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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 18 Feb 2026 at 20:51:24

Take profit at 125.8328 (0.47 %) and Stop Loss at 126.7286 (0.24 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 18 Feb 2026 at 20:51:24

With 26.7901 MSTR at 126.43$ per unit.

Position size of 3387.0689 $

Take profit at 125.8328 (0.47 %) and Stop Loss at 126.7286 (0.24 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -80
ML Pullback Score: 1
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.56
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.57
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.83
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.602525

15m : -0.029429

1H : 0.044808

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.07
  4. atr: 0.1990787175
Details
  1. score: 1.07
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 126.237
  4. ema21 : 127.372
  5. ema50 : 129.141
  6. ema100 : 130.956
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00152717
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00891146
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0136992
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0345636
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.190094
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.134793
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0986883
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0724073
  17. rsi : 0.427153
  18. adx : 0.233863
  19. kc_percentage : 0.351871
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0461345
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.602543
  22. volume_ema1 : 81775.752738333
  23. volume_ema2 : 205747.62851864
  24. chop : 34.8796
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 125.951
  28. ema21 : 125.84
  29. ema50 : 126.583
  30. ema100 : 127.303
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00380164
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000882875
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00587616
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00686247
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0488084
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.00266026
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0342425
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0282753
  41. rsi : 0.565045
  42. adx : 0.216978
  43. kc_percentage : 0.847329
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0137599
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.727903
  46. volume_ema1 : 10577.438248836
  47. volume_ema2 : 38873.876613184
  48. chop : 62.1096
  49. regime : range_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 126.256
  52. ema21 : 125.959
  53. ema50 : 125.744
  54. ema100 : 126.1
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00137231
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00236354
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00170793
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00261307
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0622084
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0431144
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0198374
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.00207535
  65. rsi : 0.644262
  66. adx : 0.435951
  67. kc_percentage : 1.06687
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00630429
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.528268
  70. volume_ema1 : 2556.2975546754
  71. volume_ema2 : 5418.9649869442
  72. chop : 26.2476
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    66558
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00336514
  78. 5m_price: 
    66782
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.602525
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    66937
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00231614
  83. 15m_price: 
    66782
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.029429
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    68078
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0190378
  88. 1H_price: 
    66782
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.044808
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-16 08:00:00
                    [1] => 136.67
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-16 10:00:00
                    [1] => 131.16
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-16 17:00:00
                    [1] => 134.75
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-17 10:00:00
                    [1] => 126.04
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-17 13:00:00
                    [1] => 132.19
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-17 20:00:00
                    [1] => 127.39
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 04:00:00
                    [1] => 130.82
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 10:00:00
                    [1] => 132.28
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 15:00:00
                    [1] => 123.88
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 20:00:00
                    [1] => 126.58
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.24490440827935
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.9292864061995
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.1795285760413
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 1
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-17 20:30:00
                    [1] => 127.39
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 00:15:00
                    [1] => 129.32
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 01:00:00
                    [1] => 128.87
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 03:15:00
                    [1] => 130.76
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 04:45:00
                    [1] => 130.82
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 06:00:00
                    [1] => 128.32
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 09:45:00
                    [1] => 126.19
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 10:30:00
                    [1] => 132.28
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 15:15:00
                    [1] => 123.88
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 20:30:00
                    [1] => 126.58
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.24490440827935
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.9292864061995
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 22
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.1795285760413
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 15:45:00
                    [1] => 126.02
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 16:05:00
                    [1] => 124.44
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 16:40:00
                    [1] => 125.43
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 17:25:00
                    [1] => 124.99
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 17:35:00
                    [1] => 124.99
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 18:20:00
                    [1] => 125.51
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 19:10:00
                    [1] => 125.63
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 19:25:00
                    [1] => 125.03
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 20:00:00
                    [1] => 126.44
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 20:40:00
                    [1] => 126.58
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.24490440827935
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.8788048254374
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.11072445428662
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.24%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.88%
Bars Since Swing High
2 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
10 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.11%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.1486
0.12%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.3928
1.11%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-18 15:45:00 126.02 ↑ High
2026-02-18 16:05:00 124.44 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 16:40:00 125.43 ↑ High
2026-02-18 17:25:00 124.99 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 17:35:00 124.99 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 18:20:00 125.51 ↑ High
2026-02-18 19:10:00 125.63 ↑ High
2026-02-18 19:25:00 125.03 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 20:00:00 126.44 ↑ High
2026-02-18 20:40:00 126.58 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.24%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.93%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
22 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.18%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
5.5514
4.38%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.9528
1.55%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-17 20:30:00 127.39 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 00:15:00 129.32 ↑ High
2026-02-18 01:00:00 128.87 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 03:15:00 130.76 ↑ High
2026-02-18 04:45:00 130.82 ↑ High
2026-02-18 06:00:00 128.32 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 09:45:00 126.19 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 10:30:00 132.28 ↑ High
2026-02-18 15:15:00 123.88 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 20:30:00 126.58 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.24%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.93%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.18%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
1

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
9.9414
7.84%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.9528
1.55%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-16 08:00:00 136.67 ↑ High
2026-02-16 10:00:00 131.16 ↓ Low
2026-02-16 17:00:00 134.75 ↑ High
2026-02-17 10:00:00 126.04 ↓ Low
2026-02-17 13:00:00 132.19 ↑ High
2026-02-17 20:00:00 127.39 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 04:00:00 130.82 ↑ High
2026-02-18 10:00:00 132.28 ↑ High
2026-02-18 15:00:00 123.88 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 20:00:00 126.58 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
18 Feb 2026
20:51:24		 18 Feb 2026
21:00:00		 8 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
126.43 126.7286 125.8328 2 135.28
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 126.43
  • Stop Loss: 126.7286
  • Take Profit: 125.8328

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 126.7286 - 126.43 = 0.29859999999999

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 126.43 - 125.8328 = 0.5972

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.5972 / 0.29859999999999 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
3387.0689 100 26.7901 33.87
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.29859999999999

Taille de position = 8 / 0.29859999999999 = 26.79

Taille de position USD = 26.79 x 126.43 = 3387.06

Donc, tu peux acheter 26.79 avec un stoploss a 126.7286

Avec un position size USD de 3387.06$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 26.79 x 0.29859999999999 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 26.79 x 0.5972 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 26.79
  • Taille de position USD 3387.06
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.47 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.24 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.24
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.2768 % 117.19 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 125.8328
            [entry_price] => 126.43
            [stop_loss] => 126.75846
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-18 21:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 125.8328
            [entry_price] => 126.43
            [stop_loss] => 126.78832
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-18 21:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 125.8328
            [entry_price] => 126.43
            [stop_loss] => 126.81818
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-19 00:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 125.8328
            [entry_price] => 126.43
            [stop_loss] => 126.8779
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-19 00:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.16000000000001
            [max_drawdown] => 0.38
            [rr_ratio] => 0.42
            [high] => 126.81000000
            [low] => 126.27000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.13
            [mae_pct] => 0.3
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.42
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-02-18T20:51:24-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-18T22:51:24-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.63000000000001
            [max_drawdown] => 0.56999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 1.11
            [high] => 127.00000000
            [low] => 125.80000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.5
            [mae_pct] => 0.45
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.11
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-02-18T20:51:24-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-19T03:51:24-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 126.58000000
            [high_after] => 127.00000000
            [low_before] => 124.99000000
            [low_after] => 125.80000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)