16 May 2026 at 06:05:45

Short Trade on NEAR (BosPullback)

With 487.98 NEAR at 1.5$ per unit. Take profit: 1.4589 (2.73 %) & Stop Loss: 1.5163 (1.09 %)

Short BosPullback on NEAR (16 May 2026 at 06:05:45 to 00:35:00 - 18 hours )

With 487.984 NEAR at 1.4999$ per unit.

Position size of 731.9272 $
Take profit at 1.4589 (2.73 %) and Stop Loss at 1.5163 (1.09 %)

That's a 2.5 RR Trade
Duration: 18 hours

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 2.03
Prediction Score:
Prediction 1 Probability
n/a
Prediction 2 Probability
n/a
Prediction 3 Probability
n/a
BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

Score : 3

ml_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

tf_aligned :

16/05 06:01

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability Évalué à
4h ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate balanced compression bull_high
65%
16/05 00:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong fading compression bear_high_confirmed
71%
16/05 05:00
15m ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition moderate grind expansion bear_medium
76%
16/05 05:45
5m ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate grind expansion_after_compression range_medium
46%
16/05 06:00

Signal

BosPullback - SELL

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. confidence: 0.86
  3. reason: bos_pullback_short|score=3|shallow|bars_since_bos=3|retests=1|break_atr=0.35|prog=0.45|zone=invalid
  4. stop_price: 1.51629398
  5. tp_price: 1.45891506
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.86
  8. confidence_pre_ob: 0.86
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. timeframe : 1h
  10. state : impulse_down
  11. confidence : 1
  12. trend_strength : -0.3004
  13. trend_persistence : 0.5
  14. high_delta_atr : -3.219
  15. low_delta_atr : -1.3373
  16. current_swing_amp_atr : 1.6935
  17. current_swing_speed : 1.69348
  18. current_swing_efficiency : 0.7201
  19. retracement_ratio : 0.3438
  20. extension_ratio : 0.4726
  21. compression_score : 0.9188
  22. swing_entropy : 1
  23. breakout_strength : -3.9748
  24. distance_to_last_high_atr : -0.7558
  25. distance_to_last_low_atr : 0.9303
  26. pivot_count : 29
  27. swing_count : 28
  28. market_structure_v2
  29. last_pivot_kind: high
  30. last_pivot_price:
    1.5142
  31. last_pivot_index:
    147
  32. ¸
  33. trend_analyzer_1h
  34. direction : down
  35. phase : transition
  36. structure : bearish_transition
  37. breakout_state : fresh_breakout
  38. quality : volatile
  39. strength : strong
  40. exhaustion : medium
  41. momentum_type : fading
  42. volatility_regime : compression
  43. htf_context : unknown
  44. risk_state : approaching_support
  45. confidence : 0.581
  46. state : down_bearish_transition_fading
  47. trend_analyzer_1h
  48. scores_direction_score:
    0.233
  49. scores_strength_score:
    0.7314
  50. scores_quality_score:
    0.4134
  51. scores_cleanliness_score:
    0.2749
  52. scores_structural_quality:
    0.5267
  53. scores_pullback_score:
    0.3438
  54. scores_exhaustion_score:
    0.5835
  55. scores_continuation_score:
    0.5181
  56. scores_structure_score:
    0.2824
  57. scores_volatility_expansion:
    0.1773
  58. scores_momentum_type_score:
    0.6813
  59. scores_risk_score:
    0.1072
  60. trend_analyzer_1h
  61. features_ema20_slope:
    -0.1799
  62. features_ema50_slope:
    -0.1085
  63. features_ema_alignment_score:
    0
  64. features_price_vs_ema20:
    -1.4669
  65. features_price_vs_ema50:
    -2.5374
  66. features_recent_hh_hl_score:
    0.4
  67. features_recent_lh_ll_score:
    0.6
  68. features_last_bos_direction:
    -1
  69. features_bars_since_last_bos:
    3
  70. features_candle_overlap_ratio:
    1
  71. features_wick_ratio:
    0.4502
  72. features_trend_efficiency:
    0.7201
  73. features_impulse_strength:
    4.9338
  74. features_directional_candle_ratio:
    0.6
  75. features_pullback_depth_ratio:
    0.3438
  76. features_pullback_depth_atr:
    1.6962
  77. features_extension_from_mean:
    -2.5374
  78. features_impulse_decay_score:
    0.7637
  79. features_opposing_wick_pressure:
    0.2239
  80. features_volatility_percentile:
    0.2
  81. features_volatility_delta:
    -0.214
  82. features_body_ratio:
    0.5121
  83. features_closes_position_ratio:
    0.4412
  84. features_slope_consistency:
    0.7042
  85. features_range_position:
    0.1072
  86. features_distance_to_recent_high:
    -10.4
  87. features_distance_to_recent_low:
    1.2482
  88. features_had_recent_range:
    1
  89. features_had_recent_compression:
    0
  90. features_post_break_hl_count:
    1
  91. features_htf_trend_strength:
    
                                                                                                                                
  92. features_htf_compression_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  93. features_htf_entropy_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  94. features_htf_hh_hl_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  95. features_htf_state_str:
    
                                                                                                                                
  96. ¸
  97. orderbook_context
  98. obi_top5 : 0.0774
  99. obi_top10 : 0.0777
  100. micro_price : 1.4993
  101. spread_pct : 0.01334
  102. mid_price : 1.4993
  103. bid_wall_price :
  104. bid_wall_size :
  105. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  106. ask_wall_price : 1.51
  107. ask_wall_size : 751426.6
  108. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  109. snapshots_count : 5
  110. obi_top5_mean : 0.0775
  111. obi_top5_std : 0.0006
  112. pressure_side : neutral
  113. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  114. collection_ms : 7143
  115. aggregation_tick : 0.01
  116. error :
  117. ¸
  118. strategy_details
  119. strategy : bos_pullback
  120. ms_state_1h : impulse_down
  121. strategy_details
  122. pivots_1h_0:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 06:00:00
        [price] => 1.6057
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  123. pivots_1h_1:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 10:00:00
        [price] => 1.513
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  124. pivots_1h_2:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 11:00:00
        [price] => 1.5747
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  125. pivots_1h_3:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 17:00:00
        [price] => 1.6493
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  126. pivots_1h_4:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 19:00:00
        [price] => 1.5922
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  127. pivots_1h_5:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 23:00:00
        [price] => 1.6907
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  128. pivots_1h_6:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 11:00:00
        [price] => 1.549
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  129. pivots_1h_7:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 14:00:00
        [price] => 1.6128
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  130. pivots_1h_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 17:00:00
        [price] => 1.5571
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  131. pivots_1h_9:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 22:00:00
        [price] => 1.6208
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  132. pivots_1h_10:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 23:00:00
        [price] => 1.5374
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  133. pivots_1h_11:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-14 04:00:00
        [price] => 1.591
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  134. pivots_1h_12:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-14 06:00:00
        [price] => 1.5504
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  135. pivots_1h_13:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-14 12:00:00
        [price] => 1.6336
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  136. pivots_1h_14:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-15 01:00:00
        [price] => 1.5377
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  137. pivots_1h_15:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-15 03:00:00
        [price] => 1.5922
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  138. pivots_1h_16:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-15 09:00:00
        [price] => 1.5076
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  139. pivots_1h_17:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-15 13:00:00
        [price] => 1.5751
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  140. pivots_1h_18:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-16 03:00:00
        [price] => 1.4823
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  141. pivots_1h_19:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-16 04:00:00
        [price] => 1.5142
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  142. strategy_details
  143. pivots_15m_0:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-15 07:00:00
        [price] => 1.5603
        [kind] => high
        [label] => 
    )
    
  144. pivots_15m_1:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-15 09:45:00
        [price] => 1.5076
        [kind] => low
        [label] => 
    )
    
  145. pivots_15m_2:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-15 10:15:00
        [price] => 1.5367
        [kind] => high
        [label] => 
    )
    
  146. pivots_15m_3:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-15 11:30:00
        [price] => 1.5182
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  147. pivots_15m_4:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-15 13:45:00
        [price] => 1.5751
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  148. pivots_15m_5:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-15 17:15:00
        [price] => 1.5298
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  149. pivots_15m_6:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-15 20:00:00
        [price] => 1.5466
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  150. pivots_15m_7:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-15 21:30:00
        [price] => 1.5355
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  151. pivots_15m_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-15 21:45:00
        [price] => 1.5478
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  152. pivots_15m_9:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-15 22:45:00
        [price] => 1.5365
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  153. pivots_15m_10:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-16 00:00:00
        [price] => 1.554
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  154. pivots_15m_11:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-16 01:00:00
        [price] => 1.519
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  155. pivots_15m_12:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-16 01:30:00
        [price] => 1.5331
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  156. pivots_15m_13:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-16 03:00:00
        [price] => 1.4823
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  157. pivots_15m_14:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-16 04:00:00
        [price] => 1.5142
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  158. pivots_15m_15:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-16 05:15:00
        [price] => 1.477
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  159. bos_level_long : 0
  160. bos_level_short : 1.5076
  161. strategy_details
  162. levels_hl_price:
    1.4823
  163. levels_hl_timestamp: 2026-05-16 03:00:00
  164. levels_hh_price:
    1.5142
  165. levels_lh_price:
    1.5142
  166. levels_lh_timestamp: 2026-05-16 04:00:00
  167. levels_ll_price:
    1.4823
  168. demand_zone :
  169. supply_zone :
  170. ¸
  171. regimes
  172. 1H : bear_high
  173. 15m : bear_medium
  174. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

1H ↓ impulse_down
Confidence 100%

Trend

Trend Strength
-0.300
Persistence
0.500
High Δ ATR
-3.219
Low Δ ATR
-1.337

Current Swing

Amp ATR
1.694
Speed
1.693
Efficiency
0.720

Structure

Retracement
0.344
Extension
0.473
Compression
0.919
Entropy
1.000
Breakout Str.
-3.975
Dist High ATR
-0.756
Dist Low ATR
0.930
29 pivots · 28 swings · Last pivot: ↑ 1.5142 @ bar 147

Trend Analyzer 1H

1H ↓ down down_bearish_transition_fading
Confidence 58%

Context

phase transition
structure bearish_transition
breakout fresh_breakout
quality volatile
strength strong
exhaustion medium
momentum fading
volatility compression
risk approaching_support
htf unknown
Scores
Direction Score 0.233
Strength Score 0.731
Quality Score 0.413
Cleanliness Score 0.275
Structural Quality 0.527
Pullback Score 0.344
Exhaustion Score 0.584
Continuation Score 0.518
Structure Score 0.282
Volatility Expansion 0.177
Momentum Type Score 0.681
Risk Score 0.107
Features
Ema20 Slope
-0.180
Ema50 Slope
-0.109
Ema Alignment Score
0.000
Price Vs Ema20
-1.467
Price Vs Ema50
-2.537
Recent Hh Hl Score
0.400
Recent Lh Ll Score
0.600
Last Bos Direction
-1.000
Bars Since Last Bos
3.000
Candle Overlap Ratio
1.000
Wick Ratio
0.450
Trend Efficiency
0.720
Impulse Strength
4.934
Directional Candle Ratio
0.600
Pullback Depth Ratio
0.344
Pullback Depth Atr
1.696
Extension From Mean
-2.537
Impulse Decay Score
0.764
Opposing Wick Pressure
0.224
Volatility Percentile
0.200
Volatility Delta
-0.214
Body Ratio
0.512
Closes Position Ratio
0.441
Slope Consistency
0.704
Range Position
0.107
Distance To Recent High
-10.400
Distance To Recent Low
1.248
Had Recent Range
1.000
Had Recent Compression
0.000
Post Break Hl Count
1.000

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7143ms Confidence avant OB : 86%86%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.077
avg 0.078 ± 0.001
OBI Top 10 0.078

Microstructure

Mid Price
1.4993
Micro Price
1.4993
Spread
0.0133%

↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)

Price
1.5100
Size
751,426.60

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
16 May 2026
06:05:45
17 May 2026
00:35:00
18 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
1.4999 1.5163 1.4589 2.5 1.8611
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 1.4999
  • Stop Loss: 1.5163
  • Take Profit: 1.4589

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 1.5163 - 1.4999 = 0.0164

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 1.4999 - 1.4589 = 0.041

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.041 / 0.0164 = 2.5

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
731.9272 100 487.984 7.32
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0164

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0164 = 487.8

Taille de position USD = 487.8 x 1.4999 = 731.65

Donc, tu peux acheter 487.8 avec un stoploss a 1.5163

Avec un position size USD de 731.65$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 487.8 x 0.0164 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 487.8 x 0.041 = 20

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 487.8
  • Taille de position USD 731.65
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 20
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.73 % 20.01 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.09 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -1.09
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.5734 % 143.9 % 29

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 1.4589
            [entry_price] => 1.4999
            [stop_loss] => 1.51794
            [rr_ratio] => 2.27
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-05-16 06:10:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0128
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0116
            [rr_ratio] => 1.1
            [high] => 1.51150000
            [low] => 1.48710000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.85
            [mae_pct] => 0.77
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.1
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-05-16T06:05:45-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-05-16T08:05:45-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0221
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0116
            [rr_ratio] => 1.91
            [high] => 1.51150000
            [low] => 1.47780000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.47
            [mae_pct] => 0.77
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.91
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-05-16T06:05:45-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-05-16T13:05:45-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 1.51840000
            [high_after] => 1.51150000
            [low_before] => 1.47700000
            [low_after] => 1.47780000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank
#19 / 70 OUT
seuil : top 15 · score du 16/05/2026 06:00
Signal Confidence
86 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
3 OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime