Short Trade on MSTR 18 Feb 2026 at 02:42:21

Take profit at 129.0519 (0.27 %) and Stop Loss at 129.5741 (0.13 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 18 Feb 2026 at 02:42:21

With 45.9613 MSTR at 129.4$ per unit.

Position size of 5947.3956 $

Take profit at 129.0519 (0.27 %) and Stop Loss at 129.5741 (0.13 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 3.19
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.7
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.68
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.54
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.498835

15m : 0.040168

1H : -0.148662

1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.12
  4. atr: 0.1160395885
Details
  1. score: 1.12
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 129.008
  4. ema21 : 129.512
  5. ema50 : 130.982
  6. ema100 : 132.219
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00303198
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0038926
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0112187
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0213266
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.081172
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.101137
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0882742
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0599925
  17. rsi : 0.469846
  18. adx : 0.241827
  19. kc_percentage : 0.486912
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0326447
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.715324
  22. volume_ema1 : 59599.433999098
  23. volume_ema2 : 209358.89591582
  24. chop : 56.3362
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 129.019
  29. ema21 : 128.91
  30. ema50 : 129
  31. ema100 : 129.565
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00295126
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000843691
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.000696857
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.00128063
  36. all_emas_in_trend : False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.0160046
  39. ema_slope_21 : 0.0192065
  40. ema_slope_50 : 0.0021662
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.00887069
  42. rsi : 0.531263
  43. adx : 0.193839
  44. kc_percentage : 1.04633
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.00682392
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.753407
  47. volume_ema1 : 8147.5980700407
  48. volume_ema2 : 33040.670885973
  49. chop : 77.7035
  50. regime : range_low
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 129.172
  54. ema21 : 129.111
  55. ema50 : 128.965
  56. ema100 : 128.749
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00176295
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000472671
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00112958
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00505229
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.00712394
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.00584651
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.00726806
  66. ema_slope_100 : 0.00698477
  67. rsi : 0.635615
  68. adx : 0.150366
  69. kc_percentage : 1.12475
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.00352115
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.177346
  72. volume_ema1 : 4190.8390495539
  73. volume_ema2 : 5094.2955129365
  74. chop : 45.2195
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    67591.7
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00501898
  81. 5m_price:
    67931
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.498835
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    67716.5
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.000347771
  86. 15m_price:
    67740.1
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.040168
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    68386.2
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00665705
  91. 1H_price:
    67931
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.148662
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-15 08:00:00
                        [1] => 133.77
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-15 18:00:00
                        [1] => 133.83
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-15 19:00:00
                        [1] => 134.61
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-16 08:00:00
                        [1] => 136.67
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-16 10:00:00
                        [1] => 131.16
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-16 17:00:00
                        [1] => 134.75
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-17 10:00:00
                        [1] => 126.04
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-17 13:00:00
                        [1] => 132.19
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-17 20:00:00
                        [1] => 127.39
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-18 02:00:00
                        [1] => 129.64
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.069423017587145
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.6955805008242
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.7662296883586
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-17 10:30:00
                        [1] => 126.04
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-17 11:30:00
                        [1] => 131.93
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-17 12:45:00
                        [1] => 128
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-17 13:45:00
                        [1] => 132.19
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-17 16:30:00
                        [1] => 128.09
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-17 19:30:00
                        [1] => 128.51
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-17 20:30:00
                        [1] => 127.39
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-18 00:15:00
                        [1] => 129.32
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-18 01:00:00
                        [1] => 128.87
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-18 02:30:00
                        [1] => 129.64
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.069423017587145
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.52766353689765
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.59750135795762
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-17 21:45:00
                        [1] => 128.18
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-17 22:50:00
                        [1] => 129.16
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-17 23:00:00
                        [1] => 128.66
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-17 23:35:00
                        [1] => 128.81
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-18 00:15:00
                        [1] => 129.32
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-18 00:30:00
                        [1] => 128.95
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-18 01:00:00
                        [1] => 128.87
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-18 01:50:00
                        [1] => 129.43
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-18 02:20:00
                        [1] => 128.93
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-18 02:40:00
                        [1] => 129.64
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.069423017587145
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.48088109827038
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.55068641898703
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.07%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.48%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.55%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0659
0.05%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.8719
0.68%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-17 21:45:00 128.18 ↓ Low
2026-02-17 22:50:00 129.16 ↑ High
2026-02-17 23:00:00 128.66 ↓ Low
2026-02-17 23:35:00 128.81 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 00:15:00 129.32 ↑ High
2026-02-18 00:30:00 128.95 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 01:00:00 128.87 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 01:50:00 129.43 ↑ High
2026-02-18 02:20:00 128.93 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 02:40:00 129.64 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.07%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.53%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.60%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
2.6159
2.02%
TP to Pivot Distance
3.0119
2.33%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-17 10:30:00 126.04 ↓ Low
2026-02-17 11:30:00 131.93 ↑ High
2026-02-17 12:45:00 128 ↓ Low
2026-02-17 13:45:00 132.19 ↑ High
2026-02-17 16:30:00 128.09 ↓ Low
2026-02-17 19:30:00 128.51 ↑ High
2026-02-17 20:30:00 127.39 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 00:15:00 129.32 ↑ High
2026-02-18 01:00:00 128.87 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 02:30:00 129.64 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.07%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.70%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.77%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
7.0959
5.48%
TP to Pivot Distance
3.0119
2.33%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-15 08:00:00 133.77 ↓ Low
2026-02-15 18:00:00 133.83 ↓ Low
2026-02-15 19:00:00 134.61 ↑ High
2026-02-16 08:00:00 136.67 ↑ High
2026-02-16 10:00:00 131.16 ↓ Low
2026-02-16 17:00:00 134.75 ↑ High
2026-02-17 10:00:00 126.04 ↓ Low
2026-02-17 13:00:00 132.19 ↑ High
2026-02-17 20:00:00 127.39 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 02:00:00 129.64 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
18 Feb 2026
02:42:21
18 Feb 2026
02:45:00
2 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
129.4 129.5741 129.0519 2 133.07
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 129.4
  • Stop Loss: 129.5741
  • Take Profit: 129.0519

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 129.5741 - 129.4 = 0.17409999999998

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 129.4 - 129.0519 = 0.34810000000002

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.34810000000002 / 0.17409999999998 = 1.9994

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
5947.3956 100 45.9613 59.47
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.17409999999998

Taille de position = 8 / 0.17409999999998 = 45.95

Taille de position USD = 45.95 x 129.4 = 5945.93

Donc, tu peux acheter 45.95 avec un stoploss a 129.5741

Avec un position size USD de 5945.93$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 45.95 x 0.17409999999998 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 45.95 x 0.34810000000002 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 45.95
  • Taille de position USD 5945.93
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9994

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.27 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.13 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.13
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.2937 % 218.36 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 129.0519
            [entry_price] => 129.4
            [stop_loss] => 129.59151
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-18 02:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 129.0519
            [entry_price] => 129.4
            [stop_loss] => 129.60892
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-18 02:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 129.0519
            [entry_price] => 129.4
            [stop_loss] => 129.62633
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-18 02:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 129.0519
            [entry_price] => 129.4
            [stop_loss] => 129.66115
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-18 02:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => -0.12
            [max_drawdown] => 1.36
            [rr_ratio] => -0.09
            [high] => 130.76000000
            [low] => 129.52000000
            [mfe_pct] => -0.09
            [mae_pct] => 1.05
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => -0.09
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-02-18T02:42:21-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-18T04:42:21-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 2.99
            [max_drawdown] => 1.42
            [rr_ratio] => 2.11
            [high] => 130.82000000
            [low] => 126.41000000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.31
            [mae_pct] => 1.1
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.11
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-02-18T02:42:21-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-18T09:42:21-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 129.64000000
            [high_after] => 130.82000000
            [low_before] => 128.66000000
            [low_after] => 128.32000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)