15 May 2026 at 02:48:58

Short Trade on SIREN (WedgePullback)

With 128.86 SIREN at 0.529$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3425 (35.23 %) & Stop Loss: 0.5908 (11.72 %)

Short WedgePullback on SIREN (15 May 2026 at 02:48:58 to 09:20:00 - 2 weeks )

With 128.8594 SIREN at 0.5288$ per unit.

Position size of 68.1357 $
Take profit at 0.3425 (35.23 %) and Stop Loss at 0.5908 (11.72 %)

That's a 3 RR Trade
Duration: 2 weeks

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score:
Prediction Score:
Prediction 1 Probability
n/a
Prediction 2 Probability
n/a
Prediction 3 Probability
n/a
BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : range

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

tf_aligned : 1

15/05 02:02

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

4H_regime : bear_high_confirmed

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

Signal

WedgePullback - SELL

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. confidence: 0.796
  3. reason: ascending_wedge_lh_anticipation|ob:bid_pressure(-0.10)
  4. stop_price: 0.59084317
  5. tp_price: 0.3425105
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.896
  8. confidence_pre_ob: 0.896
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. timeframe : 1h
  10. state : impulse_down
  11. confidence : 1
  12. trend_strength : -0.2709
  13. trend_persistence : 0.5
  14. high_delta_atr : -12.7023
  15. low_delta_atr : -6.6196
  16. current_swing_amp_atr : 1.8192
  17. current_swing_speed : 0.10107
  18. current_swing_efficiency : 0.1251
  19. retracement_ratio : 0.1307
  20. extension_ratio : 0.2389
  21. compression_score : 1.1887
  22. swing_entropy : 1
  23. breakout_strength : -14.0106
  24. distance_to_last_high_atr : -1.3084
  25. distance_to_last_low_atr : 0.6013
  26. pivot_count : 25
  27. swing_count : 24
  28. market_structure_v2
  29. last_pivot_kind: high
  30. last_pivot_price:
    0.58831
  31. last_pivot_index:
    146
  32. ¸
  33. trend_analyzer_1h
  34. direction : down
  35. phase : transition
  36. structure : bearish_transition
  37. breakout_state : none
  38. quality : volatile
  39. strength : moderate
  40. exhaustion : high
  41. momentum_type : fading
  42. volatility_regime : compression
  43. htf_context : unknown
  44. risk_state : approaching_support
  45. confidence : 0.481
  46. state : down_bearish_transition_fading
  47. trend_analyzer_1h
  48. scores_direction_score:
    0.2396
  49. scores_strength_score:
    0.4488
  50. scores_quality_score:
    0.317
  51. scores_cleanliness_score:
    0.2287
  52. scores_structural_quality:
    0.3892
  53. scores_pullback_score:
    0.1307
  54. scores_exhaustion_score:
    0.7802
  55. scores_continuation_score:
    0.2368
  56. scores_structure_score:
    0.2876
  57. scores_volatility_expansion:
    0.24
  58. scores_momentum_type_score:
    0.4237
  59. scores_risk_score:
    0.0592
  60. trend_analyzer_1h
  61. features_ema20_slope:
    -0.1652
  62. features_ema50_slope:
    -0.2629
  63. features_ema_alignment_score:
    0
  64. features_price_vs_ema20:
    -1.5966
  65. features_price_vs_ema50:
    -6.2923
  66. features_recent_hh_hl_score:
    0.4
  67. features_recent_lh_ll_score:
    0.6
  68. features_last_bos_direction:
    -1
  69. features_bars_since_last_bos:
    21
  70. features_candle_overlap_ratio:
    1
  71. features_wick_ratio:
    0.5426
  72. features_trend_efficiency:
    0.1251
  73. features_impulse_strength:
    7.2796
  74. features_directional_candle_ratio:
    0.55
  75. features_pullback_depth_ratio:
    0.1307
  76. features_pullback_depth_atr:
    0.9514
  77. features_extension_from_mean:
    -6.2923
  78. features_impulse_decay_score:
    0.8806
  79. features_opposing_wick_pressure:
    0.3119
  80. features_volatility_percentile:
    0.4
  81. features_volatility_delta:
    -0.6439
  82. features_body_ratio:
    0.2683
  83. features_closes_position_ratio:
    0.5484
  84. features_slope_consistency:
    0.8736
  85. features_range_position:
    0.0592
  86. features_distance_to_recent_high:
    -20.0632
  87. features_distance_to_recent_low:
    1.2622
  88. features_had_recent_range:
    1
  89. features_had_recent_compression:
    0
  90. features_post_break_hl_count:
    1
  91. features_htf_trend_strength:
    
                                                                                                                                
  92. features_htf_compression_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  93. features_htf_entropy_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  94. features_htf_hh_hl_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  95. features_htf_state_str:
    
                                                                                                                                
  96. ¸
  97. orderbook_context
  98. obi_top5 : 0.2434
  99. obi_top10 : 0.1586
  100. micro_price : 0.528385
  101. spread_pct : 0.079535
  102. mid_price : 0.52828
  103. bid_wall_price : 0.524
  104. bid_wall_size : 59630
  105. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  106. ask_wall_price : 0.53
  107. ask_wall_size : 46658
  108. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  109. snapshots_count : 5
  110. obi_top5_mean : 0.2542
  111. obi_top5_std : 0.0287
  112. pressure_side : bid
  113. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  114. collection_ms : 7067
  115. aggregation_tick : 0.001
  116. error :
  117. ¸
  118. strategy_details
  119. strategy : wedge_pullback
  120. ms_state_4h : compression
  121. ms_state_1h : impulse_down
  122. strategy_details
  123. wedge_4h_type: ascending_wedge
  124. wedge_4h_strength:
    0.478
  125. wedge_4h_bias: bearish_breakout
  126. wedge_4h_breakout_type: ascending_wedge
  127. wedge_4h_breakout_strength:
    0.478
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  129. wedge_4h_lower_line:
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  130. wedge_4h_breakout_bar:
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    (
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        [price] => 1.1338
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  131. strategy_details
  132. pivots_4h_0:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-12 04:00:00
        [price] => 0.85255
        [kind] => high
        [label] => 
    )
    
  133. pivots_4h_1:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-14 12:00:00
        [price] => 0.60954
        [kind] => low
        [label] => 
    )
    
  134. pivots_4h_2:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-16 20:00:00
        [price] => 2.24855
        [kind] => high
        [label] => 
    )
    
  135. pivots_4h_3:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-17 04:00:00
        [price] => 0.26206
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  136. pivots_4h_4:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-18 04:00:00
        [price] => 0.90206
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  137. pivots_4h_5:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-22 20:00:00
        [price] => 0.60651
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  138. pivots_4h_6:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-25 12:00:00
        [price] => 0.80728
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  139. pivots_4h_7:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-27 00:00:00
        [price] => 0.53358
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  140. pivots_4h_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-28 08:00:00
        [price] => 0.73896
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  141. pivots_4h_9:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-30 08:00:00
        [price] => 0.63508
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  142. pivots_4h_10:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-01 08:00:00
        [price] => 0.7632
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  143. pivots_4h_11:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-02 16:00:00
        [price] => 0.67132
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  144. pivots_4h_12:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-04 00:00:00
        [price] => 0.88153
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  145. pivots_4h_13:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-05 00:00:00
        [price] => 0.71571
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  146. pivots_4h_14:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-07 04:00:00
        [price] => 1.21604
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  147. pivots_4h_15:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-07 16:00:00
        [price] => 0.89043
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  148. pivots_4h_16:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-08 12:00:00
        [price] => 1.29588
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  149. pivots_4h_17:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-08 16:00:00
        [price] => 1.07271
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  150. pivots_4h_18:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-11 00:00:00
        [price] => 1.08118
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  151. pivots_4h_19:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 12:00:00
        [price] => 1.2418
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  152. strategy_details
  153. pivots_1h_0:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-09 18:00:00
        [price] => 1.3481
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  154. pivots_1h_1:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 02:00:00
        [price] => 1.13238
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  155. pivots_1h_2:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 03:00:00
        [price] => 1.26665
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  156. pivots_1h_3:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 16:00:00
        [price] => 1.09618
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  157. pivots_1h_4:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 21:00:00
        [price] => 1.179
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  158. pivots_1h_5:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-11 02:00:00
        [price] => 1.08118
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  159. pivots_1h_6:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-11 03:00:00
        [price] => 1.24913
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  160. pivots_1h_7:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-11 06:00:00
        [price] => 1.11954
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  161. pivots_1h_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-11 08:00:00
        [price] => 1.19218
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  162. pivots_1h_9:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-11 17:00:00
        [price] => 1.12164
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  163. pivots_1h_10:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 01:00:00
        [price] => 1.22341
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  164. pivots_1h_11:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 02:00:00
        [price] => 1.17088
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  165. pivots_1h_12:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 12:00:00
        [price] => 1.15201
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  166. pivots_1h_13:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 07:00:00
        [price] => 1.23567
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  167. pivots_1h_14:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 08:00:00
        [price] => 1.18822
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  168. pivots_1h_15:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 13:00:00
        [price] => 1.2418
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  169. pivots_1h_16:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 16:00:00
        [price] => 0.80268
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  170. pivots_1h_17:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 19:00:00
        [price] => 1.16645
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  171. pivots_1h_18:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-14 05:00:00
        [price] => 0.50139
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  172. pivots_1h_19:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-14 23:00:00
        [price] => 0.58831
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  173. strategy_details
  174. levels_hl_price:
    0.50139
  175. levels_hl_timestamp: 2026-05-14 05:00:00
  176. levels_hh_price:
    0.58831
  177. levels_lh_price:
    0.58831
  178. levels_lh_timestamp: 2026-05-14 23:00:00
  179. levels_ll_price:
    0.50139
  180. ¸
  181. regimes
  182. 4H : bear_high_confirmed
  183. 1H : bear_high
  184. 15m : bear_high
  185. ¸
  186. trend_analyzer_4h
  187. direction : neutral
  188. phase : range
  189. structure : range
  190. breakout_state : none
  191. quality : volatile
  192. strength : moderate
  193. exhaustion : medium
  194. momentum_type : grind
  195. volatility_regime : expansion
  196. htf_context : unknown
  197. risk_state : approaching_support
  198. confidence : 0.29
  199. state : neutral_range_grind
  200. trend_analyzer_4h
  201. scores_direction_score:
    0.461
  202. scores_strength_score:
    0.4043
  203. scores_quality_score:
    0.3076
  204. scores_cleanliness_score:
    0.1836
  205. scores_structural_quality:
    0.4091
  206. scores_pullback_score:
    0
  207. scores_exhaustion_score:
    0.4302
  208. scores_continuation_score:
    0.4303
  209. scores_structure_score:
    0.7544
  210. scores_volatility_expansion:
    0.712
  211. scores_momentum_type_score:
    0.461
  212. scores_risk_score:
    0.0514
  213. trend_analyzer_4h
  214. features_ema20_slope:
    -0.3594
  215. features_ema50_slope:
    -0.1672
  216. features_ema_alignment_score:
    0
  217. features_price_vs_ema20:
    -2.9489
  218. features_price_vs_ema50:
    -3.9633
  219. features_recent_hh_hl_score:
    0.6471
  220. features_recent_lh_ll_score:
    0.3529
  221. features_last_bos_direction:
    1
  222. features_bars_since_last_bos:
    39
  223. features_candle_overlap_ratio:
    1
  224. features_wick_ratio:
    0.6327
  225. features_trend_efficiency:
    0.1973
  226. features_impulse_strength:
    2.6383
  227. features_directional_candle_ratio:
    0.6
  228. features_pullback_depth_ratio:
    0
  229. features_pullback_depth_atr:
    0
  230. features_extension_from_mean:
    -3.9633
  231. features_impulse_decay_score:
    0
  232. features_opposing_wick_pressure:
    0.3338
  233. features_volatility_percentile:
    0.52
  234. features_volatility_delta:
    0.3744
  235. features_body_ratio:
    0.4334
  236. features_closes_position_ratio:
    0.4628
  237. features_slope_consistency:
    0.6375
  238. features_range_position:
    0.0514
  239. features_distance_to_recent_high:
    -8.1065
  240. features_distance_to_recent_low:
    0.439
  241. features_had_recent_range:
    1
  242. features_had_recent_compression:
    0
  243. features_post_break_hl_count:
    2
  244. features_htf_trend_strength:
    
                                                                                                                                
  245. features_htf_compression_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  246. features_htf_entropy_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  247. features_htf_hh_hl_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  248. features_htf_state_str:
    
                                                                                                                                
  249. ¸

Signaux confirmants (2)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 02:48 0.52876000 -0.008%
2 03:05 0.52678000 -0.382%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

1H ↓ impulse_down
Confidence 100%

Trend

Trend Strength
-0.271
Persistence
0.500
High Δ ATR
-12.702
Low Δ ATR
-6.620

Current Swing

Amp ATR
1.819
Speed
0.101
Efficiency
0.125

Structure

Retracement
0.131
Extension
0.239
Compression
1.189
Entropy
1.000
Breakout Str.
-14.011
Dist High ATR
-1.308
Dist Low ATR
0.601
25 pivots · 24 swings · Last pivot: ↑ 0.5883 @ bar 146

Trend Analyzer 1H

1H ↓ down down_bearish_transition_fading
Confidence 48%

Context

phase transition
structure bearish_transition
breakout none
quality volatile
strength moderate
exhaustion high
momentum fading
volatility compression
risk approaching_support
htf unknown
Scores
Direction Score 0.240
Strength Score 0.449
Quality Score 0.317
Cleanliness Score 0.229
Structural Quality 0.389
Pullback Score 0.131
Exhaustion Score 0.780
Continuation Score 0.237
Structure Score 0.288
Volatility Expansion 0.240
Momentum Type Score 0.424
Risk Score 0.059
Features
Ema20 Slope
-0.165
Ema50 Slope
-0.263
Ema Alignment Score
0.000
Price Vs Ema20
-1.597
Price Vs Ema50
-6.292
Recent Hh Hl Score
0.400
Recent Lh Ll Score
0.600
Last Bos Direction
-1.000
Bars Since Last Bos
21.000
Candle Overlap Ratio
1.000
Wick Ratio
0.543
Trend Efficiency
0.125
Impulse Strength
7.280
Directional Candle Ratio
0.550
Pullback Depth Ratio
0.131
Pullback Depth Atr
0.951
Extension From Mean
-6.292
Impulse Decay Score
0.881
Opposing Wick Pressure
0.312
Volatility Percentile
0.400
Volatility Delta
-0.644
Body Ratio
0.268
Closes Position Ratio
0.548
Slope Consistency
0.874
Range Position
0.059
Distance To Recent High
-20.063
Distance To Recent Low
1.262
Had Recent Range
1.000
Had Recent Compression
0.000
Post Break Hl Count
1.000

Trend Analyzer 4H

1H ↔ neutral neutral_range_grind
Confidence 29%

Context

phase range
structure range
breakout none
quality volatile
strength moderate
exhaustion medium
momentum grind
volatility expansion
risk approaching_support
htf unknown
Scores
Direction Score 0.461
Strength Score 0.404
Quality Score 0.308
Cleanliness Score 0.184
Structural Quality 0.409
Pullback Score 0.000
Exhaustion Score 0.430
Continuation Score 0.430
Structure Score 0.754
Volatility Expansion 0.712
Momentum Type Score 0.461
Risk Score 0.051
Features
Ema20 Slope
-0.359
Ema50 Slope
-0.167
Ema Alignment Score
0.000
Price Vs Ema20
-2.949
Price Vs Ema50
-3.963
Recent Hh Hl Score
0.647
Recent Lh Ll Score
0.353
Last Bos Direction
1.000
Bars Since Last Bos
39.000
Candle Overlap Ratio
1.000
Wick Ratio
0.633
Trend Efficiency
0.197
Impulse Strength
2.638
Directional Candle Ratio
0.600
Pullback Depth Ratio
0.000
Pullback Depth Atr
0.000
Extension From Mean
-3.963
Impulse Decay Score
0.000
Opposing Wick Pressure
0.334
Volatility Percentile
0.520
Volatility Delta
0.374
Body Ratio
0.433
Closes Position Ratio
0.463
Slope Consistency
0.638
Range Position
0.051
Distance To Recent High
-8.107
Distance To Recent Low
0.439
Had Recent Range
1.000
Had Recent Compression
0.000
Post Break Hl Count
2.000

Orderbook Context

↑ bid ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7067ms Confidence avant OB : 90%80%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.243
avg 0.254 ± 0.029
OBI Top 10 0.159

Microstructure

Mid Price
0.5283
Micro Price
0.5284
Spread
0.0795%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price
0.5240
Size
59,630.00

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price
0.5300
Size
46,658.00

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
15 May 2026
02:48:58
01 Jun 2026
09:20:00
2 weeks

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.5288 0.5908 0.3425 3 0.4902
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.5288
  • Stop Loss: 0.5908
  • Take Profit: 0.3425

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.5908 - 0.5288 = 0.062

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.5288 - 0.3425 = 0.1863

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1863 / 0.062 = 3.0048

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
68.1357 68.1357 128.8594 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.062

Taille de position = 8 / 0.062 = 129.03

Taille de position USD = 129.03 x 0.5288 = 68.23

Donc, tu peux acheter 129.03 avec un stoploss a 0.5908

Avec un position size USD de 68.23$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 129.03 x 0.062 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 129.03 x 0.1863 = 24.04

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 24.04$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 129.03
  • Taille de position USD 68.23
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 24.04
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 3.0048

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
35.23 % 24.01 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
11.72 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
-7.99 $ -11.72
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-12.3411 % 105.26 % 22

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
)

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank
#82 / n/a OK
seuil : top 15 · score du 15/05/2026 02:00
Signal Confidence
80 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime