Short Trade on MSTR 18 Feb 2026 at 20:16:29

Take profit at 125.4768 (0.56 %) and Stop Loss at 126.5316 (0.28 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 18 Feb 2026 at 20:16:29

With 22.7516 MSTR at 126.18$ per unit.

Position size of 2870.7967 $

Take profit at 125.4768 (0.56 %) and Stop Loss at 126.5316 (0.28 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.53
Prediction Score: 4
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.63
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.57
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.85
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.60032

15m : 0.020194

1H : 0.012773

2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.04
  4. atr: 0.2344157627
Details
  1. score: 1.04
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 126.187
  4. ema21 : 127.349
  5. ema50 : 129.131
  6. ema100 : 130.951
  7. price_ema9_diff : -5.7162E-5
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0091272
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0138003
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0364362
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.19332
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.136256
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0993134
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0727196
  17. rsi : 0.412727
  18. adx : 0.235114
  19. kc_percentage : 0.31128
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0457821
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.642781
  22. volume_ema1 : 73133.733604999
  23. volume_ema2 : 204730.92038531
  24. chop : 34.8617
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 125.661
  29. ema21 : 125.707
  30. ema50 : 126.606
  31. ema100 : 127.436
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00412843
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.000369047
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00710368
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.00986151
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.0264652
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.0217264
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0448744
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0346757
  42. rsi : 0.536478
  43. adx : 0.22642
  44. kc_percentage : 0.767748
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0147165
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.678924
  47. volume_ema1 : 12894.827443215
  48. volume_ema2 : 40161.311926769
  49. chop : 68.1585
  50. regime : bear_medium
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 125.85
  54. ema21 : 125.602
  55. ema50 : 125.569
  56. ema100 : 126.139
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00261888
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00197104
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.0002688
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.000323356
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0288224
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0177548
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.00348904
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.00915345
  67. rsi : 0.6293
  68. adx : 0.28119
  69. kc_percentage : 1.04239
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.00825178
  71. volume_ema_diff : 0.202205
  72. volume_ema1 : 7228.2606393893
  73. volume_ema2 : 6012.5019236194
  74. chop : 16.3569
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    66534.7
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00187145
  81. 5m_price:
    66659.3
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.60032
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    66992.5
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00497396
  86. 15m_price:
    66659.3
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.020194
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    68075.6
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0208052
  91. 1H_price:
    66659.3
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.012773
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-16 08:00:00
                        [1] => 136.67
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-16 10:00:00
                        [1] => 131.16
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-16 17:00:00
                        [1] => 134.75
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-17 10:00:00
                        [1] => 126.04
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-17 13:00:00
                        [1] => 132.19
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-17 20:00:00
                        [1] => 127.39
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-18 04:00:00
                        [1] => 130.82
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-18 10:00:00
                        [1] => 132.28
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-18 15:00:00
                        [1] => 123.88
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-18 20:00:00
                        [1] => 126.44
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.36380892122745
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.6951888924766
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.0665159832096
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 1
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-17 20:30:00
                        [1] => 127.39
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-18 00:15:00
                        [1] => 129.32
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-18 01:00:00
                        [1] => 128.87
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-18 03:15:00
                        [1] => 130.76
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-18 04:45:00
                        [1] => 130.82
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-18 06:00:00
                        [1] => 128.32
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-18 09:45:00
                        [1] => 126.19
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-18 10:30:00
                        [1] => 132.28
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-18 15:15:00
                        [1] => 123.88
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-18 20:00:00
                        [1] => 126.44
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.36380892122745
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.6951888924766
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 20
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.0665159832096
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-18 15:20:00
                        [1] => 123.88
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-18 15:45:00
                        [1] => 126.02
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-18 16:05:00
                        [1] => 124.44
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-18 16:40:00
                        [1] => 125.43
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-18 17:25:00
                        [1] => 124.99
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-18 17:35:00
                        [1] => 124.99
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-18 18:20:00
                        [1] => 125.51
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-18 19:10:00
                        [1] => 125.63
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-18 19:25:00
                        [1] => 125.03
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-18 20:00:00
                        [1] => 126.44
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.36380892122745
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.647119916913
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.1277293449572
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.36%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.65%
Bars Since Swing High
3 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.13%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0916
0.07%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.5968
1.27%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-18 15:20:00 123.88 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 15:45:00 126.02 ↑ High
2026-02-18 16:05:00 124.44 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 16:40:00 125.43 ↑ High
2026-02-18 17:25:00 124.99 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 17:35:00 124.99 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 18:20:00 125.51 ↑ High
2026-02-18 19:10:00 125.63 ↑ High
2026-02-18 19:25:00 125.03 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 20:00:00 126.44 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.36%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.70%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
20 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.07%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
5.7484
4.54%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.5968
1.27%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-17 20:30:00 127.39 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 00:15:00 129.32 ↑ High
2026-02-18 01:00:00 128.87 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 03:15:00 130.76 ↑ High
2026-02-18 04:45:00 130.82 ↑ High
2026-02-18 06:00:00 128.32 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 09:45:00 126.19 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 10:30:00 132.28 ↑ High
2026-02-18 15:15:00 123.88 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 20:00:00 126.44 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.36%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.70%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.07%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
1

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
10.1384
8.01%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.5968
1.27%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-16 08:00:00 136.67 ↑ High
2026-02-16 10:00:00 131.16 ↓ Low
2026-02-16 17:00:00 134.75 ↑ High
2026-02-17 10:00:00 126.04 ↓ Low
2026-02-17 13:00:00 132.19 ↑ High
2026-02-17 20:00:00 127.39 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 04:00:00 130.82 ↑ High
2026-02-18 10:00:00 132.28 ↑ High
2026-02-18 15:00:00 123.88 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 20:00:00 126.44 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
18 Feb 2026
20:16:29
18 Feb 2026
20:40:00
23 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
126.18 126.5316 125.4768 2 134.8
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 126.18
  • Stop Loss: 126.5316
  • Take Profit: 125.4768

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 126.5316 - 126.18 = 0.35159999999999

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 126.18 - 125.4768 = 0.70320000000001

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.70320000000001 / 0.35159999999999 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
2870.7967 100 22.7516 28.71
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.35159999999999

Taille de position = 8 / 0.35159999999999 = 22.75

Taille de position USD = 22.75 x 126.18 = 2870.6

Donc, tu peux acheter 22.75 avec un stoploss a 126.5316

Avec un position size USD de 2870.6$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 22.75 x 0.35159999999999 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 22.75 x 0.70320000000001 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 22.75
  • Taille de position USD 2870.6
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.56 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.28 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.28
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.317 % 113.78 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 125.4768
            [entry_price] => 126.18
            [stop_loss] => 126.56676
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-18 20:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 125.4768
            [entry_price] => 126.18
            [stop_loss] => 126.60192
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-18 20:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 125.4768
            [entry_price] => 126.18
            [stop_loss] => 126.63708
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-18 20:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 125.4768
            [entry_price] => 126.18
            [stop_loss] => 126.7074
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-18 21:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.2
            [max_drawdown] => 0.63
            [rr_ratio] => 0.32
            [high] => 126.81000000
            [low] => 125.98000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.16
            [mae_pct] => 0.5
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.32
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-02-18T20:16:29-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-18T22:16:29-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.38000000000001
            [max_drawdown] => 0.81999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 0.46
            [high] => 127.00000000
            [low] => 125.80000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.3
            [mae_pct] => 0.65
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.46
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-02-18T20:16:29-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-19T03:16:29-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 126.44000000
            [high_after] => 126.81000000
            [low_before] => 124.86000000
            [low_after] => 125.80000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)