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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 17 Feb 2026 at 22:41:37

Take profit at 128.4397 (0.37 %) and Stop Loss at 129.1602 (0.19 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 17 Feb 2026 at 22:41:37

With 33.3091 MSTR at 128.92$ per unit.

Position size of 4294.21 $

Take profit at 128.4397 (0.37 %) and Stop Loss at 129.1602 (0.19 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.6
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.7
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.79
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.5
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.55439

15m : 0.071203

1H : -0.170724

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.22
  4. atr: 0.1601163721
Details
  1. score: 1.22
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 128.723
  4. ema21 : 129.661
  5. ema50 : 131.306
  6. ema100 : 132.56
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00152454
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00723085
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0125271
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.027461
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.0779081
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.108977
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.089412
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0594417
  17. rsi : 0.43819
  18. adx : 0.274838
  19. kc_percentage : 0.374923
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.041177
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.631869
  22. volume_ema1 : 86756.586301683
  23. volume_ema2 : 235667.84735208
  24. chop : 49.1443
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 128.438
  28. ema21 : 128.436
  29. ema50 : 128.991
  30. ema100 : 129.962
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00374887
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 1.22948E-5
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00429572
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00802153
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.00303463
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0197558
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0303576
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0305265
  41. rsi : 0.564771
  42. adx : 0.171492
  43. kc_percentage : 0.820612
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0119861
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.624559
  46. volume_ema1 : 18920.985373771
  47. volume_ema2 : 50396.706155793
  48. chop : 59.172
  49. regime : range_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 128.697
  52. ema21 : 128.471
  53. ema50 : 128.377
  54. ema100 : 128.618
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00172775
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00175706
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.000738782
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00234062
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0326473
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0234934
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.008716
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.00072333
  65. rsi : 0.676988
  66. adx : 0.37029
  67. kc_percentage : 1.21962
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00469408
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.37837
  70. volume_ema1 : 4338.91337365
  71. volume_ema2 : 6979.9016276186
  72. chop : 43.8111
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    67459.2
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00144759
  78. 5m_price: 
    67556.9
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.55439
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    67775.9
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00322794
  83. 15m_price: 
    67557.2
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.071203
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    68479
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0134659
  88. 1H_price: 
    67556.9
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.170724
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-15 08:00:00
                    [1] => 133.77
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-15 18:00:00
                    [1] => 133.83
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-15 19:00:00
                    [1] => 134.61
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-16 08:00:00
                    [1] => 136.67
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-16 10:00:00
                    [1] => 131.16
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-16 17:00:00
                    [1] => 134.75
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-17 10:00:00
                    [1] => 126.04
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-17 13:00:00
                    [1] => 132.19
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-17 20:00:00
                    [1] => 127.39
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-17 22:00:00
                    [1] => 128.96
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.031017369727063
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.2010361880838
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.232435826988
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-17 08:00:00
                    [1] => 128.69
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-17 09:30:00
                    [1] => 131.65
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-17 10:30:00
                    [1] => 126.04
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-17 11:30:00
                    [1] => 131.93
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-17 12:45:00
                    [1] => 128
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-17 13:45:00
                    [1] => 132.19
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-17 16:30:00
                    [1] => 128.09
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-17 19:30:00
                    [1] => 128.51
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-17 20:30:00
                    [1] => 127.39
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-17 22:30:00
                    [1] => 128.96
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.031017369727063
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.2010361880838
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.232435826988
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-17 18:35:00
                    [1] => 128.06
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-17 18:40:00
                    [1] => 128.51
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-17 18:50:00
                    [1] => 128.51
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-17 19:35:00
                    [1] => 128.51
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-17 20:40:00
                    [1] => 127.39
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-17 21:10:00
                    [1] => 128.5
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-17 21:35:00
                    [1] => 128.18
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-17 21:40:00
                    [1] => 128.5
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-17 21:45:00
                    [1] => 128.18
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-17 22:30:00
                    [1] => 128.96
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.031017369727063
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.57731315337805
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 11
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.60851926977688
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.03%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.58%
Bars Since Swing High
2 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
11 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.61%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.2002
0.16%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.0497
0.82%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-17 18:35:00 128.06 ↓ Low
2026-02-17 18:40:00 128.51 ↑ High
2026-02-17 18:50:00 128.51 ↑ High
2026-02-17 19:35:00 128.51 ↑ High
2026-02-17 20:40:00 127.39 ↓ Low
2026-02-17 21:10:00 128.5 ↑ High
2026-02-17 21:35:00 128.18 ↓ Low
2026-02-17 21:40:00 128.5 ↑ High
2026-02-17 21:45:00 128.18 ↓ Low
2026-02-17 22:30:00 128.96 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.03%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.20%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
8 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.23%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
3.0298
2.35%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.3997
1.87%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-17 08:00:00 128.69 ↓ Low
2026-02-17 09:30:00 131.65 ↑ High
2026-02-17 10:30:00 126.04 ↓ Low
2026-02-17 11:30:00 131.93 ↑ High
2026-02-17 12:45:00 128 ↓ Low
2026-02-17 13:45:00 132.19 ↑ High
2026-02-17 16:30:00 128.09 ↓ Low
2026-02-17 19:30:00 128.51 ↑ High
2026-02-17 20:30:00 127.39 ↓ Low
2026-02-17 22:30:00 128.96 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.03%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.20%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.23%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
7.5098
5.81%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.3997
1.87%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-15 08:00:00 133.77 ↓ Low
2026-02-15 18:00:00 133.83 ↓ Low
2026-02-15 19:00:00 134.61 ↑ High
2026-02-16 08:00:00 136.67 ↑ High
2026-02-16 10:00:00 131.16 ↓ Low
2026-02-16 17:00:00 134.75 ↑ High
2026-02-17 10:00:00 126.04 ↓ Low
2026-02-17 13:00:00 132.19 ↑ High
2026-02-17 20:00:00 127.39 ↓ Low
2026-02-17 22:00:00 128.96 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
17 Feb 2026
22:41:37		 17 Feb 2026
23:50:00		 1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
128.92 129.1602 128.4397 2 133.02
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 128.92
  • Stop Loss: 129.1602
  • Take Profit: 128.4397

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 129.1602 - 128.92 = 0.24020000000002

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 128.92 - 128.4397 = 0.4803

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.4803 / 0.24020000000002 = 1.9996

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
4294.21 100 33.3091 42.94
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.24020000000002

Taille de position = 8 / 0.24020000000002 = 33.31

Taille de position USD = 33.31 x 128.92 = 4294.33

Donc, tu peux acheter 33.31 avec un stoploss a 129.1602

Avec un position size USD de 4294.33$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 33.31 x 0.24020000000002 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 33.31 x 0.4803 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 33.31
  • Taille de position USD 4294.33
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9996

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.37 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.19 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.19
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.2327 % 124.91 % 6

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 128.4397
            [entry_price] => 128.92
            [stop_loss] => 129.18422
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-17 23:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 128.4397
            [entry_price] => 128.92
            [stop_loss] => 129.20824
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-17 23:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 128.4397
            [entry_price] => 128.92
            [stop_loss] => 129.23226
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-18 00:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 128.4397
            [entry_price] => 128.92
            [stop_loss] => 129.2803
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-18 00:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.25999999999999
            [max_drawdown] => 0.40000000000001
            [rr_ratio] => 0.65
            [high] => 129.32000000
            [low] => 128.66000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.2
            [mae_pct] => 0.31
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.65
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-02-17T22:41:37-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-18T00:41:37-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.25999999999999
            [max_drawdown] => 1.9
            [rr_ratio] => 0.14
            [high] => 130.82000000
            [low] => 128.66000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.2
            [mae_pct] => 1.47
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.14
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-02-17T22:41:37-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-18T05:41:37-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 128.96000000
            [high_after] => 130.76000000
            [low_before] => 127.39000000
            [low_after] => 128.66000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)