Short Trade on AAVE 18 Feb 2026 at 21:28:55
Take profit at 123.3179 (0.71 %) and Stop Loss at 124.6411 (0.36 %)
Short Trade on AAVE 18 Feb 2026 at 21:28:55
Take profit at 123.3179 (0.71 %) and Stop Loss at 124.6411 (0.36 %)
Position size of 2252.7384 $
Take profit at 123.3179 (0.71 %) and Stop Loss at 124.6411 (0.36 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.57 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.48 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.56 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bull_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.618702 15m : -0.010339 1H : 0.095943 |
1 |
Indicators:
66585.3
0.005101
66925
0.618702
66942.4
-0.00221483
66794.2
-0.010339
68037.8
-0.0163569
66925
0.095943
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-16 08:00:00
[1] => 129.19
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-16 10:00:00
[1] => 123.07
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-16 21:00:00
[1] => 127.72
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-17 05:00:00
[1] => 123.71
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-17 11:00:00
[1] => 130.67
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-17 20:00:00
[1] => 124.72
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-18 03:00:00
[1] => 129.08
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-18 10:00:00
[1] => 128.58
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-18 15:00:00
[1] => 120.65
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-18 21:00:00
[1] => 124.25
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.032193158953727
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.9506837961044
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.9838375466225
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-18 03:45:00
[1] => 125.75
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-18 05:00:00
[1] => 127.52
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-18 06:00:00
[1] => 125.38
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-18 07:45:00
[1] => 127.7
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-18 09:45:00
[1] => 124.75
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-18 10:30:00
[1] => 128.58
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-18 15:00:00
[1] => 120.65
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-18 17:30:00
[1] => 123.2
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-18 19:15:00
[1] => 122.24
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-18 21:15:00
[1] => 124.25
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.032193158953727
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.6115837696335
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.6443062827225
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-18 16:05:00
[1] => 121.83
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-18 16:35:00
[1] => 123.15
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-18 16:50:00
[1] => 122.15
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-18 17:20:00
[1] => 122.11
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-18 17:40:00
[1] => 123.2
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-18 18:20:00
[1] => 122.25
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-18 19:05:00
[1] => 123.07
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-18 19:25:00
[1] => 122.24
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-18 20:10:00
[1] => 123.76
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-18 21:25:00
[1] => 124.25
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.032193158953727
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.6115837696335
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 24
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.39592760180995
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-18 16:05:00 | 121.83 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-18 16:35:00 | 123.15 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-18 16:50:00 | 122.15 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-18 17:20:00 | 122.11 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-18 17:40:00 | 123.2 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-18 18:20:00 | 122.25 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-18 19:05:00 | 123.07 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-18 19:25:00 | 122.24 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-18 20:10:00 | 123.76 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-18 21:25:00 | 124.25 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-18 03:45:00 | 125.75 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-18 05:00:00 | 127.52 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-18 06:00:00 | 125.38 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-18 07:45:00 | 127.7 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-18 09:45:00 | 124.75 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-18 10:30:00 | 128.58 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-18 15:00:00 | 120.65 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-18 17:30:00 | 123.2 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-18 19:15:00 | 122.24 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-18 21:15:00 | 124.25 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-16 08:00:00 | 129.19 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-16 10:00:00 | 123.07 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-16 21:00:00 | 127.72 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-17 05:00:00 | 123.71 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-17 11:00:00 | 130.67 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-17 20:00:00 | 124.72 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-18 03:00:00 | 129.08 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-18 10:00:00 | 128.58 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-18 15:00:00 | 120.65 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-18 21:00:00 | 124.25 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb 2026 21:28:55 |
18 Feb 2026 21:35:00 |
6 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 124.2 | 124.6411 | 123.3179 | 2 | 116.24 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 124.6411 - 124.2 = 0.44109999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 124.2 - 123.3179 = 0.88210000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.88210000000001 / 0.44109999999999 = 1.9998
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2252.7384 | 100 | 18.138 | 22.53 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.44109999999999 = 18.14
Taille de position USD = 18.14 x 124.2 = 2252.99
Donc, tu peux acheter 18.14 avec un stoploss a 124.6411
Avec un position size USD de 2252.99$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 18.14 x 0.44109999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 18.14 x 0.88210000000001 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.71 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.36 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.71 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0081 % | 2.28 % | 1 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 123.3178
[stop_loss] => 124.6411
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-02-18 21:35:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 123.09725
[stop_loss] => 124.6411
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-02-19 00:20:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 122.8767
[stop_loss] => 124.6411
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-02-19 00:20:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 122.65615
[stop_loss] => 124.6411
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2026-02-19 00:25:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.97
[max_drawdown] => 0.0099999999999909
[rr_ratio] => 97
[high] => 124.21000000
[low] => 123.23000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.78
[mae_pct] => 0.01
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 97
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-02-18T21:28:55-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-02-18T23:28:55-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 2.2
[max_drawdown] => 0.34
[rr_ratio] => 6.47
[high] => 124.54000000
[low] => 122.00000000
[mfe_pct] => 1.77
[mae_pct] => 0.27
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 6.47
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-02-18T21:28:55-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-02-19T04:28:55-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 124.25000000
[high_after] => 124.54000000
[low_before] => 122.24000000
[low_after] => 122.54000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)