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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 18 Feb 2026 at 20:39:48

Take profit at 125.7412 (0.51 %) and Stop Loss at 126.7144 (0.26 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 18 Feb 2026 at 20:39:48

With 24.6621 MSTR at 126.39$ per unit.

Position size of 3117.0422 $

Take profit at 125.7412 (0.51 %) and Stop Loss at 126.7144 (0.26 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.81
Prediction Score: 5
Prediction 1 Probability
Strong Trade
0.55
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.45
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.83
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.583939

15m : -0.225179

1H : -0.043689

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.13
  4. atr: 0.2162562987
Details
  1. score: 1.13
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 126.229
  4. ema21 : 127.368
  5. ema50 : 129.139
  6. ema100 : 130.955
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00127376
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00894597
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0137154
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0348632
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.19061
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.135027
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0987883
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0724573
  17. rsi : 0.424893
  18. adx : 0.235114
  19. kc_percentage : 0.34417
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0457061
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.616949
  22. volume_ema1 : 78671.777471666
  23. volume_ema2 : 205382.45495786
  24. chop : 34.8617
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 125.802
  28. ema21 : 125.768
  29. ema50 : 126.593
  30. ema100 : 127.379
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00466624
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000275673
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00651506
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00776607
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0371441
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0125106
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0398424
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0318099
  41. rsi : 0.554065
  42. adx : 0.217263
  43. kc_percentage : 0.860329
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0140805
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.702161
  46. volume_ema1 : 11679.557706588
  47. volume_ema2 : 39214.347581375
  48. chop : 66.8341
  49. regime : range_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 126.098
  52. ema21 : 125.807
  53. ema50 : 125.665
  54. ema100 : 126.13
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00230795
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00231881
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00112718
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00205415
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0528009
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0336427
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0129706
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.00307919
  65. rsi : 0.645129
  66. adx : 0.371262
  67. kc_percentage : 1.12576
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0071537
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.311674
  70. volume_ema1 : 3836.9040345296
  71. volume_ema2 : 5574.2597114075
  72. chop : 26.6397
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    66535.7
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00129722
  78. 5m_price: 
    66622.1
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.583939
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    66966.6
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00363237
  83. 15m_price: 
    66723.4
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.225179
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    68074.8
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.021341
  88. 1H_price: 
    66622.1
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.043689
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-16 08:00:00
                    [1] => 136.67
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-16 10:00:00
                    [1] => 131.16
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-16 17:00:00
                    [1] => 134.75
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-17 10:00:00
                    [1] => 126.04
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-17 13:00:00
                    [1] => 132.19
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-17 20:00:00
                    [1] => 127.39
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 04:00:00
                    [1] => 130.82
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 10:00:00
                    [1] => 132.28
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 15:00:00
                    [1] => 123.88
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 20:00:00
                    [1] => 126.44
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.11072445428662
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.9535033903778
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.0665159832096
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 1
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-17 20:30:00
                    [1] => 127.39
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 00:15:00
                    [1] => 129.32
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 01:00:00
                    [1] => 128.87
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 03:15:00
                    [1] => 130.76
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 04:45:00
                    [1] => 130.82
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 06:00:00
                    [1] => 128.32
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 09:45:00
                    [1] => 126.19
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 10:30:00
                    [1] => 132.28
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 15:15:00
                    [1] => 123.88
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 20:00:00
                    [1] => 126.44
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.11072445428662
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.9535033903778
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 21
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.0665159832096
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 15:45:00
                    [1] => 126.02
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 16:05:00
                    [1] => 124.44
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 16:40:00
                    [1] => 125.43
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 17:25:00
                    [1] => 124.99
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 17:35:00
                    [1] => 124.99
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 18:20:00
                    [1] => 125.51
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 19:10:00
                    [1] => 125.63
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 19:25:00
                    [1] => 125.03
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 20:00:00
                    [1] => 126.44
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 20:35:00
                    [1] => 126.42
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.094921689606079
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.90277222976751
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.015820281601009
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.09%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.90%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.02%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.2744
0.22%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.3012
1.03%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-18 15:45:00 126.02 ↑ High
2026-02-18 16:05:00 124.44 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 16:40:00 125.43 ↑ High
2026-02-18 17:25:00 124.99 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 17:35:00 124.99 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 18:20:00 125.51 ↑ High
2026-02-18 19:10:00 125.63 ↑ High
2026-02-18 19:25:00 125.03 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 20:00:00 126.44 ↑ High
2026-02-18 20:35:00 126.42 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.11%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.95%
Bars Since Swing High
2 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
21 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.07%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
5.5656
4.39%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.8612
1.48%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-17 20:30:00 127.39 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 00:15:00 129.32 ↑ High
2026-02-18 01:00:00 128.87 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 03:15:00 130.76 ↑ High
2026-02-18 04:45:00 130.82 ↑ High
2026-02-18 06:00:00 128.32 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 09:45:00 126.19 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 10:30:00 132.28 ↑ High
2026-02-18 15:15:00 123.88 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 20:00:00 126.44 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.11%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.95%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.07%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
1

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
9.9556
7.86%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.8612
1.48%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-16 08:00:00 136.67 ↑ High
2026-02-16 10:00:00 131.16 ↓ Low
2026-02-16 17:00:00 134.75 ↑ High
2026-02-17 10:00:00 126.04 ↓ Low
2026-02-17 13:00:00 132.19 ↑ High
2026-02-17 20:00:00 127.39 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 04:00:00 130.82 ↑ High
2026-02-18 10:00:00 132.28 ↑ High
2026-02-18 15:00:00 123.88 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 20:00:00 126.44 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
18 Feb 2026
20:39:48		 18 Feb 2026
21:00:00		 20 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
126.39 126.7144 125.7412 2 135.28
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 126.39
  • Stop Loss: 126.7144
  • Take Profit: 125.7412

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 126.7144 - 126.39 = 0.3244

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 126.39 - 125.7412 = 0.64879999999999

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.64879999999999 / 0.3244 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
3117.0422 100 24.6621 31.17
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.3244

Taille de position = 8 / 0.3244 = 24.66

Taille de position USD = 24.66 x 126.39 = 3116.78

Donc, tu peux acheter 24.66 avec un stoploss a 126.7144

Avec un position size USD de 3116.78$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 24.66 x 0.3244 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 24.66 x 0.64879999999999 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 24.66
  • Taille de position USD 3116.78
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.51 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.26 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.26
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.3086 % 120.22 % 4

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 125.7412
            [entry_price] => 126.39
            [stop_loss] => 126.74684
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-18 21:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 125.7412
            [entry_price] => 126.39
            [stop_loss] => 126.77928
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-18 21:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 125.7412
            [entry_price] => 126.39
            [stop_loss] => 126.81172
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-19 02:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 125.7412
            [entry_price] => 126.39
            [stop_loss] => 126.8766
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-19 02:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.12
            [max_drawdown] => 0.42
            [rr_ratio] => 0.29
            [high] => 126.81000000
            [low] => 126.27000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.09
            [mae_pct] => 0.33
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.29
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-02-18T20:39:48-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-18T22:39:48-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.59
            [max_drawdown] => 0.61
            [rr_ratio] => 0.97
            [high] => 127.00000000
            [low] => 125.80000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.47
            [mae_pct] => 0.48
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.97
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-02-18T20:39:48-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-19T03:39:48-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 126.44000000
            [high_after] => 127.00000000
            [low_before] => 124.99000000
            [low_after] => 125.80000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)