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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 18 Feb 2026 at 20:48:11

Take profit at 125.8448 (0.49 %) and Stop Loss at 126.7676 (0.24 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 18 Feb 2026 at 20:48:11

With 26.0087 MSTR at 126.46$ per unit.

Position size of 3289.0557 $

Take profit at 125.8448 (0.49 %) and Stop Loss at 126.7676 (0.24 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -70
ML Pullback Score: 1.16
Prediction Score: 4
Prediction 1 Probability
Strong Trade
0.51
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.65
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.88
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.598511

15m : 0.000788

1H : 0.024847

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.13
  4. atr: 0.2050598695
Details
  1. score: 1.13
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 126.243
  4. ema21 : 127.375
  5. ema50 : 129.142
  6. ema100 : 130.956
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00171721
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00888557
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0136871
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0343389
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.189707
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.134617
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0986132
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0723698
  17. rsi : 0.428837
  18. adx : 0.233863
  19. kc_percentage : 0.356525
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0461236
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.603571
  22. volume_ema1 : 81553.790038333
  23. volume_ema2 : 205721.51525982
  24. chop : 34.8796
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 125.955
  28. ema21 : 125.841
  29. ema50 : 126.584
  30. ema100 : 127.304
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00400794
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0009002
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00586796
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0066299
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0490746
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.00253989
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0341911
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0282495
  41. rsi : 0.567952
  42. adx : 0.216978
  43. kc_percentage : 0.873793
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0133771
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.73336
  46. volume_ema1 : 10358.42558217
  47. volume_ema2 : 38848.110417106
  48. chop : 62.0699
  49. regime : range_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 126.217
  52. ema21 : 125.913
  53. ema50 : 125.72
  54. ema100 : 126.117
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00192191
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00241164
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00153884
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00271413
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0600761
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0403639
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.017637
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.00028032
  65. rsi : 0.653051
  66. adx : 0.416405
  67. kc_percentage : 1.13309
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00658841
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.38901
  70. volume_ema1 : 3611.0086153465
  71. volume_ema2 : 5910.1010323709
  72. chop : 25.1244
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    66546.7
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00338201
  78. 5m_price: 
    66771.8
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.598511
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    66936.8
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00246551
  83. 15m_price: 
    66771.8
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.000788
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    68077.8
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0191847
  88. 1H_price: 
    66771.8
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.024847
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-16 08:00:00
                    [1] => 136.67
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-16 10:00:00
                    [1] => 131.16
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-16 17:00:00
                    [1] => 134.75
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-17 10:00:00
                    [1] => 126.04
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-17 13:00:00
                    [1] => 132.19
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-17 20:00:00
                    [1] => 127.39
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 04:00:00
                    [1] => 130.82
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 10:00:00
                    [1] => 132.28
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 15:00:00
                    [1] => 123.88
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 20:00:00
                    [1] => 126.58
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.11060199083584
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.0665159832096
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.1795285760413
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 1
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-17 20:30:00
                    [1] => 127.39
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 00:15:00
                    [1] => 129.32
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 01:00:00
                    [1] => 128.87
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 03:15:00
                    [1] => 130.76
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 04:45:00
                    [1] => 130.82
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 06:00:00
                    [1] => 128.32
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 09:45:00
                    [1] => 126.19
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 10:30:00
                    [1] => 132.28
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 15:15:00
                    [1] => 123.88
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 20:30:00
                    [1] => 126.58
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.11060199083584
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.0665159832096
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 22
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.1795285760413
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 15:45:00
                    [1] => 126.02
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 16:05:00
                    [1] => 124.44
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 16:40:00
                    [1] => 125.43
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 17:25:00
                    [1] => 124.99
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 17:35:00
                    [1] => 124.99
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 18:20:00
                    [1] => 125.51
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 19:10:00
                    [1] => 125.63
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 19:25:00
                    [1] => 125.03
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 20:00:00
                    [1] => 126.44
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 20:40:00
                    [1] => 126.58
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.11060199083584
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.0146201166414
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.11072445428662
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.11%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.01%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
9 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.11%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.1876
0.15%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.4048
1.12%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-18 15:45:00 126.02 ↑ High
2026-02-18 16:05:00 124.44 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 16:40:00 125.43 ↑ High
2026-02-18 17:25:00 124.99 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 17:35:00 124.99 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 18:20:00 125.51 ↑ High
2026-02-18 19:10:00 125.63 ↑ High
2026-02-18 19:25:00 125.03 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 20:00:00 126.44 ↑ High
2026-02-18 20:40:00 126.58 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.11%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.07%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
22 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.18%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
5.5124
4.35%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.9648
1.56%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-17 20:30:00 127.39 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 00:15:00 129.32 ↑ High
2026-02-18 01:00:00 128.87 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 03:15:00 130.76 ↑ High
2026-02-18 04:45:00 130.82 ↑ High
2026-02-18 06:00:00 128.32 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 09:45:00 126.19 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 10:30:00 132.28 ↑ High
2026-02-18 15:15:00 123.88 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 20:30:00 126.58 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.11%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.07%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.18%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
1

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
9.9024
7.81%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.9648
1.56%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-16 08:00:00 136.67 ↑ High
2026-02-16 10:00:00 131.16 ↓ Low
2026-02-16 17:00:00 134.75 ↑ High
2026-02-17 10:00:00 126.04 ↓ Low
2026-02-17 13:00:00 132.19 ↑ High
2026-02-17 20:00:00 127.39 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 04:00:00 130.82 ↑ High
2026-02-18 10:00:00 132.28 ↑ High
2026-02-18 15:00:00 123.88 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 20:00:00 126.58 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
18 Feb 2026
20:48:11		 18 Feb 2026
21:00:00		 11 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
126.46 126.7676 125.8448 2 135.28
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 126.46
  • Stop Loss: 126.7676
  • Take Profit: 125.8448

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 126.7676 - 126.46 = 0.30760000000001

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 126.46 - 125.8448 = 0.61519999999999

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.61519999999999 / 0.30760000000001 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
3289.0557 100 26.0087 32.89
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.30760000000001

Taille de position = 8 / 0.30760000000001 = 26.01

Taille de position USD = 26.01 x 126.46 = 3289.22

Donc, tu peux acheter 26.01 avec un stoploss a 126.7676

Avec un position size USD de 3289.22$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 26.01 x 0.30760000000001 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 26.01 x 0.61519999999999 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 26.01
  • Taille de position USD 3289.22
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.49 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.24 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.24
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.253 % 104.03 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 125.8448
            [entry_price] => 126.46
            [stop_loss] => 126.79836
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-18 21:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 125.8448
            [entry_price] => 126.46
            [stop_loss] => 126.82912
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-19 00:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 125.8448
            [entry_price] => 126.46
            [stop_loss] => 126.85988
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-19 00:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 125.8448
            [entry_price] => 126.46
            [stop_loss] => 126.9214
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-19 00:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.19
            [max_drawdown] => 0.35000000000001
            [rr_ratio] => 0.54
            [high] => 126.81000000
            [low] => 126.27000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.15
            [mae_pct] => 0.28
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.54
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-02-18T20:48:11-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-18T22:48:11-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.66
            [max_drawdown] => 0.54000000000001
            [rr_ratio] => 1.22
            [high] => 127.00000000
            [low] => 125.80000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.52
            [mae_pct] => 0.43
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.22
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-02-18T20:48:11-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-19T03:48:11-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 126.58000000
            [high_after] => 127.00000000
            [low_before] => 124.99000000
            [low_after] => 125.80000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)