Short Trade on SKHY (CatchTheWave)
With 2.38 SKHY at 162.88$ per unit. Take profit: 156.156 (4.13 %) & Stop Loss: 166.242 (2.06 %)
Short Trade on SKHY (CatchTheWave)
With 2.38 SKHY at 162.88$ per unit. Take profit: 156.156 (4.13 %) & Stop Loss: 166.242 (2.06 %)
Position size of 387.5785 $
Take profit at 156.156 (4.13 %)
and Stop Loss at 166.242 (2.06 %)
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Strong Trade
|
0.56 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.53 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.63 |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_high rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_4h : range_medium tf_aligned : 17/07 11:00 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.517684 15m : 0.602091 |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bull_high_confirmed 5m_regime : bull_high |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↔ — | — | — | — | — | — | bear_high |
50%
|
17/07 12:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | strong | explosive | expansion | bear_high |
76%
|
17/07 15:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
75%
|
17/07 15:30 |
| 5m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
72%
|
17/07 15:40 |
Indicators:
63041.4
0.00147592
63134.5
0.517684
63451.2
-0.00499232
63134.5
0.602091
63723.1
-0.00923825
63134.5
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-15 00:00:00
[1] => 195.47
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-15 14:00:00
[1] => 187.85
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-15 16:00:00
[1] => 166.62
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-16 01:00:00
[1] => 165.36
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-16 05:00:00
[1] => 172.68
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-16 13:00:00
[1] => 168.17
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-16 19:00:00
[1] => 151.63
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-17 07:00:00
[1] => 146.42
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-17 13:00:00
[1] => 145.72
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-17 15:00:00
[1] => 163.04
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.098135426889105
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 11.776008783969
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 11.885808399671
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-17 01:00:00
[1] => 156.25
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-17 02:45:00
[1] => 151.2
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-17 03:15:00
[1] => 155.66
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-17 05:45:00
[1] => 148.38
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-17 06:30:00
[1] => 153.89
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-17 07:45:00
[1] => 146.42
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-17 10:15:00
[1] => 161.12
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-17 13:30:00
[1] => 145.72
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-17 14:00:00
[1] => 162.23
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-17 15:45:00
[1] => 163.04
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.098135426889105
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 11.776008783969
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.49929112987734
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-17 07:30:00
[1] => 150.35
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-17 07:50:00
[1] => 146.42
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-17 08:05:00
[1] => 150.26
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-17 08:50:00
[1] => 146.43
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-17 10:15:00
[1] => 161.12
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-17 13:35:00
[1] => 145.72
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-17 14:10:00
[1] => 162.23
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-17 15:05:00
[1] => 152.5
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2026-07-17 15:45:00
[1] => 163.04
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.098135426889105
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 6.8065573770492
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.9114754098361
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
145.72
197
0.4352
0.65
0.3975
0.2651
0.5058
1
0.3731
0.4371
0.2883
0.988
0.6542
0.3449
0.0236
-0.0272
0.6667
1.1251
0.3654
0.4
0.6
-1
8
1
0.4698
0.5723
6.4998
0.55
1.0476
3.4622
0.3654
0.7068
0.2337
0.98
0.4962
0.596
0.4941
0.5468
0.3449
-5.0643
2.6665
1
0
1
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:48 | 162.88000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 11:54 | 162.96000000 | +0.049% |
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 07:30:00 | 150.35 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-17 07:50:00 | 146.42 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-17 08:05:00 | 150.26 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-17 08:50:00 | 146.43 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-17 10:15:00 | 161.12 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-17 13:35:00 | 145.72 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-17 14:10:00 | 162.23 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-17 15:05:00 | 152.5 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-17 15:45:00 | 163.04 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 01:00:00 | 156.25 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-17 02:45:00 | 151.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-17 03:15:00 | 155.66 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-17 05:45:00 | 148.38 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-17 06:30:00 | 153.89 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-17 07:45:00 | 146.42 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-17 10:15:00 | 161.12 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-17 13:30:00 | 145.72 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-17 14:00:00 | 162.23 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-17 15:45:00 | 163.04 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 00:00:00 | 195.47 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-15 14:00:00 | 187.85 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-15 16:00:00 | 166.62 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-16 01:00:00 | 165.36 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-16 05:00:00 | 172.68 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-16 13:00:00 | 168.17 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-16 19:00:00 | 151.63 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-17 07:00:00 | 146.42 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-17 13:00:00 | 145.72 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-17 15:00:00 | 163.04 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul 2026 11:48:24 |
17 Jul 2026 12:05:00 |
16 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 162.88 | 166.242 | 156.156 | 2 | 179.98 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 166.242 - 162.88 = 3.362
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 162.88 - 156.156 = 6.724
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 6.724 / 3.362 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 387.5785 | 100 | 2.3795 | 3.88 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 3.362 = 2.38
Taille de position USD = 2.38 x 162.88 = 387.65
Donc, tu peux acheter 2.38 avec un stoploss a 166.242
Avec un position size USD de 387.65$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 2.38 x 3.362 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 2.38 x 6.724 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.13 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.06 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -2.06 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.2348 % | 108.27 % | 2 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 156.156
[entry_price] => 162.88
[stop_loss] => 166.5782
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-07-17 16:15:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 156.156
[entry_price] => 162.88
[stop_loss] => 166.9144
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-07-17 16:15:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 156.156
[entry_price] => 162.88
[stop_loss] => 167.2506
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-07-17 16:15:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 156.156
[entry_price] => 162.88
[stop_loss] => 167.923
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-07-17 19:10:00+00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 3.29
[max_drawdown] => 4.46
[rr_ratio] => 0.74
[high] => 167.34000000
[low] => 159.59000000
[mfe_pct] => 2.02
[mae_pct] => 2.74
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.74
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-07-17T11:48:24-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-07-17T13:48:24-04:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 10.35
[max_drawdown] => 4.46
[rr_ratio] => 2.32
[high] => 167.34000000
[low] => 152.53000000
[mfe_pct] => 6.35
[mae_pct] => 2.74
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.32
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-07-17T11:48:24-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-07-17T18:48:24-04:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 164.15000000
[high_after] => 167.34000000
[low_before] => 145.72000000
[low_after] => 152.53000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?