Short Trade on AVAX 22 Feb 2026 at 19:02:19
Take profit at 8.8432 (0.4 %) and Stop Loss at 8.8969 (0.2 %)
Short Trade on AVAX 22 Feb 2026 at 19:02:19
Take profit at 8.8432 (0.4 %) and Stop Loss at 8.8969 (0.2 %)
Position size of 3965.8085 $
Take profit at 8.8432 (0.4 %) and Stop Loss at 8.8969 (0.2 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.81 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.5 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.67 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_medium 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.708262 15m : 0.546626 1H : 0.739837 |
0 |
Indicators:
67534.5
0.00158776
67641.8
0.708262
67718.2
-0.0011292
67641.8
0.546626
67515.5
0.00186921
67641.8
0.739837
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-19 12:00:00
[1] => 8.938
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-19 23:00:00
[1] => 8.875
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-20 05:00:00
[1] => 9.359
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-20 08:00:00
[1] => 8.922
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-20 11:00:00
[1] => 9.241
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-21 09:00:00
[1] => 9.447
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-22 01:00:00
[1] => 8.953
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-22 05:00:00
[1] => 9.054
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-22 15:00:00
[1] => 8.777
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-22 19:00:00
[1] => 8.885
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.067529544175579
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.1621282898485
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.2304887774866
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-21 23:00:00
[1] => 9.057
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-22 01:00:00
[1] => 8.953
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-22 02:45:00
[1] => 9.022
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-22 04:00:00
[1] => 8.965
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-22 05:00:00
[1] => 9.054
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-22 10:15:00
[1] => 8.808
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-22 10:45:00
[1] => 8.893
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-22 12:30:00
[1] => 8.787
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-22 15:45:00
[1] => 8.777
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-22 19:00:00
[1] => 8.885
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.067529544175579
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.1621282898485
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 13
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.2304887774866
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-22 14:40:00
[1] => 8.818
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-22 14:50:00
[1] => 8.818
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-22 15:15:00
[1] => 8.789
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-22 15:50:00
[1] => 8.777
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-22 16:25:00
[1] => 8.784
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-22 16:45:00
[1] => 8.827
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-22 17:10:00
[1] => 8.805
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-22 18:05:00
[1] => 8.865
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-22 18:20:00
[1] => 8.826
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-22 19:00:00
[1] => 8.885
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.067529544175579
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.60049852707907
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.66847949240878
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-22 14:40:00 | 8.818 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-22 14:50:00 | 8.818 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-22 15:15:00 | 8.789 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-22 15:50:00 | 8.777 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-22 16:25:00 | 8.784 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-22 16:45:00 | 8.827 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-22 17:10:00 | 8.805 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-22 18:05:00 | 8.865 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-22 18:20:00 | 8.826 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-22 19:00:00 | 8.885 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-21 23:00:00 | 9.057 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-22 01:00:00 | 8.953 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-22 02:45:00 | 9.022 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-22 04:00:00 | 8.965 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-22 05:00:00 | 9.054 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-22 10:15:00 | 8.808 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-22 10:45:00 | 8.893 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-22 12:30:00 | 8.787 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-22 15:45:00 | 8.777 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-22 19:00:00 | 8.885 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-19 12:00:00 | 8.938 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-19 23:00:00 | 8.875 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-20 05:00:00 | 9.359 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-20 08:00:00 | 8.922 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-20 11:00:00 | 9.241 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-21 09:00:00 | 9.447 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-22 01:00:00 | 8.953 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-22 05:00:00 | 9.054 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-22 15:00:00 | 8.777 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-22 19:00:00 | 8.885 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb 2026 19:02:19 |
22 Feb 2026 19:25:00 |
22 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.879 | 8.8969 | 8.8432 | 2 | 9.366 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 8.8969 - 8.879 = 0.017900000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 8.879 - 8.8432 = 0.0358
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0358 / 0.017900000000001 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3965.8085 | 100 | 446.6504 | 39.66 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.017900000000001 = 446.93
Taille de position USD = 446.93 x 8.879 = 3968.29
Donc, tu peux acheter 446.93 avec un stoploss a 8.8969
Avec un position size USD de 3968.29$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 446.93 x 0.017900000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 446.93 x 0.0358 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.4 % | 15.99 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.2 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 15.99 $ | 0.40 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0451 % | 22.37 % | 3 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 8.8432
[stop_loss] => 8.8969
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-02-22 19:25:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 8.83425
[stop_loss] => 8.8969
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-02-22 19:30:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 8.8253
[stop_loss] => 8.8969
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-02-22 19:35:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 8.81635
[stop_loss] => 8.8969
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2026-02-22 19:35:00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 8.8074
[stop_loss] => 8.8969
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2026-02-22 19:55:00
[result] => win
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 8.79845
[stop_loss] => 8.8969
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2026-02-22 19:55:00
[result] => win
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 8.7895
[stop_loss] => 8.8969
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2026-02-22 19:55:00
[result] => win
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 8.78055
[stop_loss] => 8.8969
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2026-02-22 19:55:00
[result] => win
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 8.7716
[stop_loss] => 8.8969
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2026-02-22 19:55:00
[result] => win
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 8.76265
[stop_loss] => 8.8969
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2026-02-22 20:00:00
[result] => win
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 8.7537
[stop_loss] => 8.8969
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2026-02-22 20:00:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.555
[max_drawdown] => 0.0039999999999996
[rr_ratio] => 100
[high] => 8.88300000
[low] => 8.32400000
[mfe_pct] => 6.25
[mae_pct] => 0.05
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 138.75
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-02-22T19:02:19-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-02-22T21:02:19-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.555
[max_drawdown] => 0.0039999999999996
[rr_ratio] => 100
[high] => 8.88300000
[low] => 8.32400000
[mfe_pct] => 6.25
[mae_pct] => 0.05
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 138.75
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-02-22T19:02:19-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-02-23T02:02:19-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 8.88500000
[high_after] => 8.88300000
[low_before] => 8.77700000
[low_after] => 8.32400000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)