Long Trade on ARX (CatchTheWave)
With 1979.93 ARX at 0.172$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1802 (4.71 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1681 (2.32 %)
Long Trade on ARX (CatchTheWave)
With 1979.93 ARX at 0.172$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1802 (4.71 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1681 (2.32 %)
Position size of 340.7861 $
Take profit at 0.1802 (4.71 %)
and Stop Loss at 0.1681 (2.32 %)
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.65 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.45 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.6 |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : bull_low Score : 1 |
ml_regime : bear_high rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_4h : range_medium tf_aligned : 17/07 14:01 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.288271 15m : 0.18436 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : range_high 5m_regime : bear_high |
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | ↔ — | — | — | — | — | — | bear_high |
46%
|
02/07 00:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
66%
|
05/07 23:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
71%
|
17/07 18:00 |
| 5m | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | normal | bear_high |
61%
|
17/07 18:30 |
Indicators:
63435.2
0.00889074
63999.2
0.288271
63487.2
0.00757179
63968
0.18436
63735.7
0.00413341
63999.2
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0
0
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:36 | 0.17212000 | +0.012% |
| 2 | 14:42 | 0.17145000 | -0.378% |
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 11:00:00 | 0.1743 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-17 11:25:00 | 0.17134 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-17 12:10:00 | 0.17591 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-17 13:00:00 | 0.1761 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-17 13:05:00 | 0.17093 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-17 13:35:00 | 0.17135 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-17 15:25:00 | 0.17933 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-17 16:05:00 | 0.17596 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-17 16:55:00 | 0.19164 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-17 18:30:00 | 0.17102 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 23:15:00 | 0.16092 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-17 00:15:00 | 0.16485 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-17 01:45:00 | 0.16152 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-17 04:45:00 | 0.1682 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-17 05:15:00 | 0.16497 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-17 08:15:00 | 0.17645 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-17 09:15:00 | 0.16722 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-17 13:00:00 | 0.1761 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-17 16:45:00 | 0.19164 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-17 18:30:00 | 0.17102 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 01:00:00 | 0.17132 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-15 10:00:00 | 0.16126 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-15 13:00:00 | 0.16622 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-15 17:00:00 | 0.15864 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-16 00:00:00 | 0.16538 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-16 06:00:00 | 0.16556 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-16 11:00:00 | 0.1576 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-16 19:00:00 | 0.158 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-07-17 08:00:00 | 0.17645 | ↑ High |
| 2026-07-17 16:00:00 | 0.19164 | ↑ High |
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul 2026 14:36:13 |
17 Jul 2026 15:50:00 |
1 hour |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1721 | 0.1681 | 0.1802 | 2.03 | 0.1597 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1681 - 0.1721 = -0.004
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1721 - 0.1802 = -0.0081
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0081 / -0.004 = 2.025
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 340.7861 | 100 | 1979.9334 | 3.41 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / -0.004 = -2000
Taille de position USD = -2000 x 0.1721 = -344.2
Donc, tu peux acheter -2000 avec un stoploss a 0.1681
Avec un position size USD de -344.2$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -2000 x -0.004 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -2000 x -0.0081 = 16.2
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.2$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.71 % | 16.04 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.32 % | 7.92 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.92 $ | -2.32 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.545 % | 109.5 % | 2 |
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Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?