Long Trade on ARC (CatchTheWave)
With 6142.18 ARC at 0.0718$ per unit. Take profit: 0.07443 (3.62 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07053 (1.81 %)
Long Trade on ARC (CatchTheWave)
With 6142.18 ARC at 0.0718$ per unit. Take profit: 0.07443 (3.62 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07053 (1.81 %)
Position size of 441.1925 $
Take profit at 0.07443 (3.62 %)
and Stop Loss at 0.07053 (1.81 %)
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.61 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.63 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.73 |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_medium rules_regime : bear_low rules_regime_5m : range_low tf_aligned : 16/05 11:01 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : -0.151777 15m : -0.092778 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bear_high_confirmed 5m_regime : bear_high_confirmed |
Indicators:
78113
-0.000383505
78083.1
-0.151777
78606.9
-0.00619145
78120.3
-0.092778
79771.2
-0.0211626
78083.1
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-13 05:00:00
[1] => 0.06653
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-13 10:00:00
[1] => 0.06181
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-13 23:00:00
[1] => 0.06335
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-14 02:00:00
[1] => 0.06551
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-14 12:00:00
[1] => 0.06636
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-15 07:00:00
[1] => 0.05164
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-15 13:00:00
[1] => 0.07542
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-16 00:00:00
[1] => 0.07038
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-16 06:00:00
[1] => 0.07914
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-16 11:00:00
[1] => 0.07141
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -9.236795552186
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.58815291975914
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 5
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 10.824814451757
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-15 16:30:00
[1] => 0.0743
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-15 19:30:00
[1] => 0.07494
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-15 20:00:00
[1] => 0.07157
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-15 23:00:00
[1] => 0.07704
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-16 00:30:00
[1] => 0.07038
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-16 03:00:00
[1] => 0.07374
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-16 03:30:00
[1] => 0.07868
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-16 06:45:00
[1] => 0.07914
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-16 09:15:00
[1] => 0.07457
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-16 11:15:00
[1] => 0.07141
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -9.2999747283295
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.5181347150259
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 18
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.4251505391402
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-16 05:50:00
[1] => 0.07666
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-16 06:10:00
[1] => 0.07908
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-16 06:40:00
[1] => 0.07739
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-16 06:55:00
[1] => 0.07914
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-16 08:30:00
[1] => 0.07519
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-16 09:00:00
[1] => 0.07706
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-16 09:15:00
[1] => 0.07457
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-16 09:55:00
[1] => 0.07672
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-16 10:30:00
[1] => 0.07627
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-05-16 11:15:00
[1] => 0.07141
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -5.821423888816
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.58815291975914
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 10
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.80576950007
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
0.07914
194
0.6305
0.4909
0.3279
0.2377
0.4017
1
0.2284
0.5587
0.6435
0.4967
0.5818
0.7342
0.0576
0.0916
0.6667
-0.6484
0.9167
0.4
0.6
1
5
1
0.5246
0.3713
3.2836
0.55
1.3153
3.3566
0.9167
0.1993
0.274
0.7
-0.185
0.484
0.4837
0.8617
0.7342
-2.7203
7.5134
1
1
0
Signaux confirmants (3)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:24 | 0.07183000 | 0% |
| 2 | 11:25 | 0.07197000 | +0.195% |
| 3 | 11:29 | 0.07177000 | -0.084% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 05:50:00 | 0.07666 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-16 06:10:00 | 0.07908 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-16 06:40:00 | 0.07739 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-16 06:55:00 | 0.07914 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-16 08:30:00 | 0.07519 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-16 09:00:00 | 0.07706 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-16 09:15:00 | 0.07457 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-16 09:55:00 | 0.07672 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-16 10:30:00 | 0.07627 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-16 11:15:00 | 0.07141 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-15 16:30:00 | 0.0743 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-15 19:30:00 | 0.07494 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-15 20:00:00 | 0.07157 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-15 23:00:00 | 0.07704 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-16 00:30:00 | 0.07038 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-16 03:00:00 | 0.07374 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-16 03:30:00 | 0.07868 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-16 06:45:00 | 0.07914 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-16 09:15:00 | 0.07457 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-16 11:15:00 | 0.07141 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-13 05:00:00 | 0.06653 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-13 10:00:00 | 0.06181 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-13 23:00:00 | 0.06335 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-14 02:00:00 | 0.06551 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-14 12:00:00 | 0.06636 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-15 07:00:00 | 0.05164 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-15 13:00:00 | 0.07542 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-16 00:00:00 | 0.07038 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-05-16 06:00:00 | 0.07914 | ↑ High |
| 2026-05-16 11:00:00 | 0.07141 | ↓ Low |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 16 May 2026 11:24:00 |
16 May 2026 11:35:00 |
11 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.07183 | 0.07053 | 0.07443 | 2 | 0.09007 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.07053 - 0.07183 = -0.0013
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.07183 - 0.07443 = -0.0026
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0026 / -0.0013 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 441.1925 | 100 | 6142.176 | 4.41 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0013 = -6153.85
Taille de position USD = -6153.85 x 0.07183 = -442.03
Donc, tu peux acheter -6153.85 avec un stoploss a 0.07053
Avec un position size USD de -442.03$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -6153.85 x -0.0013 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -6153.85 x -0.0026 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.62 % | 15.97 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.81 % | 7.98 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 15.97 $ | 3.62 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.1555 % | 63.85 % | 2 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.07443
[stop_loss] => 0.07053
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-05-16 11:50:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.07508
[stop_loss] => 0.07053
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-05-16 12:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.07573
[stop_loss] => 0.07053
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-05-16 12:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.07638
[stop_loss] => 0.07053
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2026-05-16 12:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.07703
[stop_loss] => 0.07053
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2026-05-16 12:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.07768
[stop_loss] => 0.07053
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2026-05-16 12:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.07833
[stop_loss] => 0.07053
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2026-05-16 12:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.07898
[stop_loss] => 0.07053
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2026-05-16 12:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.07963
[stop_loss] => 0.07053
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2026-05-16 12:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.08028
[stop_loss] => 0.07053
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2026-05-16 12:10:00
[result] => loss
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.08093
[stop_loss] => 0.07053
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2026-05-16 12:10:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.00278
[max_drawdown] => 0.01273
[rr_ratio] => 0.22
[high] => 0.07461000
[low] => 0.05910000
[mfe_pct] => 3.87
[mae_pct] => 17.72
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.22
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-05-16T11:24:00-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-05-16T13:24:00-04:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.00278
[max_drawdown] => 0.01273
[rr_ratio] => 0.22
[high] => 0.07461000
[low] => 0.05910000
[mfe_pct] => 3.87
[mae_pct] => 17.72
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.22
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-05-16T11:24:00-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-05-16T18:24:00-04:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 0.07877000
[high_after] => 0.07461000
[low_before] => 0.07141000
[low_after] => 0.05910000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?