Short Trade on MSTR 17 Feb 2026 at 23:22:44
Take profit at 128.578 (0.36 %) and Stop Loss at 129.271 (0.18 %)
Short Trade on MSTR 17 Feb 2026 at 23:22:44
Take profit at 128.578 (0.36 %) and Stop Loss at 129.271 (0.18 %)
Position size of 4468.894 $
Take profit at 128.578 (0.36 %) and Stop Loss at 129.271 (0.18 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Strong Trade
|
0.67 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.52 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.82 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.519724 15m : -0.144113 1H : 0.025177 |
1 |
Indicators:
67434.6
0.00284101
67626.2
0.519724
67730.9
-0.00155227
67625.8
-0.144113
68444.2
-0.0119514
67626.2
0.025177
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-15 08:00:00
[1] => 133.77
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-15 18:00:00
[1] => 133.83
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-15 19:00:00
[1] => 134.61
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-16 08:00:00
[1] => 136.67
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-16 10:00:00
[1] => 131.16
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-16 17:00:00
[1] => 134.75
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-17 10:00:00
[1] => 126.04
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-17 13:00:00
[1] => 132.19
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-17 20:00:00
[1] => 127.39
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-17 22:00:00
[1] => 129.16
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.092908021059155
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.2952351047963
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.3894340215087
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-17 08:00:00
[1] => 128.69
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-17 09:30:00
[1] => 131.65
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-17 10:30:00
[1] => 126.04
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-17 11:30:00
[1] => 131.93
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-17 12:45:00
[1] => 128
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-17 13:45:00
[1] => 132.19
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-17 16:30:00
[1] => 128.09
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-17 19:30:00
[1] => 128.51
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-17 20:30:00
[1] => 127.39
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-17 22:45:00
[1] => 129.16
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.092908021059155
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.2952351047963
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 11
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.3894340215087
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-17 18:40:00
[1] => 128.51
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-17 18:50:00
[1] => 128.51
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-17 19:35:00
[1] => 128.51
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-17 20:40:00
[1] => 127.39
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-17 21:10:00
[1] => 128.5
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-17 21:35:00
[1] => 128.18
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-17 21:40:00
[1] => 128.5
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-17 21:45:00
[1] => 128.18
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-17 22:50:00
[1] => 129.16
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-17 23:00:00
[1] => 128.66
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.092908021059155
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.2953520907819
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.38862117208146
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-17 18:40:00 | 128.51 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-17 18:50:00 | 128.51 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-17 19:35:00 | 128.51 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-17 20:40:00 | 127.39 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-17 21:10:00 | 128.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-17 21:35:00 | 128.18 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-17 21:40:00 | 128.5 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-17 21:45:00 | 128.18 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-17 22:50:00 | 129.16 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-17 23:00:00 | 128.66 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-17 08:00:00 | 128.69 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-17 09:30:00 | 131.65 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-17 10:30:00 | 126.04 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-17 11:30:00 | 131.93 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-17 12:45:00 | 128 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-17 13:45:00 | 132.19 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-17 16:30:00 | 128.09 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-17 19:30:00 | 128.51 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-17 20:30:00 | 127.39 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-17 22:45:00 | 129.16 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-15 08:00:00 | 133.77 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-15 18:00:00 | 133.83 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-15 19:00:00 | 134.61 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-16 08:00:00 | 136.67 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-16 10:00:00 | 131.16 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-16 17:00:00 | 134.75 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-17 10:00:00 | 126.04 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-17 13:00:00 | 132.19 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-17 20:00:00 | 127.39 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-17 22:00:00 | 129.16 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb 2026 23:22:44 |
18 Feb 2026 00:15:00 |
52 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 129.04 | 129.271 | 128.578 | 2 | 134.84 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 129.271 - 129.04 = 0.23099999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 129.04 - 128.578 = 0.46199999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.46199999999999 / 0.23099999999999 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4468.894 | 100 | 34.6319 | 44.69 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.23099999999999 = 34.63
Taille de position USD = 34.63 x 129.04 = 4468.66
Donc, tu peux acheter 34.63 avec un stoploss a 129.271
Avec un position size USD de 4468.66$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 34.63 x 0.23099999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 34.63 x 0.46199999999999 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.36 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.18 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.18 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.217 % | 121.23 % | 8 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 128.578
[entry_price] => 129.04
[stop_loss] => 129.2941
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-02-18 00:15:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 128.578
[entry_price] => 129.04
[stop_loss] => 129.3172
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-02-18 00:15:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 128.578
[entry_price] => 129.04
[stop_loss] => 129.3403
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-02-18 01:45:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 128.578
[entry_price] => 129.04
[stop_loss] => 129.3865
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-02-18 01:50:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.22999999999999
[max_drawdown] => 0.28
[rr_ratio] => 0.82
[high] => 129.32000000
[low] => 128.81000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.18
[mae_pct] => 0.22
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.82
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-02-17T23:22:44-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-02-18T01:22:44-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.72
[max_drawdown] => 1.78
[rr_ratio] => 0.4
[high] => 130.82000000
[low] => 128.32000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.56
[mae_pct] => 1.38
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.4
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-02-17T23:22:44-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-02-18T06:22:44-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 129.16000000
[high_after] => 130.82000000
[low_before] => 127.39000000
[low_after] => 128.81000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)