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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 18 Feb 2026 at 21:10:55

Take profit at 125.9783 (0.52 %) and Stop Loss at 126.9708 (0.26 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 18 Feb 2026 at 21:10:55

With 24.1817 MSTR at 126.64$ per unit.

Position size of 3062.3765 $

Take profit at 125.9783 (0.52 %) and Stop Loss at 126.9708 (0.26 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 50
ML Pullback Score: 2.67
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.66
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.56
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.79
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : bull_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.586775

15m : 0.014718

1H : 0.087885

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0
  4. atr: 0.2205520213
Details
  1. score: 1
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 126.359
  4. ema21 : 127.327
  5. ema50 : 129.047
  6. ema100 : 130.836
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00222088
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00760097
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0133333
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0320755
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.177112
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.13374
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0993996
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0727205
  17. rsi : 0.439166
  18. adx : 0.22747
  19. kc_percentage : 0.386802
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0428388
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.705333
  22. volume_ema1 : 58414.581725555
  23. volume_ema2 : 198239.32710967
  24. chop : 35.3048
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 126.128
  28. ema21 : 125.933
  29. ema50 : 126.594
  30. ema100 : 127.284
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00405186
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00155232
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0052183
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00506348
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0612793
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.00780097
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0284611
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0253211
  41. rsi : 0.584449
  42. adx : 0.216851
  43. kc_percentage : 0.89518
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.01429
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.707267
  46. volume_ema1 : 10951.005421446
  47. volume_ema2 : 37409.549843588
  48. chop : 56.8106
  49. regime : range_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 126.468
  52. ema21 : 126.165
  53. ema50 : 125.859
  54. ema100 : 126.045
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00135252
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00240478
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00242833
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00471985
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0464434
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.041194
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0229864
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.00652999
  65. rsi : 0.642816
  66. adx : 0.491683
  67. kc_percentage : 1.0022
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00712447
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.569272
  70. volume_ema1 : 2355.6971260264
  71. volume_ema2 : 5469.1118604988
  72. chop : 47.4171
  73. regime : bull_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    66576.3
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00364092
  78. 5m_price: 
    66818.7
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.586775
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    66928.8
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00164599
  83. 15m_price: 
    66818.7
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.014718
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    68035.7
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0178889
  88. 1H_price: 
    66818.7
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.087885
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-16 08:00:00
                    [1] => 136.67
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-16 10:00:00
                    [1] => 131.16
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-16 17:00:00
                    [1] => 134.75
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-17 10:00:00
                    [1] => 126.04
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-17 13:00:00
                    [1] => 132.19
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-17 20:00:00
                    [1] => 127.39
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 04:00:00
                    [1] => 130.82
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 10:00:00
                    [1] => 132.28
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 15:00:00
                    [1] => 123.88
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 21:00:00
                    [1] => 126.78
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.1104275122259
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.2279625443978
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.3409751372296
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 1
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-17 20:30:00
                    [1] => 127.39
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 00:15:00
                    [1] => 129.32
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 01:00:00
                    [1] => 128.87
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 03:15:00
                    [1] => 130.76
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 04:45:00
                    [1] => 130.82
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 06:00:00
                    [1] => 128.32
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 09:45:00
                    [1] => 126.19
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 10:30:00
                    [1] => 132.28
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 15:15:00
                    [1] => 123.88
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 21:00:00
                    [1] => 126.78
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.1104275122259
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.2279625443978
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 23
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.3409751372296
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 15:45:00
                    [1] => 126.02
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 16:05:00
                    [1] => 124.44
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 16:40:00
                    [1] => 125.43
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 17:25:00
                    [1] => 124.99
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 17:35:00
                    [1] => 124.99
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 18:20:00
                    [1] => 125.51
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 19:10:00
                    [1] => 125.63
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 19:25:00
                    [1] => 125.03
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 20:00:00
                    [1] => 126.44
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 21:00:00
                    [1] => 126.78
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.1104275122259
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.1744028121754
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 14
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.26890224612465
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.11%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.17%
Bars Since Swing High
2 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
14 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.27%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.1908
0.15%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.5383
1.22%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-18 15:45:00 126.02 ↑ High
2026-02-18 16:05:00 124.44 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 16:40:00 125.43 ↑ High
2026-02-18 17:25:00 124.99 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 17:35:00 124.99 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 18:20:00 125.51 ↑ High
2026-02-18 19:10:00 125.63 ↑ High
2026-02-18 19:25:00 125.03 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 20:00:00 126.44 ↑ High
2026-02-18 21:00:00 126.78 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.11%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.23%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
23 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.34%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
5.3092
4.18%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.0983
1.67%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-17 20:30:00 127.39 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 00:15:00 129.32 ↑ High
2026-02-18 01:00:00 128.87 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 03:15:00 130.76 ↑ High
2026-02-18 04:45:00 130.82 ↑ High
2026-02-18 06:00:00 128.32 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 09:45:00 126.19 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 10:30:00 132.28 ↑ High
2026-02-18 15:15:00 123.88 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 21:00:00 126.78 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.11%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.23%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.34%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
1

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
9.6992
7.64%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.0983
1.67%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-16 08:00:00 136.67 ↑ High
2026-02-16 10:00:00 131.16 ↓ Low
2026-02-16 17:00:00 134.75 ↑ High
2026-02-17 10:00:00 126.04 ↓ Low
2026-02-17 13:00:00 132.19 ↑ High
2026-02-17 20:00:00 127.39 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 04:00:00 130.82 ↑ High
2026-02-18 10:00:00 132.28 ↑ High
2026-02-18 15:00:00 123.88 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 21:00:00 126.78 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
18 Feb 2026
21:10:55		 19 Feb 2026
00:10:00		 2 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
126.64 126.9708 125.9783 2 135.28
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 126.64
  • Stop Loss: 126.9708
  • Take Profit: 125.9783

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 126.9708 - 126.64 = 0.3308

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 126.64 - 125.9783 = 0.6617

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.6617 / 0.3308 = 2.0003

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
3062.3765 100 24.1817 30.62
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.3308

Taille de position = 8 / 0.3308 = 24.18

Taille de position USD = 24.18 x 126.64 = 3062.16

Donc, tu peux acheter 24.18 avec un stoploss a 126.9708

Avec un position size USD de 3062.16$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 24.18 x 0.3308 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 24.18 x 0.6617 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 24.18
  • Taille de position USD 3062.16
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0003

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.52 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.26 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.52
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.1342 % 51.38 % 10

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 125.9784
            [stop_loss] => 126.9708
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-19 00:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 125.813
            [stop_loss] => 126.9708
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-19 00:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 125.6476
            [stop_loss] => 126.9708
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-19 02:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 125.4822
            [stop_loss] => 126.9708
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-19 02:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 125.3168
            [stop_loss] => 126.9708
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-19 02:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 125.1514
            [stop_loss] => 126.9708
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-19 02:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 124.986
            [stop_loss] => 126.9708
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-19 02:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 124.8206
            [stop_loss] => 126.9708
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-19 02:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 124.6552
            [stop_loss] => 126.9708
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-19 02:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 124.4898
            [stop_loss] => 126.9708
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-19 02:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 124.3244
            [stop_loss] => 126.9708
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-19 02:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.27
            [max_drawdown] => 0.17
            [rr_ratio] => 1.59
            [high] => 126.81000000
            [low] => 126.37000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.21
            [mae_pct] => 0.13
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.59
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-02-18T21:10:55-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-18T23:10:55-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.84
            [max_drawdown] => 0.36
            [rr_ratio] => 2.33
            [high] => 127.00000000
            [low] => 125.80000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.66
            [mae_pct] => 0.28
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.33
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-02-18T21:10:55-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-19T04:10:55-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 126.78000000
            [high_after] => 127.00000000
            [low_before] => 124.99000000
            [low_after] => 125.80000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)