15 May 2026 at 02:32:05

Short Trade on SIREN (WedgePullback)

With 115.34 SIREN at 0.522$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3135 (39.9 %) & Stop Loss: 0.5909 (13.29 %)

Short WedgePullback on SIREN (15 May 2026 at 02:32:05 to 09:20:00 - 2 weeks )

With 115.3374 SIREN at 0.5216$ per unit.

Position size of 60.1577 $
Take profit at 0.3135 (39.9 %) and Stop Loss at 0.5909 (13.29 %)

That's a 3 RR Trade
Duration: 2 weeks

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score:
Prediction Score:
Prediction 1 Probability
n/a
Prediction 2 Probability
n/a
Prediction 3 Probability
n/a
BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : range

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

Score : 1

ml_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

tf_aligned : 1

15/05 02:02

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

4H_regime : bear_high_confirmed

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high_confirmed

Signal

WedgePullback - SELL

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. confidence: 0.896
  3. reason: ascending_wedge_lh_anticipation
  4. stop_price: 0.59094169
  5. tp_price: 0.31349494
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.896
  8. confidence_pre_ob: 0.896
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. timeframe : 1h
  10. state : impulse_down
  11. confidence : 1
  12. trend_strength : -0.2709
  13. trend_persistence : 0.5
  14. high_delta_atr : -12.7639
  15. low_delta_atr : -6.6518
  16. current_swing_amp_atr : 1.8192
  17. current_swing_speed : 0.10107
  18. current_swing_efficiency : 0.1251
  19. retracement_ratio : 0.1307
  20. extension_ratio : 0.2389
  21. compression_score : 1.1887
  22. swing_entropy : 1
  23. breakout_strength : -14.2372
  24. distance_to_last_high_atr : -1.4732
  25. distance_to_last_low_atr : 0.4457
  26. pivot_count : 25
  27. swing_count : 24
  28. market_structure_v2
  29. last_pivot_kind: high
  30. last_pivot_price:
    0.58831
  31. last_pivot_index:
    146
  32. ¸
  33. trend_analyzer_1h
  34. direction : down
  35. phase : transition
  36. structure : bearish_transition
  37. breakout_state : none
  38. quality : volatile
  39. strength : moderate
  40. exhaustion : high
  41. momentum_type : fading
  42. volatility_regime : compression
  43. htf_context : unknown
  44. risk_state : approaching_support
  45. confidence : 0.484
  46. state : down_bearish_transition_fading
  47. trend_analyzer_1h
  48. scores_direction_score:
    0.2387
  49. scores_strength_score:
    0.4663
  50. scores_quality_score:
    0.3155
  51. scores_cleanliness_score:
    0.2255
  52. scores_structural_quality:
    0.3892
  53. scores_pullback_score:
    0.1307
  54. scores_exhaustion_score:
    0.7808
  55. scores_continuation_score:
    0.2363
  56. scores_structure_score:
    0.2876
  57. scores_volatility_expansion:
    0.228
  58. scores_momentum_type_score:
    0.4192
  59. scores_risk_score:
    0.05
  60. trend_analyzer_1h
  61. features_ema20_slope:
    -0.1708
  62. features_ema50_slope:
    -0.2674
  63. features_ema_alignment_score:
    0
  64. features_price_vs_ema20:
    -1.7932
  65. features_price_vs_ema50:
    -6.553
  66. features_recent_hh_hl_score:
    0.4
  67. features_recent_lh_ll_score:
    0.6
  68. features_last_bos_direction:
    -1
  69. features_bars_since_last_bos:
    21
  70. features_candle_overlap_ratio:
    1
  71. features_wick_ratio:
    0.5489
  72. features_trend_efficiency:
    0.1251
  73. features_impulse_strength:
    7.2796
  74. features_directional_candle_ratio:
    0.6
  75. features_pullback_depth_ratio:
    0.1307
  76. features_pullback_depth_atr:
    0.9514
  77. features_extension_from_mean:
    -6.553
  78. features_impulse_decay_score:
    0.8806
  79. features_opposing_wick_pressure:
    0.3141
  80. features_volatility_percentile:
    0.38
  81. features_volatility_delta:
    -0.6479
  82. features_body_ratio:
    0.2598
  83. features_closes_position_ratio:
    0.5437
  84. features_slope_consistency:
    0.8747
  85. features_range_position:
    0.05
  86. features_distance_to_recent_high:
    -20.4872
  87. features_distance_to_recent_low:
    1.079
  88. features_had_recent_range:
    1
  89. features_had_recent_compression:
    0
  90. features_post_break_hl_count:
    1
  91. features_htf_trend_strength:
    
                                                                                                                                
  92. features_htf_compression_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  93. features_htf_entropy_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  94. features_htf_hh_hl_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  95. features_htf_state_str:
    
                                                                                                                                
  96. ¸
  97. orderbook_context
  98. obi_top5 : 0.0403
  99. obi_top10 : 0.1739
  100. micro_price : 0.52193452
  101. spread_pct : 0.097744
  102. mid_price : 0.522025
  103. bid_wall_price : 0.517
  104. bid_wall_size : 60684
  105. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  106. ask_wall_price :
  107. ask_wall_size :
  108. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  109. snapshots_count : 5
  110. obi_top5_mean : 0.0735
  111. obi_top5_std : 0.118
  112. pressure_side : neutral
  113. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  114. collection_ms : 7169
  115. aggregation_tick : 0.001
  116. error :
  117. ¸
  118. strategy_details
  119. strategy : wedge_pullback
  120. ms_state_4h : compression
  121. ms_state_1h : impulse_down
  122. strategy_details
  123. wedge_4h_type: ascending_wedge
  124. wedge_4h_strength:
    0.478
  125. wedge_4h_bias: bearish_breakout
  126. wedge_4h_breakout_type: ascending_wedge
  127. wedge_4h_breakout_strength:
    0.478
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  129. wedge_4h_lower_line:
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  130. wedge_4h_breakout_bar:
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    (
        [time] => 1778688000
        [price] => 1.1338
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  131. strategy_details
  132. pivots_4h_0:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-12 04:00:00
        [price] => 0.85255
        [kind] => high
        [label] => 
    )
    
  133. pivots_4h_1:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-14 12:00:00
        [price] => 0.60954
        [kind] => low
        [label] => 
    )
    
  134. pivots_4h_2:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-16 20:00:00
        [price] => 2.24855
        [kind] => high
        [label] => 
    )
    
  135. pivots_4h_3:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-17 04:00:00
        [price] => 0.26206
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  136. pivots_4h_4:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-18 04:00:00
        [price] => 0.90206
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  137. pivots_4h_5:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-22 20:00:00
        [price] => 0.60651
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  138. pivots_4h_6:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-25 12:00:00
        [price] => 0.80728
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  139. pivots_4h_7:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-27 00:00:00
        [price] => 0.53358
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  140. pivots_4h_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-28 08:00:00
        [price] => 0.73896
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  141. pivots_4h_9:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-04-30 08:00:00
        [price] => 0.63508
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  142. pivots_4h_10:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-01 08:00:00
        [price] => 0.7632
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  143. pivots_4h_11:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-02 16:00:00
        [price] => 0.67132
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  144. pivots_4h_12:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-04 00:00:00
        [price] => 0.88153
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  145. pivots_4h_13:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-05 00:00:00
        [price] => 0.71571
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  146. pivots_4h_14:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-07 04:00:00
        [price] => 1.21604
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  147. pivots_4h_15:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-07 16:00:00
        [price] => 0.89043
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  148. pivots_4h_16:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-08 12:00:00
        [price] => 1.29588
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  149. pivots_4h_17:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-08 16:00:00
        [price] => 1.07271
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  150. pivots_4h_18:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-11 00:00:00
        [price] => 1.08118
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  151. pivots_4h_19:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 12:00:00
        [price] => 1.2418
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  152. strategy_details
  153. pivots_1h_0:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-09 18:00:00
        [price] => 1.3481
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  154. pivots_1h_1:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 02:00:00
        [price] => 1.13238
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  155. pivots_1h_2:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 03:00:00
        [price] => 1.26665
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  156. pivots_1h_3:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 16:00:00
        [price] => 1.09618
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  157. pivots_1h_4:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 21:00:00
        [price] => 1.179
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  158. pivots_1h_5:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-11 02:00:00
        [price] => 1.08118
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  159. pivots_1h_6:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-11 03:00:00
        [price] => 1.24913
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  160. pivots_1h_7:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-11 06:00:00
        [price] => 1.11954
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  161. pivots_1h_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-11 08:00:00
        [price] => 1.19218
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  162. pivots_1h_9:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-11 17:00:00
        [price] => 1.12164
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  163. pivots_1h_10:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 01:00:00
        [price] => 1.22341
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  164. pivots_1h_11:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 02:00:00
        [price] => 1.17088
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  165. pivots_1h_12:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 12:00:00
        [price] => 1.15201
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  166. pivots_1h_13:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 07:00:00
        [price] => 1.23567
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  167. pivots_1h_14:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 08:00:00
        [price] => 1.18822
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  168. pivots_1h_15:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 13:00:00
        [price] => 1.2418
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  169. pivots_1h_16:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 16:00:00
        [price] => 0.80268
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  170. pivots_1h_17:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 19:00:00
        [price] => 1.16645
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  171. pivots_1h_18:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-14 05:00:00
        [price] => 0.50139
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  172. pivots_1h_19:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-14 23:00:00
        [price] => 0.58831
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  173. strategy_details
  174. levels_hl_price:
    0.50139
  175. levels_hl_timestamp: 2026-05-14 05:00:00
  176. levels_hh_price:
    0.58831
  177. levels_lh_price:
    0.58831
  178. levels_lh_timestamp: 2026-05-14 23:00:00
  179. levels_ll_price:
    0.50139
  180. ¸
  181. regimes
  182. 4H : bear_high_confirmed
  183. 1H : bear_high
  184. 15m : bear_high_confirmed
  185. ¸
  186. trend_analyzer_4h
  187. direction : neutral
  188. phase : range
  189. structure : range
  190. breakout_state : none
  191. quality : volatile
  192. strength : moderate
  193. exhaustion : medium
  194. momentum_type : grind
  195. volatility_regime : expansion
  196. htf_context : unknown
  197. risk_state : approaching_support
  198. confidence : 0.29
  199. state : neutral_range_grind
  200. trend_analyzer_4h
  201. scores_direction_score:
    0.4608
  202. scores_strength_score:
    0.4043
  203. scores_quality_score:
    0.3087
  204. scores_cleanliness_score:
    0.186
  205. scores_structural_quality:
    0.4091
  206. scores_pullback_score:
    0
  207. scores_exhaustion_score:
    0.4335
  208. scores_continuation_score:
    0.4293
  209. scores_structure_score:
    0.7544
  210. scores_volatility_expansion:
    0.712
  211. scores_momentum_type_score:
    0.4612
  212. scores_risk_score:
    0.0434
  213. trend_analyzer_4h
  214. features_ema20_slope:
    -0.3607
  215. features_ema50_slope:
    -0.1678
  216. features_ema_alignment_score:
    0
  217. features_price_vs_ema20:
    -3.0103
  218. features_price_vs_ema50:
    -4.0285
  219. features_recent_hh_hl_score:
    0.6471
  220. features_recent_lh_ll_score:
    0.3529
  221. features_last_bos_direction:
    1
  222. features_bars_since_last_bos:
    39
  223. features_candle_overlap_ratio:
    1
  224. features_wick_ratio:
    0.6279
  225. features_trend_efficiency:
    0.1973
  226. features_impulse_strength:
    2.6383
  227. features_directional_candle_ratio:
    0.6
  228. features_pullback_depth_ratio:
    0
  229. features_pullback_depth_atr:
    0
  230. features_extension_from_mean:
    -4.0285
  231. features_impulse_decay_score:
    0
  232. features_opposing_wick_pressure:
    0.3338
  233. features_volatility_percentile:
    0.52
  234. features_volatility_delta:
    0.3744
  235. features_body_ratio:
    0.4368
  236. features_closes_position_ratio:
    0.4581
  237. features_slope_consistency:
    0.6375
  238. features_range_position:
    0.0434
  239. features_distance_to_recent_high:
    -8.1744
  240. features_distance_to_recent_low:
    0.3711
  241. features_had_recent_range:
    1
  242. features_had_recent_compression:
    0
  243. features_post_break_hl_count:
    2
  244. features_htf_trend_strength:
    
                                                                                                                                
  245. features_htf_compression_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  246. features_htf_entropy_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  247. features_htf_hh_hl_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  248. features_htf_state_str:
    
                                                                                                                                
  249. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

1H ↓ impulse_down
Confidence 100%

Trend

Trend Strength
-0.271
Persistence
0.500
High Δ ATR
-12.764
Low Δ ATR
-6.652

Current Swing

Amp ATR
1.819
Speed
0.101
Efficiency
0.125

Structure

Retracement
0.131
Extension
0.239
Compression
1.189
Entropy
1.000
Breakout Str.
-14.237
Dist High ATR
-1.473
Dist Low ATR
0.446
25 pivots · 24 swings · Last pivot: ↑ 0.5883 @ bar 146

Trend Analyzer 1H

1H ↓ down down_bearish_transition_fading
Confidence 48%

Context

phase transition
structure bearish_transition
breakout none
quality volatile
strength moderate
exhaustion high
momentum fading
volatility compression
risk approaching_support
htf unknown
Scores
Direction Score 0.239
Strength Score 0.466
Quality Score 0.316
Cleanliness Score 0.226
Structural Quality 0.389
Pullback Score 0.131
Exhaustion Score 0.781
Continuation Score 0.236
Structure Score 0.288
Volatility Expansion 0.228
Momentum Type Score 0.419
Risk Score 0.050
Features
Ema20 Slope
-0.171
Ema50 Slope
-0.267
Ema Alignment Score
0.000
Price Vs Ema20
-1.793
Price Vs Ema50
-6.553
Recent Hh Hl Score
0.400
Recent Lh Ll Score
0.600
Last Bos Direction
-1.000
Bars Since Last Bos
21.000
Candle Overlap Ratio
1.000
Wick Ratio
0.549
Trend Efficiency
0.125
Impulse Strength
7.280
Directional Candle Ratio
0.600
Pullback Depth Ratio
0.131
Pullback Depth Atr
0.951
Extension From Mean
-6.553
Impulse Decay Score
0.881
Opposing Wick Pressure
0.314
Volatility Percentile
0.380
Volatility Delta
-0.648
Body Ratio
0.260
Closes Position Ratio
0.544
Slope Consistency
0.875
Range Position
0.050
Distance To Recent High
-20.487
Distance To Recent Low
1.079
Had Recent Range
1.000
Had Recent Compression
0.000
Post Break Hl Count
1.000

Trend Analyzer 4H

1H ↔ neutral neutral_range_grind
Confidence 29%

Context

phase range
structure range
breakout none
quality volatile
strength moderate
exhaustion medium
momentum grind
volatility expansion
risk approaching_support
htf unknown
Scores
Direction Score 0.461
Strength Score 0.404
Quality Score 0.309
Cleanliness Score 0.186
Structural Quality 0.409
Pullback Score 0.000
Exhaustion Score 0.434
Continuation Score 0.429
Structure Score 0.754
Volatility Expansion 0.712
Momentum Type Score 0.461
Risk Score 0.043
Features
Ema20 Slope
-0.361
Ema50 Slope
-0.168
Ema Alignment Score
0.000
Price Vs Ema20
-3.010
Price Vs Ema50
-4.029
Recent Hh Hl Score
0.647
Recent Lh Ll Score
0.353
Last Bos Direction
1.000
Bars Since Last Bos
39.000
Candle Overlap Ratio
1.000
Wick Ratio
0.628
Trend Efficiency
0.197
Impulse Strength
2.638
Directional Candle Ratio
0.600
Pullback Depth Ratio
0.000
Pullback Depth Atr
0.000
Extension From Mean
-4.029
Impulse Decay Score
0.000
Opposing Wick Pressure
0.334
Volatility Percentile
0.520
Volatility Delta
0.374
Body Ratio
0.437
Closes Position Ratio
0.458
Slope Consistency
0.638
Range Position
0.043
Distance To Recent High
-8.174
Distance To Recent Low
0.371
Had Recent Range
1.000
Had Recent Compression
0.000
Post Break Hl Count
2.000

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7169ms Confidence avant OB : 90%90%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.040
avg 0.074 ± 0.118
OBI Top 10 0.174

Microstructure

Mid Price
0.5220
Micro Price
0.5219
Spread
0.0977%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price
0.5170
Size
60,684.00

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
15 May 2026
02:32:05
01 Jun 2026
09:20:00
2 weeks

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.5216 0.5909 0.3135 3 0.4902
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.5216
  • Stop Loss: 0.5909
  • Take Profit: 0.3135

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.5909 - 0.5216 = 0.0693

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.5216 - 0.3135 = 0.2081

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.2081 / 0.0693 = 3.0029

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
60.1577 60.1577 115.3374 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0693

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0693 = 115.44

Taille de position USD = 115.44 x 0.5216 = 60.21

Donc, tu peux acheter 115.44 avec un stoploss a 0.5909

Avec un position size USD de 60.21$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 115.44 x 0.0693 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 115.44 x 0.2081 = 24.02

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 24.02$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 115.44
  • Taille de position USD 60.21
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 24.02
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 3.0029

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
39.9 % 24 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
13.29 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
-7.99 $ -13.29
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-13.8919 % 104.56 % 59

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
)

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank
#82 / n/a OK
seuil : top 15 · score du 15/05/2026 02:00
Signal Confidence
90 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
1 OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime