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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 17 Feb 2026 at 11:10:04

Take profit at 127.6831 (2.19 %) and Stop Loss at 131.9685 (1.09 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 17 Feb 2026 at 11:10:04

With 5.6004 MSTR at 130.54$ per unit.

Position size of 731.079 $

Take profit at 127.6831 (2.19 %) and Stop Loss at 131.9685 (1.09 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 2.39
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.67
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.76
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.62
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_high

5m_regime : range_medium
BTC Correlation Score

5m : -0.061251

15m : -0.032736

1H : -0.041881

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.03
  4. atr: 0.9523092466
Details
  1. score: 1.03
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 130.058
  4. ema21 : 131.302
  5. ema50 : 132.497
  6. ema100 : 132.431
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00369957
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00947091
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00902105
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0142806
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.20166
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.14531
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0794503
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0326719
  17. rsi : 0.451351
  18. adx : 0.322209
  19. kc_percentage : 0.400229
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0524876
  21. volume_ema_diff : 1.45024
  22. volume_ema1 : 641376.40542553
  23. volume_ema2 : 261759.95915565
  24. chop : 26.9431
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 128.728
  28. ema21 : 129.39
  29. ema50 : 130.631
  30. ema100 : 131.675
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0140726
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00511755
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00949689
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00862105
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.107723
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0991692
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0733417
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.04926
  41. rsi : 0.550949
  42. adx : 0.300938
  43. kc_percentage : 0.72703
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0406885
  45. volume_ema_diff : 0.629813
  46. volume_ema1 : 232513.56309807
  47. volume_ema2 : 142662.64795653
  48. chop : 27.7227
  49. regime : range_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 128.603
  52. ema21 : 128.46
  53. ema50 : 129.156
  54. ema100 : 130.021
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.0150552
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00111885
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00538974
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00398583
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0246149
  62. ema_slope_21 : -0.0409164
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.0469522
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0366906
  65. rsi : 0.627861
  66. adx : 0.213038
  67. kc_percentage : 1.02866
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0303998
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.294913
  70. volume_ema1 : 57217.371425237
  71. volume_ema2 : 81149.390871459
  72. chop : 39.904
  73. regime : range_medium
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    67774.8
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.000852623
  78. 5m_price: 
    67717.1
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.061251
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    68073.9
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00524179
  83. 15m_price: 
    67717.1
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.032736
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    68462
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0108817
  88. 1H_price: 
    67717.1
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.041881
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-14 16:00:00
                    [1] => 134.15
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-14 22:00:00
                    [1] => 134.46
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-15 00:00:00
                    [1] => 135.98
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-15 08:00:00
                    [1] => 133.77
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-15 18:00:00
                    [1] => 133.83
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-15 19:00:00
                    [1] => 134.61
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-16 08:00:00
                    [1] => 136.67
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-16 10:00:00
                    [1] => 131.16
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-16 17:00:00
                    [1] => 134.75
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-17 10:00:00
                    [1] => 126.04
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.8942486085343
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.8162488099016
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 18
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.9105046017137
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-16 18:45:00
                    [1] => 134.67
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-16 21:00:00
                    [1] => 132.3
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-17 00:30:00
                    [1] => 131.19
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-17 02:00:00
                    [1] => 132.79
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-17 05:45:00
                    [1] => 129.64
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-17 07:00:00
                    [1] => 131.06
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-17 08:00:00
                    [1] => 128.69
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-17 09:30:00
                    [1] => 131.65
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-17 10:30:00
                    [1] => 126.04
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-17 11:00:00
                    [1] => 130.88
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.022921760391199
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.8162488099016
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.8400507775309
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-17 04:05:00
                    [1] => 132.37
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-17 04:20:00
                    [1] => 131.5
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-17 04:55:00
                    [1] => 132.36
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-17 05:55:00
                    [1] => 129.64
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-17 07:05:00
                    [1] => 131.06
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-17 08:00:00
                    [1] => 128.69
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-17 08:25:00
                    [1] => 130.89
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-17 09:35:00
                    [1] => 131.65
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-17 10:30:00
                    [1] => 126.04
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-17 11:10:00
                    [1] => 130.88
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.022921760391199
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.8162488099016
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.8400507775309
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 3

5M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.02%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.82%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
8 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.84%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.4015
0.30%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.6431
1.29%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-17 04:05:00 132.37 ↑ High
2026-02-17 04:20:00 131.5 ↓ Low
2026-02-17 04:55:00 132.36 ↑ High
2026-02-17 05:55:00 129.64 ↓ Low
2026-02-17 07:05:00 131.06 ↑ High
2026-02-17 08:00:00 128.69 ↓ Low
2026-02-17 08:25:00 130.89 ↑ High
2026-02-17 09:35:00 131.65 ↑ High
2026-02-17 10:30:00 126.04 ↓ Low
2026-02-17 11:10:00 130.88 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.02%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.82%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.84%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
2.7015
2.05%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.6431
1.29%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-16 18:45:00 134.67 ↑ High
2026-02-16 21:00:00 132.3 ↓ Low
2026-02-17 00:30:00 131.19 ↓ Low
2026-02-17 02:00:00 132.79 ↑ High
2026-02-17 05:45:00 129.64 ↓ Low
2026-02-17 07:00:00 131.06 ↑ High
2026-02-17 08:00:00 128.69 ↓ Low
2026-02-17 09:30:00 131.65 ↑ High
2026-02-17 10:30:00 126.04 ↓ Low
2026-02-17 11:00:00 130.88 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-2.89%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.82%
Bars Since Swing High
18 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
6.91%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
4.7015
3.56%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.6431
1.29%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-14 16:00:00 134.15 ↓ Low
2026-02-14 22:00:00 134.46 ↓ Low
2026-02-15 00:00:00 135.98 ↑ High
2026-02-15 08:00:00 133.77 ↓ Low
2026-02-15 18:00:00 133.83 ↓ Low
2026-02-15 19:00:00 134.61 ↑ High
2026-02-16 08:00:00 136.67 ↑ High
2026-02-16 10:00:00 131.16 ↓ Low
2026-02-16 17:00:00 134.75 ↑ High
2026-02-17 10:00:00 126.04 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
17 Feb 2026
11:10:04		 17 Feb 2026
13:55:00		 2 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
130.54 131.9685 127.6831 2 129.61
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 130.54
  • Stop Loss: 131.9685
  • Take Profit: 127.6831

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 131.9685 - 130.54 = 1.4285

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 130.54 - 127.6831 = 2.8569

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.8569 / 1.4285 = 1.9999

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
731.079 100 5.6004 7.31
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 1.4285

Taille de position = 8 / 1.4285 = 5.6

Taille de position USD = 5.6 x 130.54 = 731.02

Donc, tu peux acheter 5.6 avec un stoploss a 131.9685

Avec un position size USD de 731.02$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 5.6 x 1.4285 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 5.6 x 2.8569 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 5.6
  • Taille de position USD 731.02
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9999

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.19 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.09 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -1.09
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.264 % 115.51 % 11

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 127.6831
            [entry_price] => 130.54
            [stop_loss] => 132.11135
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-17 13:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 2.54
            [max_drawdown] => 1.39
            [rr_ratio] => 1.83
            [high] => 131.93000000
            [low] => 128.00000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.95
            [mae_pct] => 1.06
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.83
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-02-17T11:10:04-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-17T13:10:04-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 2.54
            [max_drawdown] => 1.65
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [high] => 132.19000000
            [low] => 128.00000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.95
            [mae_pct] => 1.26
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.54
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-02-17T11:10:04-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-17T18:10:04-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 131.65000000
            [high_after] => 132.19000000
            [low_before] => 126.04000000
            [low_after] => 128.00000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)