Short Trade on MSTR 18 Feb 2026 at 20:27:39

Take profit at 125.5143 (0.54 %) and Stop Loss at 126.5428 (0.27 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 18 Feb 2026 at 20:27:39

With 23.3338 MSTR at 126.2$ per unit.

Position size of 2944.7297 $

Take profit at 125.5143 (0.54 %) and Stop Loss at 126.5428 (0.27 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.26
Prediction Score: 5
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.5
Prediction 2 Probability
2 0.54
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.93
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.585383

15m : -0.143805

1H : 0.00073

2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0
  4. atr: 0.2285665379
Details
  1. score: 1
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 126.191
  4. ema21 : 127.351
  5. ema50 : 129.132
  6. ema100 : 130.951
  7. price_ema9_diff : 6.96315E-5
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00910994
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0137922
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0362864
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.193062
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.136139
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0992634
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0726946
  17. rsi : 0.413908
  18. adx : 0.235114
  19. kc_percentage : 0.314413
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0457749
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.624506
  22. volume_ema1 : 77048.050471666
  23. volume_ema2 : 205191.42825197
  24. chop : 34.8617
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 125.621
  29. ema21 : 125.689
  30. ema50 : 126.599
  31. ema100 : 127.432
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00460737
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.000542688
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00718579
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.00967379
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.0238042
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.0229285
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0453879
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0349336
  42. rsi : 0.512696
  43. adx : 0.22642
  44. kc_percentage : 0.777422
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0153163
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.628359
  47. volume_ema1 : 15018.415809882
  48. volume_ema2 : 40411.145852259
  49. chop : 68.2172
  50. regime : bear_medium
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 125.944
  54. ema21 : 125.688
  55. ema50 : 125.606
  56. ema100 : 126.119
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00203054
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00203778
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.000651313
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.000637947
  61. all_emas_in_trend : True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.0396508
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0246749
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.00770106
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.00627618
  67. rsi : 0.617378
  68. adx : 0.326407
  69. kc_percentage : 1.00492
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.00781084
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.0733757
  72. volume_ema1 : 5726.6886026915
  73. volume_ema2 : 6180.162604805
  74. chop : 20.1188
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    66521
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.00257398
  81. 5m_price:
    66692.3
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.585383
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    66991.1
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00600706
  86. 15m_price:
    66588.7
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.143805
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    68076.2
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0203298
  91. 1H_price:
    66692.3
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.00073
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-16 08:00:00
                        [1] => 136.67
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-16 10:00:00
                        [1] => 131.16
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-16 17:00:00
                        [1] => 134.75
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-17 10:00:00
                        [1] => 126.04
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-17 13:00:00
                        [1] => 132.19
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-17 20:00:00
                        [1] => 127.39
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-18 04:00:00
                        [1] => 130.82
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-18 10:00:00
                        [1] => 132.28
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-18 15:00:00
                        [1] => 123.88
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-18 20:00:00
                        [1] => 126.44
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.16608668142992
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.8969970939619
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.0665159832096
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 1
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-17 20:30:00
                        [1] => 127.39
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-18 00:15:00
                        [1] => 129.32
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-18 01:00:00
                        [1] => 128.87
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-18 03:15:00
                        [1] => 130.76
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-18 04:45:00
                        [1] => 130.82
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-18 06:00:00
                        [1] => 128.32
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-18 09:45:00
                        [1] => 126.19
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-18 10:30:00
                        [1] => 132.28
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-18 15:15:00
                        [1] => 123.88
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-18 20:00:00
                        [1] => 126.44
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.16608668142992
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.8969970939619
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 20
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.0665159832096
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-18 15:20:00
                        [1] => 123.88
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-18 15:45:00
                        [1] => 126.02
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-18 16:05:00
                        [1] => 124.44
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-18 16:40:00
                        [1] => 125.43
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-18 17:25:00
                        [1] => 124.99
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-18 17:35:00
                        [1] => 124.99
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-18 18:20:00
                        [1] => 125.51
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-18 19:10:00
                        [1] => 125.63
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-18 19:25:00
                        [1] => 125.03
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-18 20:00:00
                        [1] => 126.44
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.16608668142992
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.84684828633059
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 5
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.1277293449572
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.17%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.85%
Bars Since Swing High
5 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.13%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.1028
0.08%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.6343
1.30%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-18 15:20:00 123.88 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 15:45:00 126.02 ↑ High
2026-02-18 16:05:00 124.44 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 16:40:00 125.43 ↑ High
2026-02-18 17:25:00 124.99 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 17:35:00 124.99 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 18:20:00 125.51 ↑ High
2026-02-18 19:10:00 125.63 ↑ High
2026-02-18 19:25:00 125.03 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 20:00:00 126.44 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.17%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.90%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
20 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.07%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
5.7372
4.53%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.6343
1.30%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-17 20:30:00 127.39 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 00:15:00 129.32 ↑ High
2026-02-18 01:00:00 128.87 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 03:15:00 130.76 ↑ High
2026-02-18 04:45:00 130.82 ↑ High
2026-02-18 06:00:00 128.32 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 09:45:00 126.19 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 10:30:00 132.28 ↑ High
2026-02-18 15:15:00 123.88 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 20:00:00 126.44 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.17%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.90%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.07%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
1

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
10.1272
8.00%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.6343
1.30%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-16 08:00:00 136.67 ↑ High
2026-02-16 10:00:00 131.16 ↓ Low
2026-02-16 17:00:00 134.75 ↑ High
2026-02-17 10:00:00 126.04 ↓ Low
2026-02-17 13:00:00 132.19 ↑ High
2026-02-17 20:00:00 127.39 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 04:00:00 130.82 ↑ High
2026-02-18 10:00:00 132.28 ↑ High
2026-02-18 15:00:00 123.88 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 20:00:00 126.44 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
18 Feb 2026
20:27:39
18 Feb 2026
20:40:00
12 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
126.2 126.5428 125.5143 2 134.84
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 126.2
  • Stop Loss: 126.5428
  • Take Profit: 125.5143

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 126.5428 - 126.2 = 0.3428

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 126.2 - 125.5143 = 0.6857

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.6857 / 0.3428 = 2.0003

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
2944.7297 100 23.3338 29.45
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.3428

Taille de position = 8 / 0.3428 = 23.34

Taille de position USD = 23.34 x 126.2 = 2945.51

Donc, tu peux acheter 23.34 avec un stoploss a 126.5428

Avec un position size USD de 2945.51$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 23.34 x 0.3428 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 23.34 x 0.6857 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 23.34
  • Taille de position USD 2945.51
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0003

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.54 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.27 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.27
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.3011 % 110.86 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 125.5143
            [entry_price] => 126.2
            [stop_loss] => 126.57708
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-18 20:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 125.5143
            [entry_price] => 126.2
            [stop_loss] => 126.61136
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-18 20:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 125.5143
            [entry_price] => 126.2
            [stop_loss] => 126.64564
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-18 20:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 125.5143
            [entry_price] => 126.2
            [stop_loss] => 126.7142
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-18 21:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => -0.030000000000001
            [max_drawdown] => 0.61
            [rr_ratio] => -0.05
            [high] => 126.81000000
            [low] => 126.23000000
            [mfe_pct] => -0.02
            [mae_pct] => 0.48
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => -0.05
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-02-18T20:27:39-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-18T22:27:39-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.40000000000001
            [max_drawdown] => 0.8
            [rr_ratio] => 0.5
            [high] => 127.00000000
            [low] => 125.80000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.32
            [mae_pct] => 0.63
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.5
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-02-18T20:27:39-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-19T03:27:39-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 126.44000000
            [high_after] => 126.81000000
            [low_before] => 124.99000000
            [low_after] => 125.80000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)