Short Trade on MSTR 18 Feb 2026 at 01:48:57

Take profit at 128.9807 (0.3 %) and Stop Loss at 129.5647 (0.15 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 18 Feb 2026 at 01:48:57

With 41.0982 MSTR at 129.37$ per unit.

Position size of 5316.8705 $

Take profit at 128.9807 (0.3 %) and Stop Loss at 129.5647 (0.15 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 40
ML Pullback Score: 0.77
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.95
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.8
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.83
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.442079

15m : 0.061667

1H : -0.053192

1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.1
  4. atr: 0.129770574
Details
  1. score: 1.1
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 128.959
  4. ema21 : 129.546
  5. ema50 : 131.061
  6. ema100 : 132.314
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.0031866
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00453172
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0115586
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0222549
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.0871709
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.105337
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0895955
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0605373
  17. rsi : 0.466803
  18. adx : 0.25171
  19. kc_percentage : 0.474347
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0343425
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.659407
  22. volume_ema1 : 73382.172815313
  23. volume_ema2 : 215454.22751497
  24. chop : 57.3261
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 129.09
  29. ema21 : 128.903
  30. ema50 : 129.007
  31. ema100 : 129.584
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00216832
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00144401
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.000801398
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.00165274
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.0358971
  39. ema_slope_21 : 0.027432
  40. ema_slope_50 : 0.00331629
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0086655
  42. rsi : 0.614047
  43. adx : 0.184737
  44. kc_percentage : 0.929329
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.00822862
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.557925
  47. volume_ema1 : 16102.392778054
  48. volume_ema2 : 36424.604637203
  49. chop : 75.9812
  50. regime : range_low
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 129.123
  54. ema21 : 129.052
  55. ema50 : 128.881
  56. ema100 : 128.707
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00190859
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000550341
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00132633
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00514983
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.00591824
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.00458303
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.00735683
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.00618712
  67. rsi : 0.648671
  68. adx : 0.16091
  69. kc_percentage : 1.1024
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.00400594
  71. volume_ema_diff : 0.503694
  72. volume_ema1 : 8941.3831539702
  73. volume_ema2 : 5946.2749158727
  74. chop : 47.286
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    67584.4
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00452269
  81. 5m_price:
    67890.1
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.442079
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    67713.8
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.0026025
  86. 15m_price:
    67890.1
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.061667
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    68422.9
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0077873
  91. 1H_price:
    67890.1
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.053192
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-15 08:00:00
                        [1] => 133.77
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-15 18:00:00
                        [1] => 133.83
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-15 19:00:00
                        [1] => 134.61
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-16 08:00:00
                        [1] => 136.67
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-16 10:00:00
                        [1] => 131.16
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-16 17:00:00
                        [1] => 134.75
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-17 10:00:00
                        [1] => 126.04
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-17 13:00:00
                        [1] => 132.19
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-17 20:00:00
                        [1] => 127.39
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-18 01:00:00
                        [1] => 129.37
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.5542821257556
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.5542821257556
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-17 10:30:00
                        [1] => 126.04
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-17 11:30:00
                        [1] => 131.93
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-17 12:45:00
                        [1] => 128
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-17 13:45:00
                        [1] => 132.19
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-17 16:30:00
                        [1] => 128.09
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-17 19:30:00
                        [1] => 128.51
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-17 20:30:00
                        [1] => 127.39
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-18 00:15:00
                        [1] => 129.32
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-18 01:00:00
                        [1] => 128.87
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-18 01:45:00
                        [1] => 129.37
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.38798789477768
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.38798789477768
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-17 21:35:00
                        [1] => 128.18
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-17 21:40:00
                        [1] => 128.5
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-17 21:45:00
                        [1] => 128.18
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-17 22:50:00
                        [1] => 129.16
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-17 23:00:00
                        [1] => 128.66
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-17 23:35:00
                        [1] => 128.81
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-18 00:15:00
                        [1] => 129.32
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-18 00:30:00
                        [1] => 128.95
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-18 01:00:00
                        [1] => 128.87
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-18 01:45:00
                        [1] => 129.37
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.38798789477768
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.38798789477768
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.39%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
9 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.39%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.1947
0.15%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.8007
0.62%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-17 21:35:00 128.18 ↓ Low
2026-02-17 21:40:00 128.5 ↑ High
2026-02-17 21:45:00 128.18 ↓ Low
2026-02-17 22:50:00 129.16 ↑ High
2026-02-17 23:00:00 128.66 ↓ Low
2026-02-17 23:35:00 128.81 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 00:15:00 129.32 ↑ High
2026-02-18 00:30:00 128.95 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 01:00:00 128.87 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 01:45:00 129.37 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.39%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.39%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
2.6253
2.03%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.9407
2.28%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-17 10:30:00 126.04 ↓ Low
2026-02-17 11:30:00 131.93 ↑ High
2026-02-17 12:45:00 128 ↓ Low
2026-02-17 13:45:00 132.19 ↑ High
2026-02-17 16:30:00 128.09 ↓ Low
2026-02-17 19:30:00 128.51 ↑ High
2026-02-17 20:30:00 127.39 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 00:15:00 129.32 ↑ High
2026-02-18 01:00:00 128.87 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 01:45:00 129.37 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.55%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.55%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
7.1053
5.48%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.9407
2.28%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-15 08:00:00 133.77 ↓ Low
2026-02-15 18:00:00 133.83 ↓ Low
2026-02-15 19:00:00 134.61 ↑ High
2026-02-16 08:00:00 136.67 ↑ High
2026-02-16 10:00:00 131.16 ↓ Low
2026-02-16 17:00:00 134.75 ↑ High
2026-02-17 10:00:00 126.04 ↓ Low
2026-02-17 13:00:00 132.19 ↑ High
2026-02-17 20:00:00 127.39 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 01:00:00 129.37 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
18 Feb 2026
01:48:57
18 Feb 2026
02:20:00
31 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
129.37 129.5647 128.9807 2 133.78
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 129.37
  • Stop Loss: 129.5647
  • Take Profit: 128.9807

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 129.5647 - 129.37 = 0.19469999999998

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 129.37 - 128.9807 = 0.38929999999999

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.38929999999999 / 0.19469999999998 = 1.9995

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
5316.8705 100 41.0982 53.17
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.19469999999998

Taille de position = 8 / 0.19469999999998 = 41.09

Taille de position USD = 41.09 x 129.37 = 5315.81

Donc, tu peux acheter 41.09 avec un stoploss a 129.5647

Avec un position size USD de 5315.81$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 41.09 x 0.19469999999998 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 41.09 x 0.38929999999999 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 41.09
  • Taille de position USD 5315.81
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9995

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.3 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.15 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.30
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.0464 % 30.83 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 128.9806
            [stop_loss] => 129.5647
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-18 02:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 128.88325
            [stop_loss] => 129.5647
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-18 02:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 128.7859
            [stop_loss] => 129.5647
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-18 02:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 128.68855
            [stop_loss] => 129.5647
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-18 02:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 128.5912
            [stop_loss] => 129.5647
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-18 02:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 128.49385
            [stop_loss] => 129.5647
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-18 02:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 128.3965
            [stop_loss] => 129.5647
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-18 02:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 128.29915
            [stop_loss] => 129.5647
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-18 02:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 128.2018
            [stop_loss] => 129.5647
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-18 02:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 128.10445
            [stop_loss] => 129.5647
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-18 02:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 128.0071
            [stop_loss] => 129.5647
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-18 02:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.44
            [max_drawdown] => 1.39
            [rr_ratio] => 0.32
            [high] => 130.76000000
            [low] => 128.93000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.34
            [mae_pct] => 1.07
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.32
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-02-18T01:48:57-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-18T03:48:57-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.23
            [max_drawdown] => 1.45
            [rr_ratio] => 0.85
            [high] => 130.82000000
            [low] => 128.14000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.95
            [mae_pct] => 1.12
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.85
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-02-18T01:48:57-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-18T08:48:57-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 129.37000000
            [high_after] => 130.82000000
            [low_before] => 128.18000000
            [low_after] => 128.32000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)