Short Trade on XMR 16 Feb 2026 at 05:09:14
Take profit at 324.0738 (0.96 %) and Stop Loss at 328.8081 (0.48 %)
Short Trade on XMR 16 Feb 2026 at 05:09:14
Take profit at 324.0738 (0.96 %) and Stop Loss at 328.8081 (0.48 %)
Position size of 1658.8608 $
Take profit at 324.0738 (0.96 %) and Stop Loss at 328.8081 (0.48 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.75 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.62 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.7 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_moderate rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bull_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.228614 15m : 0.038598 1H : 0.158752 |
0 |
Indicators:
68625.6
0.00364293
68875.6
0.228614
68989.1
-0.00164632
68875.6
0.038598
68621.3
0.0037051
68875.6
0.158752
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-13 18:00:00
[1] => 349.01
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-13 21:00:00
[1] => 362.41
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-14 03:00:00
[1] => 351.26
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-14 07:00:00
[1] => 358.48
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-14 14:00:00
[1] => 349.26
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-14 16:00:00
[1] => 364.84
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-14 22:00:00
[1] => 344.34
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-15 02:00:00
[1] => 356.13
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-16 02:00:00
[1] => 315.09
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-16 04:00:00
[1] => 329.3
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.62860613422411
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.8528674347012
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.509822590371
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-15 12:00:00
[1] => 340.31
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-15 13:00:00
[1] => 330.69
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-15 14:15:00
[1] => 336.71
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-15 15:15:00
[1] => 332.32
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-15 17:30:00
[1] => 328.18
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-15 19:00:00
[1] => 332.75
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-15 21:45:00
[1] => 317.54
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-15 23:45:00
[1] => 324.99
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-16 02:30:00
[1] => 315.09
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-16 04:45:00
[1] => 329.3
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.62860613422411
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.8528674347012
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.509822590371
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-15 21:45:00
[1] => 317.54
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-15 22:55:00
[1] => 324.48
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-15 23:30:00
[1] => 323.05
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-15 23:55:00
[1] => 324.99
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-16 00:35:00
[1] => 318.5
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-16 01:15:00
[1] => 318.21
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-16 01:30:00
[1] => 320.1
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-16 02:00:00
[1] => 320.03
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-16 02:40:00
[1] => 315.09
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-16 04:45:00
[1] => 329.3
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.62860613422411
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.8528674347012
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 29
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.509822590371
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-15 21:45:00 | 317.54 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-15 22:55:00 | 324.48 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-15 23:30:00 | 323.05 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-15 23:55:00 | 324.99 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-16 00:35:00 | 318.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-16 01:15:00 | 318.21 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-16 01:30:00 | 320.1 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-16 02:00:00 | 320.03 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-16 02:40:00 | 315.09 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-16 04:45:00 | 329.3 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-15 12:00:00 | 340.31 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-15 13:00:00 | 330.69 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-15 14:15:00 | 336.71 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-15 15:15:00 | 332.32 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-15 17:30:00 | 328.18 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-15 19:00:00 | 332.75 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-15 21:45:00 | 317.54 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-15 23:45:00 | 324.99 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-16 02:30:00 | 315.09 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-16 04:45:00 | 329.3 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-13 18:00:00 | 349.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-13 21:00:00 | 362.41 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-14 03:00:00 | 351.26 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-14 07:00:00 | 358.48 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-14 14:00:00 | 349.26 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-14 16:00:00 | 364.84 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-14 22:00:00 | 344.34 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-15 02:00:00 | 356.13 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-16 02:00:00 | 315.09 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-16 04:00:00 | 329.3 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb 2026 05:09:14 |
16 Feb 2026 05:15:00 |
5 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 327.23 | 328.8081 | 324.0738 | 2 | 344.03 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 328.8081 - 327.23 = 1.5781
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 327.23 - 324.0738 = 3.1562
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 3.1562 / 1.5781 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1658.8608 | 100 | 5.0694 | 16.59 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 1.5781 = 5.07
Taille de position USD = 5.07 x 327.23 = 1659.06
Donc, tu peux acheter 5.07 avec un stoploss a 328.8081
Avec un position size USD de 1659.06$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 5.07 x 1.5781 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 5.07 x 3.1562 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.96 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.48 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.48 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5531 % | 114.68 % | 2 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 324.0738
[entry_price] => 327.23
[stop_loss] => 328.96591
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-02-16 05:15:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 324.0738
[entry_price] => 327.23
[stop_loss] => 329.12372
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-02-16 05:20:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 324.0738
[entry_price] => 327.23
[stop_loss] => 329.28153
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-02-16 05:20:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 324.0738
[entry_price] => 327.23
[stop_loss] => 329.59715
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-02-16 05:20:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 2
[max_drawdown] => 3.49
[rr_ratio] => 0.57
[high] => 330.72000000
[low] => 325.23000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.61
[mae_pct] => 1.07
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.57
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-02-16T05:09:14-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-02-16T07:09:14-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 4.29
[max_drawdown] => 6.52
[rr_ratio] => 0.66
[high] => 333.75000000
[low] => 322.94000000
[mfe_pct] => 1.31
[mae_pct] => 1.99
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.66
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-02-16T05:09:14-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-02-16T12:09:14-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 329.30000000
[high_after] => 333.75000000
[low_before] => 315.09000000
[low_after] => 322.94000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)