Short Trade on XAU 17 Feb 2026 at 13:58:08
Take profit at 4878.4805 (0.56 %) and Stop Loss at 4919.9248 (0.28 %)
Short Trade on XAU 17 Feb 2026 at 13:58:08
Take profit at 4878.4805 (0.56 %) and Stop Loss at 4919.9248 (0.28 %)
Position size of 2841.0811 $
Take profit at 4878.4805 (0.56 %) and Stop Loss at 4919.9248 (0.28 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.62 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.43 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.64 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.359766 15m : 0.112087 1H : -0.08808 |
1 |
Indicators:
67588.8
0.00858094
68168.8
0.359766
67954
-0.00160367
67845.1
0.112087
68617.4
-0.00653841
68168.8
-0.08808
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-14 18:00:00
[1] => 5032.61
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-15 03:00:00
[1] => 5046.32
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-15 18:00:00
[1] => 5042.38
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-16 00:00:00
[1] => 4970
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-16 05:00:00
[1] => 5018.56
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-16 10:00:00
[1] => 4972.59
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-16 18:00:00
[1] => 5000.01
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-17 00:00:00
[1] => 4865.08
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-17 07:00:00
[1] => 4946.34
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-17 09:00:00
[1] => 4842.61
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.9010702863127
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.2216552644132
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.1420267169977
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-16 21:15:00
[1] => 4971.77
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-17 00:30:00
[1] => 4865.08
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-17 03:00:00
[1] => 4932.13
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-17 05:00:00
[1] => 4941.99
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-17 05:45:00
[1] => 4911
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-17 07:15:00
[1] => 4946.34
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-17 09:00:00
[1] => 4842.61
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-17 11:00:00
[1] => 4894.85
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-17 12:00:00
[1] => 4852.02
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-17 13:45:00
[1] => 4914
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.24888074888074
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.0253461444924
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.2774061112691
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-17 06:20:00
[1] => 4931.39
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-17 07:15:00
[1] => 4946.34
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-17 08:45:00
[1] => 4925.58
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-17 09:00:00
[1] => 4842.61
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-17 09:30:00
[1] => 4908.48
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-17 10:00:00
[1] => 4851.56
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-17 11:05:00
[1] => 4894.85
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-17 12:10:00
[1] => 4852.02
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-17 12:50:00
[1] => 4856.38
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-17 13:55:00
[1] => 4914
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.24888074888074
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.93464679452597
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 13
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.186480464873
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-17 06:20:00 | 4931.39 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-17 07:15:00 | 4946.34 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-17 08:45:00 | 4925.58 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-17 09:00:00 | 4842.61 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-17 09:30:00 | 4908.48 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-17 10:00:00 | 4851.56 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-17 11:05:00 | 4894.85 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-17 12:10:00 | 4852.02 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-17 12:50:00 | 4856.38 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-17 13:55:00 | 4914 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-16 21:15:00 | 4971.77 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-17 00:30:00 | 4865.08 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-17 03:00:00 | 4932.13 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-17 05:00:00 | 4941.99 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-17 05:45:00 | 4911 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-17 07:15:00 | 4946.34 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-17 09:00:00 | 4842.61 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-17 11:00:00 | 4894.85 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-17 12:00:00 | 4852.02 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-17 13:45:00 | 4914 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-14 18:00:00 | 5032.61 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-15 03:00:00 | 5046.32 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-15 18:00:00 | 5042.38 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-16 00:00:00 | 4970 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-16 05:00:00 | 5018.56 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-16 10:00:00 | 4972.59 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-16 18:00:00 | 5000.01 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-17 00:00:00 | 4865.08 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-17 07:00:00 | 4946.34 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-17 09:00:00 | 4842.61 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb 2026 13:58:08 |
17 Feb 2026 15:00:00 |
1 hour |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4906.11 | 4919.9248 | 4878.4805 | 2 | 5186.18 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 4919.9248 - 4906.11 = 13.8148
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 4906.11 - 4878.4805 = 27.6295
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 27.6295 / 13.8148 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2841.0811 | 100 | 0.5791 | 28.41 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 13.8148 = 0.58
Taille de position USD = 0.58 x 4906.11 = 2845.54
Donc, tu peux acheter 0.58 avec un stoploss a 4919.9248
Avec un position size USD de 2845.54$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 0.58 x 13.8148 = 8.01
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.01$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 0.58 x 27.6295 = 16.03
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.03$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.56 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.28 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.56 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4878.4804
[stop_loss] => 4919.9248
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-02-17 15:00:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4871.573
[stop_loss] => 4919.9248
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-02-17 18:00:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4864.6656
[stop_loss] => 4919.9248
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-02-17 18:00:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4857.7582
[stop_loss] => 4919.9248
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2026-02-17 18:50:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 31.11
[max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
[rr_ratio] => 100
[high] => 4904.66000000
[low] => 4875.00000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.63
[mae_pct] => -0.03
[mfe_mae_ratio] =>
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-02-17T13:58:08-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-02-17T15:58:08-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 48.96
[max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
[rr_ratio] => 100
[high] => 4904.66000000
[low] => 4857.15000000
[mfe_pct] => 1
[mae_pct] => -0.03
[mfe_mae_ratio] =>
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-02-17T13:58:08-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-02-17T20:58:08-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 4914.00000000
[high_after] => 4904.66000000
[low_before] => 4851.56000000
[low_after] => 4857.15000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)