Short Trade on BTC 15 Feb 2026 at 23:25:37
Take profit at 68430.5329 (0.43 %) and Stop Loss at 68871.1835 (0.21 %)
Short Trade on BTC 15 Feb 2026 at 23:25:37
Take profit at 68430.5329 (0.43 %) and Stop Loss at 68871.1835 (0.21 %)
Position size of 3743.0635 $
Take profit at 68430.5329 (0.43 %) and Stop Loss at 68871.1835 (0.21 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.81 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.81 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.66 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : range_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 1 15m : -0.126714 1H : -0.03532 |
0 |
Indicators:
68545.8
0.00260394
68724.3
1
69009.7
-0.0043606
68708.8
-0.126714
68681.9
0.000616302
68724.3
-0.03532
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-12 22:00:00
[1] => 66776.5
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-13 11:00:00
[1] => 69450
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-14 01:00:00
[1] => 68695.8
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-14 06:00:00
[1] => 70564.2
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-14 16:00:00
[1] => 70229.4
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-14 22:00:00
[1] => 69216.8
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-15 03:00:00
[1] => 70937.8
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-15 14:00:00
[1] => 68055.8
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-15 17:00:00
[1] => 69064.1
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-15 22:00:00
[1] => 68121.3
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.45465010041396
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.92305930744129
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.3840017733073
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-15 06:00:00
[1] => 70520
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-15 08:45:00
[1] => 68738
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-15 10:00:00
[1] => 69227.7
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-15 11:00:00
[1] => 68751.8
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-15 14:00:00
[1] => 68055.8
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-15 17:30:00
[1] => 69064.1
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-15 18:00:00
[1] => 68294.5
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-15 19:15:00
[1] => 69035.3
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-15 22:30:00
[1] => 68121.3
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-15 23:15:00
[1] => 68774.8
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.035914317453482
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.92305930744129
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.95931815746323
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-15 17:30:00
[1] => 69064.1
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-15 18:05:00
[1] => 68294.5
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-15 19:15:00
[1] => 69035.3
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-15 19:45:00
[1] => 68667
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-15 20:10:00
[1] => 69018.1
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-15 20:40:00
[1] => 68420.1
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-15 21:05:00
[1] => 68705.5
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-15 21:55:00
[1] => 68215
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-15 22:30:00
[1] => 68121.3
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-15 23:25:00
[1] => 68774.8
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.035914317453482
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.92305930744129
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 11
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.95931815746323
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-15 17:30:00 | 69064.1 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-15 18:05:00 | 68294.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-15 19:15:00 | 69035.3 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-15 19:45:00 | 68667 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-15 20:10:00 | 69018.1 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-15 20:40:00 | 68420.1 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-15 21:05:00 | 68705.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-15 21:55:00 | 68215 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-15 22:30:00 | 68121.3 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-15 23:25:00 | 68774.8 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-15 06:00:00 | 70520 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-15 08:45:00 | 68738 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-15 10:00:00 | 69227.7 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-15 11:00:00 | 68751.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-15 14:00:00 | 68055.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-15 17:30:00 | 69064.1 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-15 18:00:00 | 68294.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-15 19:15:00 | 69035.3 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-15 22:30:00 | 68121.3 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-15 23:15:00 | 68774.8 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-12 22:00:00 | 66776.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-13 11:00:00 | 69450 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-14 01:00:00 | 68695.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-14 06:00:00 | 70564.2 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-14 16:00:00 | 70229.4 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-14 22:00:00 | 69216.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-15 03:00:00 | 70937.8 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-15 14:00:00 | 68055.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-15 17:00:00 | 69064.1 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-15 22:00:00 | 68121.3 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb 2026 23:25:37 |
16 Feb 2026 00:10:00 |
44 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 68724.3 | 68871.1835 | 68430.5329 | 2 | 68024.7 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 68871.1835 - 68724.3 = 146.8835
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 68724.3 - 68430.5329 = 293.7671
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 293.7671 / 146.8835 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3743.0635 | 100 | 0.05446 | 37.43 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 146.8835 = 0.05
Taille de position USD = 0.05 x 68724.3 = 3436.22
Donc, tu peux acheter 0.05 avec un stoploss a 68871.1835
Avec un position size USD de 3436.22$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 0.05 x 146.8835 = 7.34
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.34$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 0.05 x 293.7671 = 14.69
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 14.69$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.43 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.21 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.43 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2135 % | 99.91 % | 3 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 68430.533
[stop_loss] => 68871.1835
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-02-16 00:10:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 68357.09125
[stop_loss] => 68871.1835
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-02-16 00:20:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 68283.6495
[stop_loss] => 68871.1835
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-02-16 00:35:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 68210.20775
[stop_loss] => 68871.1835
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2026-02-16 01:20:00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 68136.766
[stop_loss] => 68871.1835
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2026-02-16 04:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 68063.32425
[stop_loss] => 68871.1835
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2026-02-16 04:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 67989.8825
[stop_loss] => 68871.1835
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2026-02-16 04:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 67916.44075
[stop_loss] => 68871.1835
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2026-02-16 04:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 67842.999
[stop_loss] => 68871.1835
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2026-02-16 04:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 67769.55725
[stop_loss] => 68871.1835
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2026-02-16 04:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 67696.1155
[stop_loss] => 68871.1835
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2026-02-16 04:00:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 526.3
[max_drawdown] => 146.7
[rr_ratio] => 3.59
[high] => 68871.00000000
[low] => 68198.00000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.77
[mae_pct] => 0.21
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.59
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-02-15T23:25:37-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-02-16T01:25:37-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 526.3
[max_drawdown] => 299.7
[rr_ratio] => 1.76
[high] => 69024.00000000
[low] => 68198.00000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.77
[mae_pct] => 0.44
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.76
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-02-15T23:25:37-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-02-16T06:25:37-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 69018.10000000
[high_after] => 69024.00000000
[low_before] => 68121.30000000
[low_after] => 68198.00000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)