16 May 2026 at 11:40:59

Short Trade on BILL (WedgePullback)

With 469.54 BILL at 0.144$ per unit. Take profit: 0.09316 (35.44 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1613 (11.78 %)

Short WedgePullback on BILL (16 May 2026 at 11:40:59 to 14:50:00 - 1 day )

With 469.5436 BILL at 0.1443$ per unit.

Position size of 67.7411 $
Take profit at 0.09316 (35.44 %) and Stop Loss at 0.1613 (11.78 %)

That's a 3.01 RR Trade
Duration: 1 day

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.66
Prediction Score:
Prediction 1 Probability
n/a
Prediction 2 Probability
n/a
Prediction 3 Probability
n/a
BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 2

ml_regime : range_medium

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

tf_aligned :

16/05 11:01

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

4H_regime : bear_high

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability Évalué à
4h ↔ — range_high
22%
16/05 04:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading normal bear_high
63%
16/05 10:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading compression bear_high
71%
16/05 10:45
5m ↓ down range range moderate grind compression bear_high
64%
16/05 11:25

Signal

WedgePullback - SELL

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. confidence: 0.713
  3. reason: ascending_wedge_lh_anticipation|ob:bid_pressure(-0.10)
  4. stop_price: 0.16130782
  5. tp_price: 0.09315655
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.813
  8. confidence_pre_ob: 0.813
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. timeframe : 1h
  10. state : impulse_down
  11. confidence : 1
  12. trend_strength : -0.2838
  13. trend_persistence : 0.5
  14. high_delta_atr : -2.2842
  15. low_delta_atr : -2.5618
  16. current_swing_amp_atr : 1.5952
  17. current_swing_speed : 0.79761
  18. current_swing_efficiency : 0.6045
  19. retracement_ratio : 0.4287
  20. extension_ratio : 1.1932
  21. compression_score : 0.5608
  22. swing_entropy : 1
  23. breakout_strength : -3.6795
  24. distance_to_last_high_atr : -1.3953
  25. distance_to_last_low_atr : 0.3188
  26. pivot_count : 27
  27. swing_count : 26
  28. market_structure_v2
  29. last_pivot_kind: high
  30. last_pivot_price:
    0.16064
  31. last_pivot_index:
    146
  32. ¸
  33. trend_analyzer_1h
  34. direction : down
  35. phase : transition
  36. structure : bearish_transition
  37. breakout_state : fresh_breakout
  38. quality : volatile
  39. strength : strong
  40. exhaustion : medium
  41. momentum_type : grind
  42. volatility_regime : normal
  43. htf_context : unknown
  44. risk_state : approaching_support
  45. confidence : 0.59
  46. state : down_bearish_transition_grind
  47. trend_analyzer_1h
  48. scores_direction_score:
    0.2743
  49. scores_strength_score:
    0.6802
  50. scores_quality_score:
    0.375
  51. scores_cleanliness_score:
    0.1999
  52. scores_structural_quality:
    0.5183
  53. scores_pullback_score:
    0.4287
  54. scores_exhaustion_score:
    0.5038
  55. scores_continuation_score:
    0.5586
  56. scores_structure_score:
    0.3653
  57. scores_volatility_expansion:
    0.3355
  58. scores_momentum_type_score:
    0.6207
  59. scores_risk_score:
    0.1297
  60. trend_analyzer_1h
  61. features_ema20_slope:
    -0.1874
  62. features_ema50_slope:
    -0.1228
  63. features_ema_alignment_score:
    0
  64. features_price_vs_ema20:
    -1.6995
  65. features_price_vs_ema50:
    -3.0496
  66. features_recent_hh_hl_score:
    0.6
  67. features_recent_lh_ll_score:
    0.4
  68. features_last_bos_direction:
    -1
  69. features_bars_since_last_bos:
    5
  70. features_candle_overlap_ratio:
    1
  71. features_wick_ratio:
    0.6003
  72. features_trend_efficiency:
    0.6045
  73. features_impulse_strength:
    3.6414
  74. features_directional_candle_ratio:
    0.75
  75. features_pullback_depth_ratio:
    0.4287
  76. features_pullback_depth_atr:
    1.5611
  77. features_extension_from_mean:
    -3.0496
  78. features_impulse_decay_score:
    0.4034
  79. features_opposing_wick_pressure:
    0.3026
  80. features_volatility_percentile:
    0.28
  81. features_volatility_delta:
    -0.0488
  82. features_body_ratio:
    0.4041
  83. features_closes_position_ratio:
    0.3805
  84. features_slope_consistency:
    0.9708
  85. features_range_position:
    0.1297
  86. features_distance_to_recent_high:
    -8.8833
  87. features_distance_to_recent_low:
    1.3239
  88. features_had_recent_range:
    1
  89. features_had_recent_compression:
    0
  90. features_post_break_hl_count:
    1
  91. features_htf_trend_strength:
    
                                                                                                                                
  92. features_htf_compression_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  93. features_htf_entropy_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  94. features_htf_hh_hl_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  95. features_htf_state_str:
    
                                                                                                                                
  96. ¸
  97. orderbook_context
  98. obi_top5 : 0.1761
  99. obi_top10 : 0.1761
  100. micro_price : 0.14599862
  101. spread_pct : 0.041113
  102. mid_price : 0.14597
  103. bid_wall_price :
  104. bid_wall_size :
  105. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  106. ask_wall_price :
  107. ask_wall_size :
  108. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  109. snapshots_count : 5
  110. obi_top5_mean : 0.1672
  111. obi_top5_std : 0.0123
  112. pressure_side : bid
  113. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  114. collection_ms : 7181
  115. aggregation_tick : 0.001
  116. error :
  117. ¸
  118. strategy_details
  119. strategy : wedge_pullback
  120. ms_state_4h : range
  121. ms_state_1h : impulse_down
  122. strategy_details
  123. wedge_4h_type: ascending_wedge
  124. wedge_4h_strength:
    0.066
  125. wedge_4h_bias: bearish_breakout
  126. wedge_4h_breakout_type: ascending_wedge
  127. wedge_4h_breakout_strength:
    0.066
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        [42] => Array
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        [44] => Array
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        [46] => Array
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        [52] => Array
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    )
    
  129. wedge_4h_lower_line:
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        [2] => Array
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        [3] => Array
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        [4] => Array
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        [5] => Array
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        [6] => Array
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        [7] => Array
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        [8] => Array
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        [9] => Array
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        [10] => Array
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        [11] => Array
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        [12] => Array
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        [52] => Array
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  130. wedge_4h_breakout_bar:
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    (
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        [price] => 0.18797
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  131. strategy_details
  132. pivots_4h_0:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-07 12:00:00
        [price] => 0.08913
        [kind] => high
        [label] => 
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  133. pivots_4h_1:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-07 16:00:00
        [price] => 0.06331
        [kind] => low
        [label] => 
    )
    
  134. pivots_4h_2:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-09 12:00:00
        [price] => 0.153
        [kind] => high
        [label] => 
    )
    
  135. pivots_4h_3:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-10 00:00:00
        [price] => 0.09554
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  136. pivots_4h_4:
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    (
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        [price] => 0.20381
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
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  137. pivots_4h_5:
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    (
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        [price] => 0.16589
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  138. pivots_4h_6:
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    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 04:00:00
        [price] => 0.22669
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
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  139. pivots_4h_7:
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    (
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        [price] => 0.16037
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  140. pivots_4h_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-15 04:00:00
        [price] => 0.23742
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  141. strategy_details
  142. pivots_1h_0:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-11 13:00:00
        [price] => 0.1321
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  143. pivots_1h_1:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-11 15:00:00
        [price] => 0.15485
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  144. pivots_1h_2:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-11 22:00:00
        [price] => 0.1349
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  145. pivots_1h_3:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 01:00:00
        [price] => 0.16237
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  146. pivots_1h_4:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 03:00:00
        [price] => 0.13722
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  147. pivots_1h_5:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 18:00:00
        [price] => 0.20381
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  148. pivots_1h_6:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 22:00:00
        [price] => 0.17534
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  149. pivots_1h_7:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 00:00:00
        [price] => 0.19441
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  150. pivots_1h_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 03:00:00
        [price] => 0.16589
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  151. pivots_1h_9:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 06:00:00
        [price] => 0.22669
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  152. pivots_1h_10:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 12:00:00
        [price] => 0.16761
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  153. pivots_1h_11:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 22:00:00
        [price] => 0.19998
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  154. pivots_1h_12:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-14 04:00:00
        [price] => 0.16037
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  155. pivots_1h_13:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-14 12:00:00
        [price] => 0.21616
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  156. pivots_1h_14:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-14 13:00:00
        [price] => 0.19669
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  157. pivots_1h_15:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-15 04:00:00
        [price] => 0.23742
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  158. pivots_1h_16:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-15 21:00:00
        [price] => 0.16968
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  159. pivots_1h_17:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-15 22:00:00
        [price] => 0.185
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  160. pivots_1h_18:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-16 06:00:00
        [price] => 0.14236
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  161. pivots_1h_19:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-16 08:00:00
        [price] => 0.16064
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  162. strategy_details
  163. levels_hl_price:
    0.14236
  164. levels_hl_timestamp: 2026-05-16 06:00:00
  165. levels_hh_price:
    0.16064
  166. levels_lh_price:
    0.16064
  167. levels_lh_timestamp: 2026-05-16 08:00:00
  168. levels_ll_price:
    0.14236
  169. ¸
  170. regimes
  171. 4H : bear_high
  172. 1H : bear_high
  173. 15m : bear_high
  174. ¸
  175. trend_analyzer_4h
  176. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

1H ↓ impulse_down
Confidence 100%

Trend

Trend Strength
-0.284
Persistence
0.500
High Δ ATR
-2.284
Low Δ ATR
-2.562

Current Swing

Amp ATR
1.595
Speed
0.798
Efficiency
0.605

Structure

Retracement
0.429
Extension
1.193
Compression
0.561
Entropy
1.000
Breakout Str.
-3.680
Dist High ATR
-1.395
Dist Low ATR
0.319
27 pivots · 26 swings · Last pivot: ↑ 0.1606 @ bar 146

Trend Analyzer 1H

1H ↓ down down_bearish_transition_grind
Confidence 59%

Context

phase transition
structure bearish_transition
breakout fresh_breakout
quality volatile
strength strong
exhaustion medium
momentum grind
volatility normal
risk approaching_support
htf unknown
Scores
Direction Score 0.274
Strength Score 0.680
Quality Score 0.375
Cleanliness Score 0.200
Structural Quality 0.518
Pullback Score 0.429
Exhaustion Score 0.504
Continuation Score 0.559
Structure Score 0.365
Volatility Expansion 0.336
Momentum Type Score 0.621
Risk Score 0.130
Features
Ema20 Slope
-0.187
Ema50 Slope
-0.123
Ema Alignment Score
0.000
Price Vs Ema20
-1.700
Price Vs Ema50
-3.050
Recent Hh Hl Score
0.600
Recent Lh Ll Score
0.400
Last Bos Direction
-1.000
Bars Since Last Bos
5.000
Candle Overlap Ratio
1.000
Wick Ratio
0.600
Trend Efficiency
0.605
Impulse Strength
3.641
Directional Candle Ratio
0.750
Pullback Depth Ratio
0.429
Pullback Depth Atr
1.561
Extension From Mean
-3.050
Impulse Decay Score
0.403
Opposing Wick Pressure
0.303
Volatility Percentile
0.280
Volatility Delta
-0.049
Body Ratio
0.404
Closes Position Ratio
0.381
Slope Consistency
0.971
Range Position
0.130
Distance To Recent High
-8.883
Distance To Recent Low
1.324
Had Recent Range
1.000
Had Recent Compression
0.000
Post Break Hl Count
1.000

Orderbook Context

↑ bid ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7181ms Confidence avant OB : 81%71%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.176
avg 0.167 ± 0.012
OBI Top 10 0.176

Microstructure

Mid Price
0.1460
Micro Price
0.1460
Spread
0.0411%

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
16 May 2026
11:40:59
17 May 2026
14:50:00
1 day

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1443 0.1613 0.09316 3.01 0.0721
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1443
  • Stop Loss: 0.1613
  • Take Profit: 0.09316

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1613 - 0.1443 = 0.017

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1443 - 0.09316 = 0.05114

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.05114 / 0.017 = 3.0082

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
67.7411 67.7411 469.5436 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.017

Taille de position = 8 / 0.017 = 470.59

Taille de position USD = 470.59 x 0.1443 = 67.91

Donc, tu peux acheter 470.59 avec un stoploss a 0.1613

Avec un position size USD de 67.91$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 470.59 x 0.017 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 470.59 x 0.05114 = 24.07

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 24.07$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 470.59
  • Taille de position USD 67.91
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 24.07
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 3.0082

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
35.44 % 24.01 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
11.78 % 7.98 $
PNL PNL %
-7.98 $ -11.78
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-12.1067 % 102.76 % 54

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00297
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00558
            [rr_ratio] => 0.53
            [high] => 0.14988000
            [low] => 0.14133000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.06
            [mae_pct] => 3.87
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.53
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-05-16T11:40:59-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-05-16T13:40:59-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00297
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0074
            [rr_ratio] => 0.4
            [high] => 0.15170000
            [low] => 0.14133000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.06
            [mae_pct] => 5.13
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.4
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-05-16T11:40:59-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-05-16T18:40:59-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.16064000
            [high_after] => 0.15170000
            [low_before] => 0.14100000
            [low_after] => 0.14133000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank
#69 / n/a OK
seuil : top 15 · score du 16/05/2026 11:00
Signal Confidence
71 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2 OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime