Short Trade on MSTR 23 Feb 2026 at 19:23:01

Take profit at 124.2857 (0.24 %) and Stop Loss at 124.7422 (0.12 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 23 Feb 2026 at 19:23:01

With 52.5735 MSTR at 124.59$ per unit.

Position size of 6550.1338 $

Take profit at 124.2857 (0.24 %) and Stop Loss at 124.7422 (0.12 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 50
ML Pullback Score: 10
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.53
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.58
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.73
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.673332

15m : 0.717759

1H : 0.703268

2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.09
  4. atr: 0.1014452554
Details
  1. score: 1.09
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 124.967
  4. ema21 : 126.269
  5. ema50 : 128.002
  6. ema100 : 128.935
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00302358
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.010312
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0135356
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0337037
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.214253
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.164223
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.107127
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0618332
  17. rsi : 0.366781
  18. adx : 0.325747
  19. kc_percentage : 0.18849
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0409057
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.237483
  22. volume_ema1 : 223687.31286256
  23. volume_ema2 : 293353.95931197
  24. chop : 32.6375
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 124.39
  29. ema21 : 124.562
  30. ema50 : 125.47
  31. ema100 : 126.647
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.00160747
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00138194
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00723732
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0162446
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : 0.00581845
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.0261843
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0447737
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0404992
  42. rsi : 0.465324
  43. adx : 0.14741
  44. kc_percentage : 0.535967
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0120687
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.927932
  47. volume_ema1 : 7782.876288731
  48. volume_ema2 : 107994.01843317
  49. chop : 99.7196
  50. regime : bear_medium
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 124.446
  54. ema21 : 124.4
  55. ema50 : 124.456
  56. ema100 : 124.732
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00115426
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000365439
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.000448654
  60. price_ema100_diff : -0.00114289
  61. all_emas_in_trend : False
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.00621057
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.00327482
  65. ema_slope_50 : -0.00183504
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.00586882
  67. rsi : 0.609559
  68. adx : 0.0985486
  69. kc_percentage : 1.09341
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.00253458
  71. volume_ema_diff : -0.772924
  72. volume_ema1 : 4552.1614581476
  73. volume_ema2 : 20046.946950551
  74. chop : 64.6793
  75. regime : range_low
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    64776
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.002565
  81. 5m_price:
    64942.2
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.673332
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    65493.7
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0083026
  86. 15m_price:
    64950
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.717759
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    66691.8
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0262351
  91. 1H_price:
    64942.2
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.703268
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-21 04:00:00
                        [1] => 131.52
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-21 10:00:00
                        [1] => 131.58
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-21 15:00:00
                        [1] => 130.93
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-21 19:00:00
                        [1] => 130.93
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-21 21:00:00
                        [1] => 131.39
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-22 04:00:00
                        [1] => 131.41
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-22 10:00:00
                        [1] => 130.28
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-22 21:00:00
                        [1] => 125.8
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-23 10:00:00
                        [1] => 130.45
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-23 12:00:00
                        [1] => 122.98
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.4921425833653
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.3091559603188
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 9
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.0741583997398
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-23 05:00:00
                        [1] => 129.6
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-23 07:30:00
                        [1] => 127.46
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-23 07:45:00
                        [1] => 128.55
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-23 09:30:00
                        [1] => 126.36
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-23 10:00:00
                        [1] => 130.45
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-23 12:45:00
                        [1] => 122.98
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-23 14:00:00
                        [1] => 125.99
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-23 15:30:00
                        [1] => 123.62
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-23 17:15:00
                        [1] => 124.6
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-23 19:00:00
                        [1] => 124.48
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.69568031062935
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 15
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.096401028277627
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-23 14:05:00
                        [1] => 125.99
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-23 14:45:00
                        [1] => 123.92
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-23 14:55:00
                        [1] => 125.7
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-23 15:30:00
                        [1] => 123.62
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-23 15:35:00
                        [1] => 124.99
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-23 16:05:00
                        [1] => 123.87
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-23 17:15:00
                        [1] => 124.6
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-23 18:00:00
                        [1] => 124.19
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-23 18:35:00
                        [1] => 124.48
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2026-02-23 19:20:00
                        [1] => 124.59
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.26557218734911
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.088367609254498
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.27%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
9 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.09%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
1.2478
1.00%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.6657
0.54%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-23 14:05:00 125.99 ↑ High
2026-02-23 14:45:00 123.92 ↓ Low
2026-02-23 14:55:00 125.7 ↑ High
2026-02-23 15:30:00 123.62 ↓ Low
2026-02-23 15:35:00 124.99 ↑ High
2026-02-23 16:05:00 123.87 ↓ Low
2026-02-23 17:15:00 124.6 ↑ High
2026-02-23 18:00:00 124.19 ↓ Low
2026-02-23 18:35:00 124.48 ↑ High
2026-02-23 19:20:00 124.59 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.70%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
15 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.10%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
5.7078
4.58%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.3057
1.05%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-23 05:00:00 129.6 ↑ High
2026-02-23 07:30:00 127.46 ↓ Low
2026-02-23 07:45:00 128.55 ↑ High
2026-02-23 09:30:00 126.36 ↓ Low
2026-02-23 10:00:00 130.45 ↑ High
2026-02-23 12:45:00 122.98 ↓ Low
2026-02-23 14:00:00 125.99 ↑ High
2026-02-23 15:30:00 123.62 ↓ Low
2026-02-23 17:15:00 124.6 ↑ High
2026-02-23 19:00:00 124.48 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-4.49%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.31%
Bars Since Swing High
9 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
6.07%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
6.8378
5.48%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.3057
1.05%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-21 04:00:00 131.52 ↑ High
2026-02-21 10:00:00 131.58 ↑ High
2026-02-21 15:00:00 130.93 ↓ Low
2026-02-21 19:00:00 130.93 ↓ Low
2026-02-21 21:00:00 131.39 ↑ High
2026-02-22 04:00:00 131.41 ↑ High
2026-02-22 10:00:00 130.28 ↓ Low
2026-02-22 21:00:00 125.8 ↓ Low
2026-02-23 10:00:00 130.45 ↑ High
2026-02-23 12:00:00 122.98 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
23 Feb 2026
19:23:01
23 Feb 2026
20:00:00
36 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
124.59 124.7422 124.2857 2 135.4
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 124.59
  • Stop Loss: 124.7422
  • Take Profit: 124.2857

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 124.7422 - 124.59 = 0.15219999999999

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 124.59 - 124.2857 = 0.3043

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.3043 / 0.15219999999999 = 1.9993

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
6550.1338 100 52.5735 65.50
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.15219999999999

Taille de position = 8 / 0.15219999999999 = 52.56

Taille de position USD = 52.56 x 124.59 = 6548.45

Donc, tu peux acheter 52.56 avec un stoploss a 124.7422

Avec un position size USD de 6548.45$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 52.56 x 0.15219999999999 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 52.56 x 0.3043 = 15.99

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 52.56
  • Taille de position USD 6548.45
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 15.99
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9993

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.24 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.12 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.24
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.1364 % 111.62 % 3

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 124.2856
            [stop_loss] => 124.7422
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-23 20:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 124.2095
            [stop_loss] => 124.7422
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-23 20:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 124.1334
            [stop_loss] => 124.7422
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-23 20:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 124.0573
            [stop_loss] => 124.7422
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-23 20:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 123.9812
            [stop_loss] => 124.7422
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-23 20:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 123.9051
            [stop_loss] => 124.7422
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-23 20:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 123.829
            [stop_loss] => 124.7422
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-23 20:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 123.7529
            [stop_loss] => 124.7422
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-23 20:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 123.6768
            [stop_loss] => 124.7422
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-23 20:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 123.6007
            [stop_loss] => 124.7422
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-23 20:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 123.5246
            [stop_loss] => 124.7422
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2026-02-23 20:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 2.29
            [max_drawdown] => 0.17
            [rr_ratio] => 13.47
            [high] => 124.76000000
            [low] => 122.30000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.84
            [mae_pct] => 0.14
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 13.47
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-02-23T19:23:01-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-23T21:23:01-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 2.75
            [max_drawdown] => 0.17
            [rr_ratio] => 16.18
            [high] => 124.76000000
            [low] => 121.84000000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.21
            [mae_pct] => 0.14
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 16.18
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-02-23T19:23:01-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-02-24T02:23:01-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 124.99000000
            [high_after] => 124.76000000
            [low_before] => 123.62000000
            [low_after] => 121.84000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)