Short Trade on XAU 16 Feb 2026 at 02:55:04

Take profit at 4997.8212 (0.24 %) and Stop Loss at 5015.8944 (0.12 %)

Short Trade on XAU

The 16 Feb 2026 at 02:55:04

With 1.3279 XAU at 5009.87$ per unit.

Position size of 6652.7691 $

Take profit at 4997.8212 (0.24 %) and Stop Loss at 5015.8944 (0.12 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -90
ML Pullback Score: 2.68
Prediction Score: 0
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.72
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.69
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.78
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : range_low

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : -0.188781

15m : 0.005298

1H : -0.033972

0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.07
  4. atr: 4.016268468
Details
  1. score: 1.07
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 5005.29
  4. ema21 : 5016.51
  5. ema50 : 5023.67
  6. ema100 : 5027.84
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.000913142
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00223553
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00142626
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.00357416
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.0500842
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.0331911
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0143717
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.00776078
  17. rsi : 0.447144
  18. adx : 0.305962
  19. kc_percentage : 0.408759
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0131347
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.30134
  22. volume_ema1 : 2636674.5505383
  23. volume_ema2 : 2026121.387996
  24. chop : 22.3045
  25. regime : range_low
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 5001.03
  29. ema21 : 5000.41
  30. ema50 : 5009.58
  31. ema100 : 5019.56
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00176569
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000124545
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00183019
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.00193177
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.0203934
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.00305444
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0114689
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.00972675
  42. rsi : 0.576861
  43. adx : 0.422935
  44. kc_percentage : 0.788945
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.00668949
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.30987
  47. volume_ema1 : 438343.96507676
  48. volume_ema2 : 635162.23391837
  49. chop : 40.3614
  50. regime : range_low
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 5004.62
  54. ema21 : 5000.54
  55. ema50 : 4998.37
  56. ema100 : 5003.23
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00104871
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000814806
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.000435159
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.0013266
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0108922
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0102452
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.00437953
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.000399139
  67. rsi : 0.695337
  68. adx : 0.213378
  69. kc_percentage : 1.07349
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.00315465
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.0383939
  72. volume_ema1 : 207343.05466894
  73. volume_ema2 : 215621.62444519
  74. chop : 39.2853
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    68518.3
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.000131194
  81. 5m_price:
    68509.4
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.188781
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    68993.4
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00637417
  86. 15m_price:
    68553.7
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.005298
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    68577.8
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.000997648
  91. 1H_price:
    68509.4
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.033972
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-13 14:00:00
                        [1] => 5045.07
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-13 20:00:00
                        [1] => 5041.87
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-14 02:00:00
                        [1] => 5030.83
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-14 06:00:00
                        [1] => 5039
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-14 12:00:00
                        [1] => 5033.55
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-14 14:00:00
                        [1] => 5038.28
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-14 18:00:00
                        [1] => 5032.61
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-15 03:00:00
                        [1] => 5046.32
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-15 18:00:00
                        [1] => 5042.38
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-16 00:00:00
                        [1] => 4970
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.64057052423657
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.80643863179074
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 8
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.456338028169
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-15 05:15:00
                        [1] => 5038.21
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-15 06:15:00
                        [1] => 5041.53
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-15 09:15:00
                        [1] => 5035.3
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-15 12:00:00
                        [1] => 5040.63
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-15 14:30:00
                        [1] => 5023.15
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-15 18:00:00
                        [1] => 5042.38
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-15 19:00:00
                        [1] => 5005.72
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-15 20:15:00
                        [1] => 5032.13
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-16 00:00:00
                        [1] => 4970
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-16 02:45:00
                        [1] => 5012.46
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.047481675664247
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.80643863179074
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 11
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.85432595573441
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-15 20:20:00
                        [1] => 5032.13
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-15 21:00:00
                        [1] => 5031.59
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-15 22:05:00
                        [1] => 4989.89
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-15 23:10:00
                        [1] => 4973.05
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-16 00:00:00
                        [1] => 4970
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-16 00:25:00
                        [1] => 4992.84
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-16 01:20:00
                        [1] => 4989.1
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-16 01:40:00
                        [1] => 5006.39
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-16 02:05:00
                        [1] => 4992.28
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-16 02:45:00
                        [1] => 5012.46
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.047481675664247
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.35655051399361
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.40422412204444
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.05%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.36%
Bars Since Swing High
2 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
10 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.40%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
16.2356
0.32%
TP to Pivot Distance
27.8212
0.56%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-15 20:20:00 5032.13 ↑ High
2026-02-15 21:00:00 5031.59 ↑ High
2026-02-15 22:05:00 4989.89 ↓ Low
2026-02-15 23:10:00 4973.05 ↓ Low
2026-02-16 00:00:00 4970 ↓ Low
2026-02-16 00:25:00 4992.84 ↑ High
2026-02-16 01:20:00 4989.1 ↓ Low
2026-02-16 01:40:00 5006.39 ↑ High
2026-02-16 02:05:00 4992.28 ↓ Low
2026-02-16 02:45:00 5012.46 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.05%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.81%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
11 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.85%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
26.4856
0.53%
TP to Pivot Distance
27.8212
0.56%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-15 05:15:00 5038.21 ↓ Low
2026-02-15 06:15:00 5041.53 ↑ High
2026-02-15 09:15:00 5035.3 ↓ Low
2026-02-15 12:00:00 5040.63 ↑ High
2026-02-15 14:30:00 5023.15 ↓ Low
2026-02-15 18:00:00 5042.38 ↑ High
2026-02-15 19:00:00 5005.72 ↓ Low
2026-02-15 20:15:00 5032.13 ↑ High
2026-02-16 00:00:00 4970 ↓ Low
2026-02-16 02:45:00 5012.46 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.64%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.81%
Bars Since Swing High
8 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.46%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
30.4256
0.61%
TP to Pivot Distance
27.8212
0.56%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-13 14:00:00 5045.07 ↑ High
2026-02-13 20:00:00 5041.87 ↑ High
2026-02-14 02:00:00 5030.83 ↓ Low
2026-02-14 06:00:00 5039 ↑ High
2026-02-14 12:00:00 5033.55 ↓ Low
2026-02-14 14:00:00 5038.28 ↑ High
2026-02-14 18:00:00 5032.61 ↓ Low
2026-02-15 03:00:00 5046.32 ↑ High
2026-02-15 18:00:00 5042.38 ↑ High
2026-02-16 00:00:00 4970 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
16 Feb 2026
02:55:04
16 Feb 2026
04:00:00
1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
5009.87 5015.8944 4997.8212 2 5178.5
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 5009.87
  • Stop Loss: 5015.8944
  • Take Profit: 4997.8212

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 5015.8944 - 5009.87 = 6.0244000000002

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 5009.87 - 4997.8212 = 12.0488

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 12.0488 / 6.0244000000002 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
6652.7691 100 1.3279 66.53
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 6.0244000000002

Taille de position = 8 / 6.0244000000002 = 1.33

Taille de position USD = 1.33 x 5009.87 = 6663.13

Donc, tu peux acheter 1.33 avec un stoploss a 5015.8944

Avec un position size USD de 6663.13$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1.33 x 6.0244000000002 = 8.01

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.01$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1.33 x 12.0488 = 16.02

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.02$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 1.33
  • Taille de position USD 6663.13
  • Perte potentielle 8.01
  • Gain potentiel 16.02
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.24 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.12 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.12
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.1469 % 122.11 % 7

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4997.8212
            [entry_price] => 5009.87
            [stop_loss] => 5016.49684
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-16 04:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4997.8212
            [entry_price] => 5009.87
            [stop_loss] => 5017.09928
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-16 04:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4997.8212
            [entry_price] => 5009.87
            [stop_loss] => 5017.70172
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-16 04:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4997.8212
            [entry_price] => 5009.87
            [stop_loss] => 5018.9066
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-16 07:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 10.13
            [max_drawdown] => 8.6400000000003
            [rr_ratio] => 1.17
            [high] => 5018.51000000
            [low] => 4999.74000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.2
            [mae_pct] => 0.17
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.17
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-02-16T02:55:04-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-16T04:55:04-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 25.24
            [max_drawdown] => 8.6900000000005
            [rr_ratio] => 2.9
            [high] => 5018.56000000
            [low] => 4984.63000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.5
            [mae_pct] => 0.17
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.9
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-02-16T02:55:04-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-16T09:55:04-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 5012.46000000
            [high_after] => 5018.56000000
            [low_before] => 4970.00000000
            [low_after] => 4990.93000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)