Short Trade on XMR 16 Feb 2026 at 05:28:39
Take profit at 325.88 (1.04 %) and Stop Loss at 330.995 (0.52 %)
Short Trade on XMR 16 Feb 2026 at 05:28:39
Take profit at 325.88 (1.04 %) and Stop Loss at 330.995 (0.52 %)
Position size of 1545.054 $
Take profit at 325.88 (1.04 %) and Stop Loss at 330.995 (0.52 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.79 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.65 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.53 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bull_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.213846 15m : -0.032757 1H : -0.099906 |
0 |
Indicators:
68631.5
0.00102094
68701.6
0.213846
68970
-0.00153006
68864.5
-0.032757
68617.9
0.00121972
68701.6
-0.099906
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-13 18:00:00
[1] => 349.01
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-13 21:00:00
[1] => 362.41
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-14 03:00:00
[1] => 351.26
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-14 07:00:00
[1] => 358.48
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-14 14:00:00
[1] => 349.26
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-14 16:00:00
[1] => 364.84
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-14 22:00:00
[1] => 344.34
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-15 02:00:00
[1] => 356.13
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-16 02:00:00
[1] => 315.09
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-16 05:00:00
[1] => 329.74
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.03032692424335
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.6177282681139
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.6494652321559
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-15 12:00:00
[1] => 340.31
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-15 13:00:00
[1] => 330.69
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-15 14:15:00
[1] => 336.71
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-15 15:15:00
[1] => 332.32
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-15 17:30:00
[1] => 328.18
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-15 19:00:00
[1] => 332.75
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-15 21:45:00
[1] => 317.54
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-15 23:45:00
[1] => 324.99
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-16 02:30:00
[1] => 315.09
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-16 05:15:00
[1] => 329.74
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.03032692424335
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.6177282681139
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 11
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.6494652321559
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-15 22:55:00
[1] => 324.48
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-15 23:30:00
[1] => 323.05
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-15 23:55:00
[1] => 324.99
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-16 00:35:00
[1] => 318.5
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-16 01:15:00
[1] => 318.21
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-16 01:30:00
[1] => 320.1
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-16 02:00:00
[1] => 320.03
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-16 02:40:00
[1] => 315.09
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-16 04:45:00
[1] => 329.3
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-16 05:20:00
[1] => 329.74
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.03032692424335
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.6177282681139
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 33
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.13361676283025
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-15 22:55:00 | 324.48 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-15 23:30:00 | 323.05 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-15 23:55:00 | 324.99 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-16 00:35:00 | 318.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-16 01:15:00 | 318.21 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-16 01:30:00 | 320.1 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-16 02:00:00 | 320.03 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-16 02:40:00 | 315.09 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-16 04:45:00 | 329.3 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-16 05:20:00 | 329.74 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-15 12:00:00 | 340.31 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-15 13:00:00 | 330.69 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-15 14:15:00 | 336.71 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-15 15:15:00 | 332.32 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-15 17:30:00 | 328.18 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-15 19:00:00 | 332.75 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-15 21:45:00 | 317.54 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-15 23:45:00 | 324.99 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-16 02:30:00 | 315.09 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-16 05:15:00 | 329.74 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-13 18:00:00 | 349.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-13 21:00:00 | 362.41 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-14 03:00:00 | 351.26 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-14 07:00:00 | 358.48 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-14 14:00:00 | 349.26 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-14 16:00:00 | 364.84 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-14 22:00:00 | 344.34 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-15 02:00:00 | 356.13 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-16 02:00:00 | 315.09 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-16 05:00:00 | 329.74 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb 2026 05:28:39 |
16 Feb 2026 06:00:00 |
31 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 329.29 | 330.995 | 325.88 | 2 | 338.07 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 330.995 - 329.29 = 1.705
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 329.29 - 325.88 = 3.41
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 3.41 / 1.705 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1545.054 | 100 | 4.6921 | 15.45 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 1.705 = 4.69
Taille de position USD = 4.69 x 329.29 = 1544.37
Donc, tu peux acheter 4.69 avec un stoploss a 330.995
Avec un position size USD de 1544.37$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 4.69 x 1.705 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 4.69 x 3.41 = 15.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.04 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.52 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 1.04 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1063 % | 20.53 % | 1 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 325.88
[stop_loss] => 330.995
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-02-16 06:00:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 325.0275
[stop_loss] => 330.995
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-02-16 08:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 324.175
[stop_loss] => 330.995
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-02-16 08:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 323.3225
[stop_loss] => 330.995
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2026-02-16 08:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 322.47
[stop_loss] => 330.995
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2026-02-16 08:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 321.6175
[stop_loss] => 330.995
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2026-02-16 08:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 320.765
[stop_loss] => 330.995
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2026-02-16 08:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 319.9125
[stop_loss] => 330.995
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2026-02-16 08:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 319.06
[stop_loss] => 330.995
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2026-02-16 08:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 318.2075
[stop_loss] => 330.995
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2026-02-16 08:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 317.355
[stop_loss] => 330.995
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2026-02-16 08:00:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 4.06
[max_drawdown] => 1.43
[rr_ratio] => 2.84
[high] => 330.72000000
[low] => 325.23000000
[mfe_pct] => 1.23
[mae_pct] => 0.43
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.84
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-02-16T05:28:39-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-02-16T07:28:39-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 6.35
[max_drawdown] => 4.46
[rr_ratio] => 1.42
[high] => 333.75000000
[low] => 322.94000000
[mfe_pct] => 1.93
[mae_pct] => 1.35
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.42
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-02-16T05:28:39-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-02-16T12:28:39-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 329.74000000
[high_after] => 333.75000000
[low_before] => 315.09000000
[low_after] => 322.94000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)