15 May 2026 at 01:53:20

Short Trade on SIREN (WedgePullback)

With 130.85 SIREN at 0.529$ per unit. Take profit: 0.346 (34.64 %) & Stop Loss: 0.5906 (11.56 %)

Short WedgePullback on SIREN (15 May 2026 at 01:53:20 to 09:20:00 - 2 weeks )

With 130.8549 SIREN at 0.5294$ per unit.

Position size of 69.2772 $
Take profit at 0.346 (34.64 %) and Stop Loss at 0.5906 (11.56 %)

That's a 3 RR Trade
Duration: 2 weeks

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score:
Prediction Score:
Prediction 1 Probability
n/a
Prediction 2 Probability
n/a
Prediction 3 Probability
n/a
BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : bear_low_confirmed

Score : 1

ml_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

tf_aligned : 1

15/05 01:01

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

4H_regime : bear_high

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

Signal

WedgePullback - SELL

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. confidence: 0.896
  3. reason: ascending_wedge_lh_anticipation
  4. stop_price: 0.59055642
  5. tp_price: 0.34601074
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.896
  8. confidence_pre_ob: 0.896
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. timeframe : 1h
  10. state : impulse_down
  11. confidence : 1
  12. trend_strength : -0.2709
  13. trend_persistence : 0.5
  14. high_delta_atr : -12.8453
  15. low_delta_atr : -6.6941
  16. current_swing_amp_atr : 1.8192
  17. current_swing_speed : 0.10107
  18. current_swing_efficiency : 0.1251
  19. retracement_ratio : 0.1307
  20. extension_ratio : 0.2389
  21. compression_score : 1.1887
  22. swing_entropy : 1
  23. breakout_strength : -14.2659
  24. distance_to_last_high_atr : -1.4206
  25. distance_to_last_low_atr : 0.5106
  26. pivot_count : 25
  27. swing_count : 24
  28. market_structure_v2
  29. last_pivot_kind: high
  30. last_pivot_price:
    0.58831
  31. last_pivot_index:
    147
  32. ¸
  33. trend_analyzer_1h
  34. direction : down
  35. phase : transition
  36. structure : bearish_transition
  37. breakout_state : breakout_confirmed
  38. quality : volatile
  39. strength : moderate
  40. exhaustion : high
  41. momentum_type : fading
  42. volatility_regime : compression
  43. htf_context : unknown
  44. risk_state : approaching_support
  45. confidence : 0.484
  46. state : down_bearish_transition_fading
  47. trend_analyzer_1h
  48. scores_direction_score:
    0.2365
  49. scores_strength_score:
    0.4488
  50. scores_quality_score:
    0.3207
  51. scores_cleanliness_score:
    0.2319
  52. scores_structural_quality:
    0.3933
  53. scores_pullback_score:
    0.1307
  54. scores_exhaustion_score:
    0.7772
  55. scores_continuation_score:
    0.2364
  56. scores_structure_score:
    0.2876
  57. scores_volatility_expansion:
    0.192
  58. scores_momentum_type_score:
    0.4179
  59. scores_risk_score:
    0.03
  60. trend_analyzer_1h
  61. features_ema20_slope:
    -0.1858
  62. features_ema50_slope:
    -0.2882
  63. features_ema_alignment_score:
    0
  64. features_price_vs_ema20:
    -2.0176
  65. features_price_vs_ema50:
    -7.1145
  66. features_recent_hh_hl_score:
    0.4
  67. features_recent_lh_ll_score:
    0.6
  68. features_last_bos_direction:
    -1
  69. features_bars_since_last_bos:
    20
  70. features_candle_overlap_ratio:
    1
  71. features_wick_ratio:
    0.5362
  72. features_trend_efficiency:
    0.1251
  73. features_impulse_strength:
    7.2795
  74. features_directional_candle_ratio:
    0.55
  75. features_pullback_depth_ratio:
    0.1307
  76. features_pullback_depth_atr:
    0.9514
  77. features_extension_from_mean:
    -7.1145
  78. features_impulse_decay_score:
    0.8806
  79. features_opposing_wick_pressure:
    0.3
  80. features_volatility_percentile:
    0.32
  81. features_volatility_delta:
    -0.6846
  82. features_body_ratio:
    0.2648
  83. features_closes_position_ratio:
    0.5433
  84. features_slope_consistency:
    0.8533
  85. features_range_position:
    0.03
  86. features_distance_to_recent_high:
    -21.5451
  87. features_distance_to_recent_low:
    0.667
  88. features_had_recent_range:
    1
  89. features_had_recent_compression:
    0
  90. features_post_break_hl_count:
    1
  91. features_htf_trend_strength:
    
                                                                                                                                
  92. features_htf_compression_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  93. features_htf_entropy_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  94. features_htf_hh_hl_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  95. features_htf_state_str:
    
                                                                                                                                
  96. ¸
  97. orderbook_context
  98. obi_top5 : -0.067
  99. obi_top10 : 0.2168
  100. micro_price : 0.52446848
  101. spread_pct : 0.055321
  102. mid_price : 0.524355
  103. bid_wall_price : 0.519
  104. bid_wall_size : 61724
  105. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  106. ask_wall_price :
  107. ask_wall_size :
  108. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  109. snapshots_count : 5
  110. obi_top5_mean : -0.0449
  111. obi_top5_std : 0.0535
  112. pressure_side : neutral
  113. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  114. collection_ms : 7093
  115. aggregation_tick : 0.001
  116. error :
  117. ¸
  118. strategy_details
  119. strategy : wedge_pullback
  120. ms_state_4h : compression
  121. ms_state_1h : impulse_down
  122. strategy_details
  123. wedge_4h_type: ascending_wedge
  124. wedge_4h_strength:
    0.478
  125. wedge_4h_bias: bearish_breakout
  126. wedge_4h_breakout_type: ascending_wedge
  127. wedge_4h_breakout_strength:
    0.478
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        [42] => Array
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  129. wedge_4h_lower_line:
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  130. wedge_4h_breakout_bar:
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    (
        [time] => 1778688000
        [price] => 1.1338
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  131. strategy_details
  132. pivots_4h_0:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-12 04:00:00
        [price] => 0.85255
        [kind] => high
        [label] => 
    )
    
  133. pivots_4h_1:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-14 12:00:00
        [price] => 0.60954
        [kind] => low
        [label] => 
    )
    
  134. pivots_4h_2:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-16 20:00:00
        [price] => 2.24855
        [kind] => high
        [label] => 
    )
    
  135. pivots_4h_3:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-17 04:00:00
        [price] => 0.26206
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  136. pivots_4h_4:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-18 04:00:00
        [price] => 0.90206
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  137. pivots_4h_5:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-22 20:00:00
        [price] => 0.60651
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  138. pivots_4h_6:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-25 12:00:00
        [price] => 0.80728
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  139. pivots_4h_7:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-27 00:00:00
        [price] => 0.53358
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  140. pivots_4h_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-28 08:00:00
        [price] => 0.73896
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  141. pivots_4h_9:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-30 08:00:00
        [price] => 0.63508
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  142. pivots_4h_10:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-01 08:00:00
        [price] => 0.7632
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  143. pivots_4h_11:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-02 16:00:00
        [price] => 0.67132
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  144. pivots_4h_12:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-04 00:00:00
        [price] => 0.88153
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  145. pivots_4h_13:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-05 00:00:00
        [price] => 0.71571
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  146. pivots_4h_14:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-07 04:00:00
        [price] => 1.21604
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  147. pivots_4h_15:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-07 16:00:00
        [price] => 0.89043
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  148. pivots_4h_16:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-08 12:00:00
        [price] => 1.29588
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  149. pivots_4h_17:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-08 16:00:00
        [price] => 1.07271
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  150. pivots_4h_18:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-11 00:00:00
        [price] => 1.08118
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  151. pivots_4h_19:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 12:00:00
        [price] => 1.2418
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  152. strategy_details
  153. pivots_1h_0:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-09 18:00:00
        [price] => 1.3481
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  154. pivots_1h_1:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 02:00:00
        [price] => 1.13238
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  155. pivots_1h_2:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 03:00:00
        [price] => 1.26665
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  156. pivots_1h_3:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 16:00:00
        [price] => 1.09618
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  157. pivots_1h_4:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 21:00:00
        [price] => 1.179
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  158. pivots_1h_5:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-11 02:00:00
        [price] => 1.08118
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  159. pivots_1h_6:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-11 03:00:00
        [price] => 1.24913
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  160. pivots_1h_7:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-11 06:00:00
        [price] => 1.11954
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  161. pivots_1h_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-11 08:00:00
        [price] => 1.19218
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  162. pivots_1h_9:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-11 17:00:00
        [price] => 1.12164
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  163. pivots_1h_10:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 01:00:00
        [price] => 1.22341
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  164. pivots_1h_11:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 02:00:00
        [price] => 1.17088
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  165. pivots_1h_12:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 12:00:00
        [price] => 1.15201
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  166. pivots_1h_13:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 07:00:00
        [price] => 1.23567
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  167. pivots_1h_14:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 08:00:00
        [price] => 1.18822
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  168. pivots_1h_15:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 13:00:00
        [price] => 1.2418
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  169. pivots_1h_16:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 16:00:00
        [price] => 0.80268
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  170. pivots_1h_17:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 19:00:00
        [price] => 1.16645
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  171. pivots_1h_18:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-14 05:00:00
        [price] => 0.50139
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  172. pivots_1h_19:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-14 23:00:00
        [price] => 0.58831
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  173. strategy_details
  174. levels_hl_price:
    0.50139
  175. levels_hl_timestamp: 2026-05-14 05:00:00
  176. levels_hh_price:
    0.58831
  177. levels_lh_price:
    0.58831
  178. levels_lh_timestamp: 2026-05-14 23:00:00
  179. levels_ll_price:
    0.50139
  180. ¸
  181. regimes
  182. 4H : bear_high
  183. 1H : bear_high
  184. 15m : bear_high
  185. ¸
  186. trend_analyzer_4h
  187. direction : neutral
  188. phase : range
  189. structure : range
  190. breakout_state : none
  191. quality : volatile
  192. strength : moderate
  193. exhaustion : medium
  194. momentum_type : grind
  195. volatility_regime : expansion
  196. htf_context : unknown
  197. risk_state : approaching_support
  198. confidence : 0.292
  199. state : neutral_range_grind
  200. trend_analyzer_4h
  201. scores_direction_score:
    0.4585
  202. scores_strength_score:
    0.4043
  203. scores_quality_score:
    0.3123
  204. scores_cleanliness_score:
    0.1941
  205. scores_structural_quality:
    0.4091
  206. scores_pullback_score:
    0
  207. scores_exhaustion_score:
    0.4335
  208. scores_continuation_score:
    0.4283
  209. scores_structure_score:
    0.7544
  210. scores_volatility_expansion:
    0.7
  211. scores_momentum_type_score:
    0.4568
  212. scores_risk_score:
    0.026
  213. trend_analyzer_4h
  214. features_ema20_slope:
    -0.3764
  215. features_ema50_slope:
    -0.1751
  216. features_ema_alignment_score:
    0
  217. features_price_vs_ema20:
    -3.1205
  218. features_price_vs_ema50:
    -4.1829
  219. features_recent_hh_hl_score:
    0.6471
  220. features_recent_lh_ll_score:
    0.3529
  221. features_last_bos_direction:
    1
  222. features_bars_since_last_bos:
    39
  223. features_candle_overlap_ratio:
    1
  224. features_wick_ratio:
    0.6119
  225. features_trend_efficiency:
    0.1973
  226. features_impulse_strength:
    2.6383
  227. features_directional_candle_ratio:
    0.6
  228. features_pullback_depth_ratio:
    0
  229. features_pullback_depth_atr:
    0
  230. features_extension_from_mean:
    -4.1829
  231. features_impulse_decay_score:
    0
  232. features_opposing_wick_pressure:
    0.3342
  233. features_volatility_percentile:
    0.5
  234. features_volatility_delta:
    0.3154
  235. features_body_ratio:
    0.4361
  236. features_closes_position_ratio:
    0.4417
  237. features_slope_consistency:
    0.6375
  238. features_range_position:
    0.026
  239. features_distance_to_recent_high:
    -8.5138
  240. features_distance_to_recent_low:
    0.2271
  241. features_had_recent_range:
    1
  242. features_had_recent_compression:
    0
  243. features_post_break_hl_count:
    2
  244. features_htf_trend_strength:
    
                                                                                                                                
  245. features_htf_compression_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  246. features_htf_entropy_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  247. features_htf_hh_hl_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  248. features_htf_state_str:
    
                                                                                                                                
  249. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

1H ↓ impulse_down
Confidence 100%

Trend

Trend Strength
-0.271
Persistence
0.500
High Δ ATR
-12.845
Low Δ ATR
-6.694

Current Swing

Amp ATR
1.819
Speed
0.101
Efficiency
0.125

Structure

Retracement
0.131
Extension
0.239
Compression
1.189
Entropy
1.000
Breakout Str.
-14.266
Dist High ATR
-1.421
Dist Low ATR
0.511
25 pivots · 24 swings · Last pivot: ↑ 0.5883 @ bar 147

Trend Analyzer 1H

1H ↓ down down_bearish_transition_fading
Confidence 48%

Context

phase transition
structure bearish_transition
breakout breakout_confirmed
quality volatile
strength moderate
exhaustion high
momentum fading
volatility compression
risk approaching_support
htf unknown
Scores
Direction Score 0.237
Strength Score 0.449
Quality Score 0.321
Cleanliness Score 0.232
Structural Quality 0.393
Pullback Score 0.131
Exhaustion Score 0.777
Continuation Score 0.236
Structure Score 0.288
Volatility Expansion 0.192
Momentum Type Score 0.418
Risk Score 0.030
Features
Ema20 Slope
-0.186
Ema50 Slope
-0.288
Ema Alignment Score
0.000
Price Vs Ema20
-2.018
Price Vs Ema50
-7.115
Recent Hh Hl Score
0.400
Recent Lh Ll Score
0.600
Last Bos Direction
-1.000
Bars Since Last Bos
20.000
Candle Overlap Ratio
1.000
Wick Ratio
0.536
Trend Efficiency
0.125
Impulse Strength
7.280
Directional Candle Ratio
0.550
Pullback Depth Ratio
0.131
Pullback Depth Atr
0.951
Extension From Mean
-7.115
Impulse Decay Score
0.881
Opposing Wick Pressure
0.300
Volatility Percentile
0.320
Volatility Delta
-0.685
Body Ratio
0.265
Closes Position Ratio
0.543
Slope Consistency
0.853
Range Position
0.030
Distance To Recent High
-21.545
Distance To Recent Low
0.667
Had Recent Range
1.000
Had Recent Compression
0.000
Post Break Hl Count
1.000

Trend Analyzer 4H

1H ↔ neutral neutral_range_grind
Confidence 29%

Context

phase range
structure range
breakout none
quality volatile
strength moderate
exhaustion medium
momentum grind
volatility expansion
risk approaching_support
htf unknown
Scores
Direction Score 0.459
Strength Score 0.404
Quality Score 0.312
Cleanliness Score 0.194
Structural Quality 0.409
Pullback Score 0.000
Exhaustion Score 0.434
Continuation Score 0.428
Structure Score 0.754
Volatility Expansion 0.700
Momentum Type Score 0.457
Risk Score 0.026
Features
Ema20 Slope
-0.376
Ema50 Slope
-0.175
Ema Alignment Score
0.000
Price Vs Ema20
-3.121
Price Vs Ema50
-4.183
Recent Hh Hl Score
0.647
Recent Lh Ll Score
0.353
Last Bos Direction
1.000
Bars Since Last Bos
39.000
Candle Overlap Ratio
1.000
Wick Ratio
0.612
Trend Efficiency
0.197
Impulse Strength
2.638
Directional Candle Ratio
0.600
Pullback Depth Ratio
0.000
Pullback Depth Atr
0.000
Extension From Mean
-4.183
Impulse Decay Score
0.000
Opposing Wick Pressure
0.334
Volatility Percentile
0.500
Volatility Delta
0.315
Body Ratio
0.436
Closes Position Ratio
0.442
Slope Consistency
0.638
Range Position
0.026
Distance To Recent High
-8.514
Distance To Recent Low
0.227
Had Recent Range
1.000
Had Recent Compression
0.000
Post Break Hl Count
2.000

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7093ms Confidence avant OB : 90%90%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 -0.067
avg -0.045 ± 0.054
OBI Top 10 0.217

Microstructure

Mid Price
0.5244
Micro Price
0.5245
Spread
0.0553%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price
0.5190
Size
61,724.00

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
15 May 2026
01:53:20
01 Jun 2026
09:20:00
2 weeks

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.5294 0.5906 0.346 3 0.4902
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.5294
  • Stop Loss: 0.5906
  • Take Profit: 0.346

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.5906 - 0.5294 = 0.0612

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.5294 - 0.346 = 0.1834

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1834 / 0.0612 = 2.9967

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
69.2772 69.2772 130.8549 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0612

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0612 = 130.72

Taille de position USD = 130.72 x 0.5294 = 69.2

Donc, tu peux acheter 130.72 avec un stoploss a 0.5906

Avec un position size USD de 69.2$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 130.72 x 0.0612 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 130.72 x 0.1834 = 23.97

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 23.97$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 130.72
  • Taille de position USD 69.2
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 23.97
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.9967

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
34.64 % 24 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
11.56 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
-8.01 $ -11.56
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-12.2138 % 105.65 % 20

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
)

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank
#86 / n/a OK
seuil : top 15 · score du 15/05/2026 01:00
Signal Confidence
90 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1 OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime