13 19:30:00
[1] => 18.423
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-14 00:00:00
[1] => 13.68
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-14 02:30:00
[1] => 15.112
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-14 03:45:00
[1] => 13.891
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-14 05:30:00
[1] => 13.123
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-14 06:45:00
[1] => 14.481
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-14 07:15:00
[1] => 13.377
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-14 09:00:00
[1] => 14.307
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-14 11:15:00
[1] => 12.853
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-14 13:15:00
[1] => 14.16
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.38135593220339
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 9.748696802303
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 10.168832179258
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-14 06:55:00
[1] => 14.481
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-14 07:15:00
[1] => 13.377
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-14 08:00:00
[1] => 13.554
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-14 09:00:00
[1] => 14.307
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-14 09:50:00
[1] => 13.749
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-14 10:00:00
[1] => 14.156
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-14 10:55:00
[1] => 13.907
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-14 11:15:00
[1] => 12.853
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-14 11:30:00
[1] => 13.446
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-14 13:20:00
[1] => 14.16
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.38135593220339
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 9.748696802303
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 25
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.310129406515
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-14 06:55:00 | 14.481 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-14 07:15:00 | 13.377 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-14 08:00:00 | 13.554 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-14 09:00:00 | 14.307 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-14 09:50:00 | 13.749 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-14 10:00:00 | 14.156 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-14 10:55:00 | 13.907 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-14 11:15:00 | 12.853 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-14 11:30:00 | 13.446 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-14 13:20:00 | 14.16 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-13 19:30:00 | 18.423 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-14 00:00:00 | 13.68 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-14 02:30:00 | 15.112 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-14 03:45:00 | 13.891 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-14 05:30:00 | 13.123 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-14 06:45:00 | 14.481 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-14 07:15:00 | 13.377 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-14 09:00:00 | 14.307 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-14 11:15:00 | 12.853 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-14 13:15:00 | 14.16 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-10 11:00:00 | 19.082 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-10 19:00:00 | 16.439 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-11 04:00:00 | 21.38 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-11 17:00:00 | 17.625 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-11 19:00:00 | 15.075 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-12 17:00:00 | 24.108 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-14 05:00:00 | 13.123 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-14 11:00:00 | 12.853 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb 2026 13:21:01 |
14 Feb 2026 16:05:00 |
2 hours |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.087 | 14.3536 | 13.5538 | 2 | 10.808 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 14.3536 - 14.087 = 0.2666
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 14.087 - 13.5538 = 0.5332
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.5332 / 0.2666 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 422.6879 | 100 | 30.0055 | 4.23 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.2666 = 30.01
Taille de position USD = 30.01 x 14.087 = 422.75
Donc, tu peux acheter 30.01 avec un stoploss a 14.3536
Avec un position size USD de 422.75$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 30.01 x 0.2666 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 30.01 x 0.5332 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.79 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.89 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -1.89 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.2512 % | 171.79 % | 14 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 13.5538
[entry_price] => 14.087
[stop_loss] => 14.38026
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-02-14 16:05:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 13.5538
[entry_price] => 14.087
[stop_loss] => 14.40692
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-02-14 16:05:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 13.5538
[entry_price] => 14.087
[stop_loss] => 14.43358
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-02-14 16:05:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 13.5538
[entry_price] => 14.087
[stop_loss] => 14.4869
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-02-14 16:05:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.507
[max_drawdown] => 0.218
[rr_ratio] => 2.33
[high] => 14.30500000
[low] => 13.58000000
[mfe_pct] => 3.6
[mae_pct] => 1.55
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.33
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-02-14T13:21:01-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-02-14T15:21:01-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.959
[max_drawdown] => 1.272
[rr_ratio] => 0.75
[high] => 15.35900000
[low] => 13.12800000
[mfe_pct] => 6.81
[mae_pct] => 9.03
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.75
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-02-14T13:21:01-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-02-14T20:21:01-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 14.16000000
[high_after] => 15.35900000
[low_before] => 12.85300000
[low_after] => 13.12800000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)