Short Trade on AVAX 23 Feb 2026 at 02:42:21
Take profit at 8.527 (0.73 %) and Stop Loss at 8.6215 (0.37 %)
Short Trade on AVAX 23 Feb 2026 at 02:42:21
Take profit at 8.527 (0.73 %) and Stop Loss at 8.6215 (0.37 %)
Position size of 2183.2711 $
Take profit at 8.527 (0.73 %) and Stop Loss at 8.6215 (0.37 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.87 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.62 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.84 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_medium 5m_regime : bull_low_confirmed |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.888531 15m : 0.880642 1H : 0.87584 |
2 |
Indicators:
65661.5
0.00404096
65926.9
0.888531
66609.9
-0.0130944
65737.7
0.880642
67243
-0.0195731
65926.9
0.87584
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-19 23:00:00
[1] => 8.875
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-20 05:00:00
[1] => 9.359
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-20 08:00:00
[1] => 8.922
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-20 11:00:00
[1] => 9.241
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-21 09:00:00
[1] => 9.447
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-22 01:00:00
[1] => 8.953
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-22 05:00:00
[1] => 9.054
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-22 19:00:00
[1] => 8.885
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-22 21:00:00
[1] => 8.324
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-23 02:00:00
[1] => 8.604
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.16271501627149
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.1955790485344
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.3637674195098
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-22 05:00:00
[1] => 9.054
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-22 10:15:00
[1] => 8.808
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-22 10:45:00
[1] => 8.893
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-22 12:30:00
[1] => 8.787
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-22 15:45:00
[1] => 8.777
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-22 19:00:00
[1] => 8.885
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-22 21:00:00
[1] => 8.324
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-22 22:00:00
[1] => 8.455
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-22 23:30:00
[1] => 8.328
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-23 02:00:00
[1] => 8.578
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.27978549778502
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.7137367915466
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.0019212295869
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-22 18:25:00
[1] => 8.833
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-22 19:00:00
[1] => 8.885
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-22 21:00:00
[1] => 8.324
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-22 21:35:00
[1] => 8.428
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-22 22:05:00
[1] => 8.455
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-22 22:25:00
[1] => 8.358
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-22 22:50:00
[1] => 8.429
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-22 23:35:00
[1] => 8.328
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-23 02:30:00
[1] => 8.541
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-02-23 02:40:00
[1] => 8.604
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.16271501627149
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.57370331342933
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.73761854583771
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-22 18:25:00 | 8.833 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-22 19:00:00 | 8.885 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-22 21:00:00 | 8.324 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-22 21:35:00 | 8.428 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-22 22:05:00 | 8.455 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-22 22:25:00 | 8.358 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-22 22:50:00 | 8.429 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-22 23:35:00 | 8.328 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-23 02:30:00 | 8.541 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-23 02:40:00 | 8.604 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-22 05:00:00 | 9.054 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-22 10:15:00 | 8.808 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-22 10:45:00 | 8.893 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-22 12:30:00 | 8.787 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-22 15:45:00 | 8.777 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-22 19:00:00 | 8.885 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-22 21:00:00 | 8.324 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-22 22:00:00 | 8.455 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-22 23:30:00 | 8.328 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-23 02:00:00 | 8.578 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-19 23:00:00 | 8.875 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-20 05:00:00 | 9.359 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-20 08:00:00 | 8.922 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-20 11:00:00 | 9.241 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-21 09:00:00 | 9.447 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-22 01:00:00 | 8.953 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-22 05:00:00 | 9.054 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-22 19:00:00 | 8.885 | ↑ High |
| 2026-02-22 21:00:00 | 8.324 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-02-23 02:00:00 | 8.604 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb 2026 02:42:21 |
23 Feb 2026 03:00:00 |
17 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8.59 | 8.6215 | 8.527 | 2 | 9.384 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 8.6215 - 8.59 = 0.031499999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 8.59 - 8.527 = 0.063000000000001
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.063000000000001 / 0.031499999999999 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2183.2711 | 100 | 254.1643 | 21.83 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.031499999999999 = 253.97
Taille de position USD = 253.97 x 8.59 = 2181.6
Donc, tu peux acheter 253.97 avec un stoploss a 8.6215
Avec un position size USD de 2181.6$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 253.97 x 0.031499999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 253.97 x 0.063000000000001 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.73 % | 16.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.37 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.01 $ | 0.73 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 8.527
[stop_loss] => 8.6215
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-02-23 03:00:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 8.51125
[stop_loss] => 8.6215
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-02-23 03:20:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 8.4955
[stop_loss] => 8.6215
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-02-23 04:30:00
[result] => loss
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 8.47975
[stop_loss] => 8.6215
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2026-02-23 04:30:00
[result] => loss
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 8.464
[stop_loss] => 8.6215
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2026-02-23 04:30:00
[result] => loss
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 8.44825
[stop_loss] => 8.6215
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2026-02-23 04:30:00
[result] => loss
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 8.4325
[stop_loss] => 8.6215
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2026-02-23 04:30:00
[result] => loss
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 8.41675
[stop_loss] => 8.6215
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2026-02-23 04:30:00
[result] => loss
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 8.401
[stop_loss] => 8.6215
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2026-02-23 04:30:00
[result] => loss
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 8.38525
[stop_loss] => 8.6215
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2026-02-23 04:30:00
[result] => loss
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 8.3695
[stop_loss] => 8.6215
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2026-02-23 04:30:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.092000000000001
[max_drawdown] => 0.104
[rr_ratio] => 0.88
[high] => 8.69400000
[low] => 8.49800000
[mfe_pct] => 1.07
[mae_pct] => 1.21
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.88
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-02-23T02:42:21-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-02-23T04:42:21-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.092000000000001
[max_drawdown] => 0.183
[rr_ratio] => 0.5
[high] => 8.77300000
[low] => 8.49800000
[mfe_pct] => 1.07
[mae_pct] => 2.13
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.5
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-02-23T02:42:21-05:00
[end_at] => 2026-02-23T09:42:21-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 8.60400000
[high_after] => 8.77300000
[low_before] => 8.32800000
[low_after] => 8.49800000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)