Short Trade on MSTR 17 Feb 2026 at 22:45:22

Take profit at 128.3406 (0.36 %) and Stop Loss at 129.0447 (0.18 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 17 Feb 2026 at 22:45:22

With 34.089 MSTR at 128.81$ per unit.

Position size of 4391.0061 $

Take profit at 128.3406 (0.36 %) and Stop Loss at 129.0447 (0.18 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.27
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Strong Trade
0.54
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.65
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.76
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.562145

15m : 0.08091

1H : 0.102162

1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0
  4. atr: 0.1564531325
Details
  1. score: 1
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 128.701
  4. ema21 : 129.651
  5. ema50 : 131.301
  6. ema100 : 132.558
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00084105
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00732396
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0125708
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0282748
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.079319
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.109611
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0896829
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0595777
  17. rsi : 0.432095
  18. adx : 0.274838
  19. kc_percentage : 0.356175
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0412122
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.631857
  22. volume_ema1 : 86759.591868349
  23. volume_ema2 : 235668.20094815
  24. chop : 49.1443
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 128.506
  29. ema21 : 128.467
  30. ema50 : 128.973
  31. ema100 : 129.869
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00236252
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000302844
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00392015
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.00816112
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.011234
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.013997
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0271159
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0279061
  42. rsi : 0.541792
  43. adx : 0.171801
  44. kc_percentage : 0.745475
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0111383
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.733172
  47. volume_ema1 : 13153.007882514
  48. volume_ema2 : 49294.054802565
  49. chop : 58.234
  50. regime : range_low
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 128.72
  54. ema21 : 128.502
  55. ema50 : 128.399
  56. ema100 : 128.661
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.000698304
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00169216
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00080462
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00115046
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0343093
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0250789
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.00976658
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.000590276
  67. rsi : 0.628556
  68. adx : 0.37893
  69. kc_percentage : 1.00028
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0045697
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.542864
  72. volume_ema1 : 2895.6144824333
  73. volume_ema2 : 6334.2606466124
  74. chop : 43.3979
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    67461.5
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.0018713
  81. 5m_price:
    67587.8
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.562145
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    67758.6
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00252172
  86. 15m_price:
    67587.8
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.08091
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    68479.6
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0130235
  91. 1H_price:
    67587.8
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.102162
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-15 08:00:00
                        [1] => 133.77
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-15 18:00:00
                        [1] => 133.83
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-15 19:00:00
                        [1] => 134.61
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-16 08:00:00
                        [1] => 136.67
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-16 10:00:00
                        [1] => 131.16
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-16 17:00:00
                        [1] => 134.75
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-17 10:00:00
                        [1] => 126.04
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-17 13:00:00
                        [1] => 132.19
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-17 20:00:00
                        [1] => 127.39
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-17 22:00:00
                        [1] => 128.96
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.054280397022349
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.1774864589057
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.232435826988
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-17 08:00:00
                        [1] => 128.69
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-17 09:30:00
                        [1] => 131.65
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-17 10:30:00
                        [1] => 126.04
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-17 11:30:00
                        [1] => 131.93
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-17 12:45:00
                        [1] => 128
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-17 13:45:00
                        [1] => 132.19
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-17 16:30:00
                        [1] => 128.09
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-17 19:30:00
                        [1] => 128.51
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-17 20:30:00
                        [1] => 127.39
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-17 22:30:00
                        [1] => 128.96
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.054280397022349
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.1774864589057
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.232435826988
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-17 18:35:00
                        [1] => 128.06
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-17 18:40:00
                        [1] => 128.51
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-17 18:50:00
                        [1] => 128.51
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-17 19:35:00
                        [1] => 128.51
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-17 20:40:00
                        [1] => 127.39
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-17 21:10:00
                        [1] => 128.5
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-17 21:35:00
                        [1] => 128.18
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-17 21:40:00
                        [1] => 128.5
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-17 21:45:00
                        [1] => 128.18
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-17 22:30:00
                        [1] => 128.96
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.054280397022349
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.55390856607894
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.60851926977688
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.05%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.55%
Bars Since Swing High
3 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
12 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.61%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0847
0.07%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.9506
0.74%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-17 18:35:00 128.06 ↓ Low
2026-02-17 18:40:00 128.51 ↑ High
2026-02-17 18:50:00 128.51 ↑ High
2026-02-17 19:35:00 128.51 ↑ High
2026-02-17 20:40:00 127.39 ↓ Low
2026-02-17 21:10:00 128.5 ↑ High
2026-02-17 21:35:00 128.18 ↓ Low
2026-02-17 21:40:00 128.5 ↑ High
2026-02-17 21:45:00 128.18 ↓ Low
2026-02-17 22:30:00 128.96 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.05%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.18%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
9 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.23%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
3.1453
2.44%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.3006
1.79%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-17 08:00:00 128.69 ↓ Low
2026-02-17 09:30:00 131.65 ↑ High
2026-02-17 10:30:00 126.04 ↓ Low
2026-02-17 11:30:00 131.93 ↑ High
2026-02-17 12:45:00 128 ↓ Low
2026-02-17 13:45:00 132.19 ↑ High
2026-02-17 16:30:00 128.09 ↓ Low
2026-02-17 19:30:00 128.51 ↑ High
2026-02-17 20:30:00 127.39 ↓ Low
2026-02-17 22:30:00 128.96 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.05%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.18%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.23%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
7.6253
5.91%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.3006
1.79%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-15 08:00:00 133.77 ↓ Low
2026-02-15 18:00:00 133.83 ↓ Low
2026-02-15 19:00:00 134.61 ↑ High
2026-02-16 08:00:00 136.67 ↑ High
2026-02-16 10:00:00 131.16 ↓ Low
2026-02-16 17:00:00 134.75 ↑ High
2026-02-17 10:00:00 126.04 ↓ Low
2026-02-17 13:00:00 132.19 ↑ High
2026-02-17 20:00:00 127.39 ↓ Low
2026-02-17 22:00:00 128.96 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
17 Feb 2026
22:45:22
17 Feb 2026
22:50:00
4 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
128.81 129.0447 128.3406 2 133.49
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 128.81
  • Stop Loss: 129.0447
  • Take Profit: 128.3406

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 129.0447 - 128.81 = 0.2347

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 128.81 - 128.3406 = 0.46940000000001

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.46940000000001 / 0.2347 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
4391.0061 100 34.089 43.91
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.2347

Taille de position = 8 / 0.2347 = 34.09

Taille de position USD = 34.09 x 128.81 = 4391.13

Donc, tu peux acheter 34.09 avec un stoploss a 129.0447

Avec un position size USD de 4391.13$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 34.09 x 0.2347 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 34.09 x 0.46940000000001 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 34.09
  • Taille de position USD 4391.13
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.36 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.18 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.18
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.2717 % 149.12 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 128.3406
            [entry_price] => 128.81
            [stop_loss] => 129.06817
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-17 22:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 128.3406
            [entry_price] => 128.81
            [stop_loss] => 129.09164
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-17 22:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 128.3406
            [entry_price] => 128.81
            [stop_loss] => 129.11511
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-17 22:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 128.3406
            [entry_price] => 128.81
            [stop_loss] => 129.16205
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-17 23:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.15000000000001
            [max_drawdown] => 0.50999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 0.29
            [high] => 129.32000000
            [low] => 128.66000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.12
            [mae_pct] => 0.4
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.29
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-02-17T22:45:22-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-18T00:45:22-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.15000000000001
            [max_drawdown] => 2.01
            [rr_ratio] => 0.07
            [high] => 130.82000000
            [low] => 128.66000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.12
            [mae_pct] => 1.56
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.07
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-02-17T22:45:22-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-18T05:45:22-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 128.96000000
            [high_after] => 130.76000000
            [low_before] => 127.39000000
            [low_after] => 128.66000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)