Long Trade on MRNA (CatchTheWave)
With 2.96 MRNA at 143.16$ per unit. Take profit: 148.5605 (3.77 %) & Stop Loss: 140.4597 (1.89 %)
21 Aug 2026 at 14:01:05
Duration: 13 minutes
Long CatchTheWave on MRNA (21 Aug 2026 at 14:01:05 to 14:15:00 - 13 minutes )
With 2.9627 MRNA at 143.16$ per unit.
Position size of 424.1382 $
Take profit at 148.5605 (3.77 %)
and Stop Loss at 140.4597 (1.89 %)
Duration: 13 minutes
Results
Status:
loss
Trade Type:
buy
ML Trade Score: -90
ML Pullback Score: 2.42
Prediction Score: 2
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.58 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.5 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.57 |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_extreme rules_regime : bull_high rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_high rules_regime : range_high rules_regime_4h : bull_high_confirmed tf_aligned : 1 21/08 14:01 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : -0.138415 15m : 0.003097 |
1H_regime : bull_high 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : bear_high |
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | — | ||||||||
| 1h | — | ||||||||
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | weak | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
62%
|
21/08 17:30 |
| 5m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
66%
|
21/08 18:00 |
Signal
CatchTheWave Signal - buy
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.4186
- reason: HTF_bullish_stack | KC_pullback(-0.15) | regime:bull_high|ob:bid_pressure(+0.07)|ob:ask_wall_0.6ATR(-0.08)
- stop_price: 140.45974806
- tp_price: 148.56050388
- atr: 1.8001679604291
- score: 2.2965
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.4286
Details
- 1H
- timeframe : 1H
- ema9 : 144.205
- ema21 : 141.679
- ema50 : 0
- ema100 : 0
- price_ema9_diff : -0.00724954
- ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0178311
- ema21_ema50_diff : 0
- price_ema100_diff : 0
- all_emas_in_trend : False
- all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
- ema_slope_9 : 0.689017
- ema_slope_21 : 0.282971
- ema_slope_50 : -0.00627158
- ema_slope_100 : -0.0554452
- rsi : 0.518858
- adx : 0.232235
- kc_percentage : 0.558804
- kc_width_percentage : 0.168741
- volume_ema_diff : 0
- rvol_20 : 0.00627203
- rvol_50 : 1
- volume_zscore_50 : 0
- volume_vol_ratio : 7.23671
- chop : 37.6816
- regime : bull_high ¸
- 15m
- timeframe : 15m
- ema9 : 146.852
- ema21 : 146.367
- ema50 : 142.411
- ema100 : 138.464
- price_ema9_diff : -0.0251439
- ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00331412
- ema21_ema50_diff : 0.0277809
- price_ema100_diff : 0.0339149
- all_emas_in_trend : True
- all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
- ema_slope_9 : -0.13732
- ema_slope_21 : 0.143183
- ema_slope_50 : 0.201363
- ema_slope_100 : 0.158268
- rsi : 0.445938
- adx : 0.238184
- kc_percentage : 0.256394
- kc_width_percentage : 0.0957773
- volume_ema_diff : -0.428089
- rvol_20 : 0.0185188
- rvol_50 : 0.0186646
- volume_zscore_50 : -1.15834
- volume_vol_ratio : 13.511
- chop : 52.7306
- regime : bull_high ¸
- 5m
- timeframe : 5m
- ema9 : 146.005
- ema21 : 147.597
- ema50 : 147.492
- ema100 : 145.182
- price_ema9_diff : -0.0194877
- ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0107847
- ema21_ema50_diff : 0.000710452
- price_ema100_diff : -0.0139336
- all_emas_in_trend : False
- all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
- ema_slope_9 : -0.243568
- ema_slope_21 : -0.134729
- ema_slope_50 : -0.0233095
- ema_slope_100 : 0.0275926
- rsi : 0.307037
- adx : 0.191066
- kc_percentage : -0.148227
- kc_width_percentage : 0.0470185
- volume_ema_diff : -0.185652
- rvol_20 : 0.104624
- rvol_50 : 0.0543029
- volume_zscore_50 : -1.06335
- volume_vol_ratio : 22.9076
- chop : 38.9682
- regime : bear_high ¸
- btc_indicators
- btc_indicators
- 5m_ema100:
77441.6
- 5m_price_ema100_diff:
-0.000811872
- 5m_price:
77378.8
- 5m_correlation_with_coin:
-0.138415
- btc_indicators
- 15m_ema100:
75826.3
- 15m_price_ema100_diff:
0.0204741
- 15m_price:
77378.8
- 15m_correlation_with_coin:
0.003097
- btc_indicators
- 1H_ema100:
70401.1
- 1H_price_ema100_diff:
0.0991122
- 1H_price:
77378.8
- 1H_correlation_with_coin: ¸
- market_structures
- market_structures
- 1H_version: 1.1
- 1H_market_structure:
Array ( [left_window] => 5 [right_window] => 5 [recent_pivots] => Array ( [0] => Array ( [0] => 2026-08-20 12:00:00 [1] => 166.68 [2] => H ) [1] => Array ( [0] => 2026-08-20 17:00:00 [1] => 128.73 [2] => L ) [2] => Array ( [0] => 2026-08-21 01:00:00 [1] => 128.98 [2] => L ) [3] => Array ( [0] => 2026-08-21 08:00:00 [1] => 131.41 [2] => L ) [4] => Array ( [0] => 2026-08-21 14:00:00 [1] => 159.85 [2] => H ) ) [detected_trend] => range [features] => Array ( [ms_trend_state] => 0 [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -10.441038473569 [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 8.9414808614261 [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4 [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10 [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 21.642188570124 [ms_bos_up] => 0 [ms_bos_down] => 0 [ms_choch_up] => 0 [ms_choch_down] => 0 ) ) - market_structures
- 15m_version: 1.1
- 15m_market_structure:
Array ( [left_window] => 5 [right_window] => 5 [recent_pivots] => Array ( [0] => Array ( [0] => 2026-08-20 19:45:00 [1] => 129.3 [2] => L ) [1] => Array ( [0] => 2026-08-21 01:00:00 [1] => 131.55 [2] => H ) [2] => Array ( [0] => 2026-08-21 03:30:00 [1] => 134.15 [2] => H ) [3] => Array ( [0] => 2026-08-21 05:15:00 [1] => 131.83 [2] => L ) [4] => Array ( [0] => 2026-08-21 08:00:00 [1] => 131.41 [2] => L ) [5] => Array ( [0] => 2026-08-21 08:30:00 [1] => 142.58 [2] => H ) [6] => Array ( [0] => 2026-08-21 13:00:00 [1] => 131.88 [2] => L ) [7] => Array ( [0] => 2026-08-21 14:30:00 [1] => 159.85 [2] => H ) [8] => Array ( [0] => 2026-08-21 15:45:00 [1] => 145.01 [2] => L ) [9] => Array ( [0] => 2026-08-21 17:45:00 [1] => 142.79 [2] => L ) ) [detected_trend] => range [features] => Array ( [ms_trend_state] => 0 [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -10.441038473569 [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.25912178724001 [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 14 [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1 [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.55473072344 [ms_bos_up] => 1 [ms_bos_down] => 1 [ms_choch_up] => 0 [ms_choch_down] => 0 ) ) - market_structures
- 5m_version: 1.1
- 5m_market_structure:
Array ( [left_window] => 5 [right_window] => 5 [recent_pivots] => Array ( [0] => Array ( [0] => 2026-08-21 10:05:00 [1] => 139.88 [2] => H ) [1] => Array ( [0] => 2026-08-21 11:35:00 [1] => 133.83 [2] => L ) [2] => Array ( [0] => 2026-08-21 12:05:00 [1] => 136.52 [2] => H ) [3] => Array ( [0] => 2026-08-21 13:00:00 [1] => 131.88 [2] => L ) [4] => Array ( [0] => 2026-08-21 14:30:00 [1] => 159.85 [2] => H ) [5] => Array ( [0] => 2026-08-21 14:50:00 [1] => 150.27 [2] => L ) [6] => Array ( [0] => 2026-08-21 15:20:00 [1] => 154.85 [2] => H ) [7] => Array ( [0] => 2026-08-21 15:45:00 [1] => 145.01 [2] => L ) [8] => Array ( [0] => 2026-08-21 16:55:00 [1] => 152.6 [2] => H ) [9] => Array ( [0] => 2026-08-21 17:55:00 [1] => 142.79 [2] => L ) ) [detected_trend] => downtrend [features] => Array ( [ms_trend_state] => -1 [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -6.1861074705111 [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.25912178724001 [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 13 [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1 [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.8702290076336 [ms_bos_up] => 0 [ms_bos_down] => 1 [ms_choch_up] => 0 [ms_choch_down] => 0 ) )
¸
- market_structure_v2
- error : DataFrame trop court (35 lignes). Minimum 120 requis. ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.155
- obi_top10 : 0.1616
- micro_price : 143.00713147
- spread_pct : 0.182035
- mid_price : 142.96
- bid_wall_price : 141
- bid_wall_size : 1200.3
- bid_wall_dist_atr : 1.0888
- ask_wall_price : 144
- ask_wall_size : 1044.838
- ask_wall_dist_atr : 0.5777
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.1532
- obi_top5_std : 0.0106
- pressure_side : bid
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7369
- aggregation_tick : 1
- error : ¸
Signaux confirmants (4)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:01 | 143.16000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 14:02 | 143.16000000 | 0% |
| 3 | 14:06 | 143.41000000 | +0.175% |
| 4 | 14:12 | 142.58000000 | -0.405% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
5M -
downtrend
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-6.19%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.26%
Bars Since Swing High
13 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
6.87%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
SL to Pivot Distance
8.5797
6.11%
TP to Pivot Distance
11.2895
7.60%
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 10:05:00 | 139.88 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-21 11:35:00 | 133.83 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-21 12:05:00 | 136.52 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-21 13:00:00 | 131.88 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-21 14:30:00 | 159.85 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-21 14:50:00 | 150.27 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-21 15:20:00 | 154.85 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-21 15:45:00 | 145.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-21 16:55:00 | 152.6 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-21 17:55:00 | 142.79 | ↓ Low |
15M -
range
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-10.44%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.26%
Bars Since Swing High
14 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.55%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
SL to Pivot Distance
11.1597
7.95%
TP to Pivot Distance
11.2895
7.60%
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 19:45:00 | 129.3 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-21 01:00:00 | 131.55 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-21 03:30:00 | 134.15 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-21 05:15:00 | 131.83 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-21 08:00:00 | 131.41 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-21 08:30:00 | 142.58 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-21 13:00:00 | 131.88 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-21 14:30:00 | 159.85 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-21 15:45:00 | 145.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-21 17:45:00 | 142.79 | ↓ Low |
1H -
range
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-10.44%
Dist From Last Low Pct
8.94%
Bars Since Swing High
4 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
10 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
21.64%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
SL to Pivot Distance
11.7297
8.35%
TP to Pivot Distance
18.1195
12.20%
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 12:00:00 | 166.68 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 17:00:00 | 128.73 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-21 01:00:00 | 128.98 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-21 08:00:00 | 131.41 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-21 14:00:00 | 159.85 | ↑ High |
Market Structure V2
Error: DataFrame trop court (35 lignes). Minimum 120 requis.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
↑ bid
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7369ms
Confidence avant OB :
43%
→
42%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.155
avg 0.153
± 0.011
OBI Top 10
0.162
Microstructure
Mid Price
142.9600
Micro Price
143.0071
Spread
0.1820%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
141.0000
Size
1,200.30
Dist ATR
1.0888
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
144.0000
Size
1,044.84
Dist ATR
0.5777
📌 Time Data
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug 2026 14:01:05 |
21 Aug 2026 14:15:00 |
13 minutes |
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 143.16 | 140.4597 | 148.5605 | 2 | 151.82 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 143.16
- Stop Loss: 140.4597
- Take Profit: 148.5605
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 140.4597 - 143.16 = -2.7003
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 143.16 - 148.5605 = -5.4005
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -5.4005 / -2.7003 = 2
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 424.1382 | 100 | 2.9627 | 4.24 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -2.7003
Taille de position = 8 / -2.7003 = -2.96
Taille de position USD = -2.96 x 143.16 = -423.75
Donc, tu peux acheter -2.96 avec un stoploss a 140.4597
Avec un position size USD de -423.75$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -2.96 x -2.7003 = 7.99
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.99$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -2.96 x -5.4005 = 15.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$
Résumé
- Taille de position -2.96
- Taille de position USD -423.75
- Perte potentielle 7.99
- Gain potentiel 15.99
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.77 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.89 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -1.89 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.9908 % | 105.55 % | 2 |
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 148.5605
[entry_price] => 143.16
[stop_loss] => 140.18967
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-08-21 18:20:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 148.5605
[entry_price] => 143.16
[stop_loss] => 139.91964
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-21 18:20:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 148.5605
[entry_price] => 143.16
[stop_loss] => 139.64961
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-21 18:20:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 148.5605
[entry_price] => 143.16
[stop_loss] => 139.10955
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-21 19:25:00+00
[result] => win
)
)
Extra Pullback data
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 6.35
[max_drawdown] => 3.66
[rr_ratio] => 1.73
[high] => 149.51000000
[low] => 139.50000000
[mfe_pct] => 4.44
[mae_pct] => 2.56
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.73
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-08-21T14:01:05-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-08-21T16:01:05-04:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 6.35
[max_drawdown] => 3.66
[rr_ratio] => 1.73
[high] => 149.51000000
[low] => 139.50000000
[mfe_pct] => 4.44
[mae_pct] => 2.56
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.73
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-08-21T14:01:05-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-08-21T21:01:05-04:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 159.85000000
[high_after] => 149.51000000
[low_before] => 142.73000000
[low_after] => 139.50000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank
#5 / n/a
OK
seuil : top 15
· score du 21/08/2026 13:00
Signal Confidence
42 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime