Long Trade on HYPE (CatchTheWave)
With 16.49 HYPE at 45.248$ per unit. Take profit: 46.2183 (2.14 %) & Stop Loss: 44.7628 (1.07 %)
Long Trade on HYPE (CatchTheWave)
With 16.49 HYPE at 45.248$ per unit. Take profit: 46.2183 (2.14 %) & Stop Loss: 44.7628 (1.07 %)
Position size of 746.1016 $
Take profit at 46.2183 (2.14 %)
and Stop Loss at 44.7628 (1.07 %)
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.52 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.44 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.62 |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : bear_low_confirmed Score : 0 |
ml_regime : bear_medium rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low tf_aligned : 1 15/05 01:01 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.363229 15m : 0.354667 |
1H_regime : bull_high_confirmed 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : bear_medium |
Indicators:
81078.5
-0.00841843
80396
0.363229
80694.8
-0.00370338
80396
0.354667
80623.6
-0.002824
80396
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-11 10:00:00
[1] => 40.826
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-11 15:00:00
[1] => 42.23
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-12 00:00:00
[1] => 40.806
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-12 04:00:00
[1] => 41.389
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-12 12:00:00
[1] => 39.811
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-12 21:00:00
[1] => 40.692
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-13 11:00:00
[1] => 38.833
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-13 23:00:00
[1] => 38.126
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-14 02:00:00
[1] => 39.281
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-14 23:00:00
[1] => 46.986
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.6989741625165
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 18.680165766144
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 26
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 19.615081082457
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-14 03:15:00
[1] => 38.854
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-14 04:30:00
[1] => 39.149
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-14 05:30:00
[1] => 38.855
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-14 06:00:00
[1] => 39.161
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-14 08:00:00
[1] => 38.873
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-14 15:30:00
[1] => 44.748
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-14 16:00:00
[1] => 43.612
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-14 17:45:00
[1] => 43.598
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-14 23:15:00
[1] => 46.986
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-15 01:45:00
[1] => 45.117
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.6989741625165
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.29035618503003
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 10
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.1425626703903
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-14 18:45:00
[1] => 44.291
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-14 19:05:00
[1] => 43.95
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-14 19:35:00
[1] => 44.59
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-14 19:50:00
[1] => 44.031
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-14 21:50:00
[1] => 46.555
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-14 22:05:00
[1] => 45.355
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-14 23:15:00
[1] => 46.986
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-14 23:35:00
[1] => 46.136
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-15 00:15:00
[1] => 46.9
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-15 01:45:00
[1] => 45.117
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.5223880597015
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.29035618503003
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 18
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.9519471596072
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 1
)
)
45.355
196
0.7469
0.5858
0.4281
0.2762
0.5525
0.4058
0.5353
0.7382
0.6321
0.988
0.7007
0.8038
0.2958
0.1846
1
1.4182
3.2824
0.35
0.65
1
4
1
0.4477
0.4474
3.9253
0.65
0.4058
1.5929
3.2824
0.4782
0.2272
0.98
1.7972
0.769
0.6069
0.9492
0.8038
-1.8157
7.4404
1
0
1
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-14 18:45:00 | 44.291 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-14 19:05:00 | 43.95 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-14 19:35:00 | 44.59 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-14 19:50:00 | 44.031 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-14 21:50:00 | 46.555 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-14 22:05:00 | 45.355 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-14 23:15:00 | 46.986 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-14 23:35:00 | 46.136 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-15 00:15:00 | 46.9 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-15 01:45:00 | 45.117 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-14 03:15:00 | 38.854 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-14 04:30:00 | 39.149 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-14 05:30:00 | 38.855 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-14 06:00:00 | 39.161 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-14 08:00:00 | 38.873 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-14 15:30:00 | 44.748 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-14 16:00:00 | 43.612 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-14 17:45:00 | 43.598 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-14 23:15:00 | 46.986 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-15 01:45:00 | 45.117 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-11 10:00:00 | 40.826 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-11 15:00:00 | 42.23 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-12 00:00:00 | 40.806 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-12 04:00:00 | 41.389 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-12 12:00:00 | 39.811 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-12 21:00:00 | 40.692 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-13 11:00:00 | 38.833 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-13 23:00:00 | 38.126 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-14 02:00:00 | 39.281 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-14 23:00:00 | 46.986 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 15 May 2026 01:49:30 |
15 May 2026 03:20:00 |
1 hour |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.248 | 44.7628 | 46.2183 | 2 | 82.835 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 44.7628 - 45.248 = -0.4852
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 45.248 - 46.2183 = -0.9703
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.9703 / -0.4852 = 1.9998
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 746.1016 | 100 | 16.4892 | 7.46 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.4852 = -16.49
Taille de position USD = -16.49 x 45.248 = -746.14
Donc, tu peux acheter -16.49 avec un stoploss a 44.7628
Avec un position size USD de -746.14$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -16.49 x -0.4852 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -16.49 x -0.9703 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.14 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.07 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 2.14 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2431 % | 22.67 % | 1 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 46.2184
[stop_loss] => 44.7628
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-05-15 03:20:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 46.461
[stop_loss] => 44.7628
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-05-15 03:40:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 46.7036
[stop_loss] => 44.7628
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-05-15 03:50:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 46.9462
[stop_loss] => 44.7628
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2026-05-15 03:10:00+00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 1.447
[max_drawdown] => 0.11
[rr_ratio] => 13.15
[high] => 46.69500000
[low] => 45.13800000
[mfe_pct] => 3.2
[mae_pct] => 0.24
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 13.15
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-05-15T01:49:30-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-05-15T03:49:30-04:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 1.55
[max_drawdown] => 1.528
[rr_ratio] => 1.01
[high] => 46.79800000
[low] => 43.72000000
[mfe_pct] => 3.43
[mae_pct] => 3.38
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.01
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-05-15T01:49:30-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-05-15T08:49:30-04:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 46.98600000
[high_after] => 46.79800000
[low_before] => 45.11700000
[low_after] => 44.95600000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?