Long Trade on MRNA (CatchTheWave)
With 3.08 MRNA at 140.62$ per unit. Take profit: 145.8113 (3.69 %) & Stop Loss: 138.0244 (1.85 %)
21 Aug 2026 at 14:18:21
Duration: 56 minutes
Long CatchTheWave on MRNA (21 Aug 2026 at 14:18:21 to 15:15:00 - 56 minutes )
With 3.0821 MRNA at 140.62$ per unit.
Position size of 433.4025 $
Take profit at 145.8113 (3.69 %)
and Stop Loss at 138.0244 (1.85 %)
Duration: 56 minutes
Results
Status:
win
Trade Type:
buy
ML Trade Score: 60
ML Pullback Score: 7.59
Prediction Score: 2
| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.61 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.49 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.51 |
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bull_extreme rules_regime : bull_high rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 2 |
ml_regime : bear_high rules_regime : range_high rules_regime_4h : bull_high_confirmed tf_aligned : 1 21/08 14:01 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
5m : -0.131118 15m : 0.01581 |
1H_regime : range_high 15m_regime : range_high 5m_regime : bear_high_confirmed |
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | — | ||||||||
| 1h | — | ||||||||
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | weak | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
59%
|
21/08 18:00 |
| 5m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
67%
|
21/08 18:10 |
Signal
CatchTheWave Signal - buy
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.3986
- reason: HTF_bullish_stack | KC_pullback(-0.33) | regime:range_high|ob:ask_wall_0.2ATR(-0.08)|ob:bid_support_0.4ATR(+0.05)
- stop_price: 138.02435292
- tp_price: 145.81129415
- atr: 1.7304313840743
- score: 2.6664
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.4286
Details
- 1H
- timeframe : 1H
- ema9 : 143.697
- ema21 : 141.448
- ema50 : 0
- ema100 : 0
- price_ema9_diff : -0.0214159
- ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0159012
- ema21_ema50_diff : 0
- price_ema100_diff : 0
- all_emas_in_trend : False
- all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
- ema_slope_9 : 0.657234
- ema_slope_21 : 0.268929
- ema_slope_50 : -0.012059
- ema_slope_100 : -0.0582876
- rsi : 0.490061
- adx : 0.228206
- kc_percentage : 0.46515
- kc_width_percentage : 0.179071
- volume_ema_diff : 0
- rvol_20 : 0.610192
- rvol_50 : 1
- volume_zscore_50 : 0
- volume_vol_ratio : 723.947
- chop : 37.7717
- regime : range_high ¸
- 15m
- timeframe : 15m
- ema9 : 145.34
- ema21 : 145.707
- ema50 : 142.348
- ema100 : 138.994
- price_ema9_diff : -0.0324779
- ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00252292
- ema21_ema50_diff : 0.0235998
- price_ema100_diff : 0.0116974
- all_emas_in_trend : False
- all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
- ema_slope_9 : -0.222223
- ema_slope_21 : 0.0759104
- ema_slope_50 : 0.165963
- ema_slope_100 : 0.132992
- rsi : 0.400947
- adx : 0.235014
- kc_percentage : 0.112765
- kc_width_percentage : 0.0950786
- volume_ema_diff : -0.0534575
- rvol_20 : 0.874858
- rvol_50 : 0.925386
- volume_zscore_50 : -0.0932501
- volume_vol_ratio : 711.434
- chop : 50.3681
- regime : range_high ¸
- 5m
- timeframe : 5m
- ema9 : 143.852
- ema21 : 146.133
- ema50 : 146.862
- ema100 : 145.124
- price_ema9_diff : -0.0224738
- ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0156064
- ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00496407
- price_ema100_diff : -0.0310398
- all_emas_in_trend : True
- all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
- ema_slope_9 : -0.320063
- ema_slope_21 : -0.199774
- ema_slope_50 : -0.0663467
- ema_slope_100 : 9.35819E-5
- rsi : 0.249537
- adx : 0.25437
- kc_percentage : -0.333195
- kc_width_percentage : 0.0460453
- volume_ema_diff : 0.805607
- rvol_20 : 3.75798
- rvol_50 : 2.78801
- volume_zscore_50 : 2.13872
- volume_vol_ratio : 1239.12
- chop : 37.4572
- regime : bear_high_confirmed ¸
- btc_indicators
- btc_indicators
- 5m_ema100:
77355.3
- 5m_price_ema100_diff:
-0.00127621
- 5m_price:
77256.6
- 5m_correlation_with_coin:
-0.131118
- btc_indicators
- 15m_ema100:
75845.8
- 15m_price_ema100_diff:
0.0186003
- 15m_price:
77256.6
- 15m_correlation_with_coin:
0.01581
- btc_indicators
- 1H_ema100:
70398.7
- 1H_price_ema100_diff:
0.0974142
- 1H_price:
77256.6
- 1H_correlation_with_coin: ¸
- market_structures
- market_structures
- 1H_version: 1.1
- 1H_market_structure:
Array ( [left_window] => 5 [right_window] => 5 [recent_pivots] => Array ( [0] => Array ( [0] => 2026-08-20 12:00:00 [1] => 166.68 [2] => H ) [1] => Array ( [0] => 2026-08-20 17:00:00 [1] => 128.73 [2] => L ) [2] => Array ( [0] => 2026-08-21 01:00:00 [1] => 128.98 [2] => L ) [3] => Array ( [0] => 2026-08-21 08:00:00 [1] => 131.41 [2] => L ) [4] => Array ( [0] => 2026-08-21 14:00:00 [1] => 159.85 [2] => H ) ) [detected_trend] => range [features] => Array ( [ms_trend_state] => 0 [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -12.030028151392 [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 7.0085990411689 [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4 [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10 [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 21.642188570124 [ms_bos_up] => 0 [ms_bos_down] => 0 [ms_choch_up] => 0 [ms_choch_down] => 0 ) ) - market_structures
- 15m_version: 1.1
- 15m_market_structure:
Array ( [left_window] => 5 [right_window] => 5 [recent_pivots] => Array ( [0] => Array ( [0] => 2026-08-20 19:45:00 [1] => 129.3 [2] => L ) [1] => Array ( [0] => 2026-08-21 01:00:00 [1] => 131.55 [2] => H ) [2] => Array ( [0] => 2026-08-21 03:30:00 [1] => 134.15 [2] => H ) [3] => Array ( [0] => 2026-08-21 05:15:00 [1] => 131.83 [2] => L ) [4] => Array ( [0] => 2026-08-21 08:00:00 [1] => 131.41 [2] => L ) [5] => Array ( [0] => 2026-08-21 08:30:00 [1] => 142.58 [2] => H ) [6] => Array ( [0] => 2026-08-21 13:00:00 [1] => 131.88 [2] => L ) [7] => Array ( [0] => 2026-08-21 14:30:00 [1] => 159.85 [2] => H ) [8] => Array ( [0] => 2026-08-21 15:45:00 [1] => 145.01 [2] => L ) [9] => Array ( [0] => 2026-08-21 18:15:00 [1] => 140.6 [2] => L ) ) [detected_trend] => range [features] => Array ( [ms_trend_state] => 0 [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -12.030028151392 [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.014224751066864 [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 15 [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0 [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.1365576102418 [ms_bos_up] => 1 [ms_bos_down] => 1 [ms_choch_up] => 0 [ms_choch_down] => 0 ) ) - market_structures
- 5m_version: 1.1
- 5m_market_structure:
Array ( [left_window] => 5 [right_window] => 5 [recent_pivots] => Array ( [0] => Array ( [0] => 2026-08-21 10:05:00 [1] => 139.88 [2] => H ) [1] => Array ( [0] => 2026-08-21 11:35:00 [1] => 133.83 [2] => L ) [2] => Array ( [0] => 2026-08-21 12:05:00 [1] => 136.52 [2] => H ) [3] => Array ( [0] => 2026-08-21 13:00:00 [1] => 131.88 [2] => L ) [4] => Array ( [0] => 2026-08-21 14:30:00 [1] => 159.85 [2] => H ) [5] => Array ( [0] => 2026-08-21 14:50:00 [1] => 150.27 [2] => L ) [6] => Array ( [0] => 2026-08-21 15:20:00 [1] => 154.85 [2] => H ) [7] => Array ( [0] => 2026-08-21 15:45:00 [1] => 145.01 [2] => L ) [8] => Array ( [0] => 2026-08-21 16:55:00 [1] => 152.6 [2] => H ) [9] => Array ( [0] => 2026-08-21 18:15:00 [1] => 140.6 [2] => L ) ) [detected_trend] => downtrend [features] => Array ( [ms_trend_state] => -1 [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -7.8505897771953 [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.014224751066864 [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 16 [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0 [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 8.5348506401138 [ms_bos_up] => 0 [ms_bos_down] => 1 [ms_choch_up] => 0 [ms_choch_down] => 0 ) )
¸
- market_structure_v2
- error : DataFrame trop court (35 lignes). Minimum 120 requis. ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0773
- obi_top10 : 0.1139
- micro_price : 140.59623574
- spread_pct : 0.120962
- mid_price : 140.625
- bid_wall_price : 140
- bid_wall_size : 2300.306
- bid_wall_dist_atr : 0.3612
- ask_wall_price : 141
- ask_wall_size : 999.498
- ask_wall_dist_atr : 0.2167
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0777
- obi_top5_std : 0.0018
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6955
- aggregation_tick : 1
- error : ¸
Signaux confirmants (6)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:18 | 140.62000000 | 0% |
| 2 | 14:24 | 140.69000000 | +0.05% |
| 3 | 14:31 | 141.28000000 | +0.469% |
| 4 | 14:36 | 140.98000000 | +0.256% |
| 5 | 14:42 | 141.03000000 | +0.292% |
| 6 | 14:48 | 140.39000000 | -0.164% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
5M -
downtrend
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-7.85%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.01%
Bars Since Swing High
16 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
8.53%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
SL to Pivot Distance
6.1444
4.45%
TP to Pivot Distance
14.0387
9.63%
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 10:05:00 | 139.88 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-21 11:35:00 | 133.83 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-21 12:05:00 | 136.52 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-21 13:00:00 | 131.88 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-21 14:30:00 | 159.85 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-21 14:50:00 | 150.27 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-21 15:20:00 | 154.85 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-21 15:45:00 | 145.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-21 16:55:00 | 152.6 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-21 18:15:00 | 140.6 | ↓ Low |
15M -
range
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-12.03%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.01%
Bars Since Swing High
15 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.14%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
SL to Pivot Distance
8.7244
6.32%
TP to Pivot Distance
14.0387
9.63%
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 19:45:00 | 129.3 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-21 01:00:00 | 131.55 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-21 03:30:00 | 134.15 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-21 05:15:00 | 131.83 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-21 08:00:00 | 131.41 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-21 08:30:00 | 142.58 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-21 13:00:00 | 131.88 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-21 14:30:00 | 159.85 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-21 15:45:00 | 145.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-21 18:15:00 | 140.6 | ↓ Low |
1H -
range
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-12.03%
Dist From Last Low Pct
7.01%
Bars Since Swing High
4 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
10 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
21.64%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
SL to Pivot Distance
9.2944
6.73%
TP to Pivot Distance
20.8687
14.31%
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 12:00:00 | 166.68 | ↑ High |
| 2026-08-20 17:00:00 | 128.73 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-21 01:00:00 | 128.98 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-21 08:00:00 | 131.41 | ↓ Low |
| 2026-08-21 14:00:00 | 159.85 | ↑ High |
Market Structure V2
Error: DataFrame trop court (35 lignes). Minimum 120 requis.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6955ms
Confidence avant OB :
43%
→
40%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.077
avg 0.078
± 0.002
OBI Top 10
0.114
Microstructure
Mid Price
140.6250
Micro Price
140.5962
Spread
0.1210%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
140.0000
Size
2,300.31
Dist ATR
0.3612
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
141.0000
Size
999.50
Dist ATR
0.2167
📌 Time Data
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug 2026 14:18:21 |
21 Aug 2026 15:15:00 |
56 minutes |
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 140.62 | 138.0244 | 145.8113 | 2 | 148.75 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 140.62
- Stop Loss: 138.0244
- Take Profit: 145.8113
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 138.0244 - 140.62 = -2.5956
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 140.62 - 145.8113 = -5.1913
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -5.1913 / -2.5956 = 2
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 433.4025 | 100 | 3.0821 | 4.33 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -2.5956
Taille de position = 8 / -2.5956 = -3.08
Taille de position USD = -3.08 x 140.62 = -433.11
Donc, tu peux acheter -3.08 avec un stoploss a 138.0244
Avec un position size USD de -433.11$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -3.08 x -2.5956 = 7.99
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.99$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -3.08 x -5.1913 = 15.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$
Résumé
- Taille de position -3.08
- Taille de position USD -433.11
- Perte potentielle 7.99
- Gain potentiel 15.99
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.69 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.85 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 3.69 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.7965 % | 43.15 % | 6 |
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 145.8112
[stop_loss] => 138.0244
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2026-08-21 19:15:00+00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 147.109
[stop_loss] => 138.0244
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2026-08-21 19:15:00+00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 148.4068
[stop_loss] => 138.0244
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2026-08-21 19:25:00+00
[result] => win
)
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 8.89
[max_drawdown] => 1.12
[rr_ratio] => 7.94
[high] => 149.51000000
[low] => 139.50000000
[mfe_pct] => 6.32
[mae_pct] => 0.8
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 7.94
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2026-08-21T14:18:21-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-08-21T16:18:21-04:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 8.89
[max_drawdown] => 1.12
[rr_ratio] => 7.94
[high] => 149.51000000
[low] => 139.50000000
[mfe_pct] => 6.32
[mae_pct] => 0.8
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 7.94
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2026-08-21T14:18:21-04:00
[end_at] => 2026-08-21T21:18:21-04:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 159.85000000
[high_after] => 149.51000000
[low_before] => 140.31000000
[low_after] => 139.50000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank
#13 / n/a
OK
seuil : top 15
· score du 21/08/2026 14:00
Signal Confidence
40 %
LOW
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
2
OK
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime