Short Trade on AVAX (WedgePullback)
With 68.26 AVAX at 9.259$ per unit. Take profit: 8.9074 (3.8 %) & Stop Loss: 9.3762 (1.27 %)
Short Trade on AVAX (WedgePullback)
With 68.26 AVAX at 9.259$ per unit. Take profit: 8.9074 (3.8 %) & Stop Loss: 9.3762 (1.27 %)
Position size of 632.0442 $
Take profit at 8.9074 (3.8 %)
and Stop Loss at 9.3762 (1.27 %)
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
|
n/a |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| n/a |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : bear_low Score : 3 |
ml_regime : range_medium rules_regime : bear_low_confirmed rules_regime_5m : range_low tf_aligned : 16/05 07:01 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
4H_regime : bear_high 1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_medium |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bear_high |
68%
|
16/05 04:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | compression | bear_high |
74%
|
16/05 07:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | expansion | bear_medium |
77%
|
16/05 07:00 |
| 5m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_low |
54%
|
16/05 07:00 |
Indicators:
9.37
146
0.1922
0.7834
0.4031
0.2206
0.5525
0.3878
0.6919
0.4693
0.246
0.132
0.6856
0.0694
-0.2909
-0.1899
0
-2.4401
-4.5247
0.35
0.65
-1
4
1
0.5588
0.8
4.8964
0.65
0.3878
1.8988
-4.5247
0.6561
0.3179
0.22
-0.31
0.3926
0.4874
0.801
0.0694
-13.251
0.9889
1
0
1
0.386
0.386
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1
Signaux confirmants (16)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:09 | 9.25900000 | 0% |
| 2 | 07:14 | 9.25800000 | -0.011% |
| 3 | 07:19 | 9.26900000 | +0.108% |
| 4 | 07:24 | 9.26200000 | +0.032% |
| 5 | 07:27 | 9.26200000 | +0.032% |
| 6 | 07:31 | 9.25800000 | -0.011% |
| 7 | 07:38 | 9.26200000 | +0.032% |
| 8 | 07:42 | 9.26200000 | +0.032% |
| 9 | 07:47 | 9.26900000 | +0.108% |
| 10 | 07:53 | 9.26700000 | +0.086% |
| 11 | 07:57 | 9.26700000 | +0.086% |
| 12 | 08:10 | 9.25200000 | -0.076% |
| 13 | 08:17 | 9.24100000 | -0.194% |
| 14 | 08:25 | 9.24100000 | -0.194% |
| 15 | 08:30 | 9.24100000 | -0.194% |
| 16 | 08:38 | 9.26400000 | +0.054% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 16 May 2026 07:09:24 |
17 May 2026 06:00:00 |
22 hours |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.259 | 9.3762 | 8.9074 | 3 | 7.422 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 9.3762 - 9.259 = 0.1172
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 9.259 - 8.9074 = 0.3516
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.3516 / 0.1172 = 3
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 632.0442 | 100 | 68.2627 | 6.32 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.1172 = 68.26
Taille de position USD = 68.26 x 9.259 = 632.02
Donc, tu peux acheter 68.26 avec un stoploss a 9.3762
Avec un position size USD de 632.02$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 68.26 x 0.1172 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 68.26 x 0.3516 = 24
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 24$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.8 % | 24 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.27 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -1.27 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5228 % | 120.3 % | 18 |
Array
(
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Array
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Array
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[short_term] => Array
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[mae_pct] => 0.27
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[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-05-16T07:09:24-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-05-16T09:09:24-04:00
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[long_term] => Array
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[mfe_pct] => 0.27
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[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.23
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-05-16T07:09:24-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-05-16T14:09:24-04:00
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[breakout] => Array
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[high_before] => 9.37000000
[high_after] => 9.35200000
[low_before] => 9.18400000
[low_after] => 9.23400000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
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Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?