16 May 2026 at 13:50:18

Short Trade on BILL (WedgePullback)

With 499.01 BILL at 0.145$ per unit. Take profit: 0.09712 (33.11 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1613 (11.09 %)

Short WedgePullback on BILL (16 May 2026 at 13:50:18 to 14:50:00 - 1 day )

With 499.0085 BILL at 0.1452$ per unit.

Position size of 72.466 $
Take profit at 0.09712 (33.11 %) and Stop Loss at 0.1613 (11.09 %)

That's a 2.99 RR Trade
Duration: 1 day

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.67
Prediction Score:
Prediction 1 Probability
n/a
Prediction 2 Probability
n/a
Prediction 3 Probability
n/a
BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 2

ml_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

tf_aligned :

16/05 13:03

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

4H_regime : bear_high

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability Évalué à
4h ↔ — range_high
22%
16/05 04:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading normal bear_high
63%
16/05 10:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading compression bear_high
73%
16/05 12:15
5m ↓ down range range moderate grind compression bear_high
70%
16/05 12:55

Signal

WedgePullback - SELL

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. confidence: 0.713
  3. reason: ascending_wedge_lh_anticipation|ob:bid_pressure(-0.10)
  4. stop_price: 0.16125179
  5. tp_price: 0.09712462
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.813
  8. confidence_pre_ob: 0.813
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. timeframe : 1h
  10. state : impulse_down
  11. confidence : 1
  12. trend_strength : -0.2838
  13. trend_persistence : 0.5
  14. high_delta_atr : -2.4188
  15. low_delta_atr : -2.7127
  16. current_swing_amp_atr : 1.5952
  17. current_swing_speed : 0.79761
  18. current_swing_efficiency : 0.6045
  19. retracement_ratio : 0.4287
  20. extension_ratio : 1.1932
  21. compression_score : 0.5608
  22. swing_entropy : 1
  23. breakout_strength : -3.9499
  24. distance_to_last_high_atr : -1.5311
  25. distance_to_last_low_atr : 0.284
  26. pivot_count : 27
  27. swing_count : 26
  28. market_structure_v2
  29. last_pivot_kind: high
  30. last_pivot_price:
    0.16064
  31. last_pivot_index:
    144
  32. ¸
  33. trend_analyzer_1h
  34. direction : down
  35. phase : transition
  36. structure : bearish_transition
  37. breakout_state : breakout_confirmed
  38. quality : volatile
  39. strength : strong
  40. exhaustion : medium
  41. momentum_type : grind
  42. volatility_regime : compression
  43. htf_context : unknown
  44. risk_state : approaching_support
  45. confidence : 0.591
  46. state : down_bearish_transition_grind
  47. trend_analyzer_1h
  48. scores_direction_score:
    0.2711
  49. scores_strength_score:
    0.6802
  50. scores_quality_score:
    0.3684
  51. scores_cleanliness_score:
    0.1954
  52. scores_structural_quality:
    0.51
  53. scores_pullback_score:
    0.4287
  54. scores_exhaustion_score:
    0.499
  55. scores_continuation_score:
    0.5588
  56. scores_structure_score:
    0.3653
  57. scores_volatility_expansion:
    0.2119
  58. scores_momentum_type_score:
    0.6107
  59. scores_risk_score:
    0.1007
  60. trend_analyzer_1h
  61. features_ema20_slope:
    -0.2087
  62. features_ema50_slope:
    -0.142
  63. features_ema_alignment_score:
    0
  64. features_price_vs_ema20:
    -1.5256
  65. features_price_vs_ema50:
    -3.1355
  66. features_recent_hh_hl_score:
    0.6
  67. features_recent_lh_ll_score:
    0.4
  68. features_last_bos_direction:
    -1
  69. features_bars_since_last_bos:
    7
  70. features_candle_overlap_ratio:
    1
  71. features_wick_ratio:
    0.6093
  72. features_trend_efficiency:
    0.6045
  73. features_impulse_strength:
    3.6413
  74. features_directional_candle_ratio:
    0.75
  75. features_pullback_depth_ratio:
    0.4287
  76. features_pullback_depth_atr:
    1.561
  77. features_extension_from_mean:
    -3.1355
  78. features_impulse_decay_score:
    0.4034
  79. features_opposing_wick_pressure:
    0.253
  80. features_volatility_percentile:
    0.06
  81. features_volatility_delta:
    -0.0361
  82. features_body_ratio:
    0.3979
  83. features_closes_position_ratio:
    0.3485
  84. features_slope_consistency:
    0.9748
  85. features_range_position:
    0.1007
  86. features_distance_to_recent_high:
    -9.8662
  87. features_distance_to_recent_low:
    1.1043
  88. features_had_recent_range:
    1
  89. features_had_recent_compression:
    0
  90. features_post_break_hl_count:
    1
  91. features_htf_trend_strength:
    
                                                                                                                                
  92. features_htf_compression_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  93. features_htf_entropy_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  94. features_htf_hh_hl_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  95. features_htf_state_str:
    
                                                                                                                                
  96. ¸
  97. orderbook_context
  98. obi_top5 : 0.1784
  99. obi_top10 : 0.1784
  100. micro_price : 0.1453638
  101. spread_pct : 0.04817
  102. mid_price : 0.145355
  103. bid_wall_price :
  104. bid_wall_size :
  105. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  106. ask_wall_price :
  107. ask_wall_size :
  108. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  109. snapshots_count : 5
  110. obi_top5_mean : 0.1574
  111. obi_top5_std : 0.0217
  112. pressure_side : bid
  113. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  114. collection_ms : 7086
  115. aggregation_tick : 0.001
  116. error :
  117. ¸
  118. strategy_details
  119. strategy : wedge_pullback
  120. ms_state_4h : range
  121. ms_state_1h : impulse_down
  122. strategy_details
  123. wedge_4h_type: ascending_wedge
  124. wedge_4h_strength:
    0.066
  125. wedge_4h_bias: bearish_breakout
  126. wedge_4h_breakout_type: ascending_wedge
  127. wedge_4h_breakout_strength:
    0.066
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        [53] => Array
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  129. wedge_4h_lower_line:
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        [2] => Array
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        [6] => Array
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        [7] => Array
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        [9] => Array
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        [10] => Array
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  130. wedge_4h_breakout_bar:
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    (
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  131. strategy_details
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    (
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        [kind] => high
        [label] => 
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  133. pivots_4h_1:
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    (
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        [kind] => low
        [label] => 
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  134. pivots_4h_2:
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    (
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        [kind] => high
        [label] => 
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  135. pivots_4h_3:
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  136. pivots_4h_4:
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    (
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  137. pivots_4h_5:
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    (
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  138. pivots_4h_6:
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    (
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  139. pivots_4h_7:
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    (
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  140. pivots_4h_8:
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    (
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  141. strategy_details
  142. pivots_1h_0:
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    (
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        [price] => 0.1321
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
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  143. pivots_1h_1:
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    (
        [time] => 2026-05-11 15:00:00
        [price] => 0.15485
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
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  144. pivots_1h_2:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-11 22:00:00
        [price] => 0.1349
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  145. pivots_1h_3:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 01:00:00
        [price] => 0.16237
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  146. pivots_1h_4:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 03:00:00
        [price] => 0.13722
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  147. pivots_1h_5:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 18:00:00
        [price] => 0.20381
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  148. pivots_1h_6:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 22:00:00
        [price] => 0.17534
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  149. pivots_1h_7:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 00:00:00
        [price] => 0.19441
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  150. pivots_1h_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 03:00:00
        [price] => 0.16589
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  151. pivots_1h_9:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 06:00:00
        [price] => 0.22669
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  152. pivots_1h_10:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 12:00:00
        [price] => 0.16761
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  153. pivots_1h_11:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 22:00:00
        [price] => 0.19998
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  154. pivots_1h_12:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-14 04:00:00
        [price] => 0.16037
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  155. pivots_1h_13:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-14 12:00:00
        [price] => 0.21616
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  156. pivots_1h_14:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-14 13:00:00
        [price] => 0.19669
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  157. pivots_1h_15:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-15 04:00:00
        [price] => 0.23742
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  158. pivots_1h_16:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-15 21:00:00
        [price] => 0.16968
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  159. pivots_1h_17:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-15 22:00:00
        [price] => 0.185
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  160. pivots_1h_18:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-16 06:00:00
        [price] => 0.14236
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  161. pivots_1h_19:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-16 08:00:00
        [price] => 0.16064
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  162. strategy_details
  163. levels_hl_price:
    0.14236
  164. levels_hl_timestamp: 2026-05-16 06:00:00
  165. levels_hh_price:
    0.16064
  166. levels_lh_price:
    0.16064
  167. levels_lh_timestamp: 2026-05-16 08:00:00
  168. levels_ll_price:
    0.14236
  169. ¸
  170. regimes
  171. 4H : bear_high
  172. 1H : bear_high
  173. 15m : bear_high
  174. ¸
  175. trend_analyzer_4h
  176. ¸

Signaux confirmants (2)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 13:50 0.14522000 +0.014%
2 14:11 0.14545000 +0.172%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

1H ↓ impulse_down
Confidence 100%

Trend

Trend Strength
-0.284
Persistence
0.500
High Δ ATR
-2.419
Low Δ ATR
-2.713

Current Swing

Amp ATR
1.595
Speed
0.798
Efficiency
0.605

Structure

Retracement
0.429
Extension
1.193
Compression
0.561
Entropy
1.000
Breakout Str.
-3.950
Dist High ATR
-1.531
Dist Low ATR
0.284
27 pivots · 26 swings · Last pivot: ↑ 0.1606 @ bar 144

Trend Analyzer 1H

1H ↓ down down_bearish_transition_grind
Confidence 59%

Context

phase transition
structure bearish_transition
breakout breakout_confirmed
quality volatile
strength strong
exhaustion medium
momentum grind
volatility compression
risk approaching_support
htf unknown
Scores
Direction Score 0.271
Strength Score 0.680
Quality Score 0.368
Cleanliness Score 0.195
Structural Quality 0.510
Pullback Score 0.429
Exhaustion Score 0.499
Continuation Score 0.559
Structure Score 0.365
Volatility Expansion 0.212
Momentum Type Score 0.611
Risk Score 0.101
Features
Ema20 Slope
-0.209
Ema50 Slope
-0.142
Ema Alignment Score
0.000
Price Vs Ema20
-1.526
Price Vs Ema50
-3.136
Recent Hh Hl Score
0.600
Recent Lh Ll Score
0.400
Last Bos Direction
-1.000
Bars Since Last Bos
7.000
Candle Overlap Ratio
1.000
Wick Ratio
0.609
Trend Efficiency
0.605
Impulse Strength
3.641
Directional Candle Ratio
0.750
Pullback Depth Ratio
0.429
Pullback Depth Atr
1.561
Extension From Mean
-3.136
Impulse Decay Score
0.403
Opposing Wick Pressure
0.253
Volatility Percentile
0.060
Volatility Delta
-0.036
Body Ratio
0.398
Closes Position Ratio
0.349
Slope Consistency
0.975
Range Position
0.101
Distance To Recent High
-9.866
Distance To Recent Low
1.104
Had Recent Range
1.000
Had Recent Compression
0.000
Post Break Hl Count
1.000

Orderbook Context

↑ bid ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7086ms Confidence avant OB : 81%71%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.178
avg 0.157 ± 0.022
OBI Top 10 0.178

Microstructure

Mid Price
0.1454
Micro Price
0.1454
Spread
0.0482%

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
16 May 2026
13:50:18
17 May 2026
14:50:00
1 day

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1452 0.1613 0.09712 2.99 0.0721
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1452
  • Stop Loss: 0.1613
  • Take Profit: 0.09712

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1613 - 0.1452 = 0.0161

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1452 - 0.09712 = 0.04808

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.04808 / 0.0161 = 2.9863

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
72.466 72.466 499.0085 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0161

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0161 = 496.89

Taille de position USD = 496.89 x 0.1452 = 72.15

Donc, tu peux acheter 496.89 avec un stoploss a 0.1613

Avec un position size USD de 72.15$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 496.89 x 0.0161 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 496.89 x 0.04808 = 23.89

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 23.89$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 496.89
  • Taille de position USD 72.15
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 23.89
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.9863

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
33.11 % 23.99 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
11.09 % 8.03 $
PNL PNL %
-8.04 $ -11.09
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-11.4118 % 102.92 % 49

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00257
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0065
            [rr_ratio] => 0.4
            [high] => 0.15170000
            [low] => 0.14263000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.77
            [mae_pct] => 4.48
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.4
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-05-16T13:50:18-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-05-16T15:50:18-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00384
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0065
            [rr_ratio] => 0.59
            [high] => 0.15170000
            [low] => 0.14136000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.64
            [mae_pct] => 4.48
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.59
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-05-16T13:50:18-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-05-16T20:50:18-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.15038000
            [high_after] => 0.15170000
            [low_before] => 0.14100000
            [low_after] => 0.14136000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank
#64 / n/a OK
seuil : top 15 · score du 16/05/2026 13:00
Signal Confidence
71 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2 OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime