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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 19 Feb 2026 at 01:36:59

Take profit at 126.3018 (0.26 %) and Stop Loss at 126.7941 (0.13 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 19 Feb 2026 at 01:36:59

With 48.7469 MSTR at 126.63$ per unit.

Position size of 6172.8232 $

Take profit at 126.3018 (0.26 %) and Stop Loss at 126.7941 (0.13 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 50
ML Pullback Score: 6.7
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.89
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.55
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.58
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.392541

15m : -0.090648

1H : -0.224569

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.28
  4. atr: 0.1094086091
Details
  1. score: 1.28
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 126.328
  4. ema21 : 127
  5. ema50 : 128.64
  6. ema100 : 130.492
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00238383
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00528507
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.012754
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0296013
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.158117
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.141187
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.108682
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0797317
  17. rsi : 0.453585
  18. adx : 0.214155
  19. kc_percentage : 0.428179
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0338549
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.796887
  22. volume_ema1 : 35369.661842908
  23. volume_ema2 : 174137.96500551
  24. chop : 44.3148
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 126.31
  28. ema21 : 126.258
  29. ema50 : 126.488
  30. ema100 : 127.159
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00252981
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000412066
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00182107
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00416548
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.0101155
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.00272571
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0085074
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0155883
  41. rsi : 0.579126
  42. adx : 0.142622
  43. kc_percentage : 0.861526
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.00805294
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.503041
  46. volume_ema1 : 10754.544691614
  47. volume_ema2 : 21640.715635356
  48. chop : 62.5978
  49. regime : range_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 126.391
  52. ema21 : 126.284
  53. ema50 : 126.241
  54. ema100 : 126.036
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00188709
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00084586
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.000342044
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00470959
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0199106
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.00360214
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.000719939
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.00366034
  65. rsi : 0.66907
  66. adx : 0.253132
  67. kc_percentage : 1.28108
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00346995
  69. volume_ema_diff : 0.446013
  70. volume_ema1 : 3996.4160247596
  71. volume_ema2 : 2763.7469319174
  72. chop : 20.748
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    66718.5
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00571635
  78. 5m_price: 
    67099.9
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.392541
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    66972.2
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00196998
  83. 15m_price: 
    67104.2
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.090648
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    67968.1
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0127742
  88. 1H_price: 
    67099.9
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.224569
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-16 08:00:00
                    [1] => 136.67
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-16 10:00:00
                    [1] => 131.16
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-16 17:00:00
                    [1] => 134.75
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-17 10:00:00
                    [1] => 126.04
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-17 13:00:00
                    [1] => 132.19
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-17 20:00:00
                    [1] => 127.39
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 04:00:00
                    [1] => 130.82
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 10:00:00
                    [1] => 132.28
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 15:00:00
                    [1] => 123.88
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 21:00:00
                    [1] => 126.81
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.28388928317956
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.074588311269
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.3651921214078
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 1
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 03:15:00
                    [1] => 130.76
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 04:45:00
                    [1] => 130.82
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 06:00:00
                    [1] => 128.32
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 09:45:00
                    [1] => 126.19
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 10:30:00
                    [1] => 132.28
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 15:15:00
                    [1] => 123.88
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 21:15:00
                    [1] => 126.81
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 23:15:00
                    [1] => 126.73
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-19 00:45:00
                    [1] => 125.8
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-19 01:30:00
                    [1] => 126.65
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.15791551519937
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.51669316375199
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.67567567567568
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 19:25:00
                    [1] => 125.03
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 20:00:00
                    [1] => 126.44
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 21:25:00
                    [1] => 126.81
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 21:45:00
                    [1] => 126.37
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 22:20:00
                    [1] => 126.73
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 22:30:00
                    [1] => 126.73
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 22:50:00
                    [1] => 126.41
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-18 23:20:00
                    [1] => 126.73
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-19 00:45:00
                    [1] => 125.8
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-19 01:30:00
                    [1] => 126.65
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.15791551519937
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.51669316375199
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.67567567567568
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.16%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.52%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
10 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.68%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0159
0.01%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.2718
1.01%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-18 19:25:00 125.03 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 20:00:00 126.44 ↑ High
2026-02-18 21:25:00 126.81 ↑ High
2026-02-18 21:45:00 126.37 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 22:20:00 126.73 ↑ High
2026-02-18 22:30:00 126.73 ↑ High
2026-02-18 22:50:00 126.41 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 23:20:00 126.73 ↑ High
2026-02-19 00:45:00 125.8 ↓ Low
2026-02-19 01:30:00 126.65 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.16%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.52%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.68%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
5.4859
4.33%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.4218
1.92%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-18 03:15:00 130.76 ↑ High
2026-02-18 04:45:00 130.82 ↑ High
2026-02-18 06:00:00 128.32 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 09:45:00 126.19 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 10:30:00 132.28 ↑ High
2026-02-18 15:15:00 123.88 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 21:15:00 126.81 ↑ High
2026-02-18 23:15:00 126.73 ↑ High
2026-02-19 00:45:00 125.8 ↓ Low
2026-02-19 01:30:00 126.65 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.28%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.07%
Bars Since Swing High
4 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
10 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.37%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
1

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
9.8759
7.79%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.4218
1.92%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-16 08:00:00 136.67 ↑ High
2026-02-16 10:00:00 131.16 ↓ Low
2026-02-16 17:00:00 134.75 ↑ High
2026-02-17 10:00:00 126.04 ↓ Low
2026-02-17 13:00:00 132.19 ↑ High
2026-02-17 20:00:00 127.39 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 04:00:00 130.82 ↑ High
2026-02-18 10:00:00 132.28 ↑ High
2026-02-18 15:00:00 123.88 ↓ Low
2026-02-18 21:00:00 126.81 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
19 Feb 2026
01:36:59		 19 Feb 2026
02:05:00		 28 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
126.63 126.7941 126.3018 2 135.4
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 126.63
  • Stop Loss: 126.7941
  • Take Profit: 126.3018

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 126.7941 - 126.63 = 0.1641

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 126.63 - 126.3018 = 0.3282

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.3282 / 0.1641 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
6172.8232 100 48.7469 61.73
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.1641

Taille de position = 8 / 0.1641 = 48.75

Taille de position USD = 48.75 x 126.63 = 6173.21

Donc, tu peux acheter 48.75 avec un stoploss a 126.7941

Avec un position size USD de 6173.21$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 48.75 x 0.1641 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 48.75 x 0.3282 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 48.75
  • Taille de position USD 6173.21
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.26 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.13 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.26
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 126.3018
            [stop_loss] => 126.7941
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-19 02:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 126.21975
            [stop_loss] => 126.7941
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-19 02:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 126.1377
            [stop_loss] => 126.7941
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-19 02:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 126.05565
            [stop_loss] => 126.7941
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-19 02:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 125.9736
            [stop_loss] => 126.7941
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-19 02:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 125.89155
            [stop_loss] => 126.7941
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-19 02:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 125.8095
            [stop_loss] => 126.7941
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-19 02:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 125.72745
            [stop_loss] => 126.7941
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-19 02:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 125.6454
            [stop_loss] => 126.7941
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-19 02:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 125.56335
            [stop_loss] => 126.7941
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-19 02:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 125.4813
            [stop_loss] => 126.7941
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-19 02:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.42
            [max_drawdown] => 0.37
            [rr_ratio] => 1.14
            [high] => 127.00000000
            [low] => 126.21000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.33
            [mae_pct] => 0.29
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.14
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-02-19T01:36:59-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-19T03:36:59-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 3.31
            [max_drawdown] => 0.37
            [rr_ratio] => 8.95
            [high] => 127.00000000
            [low] => 123.32000000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.61
            [mae_pct] => 0.29
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 8.95
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-02-19T01:36:59-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-19T08:36:59-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 126.73000000
            [high_after] => 127.00000000
            [low_before] => 125.80000000
            [low_after] => 124.54000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)