Short Trade on AVAX (WedgePullback)
With 66.44 AVAX at 9.256$ per unit. Take profit: 8.8948 (3.9 %) & Stop Loss: 9.3764 (1.3 %)
Short Trade on AVAX (WedgePullback)
With 66.44 AVAX at 9.256$ per unit. Take profit: 8.8948 (3.9 %) & Stop Loss: 9.3764 (1.3 %)
Position size of 614.9914 $
Take profit at 8.8948 (3.9 %)
and Stop Loss at 9.3764 (1.3 %)
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_medium_confirmed rules_regime_5m : bear_low Score : 3 |
ml_regime : range_medium rules_regime : bear_low_confirmed rules_regime_5m : bear_low_confirmed tf_aligned : 1 16/05 05:01 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
4H_regime : bear_high 1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_medium_confirmed |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bear_high |
70%
|
16/05 00:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
73%
|
16/05 04:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bear_medium_confirmed |
66%
|
16/05 05:15 |
| 5m | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | grind | expansion | bear_low_confirmed |
60%
|
16/05 05:30 |
Indicators:
9.37
148
0.2015
0.7834
0.4013
0.2062
0.5608
0.3878
0.6967
0.4716
0.246
0.2369
0.6849
0.0639
-0.2292
-0.1507
0
-2.8129
-4.5147
0.35
0.65
-1
2
1
0.5875
0.8
4.8964
0.65
0.3878
1.8988
-4.5147
0.6561
0.337
0.36
-0.2687
0.3784
0.4844
0.8406
0.0639
-12.0299
0.821
1
0
1
0.386
0.386
Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[time] => 1777867200
[value] => 9.85510209
)
[1] => Array
(
[time] => 1777881600
[value] => 9.8617703
)
[2] => Array
(
[time] => 1777896000
[value] => 9.86843852
)
[3] => Array
(
[time] => 1777910400
[value] => 9.87510673
)
[4] => Array
(
[time] => 1777924800
[value] => 9.88177494
)
[5] => Array
(
[time] => 1777939200
[value] => 9.88844316
)
[6] => Array
(
[time] => 1777953600
[value] => 9.89511137
)
[7] => Array
(
[time] => 1777968000
[value] => 9.90177958
)
[8] => Array
(
[time] => 1777982400
[value] => 9.9084478
)
[9] => Array
(
[time] => 1777996800
[value] => 9.91511601
)
[10] => Array
(
[time] => 1778011200
[value] => 9.92178422
)
[11] => Array
(
[time] => 1778025600
[value] => 9.92845244
)
[12] => Array
(
[time] => 1778040000
[value] => 9.93512065
)
[13] => Array
(
[time] => 1778054400
[value] => 9.94178886
)
[14] => Array
(
[time] => 1778068800
[value] => 9.94845708
)
[15] => Array
(
[time] => 1778083200
[value] => 9.95512529
)
[16] => Array
(
[time] => 1778097600
[value] => 9.9617935
)
[17] => Array
(
[time] => 1778112000
[value] => 9.96846172
)
[18] => Array
(
[time] => 1778126400
[value] => 9.97512993
)
[19] => Array
(
[time] => 1778140800
[value] => 9.98179814
)
[20] => Array
(
[time] => 1778155200
[value] => 9.98846636
)
[21] => Array
(
[time] => 1778169600
[value] => 9.99513457
)
[22] => Array
(
[time] => 1778184000
[value] => 10.00180278
)
[23] => Array
(
[time] => 1778198400
[value] => 10.008471
)
[24] => Array
(
[time] => 1778212800
[value] => 10.01513921
)
[25] => Array
(
[time] => 1778227200
[value] => 10.02180742
)
[26] => Array
(
[time] => 1778241600
[value] => 10.02847564
)
[27] => Array
(
[time] => 1778256000
[value] => 10.03514385
)
[28] => Array
(
[time] => 1778270400
[value] => 10.04181206
)
[29] => Array
(
[time] => 1778284800
[value] => 10.04848028
)
[30] => Array
(
[time] => 1778299200
[value] => 10.05514849
)
[31] => Array
(
[time] => 1778313600
[value] => 10.06181671
)
[32] => Array
(
[time] => 1778328000
[value] => 10.06848492
)
[33] => Array
(
[time] => 1778342400
[value] => 10.07515313
)
[34] => Array
(
[time] => 1778356800
[value] => 10.08182135
)
[35] => Array
(
[time] => 1778371200
[value] => 10.08848956
)
[36] => Array
(
[time] => 1778385600
[value] => 10.09515777
)
[37] => Array
(
[time] => 1778400000
[value] => 10.10182599
)
[38] => Array
(
[time] => 1778414400
[value] => 10.1084942
)
[39] => Array
(
[time] => 1778428800
[value] => 10.11516241
)
[40] => Array
(
[time] => 1778443200
[value] => 10.12183063
)
[41] => Array
(
[time] => 1778457600
[value] => 10.12849884
)
[42] => Array
(
[time] => 1778472000
[value] => 10.13516705
)
[43] => Array
(
[time] => 1778486400
[value] => 10.14183527
)
[44] => Array
(
[time] => 1778500800
[value] => 10.14850348
)
[45] => Array
(
[time] => 1778515200
[value] => 10.15517169
)
[46] => Array
(
[time] => 1778529600
[value] => 10.16183991
)
[47] => Array
(
[time] => 1778544000
[value] => 10.16850812
)
[48] => Array
(
[time] => 1778558400
[value] => 10.17517633
)
[49] => Array
(
[time] => 1778572800
[value] => 10.18184455
)
[50] => Array
(
[time] => 1778587200
[value] => 10.18851276
)
[51] => Array
(
[time] => 1778601600
[value] => 10.19518097
)
[52] => Array
(
[time] => 1778616000
[value] => 10.20184919
)
[53] => Array
(
[time] => 1778630400
[value] => 10.2085174
)
[54] => Array
(
[time] => 1778644800
[value] => 10.21518561
)
[55] => Array
(
[time] => 1778659200
[value] => 10.22185383
)
[56] => Array
(
[time] => 1778673600
[value] => 10.22852204
)
[57] => Array
(
[time] => 1778688000
[value] => 10.23519026
)
[58] => Array
(
[time] => 1778702400
[value] => 10.24185847
)
[59] => Array
(
[time] => 1778716800
[value] => 10.24852668
)
[60] => Array
(
[time] => 1778731200
[value] => 10.2551949
)
[61] => Array
(
[time] => 1778745600
[value] => 10.26186311
)
[62] => Array
(
[time] => 1778760000
[value] => 10.26853132
)
[63] => Array
(
[time] => 1778774400
[value] => 10.27519954
)
[64] => Array
(
[time] => 1778788800
[value] => 10.28186775
)
[65] => Array
(
[time] => 1778803200
[value] => 10.28853596
)
[66] => Array
(
[time] => 1778817600
[value] => 10.29520418
)
[67] => Array
(
[time] => 1778832000
[value] => 10.30187239
)
[68] => Array
(
[time] => 1778846400
[value] => 10.3085406
)
[69] => Array
(
[time] => 1778860800
[value] => 10.31520882
)
[70] => Array
(
[time] => 1778875200
[value] => 10.32187703
)
[71] => Array
(
[time] => 1778889600
[value] => 10.32854524
)
[72] => Array
(
[time] => 1778904000
[value] => 10.33521346
)
)
Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[time] => 1777867200
[value] => 9.08244893
)
[1] => Array
(
[time] => 1777881600
[value] => 9.09331238
)
[2] => Array
(
[time] => 1777896000
[value] => 9.10417583
)
[3] => Array
(
[time] => 1777910400
[value] => 9.11503928
)
[4] => Array
(
[time] => 1777924800
[value] => 9.12590273
)
[5] => Array
(
[time] => 1777939200
[value] => 9.13676618
)
[6] => Array
(
[time] => 1777953600
[value] => 9.14762963
)
[7] => Array
(
[time] => 1777968000
[value] => 9.15849308
)
[8] => Array
(
[time] => 1777982400
[value] => 9.16935653
)
[9] => Array
(
[time] => 1777996800
[value] => 9.18021998
)
[10] => Array
(
[time] => 1778011200
[value] => 9.19108343
)
[11] => Array
(
[time] => 1778025600
[value] => 9.20194688
)
[12] => Array
(
[time] => 1778040000
[value] => 9.21281033
)
[13] => Array
(
[time] => 1778054400
[value] => 9.22367377
)
[14] => Array
(
[time] => 1778068800
[value] => 9.23453722
)
[15] => Array
(
[time] => 1778083200
[value] => 9.24540067
)
[16] => Array
(
[time] => 1778097600
[value] => 9.25626412
)
[17] => Array
(
[time] => 1778112000
[value] => 9.26712757
)
[18] => Array
(
[time] => 1778126400
[value] => 9.27799102
)
[19] => Array
(
[time] => 1778140800
[value] => 9.28885447
)
[20] => Array
(
[time] => 1778155200
[value] => 9.29971792
)
[21] => Array
(
[time] => 1778169600
[value] => 9.31058137
)
[22] => Array
(
[time] => 1778184000
[value] => 9.32144482
)
[23] => Array
(
[time] => 1778198400
[value] => 9.33230827
)
[24] => Array
(
[time] => 1778212800
[value] => 9.34317172
)
[25] => Array
(
[time] => 1778227200
[value] => 9.35403517
)
[26] => Array
(
[time] => 1778241600
[value] => 9.36489862
)
[27] => Array
(
[time] => 1778256000
[value] => 9.37576207
)
[28] => Array
(
[time] => 1778270400
[value] => 9.38662551
)
[29] => Array
(
[time] => 1778284800
[value] => 9.39748896
)
[30] => Array
(
[time] => 1778299200
[value] => 9.40835241
)
[31] => Array
(
[time] => 1778313600
[value] => 9.41921586
)
[32] => Array
(
[time] => 1778328000
[value] => 9.43007931
)
[33] => Array
(
[time] => 1778342400
[value] => 9.44094276
)
[34] => Array
(
[time] => 1778356800
[value] => 9.45180621
)
[35] => Array
(
[time] => 1778371200
[value] => 9.46266966
)
[36] => Array
(
[time] => 1778385600
[value] => 9.47353311
)
[37] => Array
(
[time] => 1778400000
[value] => 9.48439656
)
[38] => Array
(
[time] => 1778414400
[value] => 9.49526001
)
[39] => Array
(
[time] => 1778428800
[value] => 9.50612346
)
[40] => Array
(
[time] => 1778443200
[value] => 9.51698691
)
[41] => Array
(
[time] => 1778457600
[value] => 9.52785036
)
[42] => Array
(
[time] => 1778472000
[value] => 9.5387138
)
[43] => Array
(
[time] => 1778486400
[value] => 9.54957725
)
[44] => Array
(
[time] => 1778500800
[value] => 9.5604407
)
[45] => Array
(
[time] => 1778515200
[value] => 9.57130415
)
[46] => Array
(
[time] => 1778529600
[value] => 9.5821676
)
[47] => Array
(
[time] => 1778544000
[value] => 9.59303105
)
[48] => Array
(
[time] => 1778558400
[value] => 9.6038945
)
[49] => Array
(
[time] => 1778572800
[value] => 9.61475795
)
[50] => Array
(
[time] => 1778587200
[value] => 9.6256214
)
[51] => Array
(
[time] => 1778601600
[value] => 9.63648485
)
[52] => Array
(
[time] => 1778616000
[value] => 9.6473483
)
[53] => Array
(
[time] => 1778630400
[value] => 9.65821175
)
[54] => Array
(
[time] => 1778644800
[value] => 9.6690752
)
[55] => Array
(
[time] => 1778659200
[value] => 9.67993865
)
[56] => Array
(
[time] => 1778673600
[value] => 9.6908021
)
[57] => Array
(
[time] => 1778688000
[value] => 9.70166554
)
[58] => Array
(
[time] => 1778702400
[value] => 9.71252899
)
[59] => Array
(
[time] => 1778716800
[value] => 9.72339244
)
[60] => Array
(
[time] => 1778731200
[value] => 9.73425589
)
[61] => Array
(
[time] => 1778745600
[value] => 9.74511934
)
[62] => Array
(
[time] => 1778760000
[value] => 9.75598279
)
[63] => Array
(
[time] => 1778774400
[value] => 9.76684624
)
[64] => Array
(
[time] => 1778788800
[value] => 9.77770969
)
[65] => Array
(
[time] => 1778803200
[value] => 9.78857314
)
[66] => Array
(
[time] => 1778817600
[value] => 9.79943659
)
[67] => Array
(
[time] => 1778832000
[value] => 9.81030004
)
[68] => Array
(
[time] => 1778846400
[value] => 9.82116349
)
[69] => Array
(
[time] => 1778860800
[value] => 9.83202694
)
[70] => Array
(
[time] => 1778875200
[value] => 9.84289039
)
[71] => Array
(
[time] => 1778889600
[value] => 9.85375383
)
[72] => Array
(
[time] => 1778904000
[value] => 9.86461728
)
)
Array
(
[time] => 1778803200
[price] => 9.813
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-04-14 12:00:00
[price] => 9.204
[kind] => low
[label] =>
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-04-17 08:00:00
[price] => 10
[kind] => high
[label] =>
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-04-19 16:00:00
[price] => 8.961
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-04-22 00:00:00
[price] => 9.67
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-04-23 12:00:00
[price] => 9.147
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-04-26 20:00:00
[price] => 9.559
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-04-27 08:00:00
[price] => 9.074
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-04-29 04:00:00
[price] => 9.439
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-04-29 12:00:00
[price] => 8.907
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-01 08:00:00
[price] => 9.268
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-03 04:00:00
[price] => 8.955
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-04 00:00:00
[price] => 9.378
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-04 04:00:00
[price] => 9.028
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-06 08:00:00
[price] => 9.769
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-07 08:00:00
[price] => 9.364
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-10 12:00:00
[price] => 10.482
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-12 08:00:00
[price] => 9.663
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-13 04:00:00
[price] => 10.153
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-13 08:00:00
[price] => 9.611
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-14 12:00:00
[price] => 10.13
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-10 23:00:00
[price] => 9.963
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-11 06:00:00
[price] => 10.199
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-11 10:00:00
[price] => 9.986
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-11 12:00:00
[price] => 10.264
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-12 11:00:00
[price] => 9.663
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-13 06:00:00
[price] => 10.153
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-13 11:00:00
[price] => 9.611
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-13 14:00:00
[price] => 9.816
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-13 23:00:00
[price] => 9.624
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-14 01:00:00
[price] => 9.799
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-14 05:00:00
[price] => 9.635
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-14 12:00:00
[price] => 10.103
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-14 13:00:00
[price] => 9.938
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-14 15:00:00
[price] => 10.13
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-15 01:00:00
[price] => 9.672
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-15 03:00:00
[price] => 9.849
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-15 10:00:00
[price] => 9.389
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-15 14:00:00
[price] => 9.61
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-16 03:00:00
[price] => 9.218
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-05-16 04:00:00
[price] => 9.37
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
9.218
9.37
9.37
9.218
0.3052
0.506
0.3405
0.2168
0.4417
0.9576
0.483
0.3522
0.3725
0.4442
0.4836
0.2197
-0.1702
-0.0707
0
-2.2253
-2.562
0.4444
0.5556
-1
17
1
0.5664
0.3002
2.7093
0.75
0.9576
2.5944
-2.562
0.4704
0.2828
0.44
-0.0297
0.5094
0.4066
0.431
0.2197
-6.6274
1.8658
1
0
1
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 05:38 | 9.25600000 | 0% |
| 2 | 05:43 | 9.25600000 | 0% |
| 3 | 06:36 | 9.24700000 | -0.097% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 16 May 2026 05:38:51 |
17 May 2026 06:00:00 |
1 day |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.256 | 9.3764 | 8.8948 | 3 | 7.351 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 9.3764 - 9.256 = 0.1204
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 9.256 - 8.8948 = 0.3612
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.3612 / 0.1204 = 3
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 614.9914 | 100 | 66.4425 | 6.15 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.1204 = 66.45
Taille de position USD = 66.45 x 9.256 = 615.06
Donc, tu peux acheter 66.45 avec un stoploss a 9.3764
Avec un position size USD de 615.06$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 66.45 x 0.1204 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 66.45 x 0.3612 = 24
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 24$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.9 % | 24 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.3 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -1.30 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5557 % | 119.6 % | 21 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 8.8948
[entry_price] => 9.256
[stop_loss] => 9.38844
[rr_ratio] => 2.73
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-05-16 05:40:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 8.8948
[entry_price] => 9.256
[stop_loss] => 9.40048
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-05-16 05:40:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 8.8948
[entry_price] => 9.256
[stop_loss] => 9.41252
[rr_ratio] => 2.31
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-05-16 05:40:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 8.8948
[entry_price] => 9.256
[stop_loss] => 9.4366
[rr_ratio] => 2
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-05-16 05:40:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.072000000000001
[max_drawdown] => 0.023999999999999
[rr_ratio] => 3
[high] => 9.28000000
[low] => 9.18400000
[mfe_pct] => 0.78
[mae_pct] => 0.26
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 3
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-05-16T05:38:51-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-05-16T07:38:51-04:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.072000000000001
[max_drawdown] => 0.096
[rr_ratio] => 0.75
[high] => 9.35200000
[low] => 9.18400000
[mfe_pct] => 0.78
[mae_pct] => 1.04
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.75
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-05-16T05:38:51-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-05-16T12:38:51-04:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 9.47600000
[high_after] => 9.33500000
[low_before] => 9.18400000
[low_after] => 9.18400000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?