Short Trade on AVAX (WedgePullback)
With 71.86 AVAX at 9.264$ per unit. Take profit: 8.93 (3.61 %) & Stop Loss: 9.3753 (1.2 %)
Short Trade on AVAX (WedgePullback)
With 71.86 AVAX at 9.264$ per unit. Take profit: 8.93 (3.61 %) & Stop Loss: 9.3753 (1.2 %)
Position size of 665.7359 $
Take profit at 8.93 (3.61 %)
and Stop Loss at 9.3753 (1.2 %)
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : range_medium rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low tf_aligned : 16/05 08:01 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
4H_regime : bear_high 1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_low |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
68%
|
16/05 04:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | compression | bear_high |
74%
|
16/05 07:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bear_low |
61%
|
16/05 08:30 |
| 5m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | compression | range_low |
47%
|
16/05 08:40 |
Indicators:
9.37
145
0.1917
0.7834
0.3939
0.2051
0.5483
0.3878
0.6924
0.469
0.246
0.108
0.6689
0.0815
-0.2944
-0.1982
0
-2.1124
-4.3358
0.35
0.65
-1
5
1
0.5897
0.8
4.8964
0.65
0.3878
1.8988
-4.3358
0.6561
0.3197
0.18
-0.3375
0.3651
0.4583
0.8147
0.0815
-13.5886
1.2054
1
0
1
0.386
0.386
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0.5365
0.2317
-7.2579
2.1894
1
0
1
Signaux confirmants (16)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:44 | 9.26400000 | 0% |
| 2 | 08:50 | 9.28000000 | +0.173% |
| 3 | 08:57 | 9.28000000 | +0.173% |
| 4 | 09:03 | 9.25900000 | -0.054% |
| 5 | 09:12 | 9.27100000 | +0.076% |
| 6 | 09:19 | 9.27500000 | +0.119% |
| 7 | 09:25 | 9.28900000 | +0.27% |
| 8 | 09:29 | 9.28900000 | +0.27% |
| 9 | 09:35 | 9.28200000 | +0.194% |
| 10 | 09:41 | 9.28500000 | +0.227% |
| 11 | 09:47 | 9.28100000 | +0.184% |
| 12 | 09:53 | 9.28100000 | +0.184% |
| 13 | 09:55 | 9.28100000 | +0.184% |
| 14 | 09:59 | 9.28100000 | +0.184% |
| 15 | 10:06 | 9.24600000 | -0.194% |
| 16 | 10:14 | 9.25800000 | -0.065% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 16 May 2026 08:44:32 |
17 May 2026 06:00:00 |
21 hours |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.264 | 9.3753 | 8.93 | 3 | 7.415 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 9.3753 - 9.264 = 0.1113
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 9.264 - 8.93 = 0.334
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.334 / 0.1113 = 3.0009
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 665.7359 | 100 | 71.8627 | 6.66 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.1113 = 71.88
Taille de position USD = 71.88 x 9.264 = 665.9
Donc, tu peux acheter 71.88 avec un stoploss a 9.3753
Avec un position size USD de 665.9$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 71.88 x 0.1113 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 71.88 x 0.334 = 24.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 24.01$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.61 % | 24 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.2 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -1.20 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.468 % | 122.19 % | 13 |
Array
(
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Array
(
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Array
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[short_term] => Array
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[max_drawdown] => 0.039000000000001
[rr_ratio] => 0.49
[high] => 9.30300000
[low] => 9.24500000
[mfe_pct] => 0.21
[mae_pct] => 0.42
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.49
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-05-16T08:44:32-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-05-16T10:44:32-04:00
)
[long_term] => Array
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[max_drawdown] => 0.103
[rr_ratio] => 0.18
[high] => 9.36700000
[low] => 9.24500000
[mfe_pct] => 0.21
[mae_pct] => 1.11
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.18
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-05-16T08:44:32-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-05-16T15:44:32-04:00
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[breakout] => Array
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[high_before] => 9.35000000
[high_after] => 9.36700000
[low_before] => 9.18400000
[low_after] => 9.24500000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
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)
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?