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Short Trade on XAU

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Short Trade on XAU 03 Mar 2026 at 13:43:38

Take profit at 5091.4799 (0.83 %) and Stop Loss at 5155.4251 (0.42 %)

Short Trade on XAU

The 03 Mar 2026 at 13:43:38

With 0.3753 XAU at 5134.11$ per unit.

Position size of 1926.9426 $

Take profit at 5091.4799 (0.83 %) and Stop Loss at 5155.4251 (0.42 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 40
ML Pullback Score: 3.05
Prediction Score: 0
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.53
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.44
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.58
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bull_moderate

rules_regime : bull_high

rules_regime_5m : bull_medium

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.321111

15m : 0.379681

1H : -0.110331

 0

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.09
  4. atr: 14.21003397
Details
  1. score: 1.09
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 5144.94
  4. ema21 : 5212.62
  5. ema50 : 5269.87
  6. ema100 : 5283.76
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00210533
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0129847
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0108631
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0283243
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.296935
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.197675
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0996831
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.047808
  17. rsi : 0.393841
  18. adx : 0.434245
  19. kc_percentage : 0.219107
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0516215
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.549686
  22. volume_ema1 : 28158464.604572
  23. volume_ema2 : 18170422.435762
  24. rvol_20 : 0.721399
  25. rvol_50 : 1.01255
  26. volume_zscore_50 : 0.0124998
  27. volume_vol_ratio : 57.7277
  28. chop : 22.2165
  29. regime : bear_high
    30. ¸
  30. 15m
  31. ema9 : 5101.14
  32. ema21 : 5114.81
  33. ema50 : 5171.31
  34. ema100 : 5225.31
  35. price_ema9_diff : 0.00646264
  36. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00267367
  37. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0109257
  38. price_ema100_diff : -0.0174548
  39. all_emas_in_trend : True
  40. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  41. ema_slope_9 : 0.0142429
  42. ema_slope_21 : -0.0493663
  43. ema_slope_50 : -0.0697644
  44. ema_slope_100 : -0.053651
  45. rsi : 0.472291
  46. adx : 0.393834
  47. kc_percentage : 0.681319
  48. kc_width_percentage : 0.0227414
  49. volume_ema_diff : -0.371902
  50. volume_ema1 : 4621422.0878143
  51. volume_ema2 : 7357810.0493895
  52. rvol_20 : 0.464524
  53. rvol_50 : 0.484818
  54. volume_zscore_50 : -0.631859
  55. volume_vol_ratio : 24.0396
  56. chop : 52.0178
  57. regime : bear_medium
    58. ¸
  58. 5m
  59. ema9 : 5112.35
  60. ema21 : 5102.56
  61. ema50 : 5107.24
  62. ema100 : 5135.69
  63. price_ema9_diff : 0.00425543
  64. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00191936
  65. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.000916249
  66. price_ema100_diff : -0.000308143
  67. all_emas_in_trend : False
  68. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  69. ema_slope_9 : 0.042382
  70. ema_slope_21 : 0.015824
  71. ema_slope_50 : -0.00359412
  72. ema_slope_100 : -0.0146208
  73. rsi : 0.664276
  74. adx : 0.159038
  75. kc_percentage : 1.09354
  76. kc_width_percentage : 0.0102378
  77. volume_ema_diff : -0.225702
  78. volume_ema1 : 1898948.1632131
  79. volume_ema2 : 2452478.2219091
  80. rvol_20 : 0.599631
  81. rvol_50 : 0.348499
  82. volume_zscore_50 : -0.933522
  83. volume_vol_ratio : 12.8206
  84. chop : 42.9621
  85. regime : range_low
    86. ¸
  86. btc_indicators
  87. btc_indicators
  88. 5m_ema100: 
    67544.7
  89. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.0172697
  90. 5m_price: 
    68711.2
  91. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.321111
  92. btc_indicators
  93. 15m_ema100: 
    67996.5
  94. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00923612
  95. 15m_price: 
    68624.6
  96. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.379681
  97. btc_indicators
  98. 1H_ema100: 
    66950.7
  99. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.0262941
  100. 1H_price: 
    68711.2
  101. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.110331
    102. ¸
  102. market_structures
  103. market_structures
  104. 1H_version: 1.1
  105. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-28 07:00:00
                    [1] => 5283.94
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-28 15:00:00
                    [1] => 5281.12
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-28 19:00:00
                    [1] => 5313.31
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-02-28 22:00:00
                    [1] => 5272
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-03-01 18:00:00
                    [1] => 5306.89
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-03-01 19:00:00
                    [1] => 5390
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-03-02 02:00:00
                    [1] => 5416.8
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-03-02 11:00:00
                    [1] => 5256.9
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-03-02 20:00:00
                    [1] => 5377.26
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-03-03 10:00:00
                    [1] => 5002.14
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.5218196628023
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.638270820089
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 17
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 7.4991903465317
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  106. market_structures
  107. 15m_version: 1.1
  108. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-03-02 23:30:00
                    [1] => 5371.37
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-03-03 01:00:00
                    [1] => 5276.15
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-03-03 03:00:00
                    [1] => 5331.99
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-03-03 04:15:00
                    [1] => 5223.09
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-03-03 06:30:00
                    [1] => 5074.87
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-03-03 07:45:00
                    [1] => 5223.74
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-03-03 10:15:00
                    [1] => 5002.14
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-03-03 11:30:00
                    [1] => 5133.98
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-03-03 12:30:00
                    [1] => 5063.96
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-03-03 13:30:00
                    [1] => 5119.76
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.051564917105496
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.0497713252079
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.1019044384237
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  109. market_structures
  110. 5m_version: 1.1
  111. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-03-03 07:55:00
                    [1] => 5223.74
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-03-03 08:10:00
                    [1] => 5145.77
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-03-03 08:30:00
                    [1] => 5186.32
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-03-03 08:45:00
                    [1] => 5124.13
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-03-03 09:05:00
                    [1] => 5175.14
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-03-03 10:15:00
                    [1] => 5002.14
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-03-03 11:35:00
                    [1] => 5133.98
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-03-03 12:00:00
                    [1] => 5079.47
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-03-03 12:35:00
                    [1] => 5063.96
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-03-03 13:40:00
                    [1] => 5135.11
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.019473779529552
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.3852795045774
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 13
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.405026895947
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    112. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.02%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.39%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
13 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.41%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
68.3149
1.33%
TP to Pivot Distance
89.3399
1.75%
DateTime Price Type
2026-03-03 07:55:00 5223.74 ↑ High
2026-03-03 08:10:00 5145.77 ↓ Low
2026-03-03 08:30:00 5186.32 ↑ High
2026-03-03 08:45:00 5124.13 ↓ Low
2026-03-03 09:05:00 5175.14 ↑ High
2026-03-03 10:15:00 5002.14 ↓ Low
2026-03-03 11:35:00 5133.98 ↑ High
2026-03-03 12:00:00 5079.47 ↓ Low
2026-03-03 12:35:00 5063.96 ↓ Low
2026-03-03 13:40:00 5135.11 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.05%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.05%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.10%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
215.9449
4.19%
TP to Pivot Distance
89.3399
1.75%
DateTime Price Type
2026-03-02 23:30:00 5371.37 ↑ High
2026-03-03 01:00:00 5276.15 ↓ Low
2026-03-03 03:00:00 5331.99 ↑ High
2026-03-03 04:15:00 5223.09 ↓ Low
2026-03-03 06:30:00 5074.87 ↓ Low
2026-03-03 07:45:00 5223.74 ↑ High
2026-03-03 10:15:00 5002.14 ↓ Low
2026-03-03 11:30:00 5133.98 ↑ High
2026-03-03 12:30:00 5063.96 ↓ Low
2026-03-03 13:30:00 5119.76 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-4.52%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.64%
Bars Since Swing High
17 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
7.50%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
261.3749
5.07%
TP to Pivot Distance
89.3399
1.75%
DateTime Price Type
2026-02-28 07:00:00 5283.94 ↓ Low
2026-02-28 15:00:00 5281.12 ↓ Low
2026-02-28 19:00:00 5313.31 ↑ High
2026-02-28 22:00:00 5272 ↓ Low
2026-03-01 18:00:00 5306.89 ↓ Low
2026-03-01 19:00:00 5390 ↑ High
2026-03-02 02:00:00 5416.8 ↑ High
2026-03-02 11:00:00 5256.9 ↓ Low
2026-03-02 20:00:00 5377.26 ↑ High
2026-03-03 10:00:00 5002.14 ↓ Low

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
03 Mar 2026
13:43:38		 03 Mar 2026
15:50:00		 2 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
5134.11 5155.4251 5091.4799 2 4497.37
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 5134.11
  • Stop Loss: 5155.4251
  • Take Profit: 5091.4799

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 5155.4251 - 5134.11 = 21.315100000001

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 5134.11 - 5091.4799 = 42.630099999999

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 42.630099999999 / 21.315100000001 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1926.9426 100 0.3753 19.27
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 21.315100000001

Taille de position = 8 / 21.315100000001 = 0.38

Taille de position USD = 0.38 x 5134.11 = 1950.96

Donc, tu peux acheter 0.38 avec un stoploss a 5155.4251

Avec un position size USD de 1950.96$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 0.38 x 21.315100000001 = 8.1

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.1$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 0.38 x 42.630099999999 = 16.2

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.2$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 0.38
  • Taille de position USD 1950.96
  • Perte potentielle 8.1
  • Gain potentiel 16.2
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.83 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.42 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.83
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.2666 % 64.21 % 5

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 5091.4798
            [stop_loss] => 5155.4251
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2026-03-03 15:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 34.099999999999
            [max_drawdown] => 13.690000000001
            [rr_ratio] => 2.49
            [high] => 5147.80000000
            [low] => 5100.01000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.66
            [mae_pct] => 0.27
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.49
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-03-03T13:43:38-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-03-03T15:43:38-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 51.11
            [max_drawdown] => 28.92
            [rr_ratio] => 1.77
            [high] => 5163.03000000
            [low] => 5083.00000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1
            [mae_pct] => 0.56
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.77
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-03-03T13:43:38-05:00
            [end_at] => 2026-03-03T20:43:38-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 5136.65000000
            [high_after] => 5147.80000000
            [low_before] => 5002.14000000
            [low_after] => 5083.00000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)