16 May 2026 at 14:19:26

Short Trade on BILL (WedgePullback)

With 549.24 BILL at 0.147$ per unit. Take profit: 0.103 (29.79 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1612 (9.88 %)

Short WedgePullback on BILL (16 May 2026 at 14:19:26 to 14:50:00 - 1 day )

With 549.2397 BILL at 0.1467$ per unit.

Position size of 80.5515 $
Take profit at 0.103 (29.79 %) and Stop Loss at 0.1612 (9.88 %)

That's a 3.01 RR Trade
Duration: 1 day

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.87
Prediction Score:
Prediction 1 Probability
n/a
Prediction 2 Probability
n/a
Prediction 3 Probability
n/a
BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 2

ml_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime : bear_low

rules_regime_5m : range_low

tf_aligned :

16/05 14:02

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

4H_regime : bear_high

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability Évalué à
4h ↔ — range_high
22%
16/05 04:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading normal bear_high
63%
16/05 10:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading compression bear_high
73%
16/05 12:15
5m ↓ down range range moderate grind compression bear_high
70%
16/05 12:55

Signal

WedgePullback - SELL

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. confidence: 0.713
  3. reason: ascending_wedge_lh_anticipation|ob:bid_pressure(-0.10)
  4. stop_price: 0.16122559
  5. tp_price: 0.10296322
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.813
  8. confidence_pre_ob: 0.813
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. timeframe : 1h
  10. state : impulse_down
  11. confidence : 1
  12. trend_strength : -0.2838
  13. trend_persistence : 0.5
  14. high_delta_atr : -2.5595
  15. low_delta_atr : -2.8705
  16. current_swing_amp_atr : 1.5952
  17. current_swing_speed : 0.79761
  18. current_swing_efficiency : 0.6045
  19. retracement_ratio : 0.4287
  20. extension_ratio : 1.1932
  21. compression_score : 0.5608
  22. swing_entropy : 1
  23. breakout_strength : -4.0283
  24. distance_to_last_high_atr : -1.4689
  25. distance_to_last_low_atr : 0.4518
  26. pivot_count : 27
  27. swing_count : 26
  28. market_structure_v2
  29. last_pivot_kind: high
  30. last_pivot_price:
    0.16064
  31. last_pivot_index:
    143
  32. ¸
  33. trend_analyzer_1h
  34. direction : down
  35. phase : transition
  36. structure : bearish_transition
  37. breakout_state : breakout_confirmed
  38. quality : volatile
  39. strength : strong
  40. exhaustion : medium
  41. momentum_type : grind
  42. volatility_regime : compression
  43. htf_context : unknown
  44. risk_state : approaching_support
  45. confidence : 0.589
  46. state : down_bearish_transition_grind
  47. trend_analyzer_1h
  48. scores_direction_score:
    0.2703
  49. scores_strength_score:
    0.6627
  50. scores_quality_score:
    0.3716
  51. scores_cleanliness_score:
    0.2076
  52. scores_structural_quality:
    0.5058
  53. scores_pullback_score:
    0.4287
  54. scores_exhaustion_score:
    0.5022
  55. scores_continuation_score:
    0.5575
  56. scores_structure_score:
    0.3653
  57. scores_volatility_expansion:
    0.1272
  58. scores_momentum_type_score:
    0.6179
  59. scores_risk_score:
    0.1147
  60. trend_analyzer_1h
  61. features_ema20_slope:
    -0.2145
  62. features_ema50_slope:
    -0.1537
  63. features_ema_alignment_score:
    0
  64. features_price_vs_ema20:
    -1.3723
  65. features_price_vs_ema50:
    -3.1826
  66. features_recent_hh_hl_score:
    0.6
  67. features_recent_lh_ll_score:
    0.4
  68. features_last_bos_direction:
    -1
  69. features_bars_since_last_bos:
    8
  70. features_candle_overlap_ratio:
    1
  71. features_wick_ratio:
    0.5848
  72. features_trend_efficiency:
    0.6045
  73. features_impulse_strength:
    3.6414
  74. features_directional_candle_ratio:
    0.7
  75. features_pullback_depth_ratio:
    0.4287
  76. features_pullback_depth_atr:
    1.5611
  77. features_extension_from_mean:
    -3.1826
  78. features_impulse_decay_score:
    0.4034
  79. features_opposing_wick_pressure:
    0.2493
  80. features_volatility_percentile:
    0
  81. features_volatility_delta:
    -0.1092
  82. features_body_ratio:
    0.3932
  83. features_closes_position_ratio:
    0.386
  84. features_slope_consistency:
    0.9733
  85. features_range_position:
    0.1147
  86. features_distance_to_recent_high:
    -10.794
  87. features_distance_to_recent_low:
    1.3986
  88. features_had_recent_range:
    1
  89. features_had_recent_compression:
    0
  90. features_post_break_hl_count:
    1
  91. features_htf_trend_strength:
    
                                                                                                                                
  92. features_htf_compression_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  93. features_htf_entropy_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  94. features_htf_hh_hl_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  95. features_htf_state_str:
    
                                                                                                                                
  96. ¸
  97. orderbook_context
  98. obi_top5 : 0.1483
  99. obi_top10 : 0.1483
  100. micro_price : 0.14627984
  101. spread_pct : 0.047867
  102. mid_price : 0.146275
  103. bid_wall_price :
  104. bid_wall_size :
  105. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  106. ask_wall_price :
  107. ask_wall_size :
  108. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  109. snapshots_count : 5
  110. obi_top5_mean : 0.1614
  111. obi_top5_std : 0.0115
  112. pressure_side : bid
  113. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  114. collection_ms : 7041
  115. aggregation_tick : 0.001
  116. error :
  117. ¸
  118. strategy_details
  119. strategy : wedge_pullback
  120. ms_state_4h : range
  121. ms_state_1h : impulse_down
  122. strategy_details
  123. wedge_4h_type: ascending_wedge
  124. wedge_4h_strength:
    0.066
  125. wedge_4h_bias: bearish_breakout
  126. wedge_4h_breakout_type: ascending_wedge
  127. wedge_4h_breakout_strength:
    0.066
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        [53] => Array
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  129. wedge_4h_lower_line:
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        [2] => Array
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        [3] => Array
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        [4] => Array
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        [6] => Array
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        [7] => Array
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        [9] => Array
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        [10] => Array
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  130. wedge_4h_breakout_bar:
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    (
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  131. strategy_details
  132. pivots_4h_0:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-07 12:00:00
        [price] => 0.08913
        [kind] => high
        [label] => 
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  133. pivots_4h_1:
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    (
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        [kind] => low
        [label] => 
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  134. pivots_4h_2:
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    (
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        [kind] => high
        [label] => 
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  135. pivots_4h_3:
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    (
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  136. pivots_4h_4:
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    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 16:00:00
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        [kind] => high
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  137. pivots_4h_5:
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    (
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  138. pivots_4h_6:
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    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 04:00:00
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        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
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  139. pivots_4h_7:
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    (
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        [price] => 0.16037
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
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  140. pivots_4h_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-15 04:00:00
        [price] => 0.23742
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
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  141. strategy_details
  142. pivots_1h_0:
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    (
        [time] => 2026-05-11 13:00:00
        [price] => 0.1321
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
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  143. pivots_1h_1:
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    (
        [time] => 2026-05-11 15:00:00
        [price] => 0.15485
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  144. pivots_1h_2:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-11 22:00:00
        [price] => 0.1349
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  145. pivots_1h_3:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 01:00:00
        [price] => 0.16237
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  146. pivots_1h_4:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 03:00:00
        [price] => 0.13722
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  147. pivots_1h_5:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 18:00:00
        [price] => 0.20381
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  148. pivots_1h_6:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-12 22:00:00
        [price] => 0.17534
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  149. pivots_1h_7:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 00:00:00
        [price] => 0.19441
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  150. pivots_1h_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 03:00:00
        [price] => 0.16589
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  151. pivots_1h_9:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 06:00:00
        [price] => 0.22669
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  152. pivots_1h_10:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 12:00:00
        [price] => 0.16761
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  153. pivots_1h_11:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-13 22:00:00
        [price] => 0.19998
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  154. pivots_1h_12:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-14 04:00:00
        [price] => 0.16037
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  155. pivots_1h_13:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-14 12:00:00
        [price] => 0.21616
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  156. pivots_1h_14:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-14 13:00:00
        [price] => 0.19669
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  157. pivots_1h_15:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-15 04:00:00
        [price] => 0.23742
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  158. pivots_1h_16:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-15 21:00:00
        [price] => 0.16968
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  159. pivots_1h_17:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-15 22:00:00
        [price] => 0.185
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  160. pivots_1h_18:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-16 06:00:00
        [price] => 0.14236
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  161. pivots_1h_19:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-05-16 08:00:00
        [price] => 0.16064
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  162. strategy_details
  163. levels_hl_price:
    0.14236
  164. levels_hl_timestamp: 2026-05-16 06:00:00
  165. levels_hh_price:
    0.16064
  166. levels_lh_price:
    0.16064
  167. levels_lh_timestamp: 2026-05-16 08:00:00
  168. levels_ll_price:
    0.14236
  169. ¸
  170. regimes
  171. 4H : bear_high
  172. 1H : bear_high
  173. 15m : bear_high
  174. ¸
  175. trend_analyzer_4h
  176. ¸

Signaux confirmants (2)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 14:19 0.14666000 -0.027%
2 14:26 0.14712000 +0.286%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

1H ↓ impulse_down
Confidence 100%

Trend

Trend Strength
-0.284
Persistence
0.500
High Δ ATR
-2.560
Low Δ ATR
-2.871

Current Swing

Amp ATR
1.595
Speed
0.798
Efficiency
0.605

Structure

Retracement
0.429
Extension
1.193
Compression
0.561
Entropy
1.000
Breakout Str.
-4.028
Dist High ATR
-1.469
Dist Low ATR
0.452
27 pivots · 26 swings · Last pivot: ↑ 0.1606 @ bar 143

Trend Analyzer 1H

1H ↓ down down_bearish_transition_grind
Confidence 59%

Context

phase transition
structure bearish_transition
breakout breakout_confirmed
quality volatile
strength strong
exhaustion medium
momentum grind
volatility compression
risk approaching_support
htf unknown
Scores
Direction Score 0.270
Strength Score 0.663
Quality Score 0.372
Cleanliness Score 0.208
Structural Quality 0.506
Pullback Score 0.429
Exhaustion Score 0.502
Continuation Score 0.558
Structure Score 0.365
Volatility Expansion 0.127
Momentum Type Score 0.618
Risk Score 0.115
Features
Ema20 Slope
-0.215
Ema50 Slope
-0.154
Ema Alignment Score
0.000
Price Vs Ema20
-1.372
Price Vs Ema50
-3.183
Recent Hh Hl Score
0.600
Recent Lh Ll Score
0.400
Last Bos Direction
-1.000
Bars Since Last Bos
8.000
Candle Overlap Ratio
1.000
Wick Ratio
0.585
Trend Efficiency
0.605
Impulse Strength
3.641
Directional Candle Ratio
0.700
Pullback Depth Ratio
0.429
Pullback Depth Atr
1.561
Extension From Mean
-3.183
Impulse Decay Score
0.403
Opposing Wick Pressure
0.249
Volatility Percentile
0.000
Volatility Delta
-0.109
Body Ratio
0.393
Closes Position Ratio
0.386
Slope Consistency
0.973
Range Position
0.115
Distance To Recent High
-10.794
Distance To Recent Low
1.399
Had Recent Range
1.000
Had Recent Compression
0.000
Post Break Hl Count
1.000

Orderbook Context

↑ bid ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7041ms Confidence avant OB : 81%71%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.148
avg 0.161 ± 0.012
OBI Top 10 0.148

Microstructure

Mid Price
0.1463
Micro Price
0.1463
Spread
0.0479%

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
16 May 2026
14:19:26
17 May 2026
14:50:00
1 day

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1467 0.1612 0.103 3.01 0.0721
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1467
  • Stop Loss: 0.1612
  • Take Profit: 0.103

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1612 - 0.1467 = 0.0145

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1467 - 0.103 = 0.0437

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0437 / 0.0145 = 3.0138

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
80.5515 80.5515 549.2397 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0145

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0145 = 551.72

Taille de position USD = 551.72 x 0.1467 = 80.94

Donc, tu peux acheter 551.72 avec un stoploss a 0.1612

Avec un position size USD de 80.94$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 551.72 x 0.0145 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 551.72 x 0.0437 = 24.11

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 24.11$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 551.72
  • Taille de position USD 80.94
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 24.11
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 3.0138

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
29.79 % 24 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
9.88 % 7.96 $
PNL PNL %
-7.96 $ -9.88
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-10.2727 % 103.93 % 29

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.00407
            [max_drawdown] => 0.005
            [rr_ratio] => 0.81
            [high] => 0.15170000
            [low] => 0.14263000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.77
            [mae_pct] => 3.41
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.81
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2026-05-16T14:19:26-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-05-16T16:19:26-04:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.01018
            [max_drawdown] => 0.005
            [rr_ratio] => 2.04
            [high] => 0.15170000
            [low] => 0.13652000
            [mfe_pct] => 6.94
            [mae_pct] => 3.41
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.04
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2026-05-16T14:19:26-04:00
            [end_at] => 2026-05-16T21:19:26-04:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.15017000
            [high_after] => 0.15170000
            [low_before] => 0.14100000
            [low_after] => 0.14136000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank
#66 / n/a OK
seuil : top 15 · score du 16/05/2026 14:00
Signal Confidence
71 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2 OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime