Short Trade on ETH 16 Feb 2026 at 02:25:14
Take profit at 1963.6262 (0.5 %) and Stop Loss at 1978.4369 (0.25 %)
Short Trade on ETH 16 Feb 2026 at 02:25:14
Take profit at 1963.6262 (0.5 %) and Stop Loss at 1978.4369 (0.25 %)
Position size of 3197.9638 $
Take profit at 1963.6262 (0.5 %) and Stop Loss at 1978.4369 (0.25 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.58 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.74 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.66 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.895333 15m : 0.129699 1H : -0.103045 |
0 |
Indicators:
68492
0.00118968
68573.5
0.895333
69005.6
-0.00658771
68551.1
0.129699
68579
-8.14509E-5
68573.5
-0.103045
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-12 11:00:00
[1] => 1895.31
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-13 01:00:00
[1] => 1923.64
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-13 11:00:00
[1] => 2072
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-14 06:00:00
[1] => 2107.11
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-14 16:00:00
[1] => 2098.24
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-14 22:00:00
[1] => 2035.56
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-15 02:00:00
[1] => 2102.7
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-15 14:00:00
[1] => 1926.8
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-15 20:00:00
[1] => 1980.59
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-16 02:00:00
[1] => 1978.71
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.28553956870891
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.4008719119784
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.095011396313754
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-15 09:00:00
[1] => 1992
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-15 10:00:00
[1] => 2014.7
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-15 11:00:00
[1] => 1993.03
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-15 14:30:00
[1] => 1926.8
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-15 18:00:00
[1] => 1943.04
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-15 20:00:00
[1] => 1980.59
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-15 22:15:00
[1] => 1947.5
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-16 00:00:00
[1] => 1973.6
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-16 00:30:00
[1] => 1952.09
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-16 02:15:00
[1] => 1978.71
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.28553956870891
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.0742332576879
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.3636666342228
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-15 20:10:00
[1] => 1980.59
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-15 20:35:00
[1] => 1955.95
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-15 21:00:00
[1] => 1966.29
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-15 21:45:00
[1] => 1961.18
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-15 22:25:00
[1] => 1947.5
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-15 23:20:00
[1] => 1970.75
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-16 00:00:00
[1] => 1973.6
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-16 00:35:00
[1] => 1952.09
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-16 01:20:00
[1] => 1955.01
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-16 02:25:00
[1] => 1978.71
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.28553956870891
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.92326893468575
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 13
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.2122700139641
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-15 20:10:00 | 1980.59 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-15 20:35:00 | 1955.95 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-15 21:00:00 | 1966.29 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-15 21:45:00 | 1961.18 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-15 22:25:00 | 1947.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-15 23:20:00 | 1970.75 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-16 00:00:00 | 1973.6 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-16 00:35:00 | 1952.09 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-16 01:20:00 | 1955.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-16 02:25:00 | 1978.71 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-15 09:00:00 | 1992 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-15 10:00:00 | 2014.7 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-15 11:00:00 | 1993.03 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-15 14:30:00 | 1926.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-15 18:00:00 | 1943.04 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-15 20:00:00 | 1980.59 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-15 22:15:00 | 1947.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-16 00:00:00 | 1973.6 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-16 00:30:00 | 1952.09 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-16 02:15:00 | 1978.71 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-12 11:00:00 | 1895.31 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-13 01:00:00 | 1923.64 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-13 11:00:00 | 2072 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-14 06:00:00 | 2107.11 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-14 16:00:00 | 2098.24 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-14 22:00:00 | 2035.56 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-15 02:00:00 | 2102.7 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-15 14:00:00 | 1926.8 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-15 20:00:00 | 1980.59 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-16 02:00:00 | 1978.71 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb 2026 02:25:14 |
16 Feb 2026 04:00:00 |
1 hour |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1973.5 | 1978.4369 | 1963.6262 | 2 | 2006.51 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1978.4369 - 1973.5 = 4.9368999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1973.5 - 1963.6262 = 9.8738000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 9.8738000000001 / 4.9368999999999 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3197.9638 | 100 | 1.6205 | 31.98 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 4.9368999999999 = 1.62
Taille de position USD = 1.62 x 1973.5 = 3197.07
Donc, tu peux acheter 1.62 avec un stoploss a 1978.4369
Avec un position size USD de 3197.07$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1.62 x 4.9368999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1.62 x 9.8738000000001 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.5 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.25 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.25 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.7646 % | 305.6 % | 12 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1963.6262
[entry_price] => 1973.5
[stop_loss] => 1978.93059
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-02-16 04:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1963.6262
[entry_price] => 1973.5
[stop_loss] => 1979.42428
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-02-16 04:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1963.6262
[entry_price] => 1973.5
[stop_loss] => 1979.91797
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-02-16 04:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1963.6262
[entry_price] => 1973.5
[stop_loss] => 1980.90535
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-02-16 04:00:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 9.1400000000001
[max_drawdown] => 15.65
[rr_ratio] => 0.58
[high] => 1989.15000000
[low] => 1964.36000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.46
[mae_pct] => 0.79
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.58
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-02-16T02:25:14-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-02-16T04:25:14-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 20.3
[max_drawdown] => 49.6
[rr_ratio] => 0.41
[high] => 2023.10000000
[low] => 1953.20000000
[mfe_pct] => 1.03
[mae_pct] => 2.51
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.41
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-02-16T02:25:14-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-02-16T09:25:14-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 1978.71000000
[high_after] => 2023.10000000
[low_before] => 1948.01000000
[low_after] => 1956.09000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)